Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena

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orcid::0000-0002-7420-1062
  • Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena (7)
  • Stojilković-Gnjatović, Jelena (1)
  • Стојилковић Гњатовић, Јелена (1)
  • Стојилковић Гњатовић, Јелена Н. (1)
Projects

Author's Bibliography

Старосна структура становништва Србије – које су промене забележили пописи 2002, 2011. и 2022?

Стојилковић Гњатовић, Јелена Н.

(Beograd : Srpsko sociološko društvo, 2023)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Стојилковић Гњатовић, Јелена Н.
PY  - 2023
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1713
AB  - Циљ рада је да се на основу података последња три пописа (2002, 2011. и 2022) дâ шира слика достигнутог степена трансформације старосне структуре у Србији. Историјска условљеност старосне (пре)композиције приказана је кроз основне детерминанте старосне структуре. Kако би се пратио узнапредовали процес демографског старења, израчунати су индикатори старосне структуре на основу којих је извршено временско и просторно поређење. Становништво Србије је, компаративним приступом, позиционирано у односу на друге европске државе уз помоћ методологије стадијума демографске старости. Детаљнија анализа на нивоу општина открила је да се 88,7% општина налазе у последњем, најдубљем стадијуму. Класификација је проширена додавањем екстремно дубоке демографске старости чије карактеристике има 39,2% општина Србије.
AB  - The aim of the paper is to depict the broader picture of the level of age structure transformation in Serbia, based on the data of the last three censuses (2002, 2011 and 2022). The historical conditioning of the age (pre)composition is explored through the basic determinants of the age structure. In order to monitor the advanced process of demographic ageing, age structure indicators have been calculated, and temporal and spatial comparisons were made. In a comparative manner, the population of Serbia is also put into relation to other European countries, using the methodology of demographic age stages. A more detailed analysis at the municipality level showed that 88.7% of the municipalities were in the demographic deepest old age. Thus, the classification was extended by adding demographic extremely deep old age that is characteristic of 39.2% municipalities in Serbia.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko sociološko društvo
T2  - Sociološki pregled
T1  - Старосна структура становништва Србије – које су промене забележили пописи 2002, 2011. и 2022?
T1  - Age structure of the population of Serbia - what changes were recorded in the censuses in 2002, 2011 and 2022
VL  - 57
IS  - 3
SP  - 792
EP  - 882
DO  - 10.5937/socpreg57-45982
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Стојилковић Гњатовић, Јелена Н.",
year = "2023",
abstract = "Циљ рада је да се на основу података последња три пописа (2002, 2011. и 2022) дâ шира слика достигнутог степена трансформације старосне структуре у Србији. Историјска условљеност старосне (пре)композиције приказана је кроз основне детерминанте старосне структуре. Kако би се пратио узнапредовали процес демографског старења, израчунати су индикатори старосне структуре на основу којих је извршено временско и просторно поређење. Становништво Србије је, компаративним приступом, позиционирано у односу на друге европске државе уз помоћ методологије стадијума демографске старости. Детаљнија анализа на нивоу општина открила је да се 88,7% општина налазе у последњем, најдубљем стадијуму. Класификација је проширена додавањем екстремно дубоке демографске старости чије карактеристике има 39,2% општина Србије., The aim of the paper is to depict the broader picture of the level of age structure transformation in Serbia, based on the data of the last three censuses (2002, 2011 and 2022). The historical conditioning of the age (pre)composition is explored through the basic determinants of the age structure. In order to monitor the advanced process of demographic ageing, age structure indicators have been calculated, and temporal and spatial comparisons were made. In a comparative manner, the population of Serbia is also put into relation to other European countries, using the methodology of demographic age stages. A more detailed analysis at the municipality level showed that 88.7% of the municipalities were in the demographic deepest old age. Thus, the classification was extended by adding demographic extremely deep old age that is characteristic of 39.2% municipalities in Serbia.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko sociološko društvo",
journal = "Sociološki pregled",
title = "Старосна структура становништва Србије – које су промене забележили пописи 2002, 2011. и 2022?, Age structure of the population of Serbia - what changes were recorded in the censuses in 2002, 2011 and 2022",
volume = "57",
number = "3",
pages = "792-882",
doi = "10.5937/socpreg57-45982"
}
Стојилковић Гњатовић, Ј. Н.. (2023). Старосна структура становништва Србије – које су промене забележили пописи 2002, 2011. и 2022?. in Sociološki pregled
Beograd : Srpsko sociološko društvo., 57(3), 792-882.
https://doi.org/10.5937/socpreg57-45982
Стојилковић Гњатовић ЈН. Старосна структура становништва Србије – које су промене забележили пописи 2002, 2011. и 2022?. in Sociološki pregled. 2023;57(3):792-882.
doi:10.5937/socpreg57-45982 .
Стојилковић Гњатовић, Јелена Н., "Старосна структура становништва Србије – које су промене забележили пописи 2002, 2011. и 2022?" in Sociološki pregled, 57, no. 3 (2023):792-882,
https://doi.org/10.5937/socpreg57-45982 . .

Did the Covid-19 Pandemic Change Internal Rural Migration Patterns in Serbia?

Lukić, Vesna; Lović Obradović, Suzana; Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena

(Bonn : University of Bonn, 2023)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Lukić, Vesna
AU  - Lović Obradović, Suzana
AU  - Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena
PY  - 2023
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1723
UR  - http://iriss.idn.org.rs/1436/
AB  - Recent empirical research on internal migration has focused on the change in migration volume, before and after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, by the degree of urbanization. Less is known about the types of rural areas that are attracting internal migrants. This study aims to explore the changes in internal rural migration patterns in Serbia due to the COVID-19 pandemic, focusing on the types of rural settlements as places of destinations and types of urban settlements as places of the origin of migrants. Relying on the additionally processed official national annual statistical data for the period 2018–2021, we offer findings on the differences in volume and socio-demographic characteristics of migrants across six internal migration flows (from small towns, medium-sized towns, and large cities, to suburban and non-suburban rural settlements). The results reveal that the pandemic affected an increase of rural–rural migration as well as rural in-migration from mediumsized towns. We also find that after an initial drop in values for in- and out-migration rates in 2020, relocation intensity exceeded the pre-pandemic level in 2021, with a positive net migration rate for all age groups except 15–30. The unfavorable economic characteristics of rural in-migrants shifted slightly in pandemic years since the share of active and population with personal means rose in non-suburban settlements, while the percentage of dependent population decreased. The opposite holds for suburban settlements.
PB  - Bonn : University of Bonn
T2  - Erdkunde
T1  - Did the Covid-19 Pandemic Change Internal Rural Migration Patterns in Serbia?
VL  - 77
IS  - 3
SP  - 233
EP  - 249
DO  - 10.3112/erdkunde.2023.03.04
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Lukić, Vesna and Lović Obradović, Suzana and Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena",
year = "2023",
abstract = "Recent empirical research on internal migration has focused on the change in migration volume, before and after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, by the degree of urbanization. Less is known about the types of rural areas that are attracting internal migrants. This study aims to explore the changes in internal rural migration patterns in Serbia due to the COVID-19 pandemic, focusing on the types of rural settlements as places of destinations and types of urban settlements as places of the origin of migrants. Relying on the additionally processed official national annual statistical data for the period 2018–2021, we offer findings on the differences in volume and socio-demographic characteristics of migrants across six internal migration flows (from small towns, medium-sized towns, and large cities, to suburban and non-suburban rural settlements). The results reveal that the pandemic affected an increase of rural–rural migration as well as rural in-migration from mediumsized towns. We also find that after an initial drop in values for in- and out-migration rates in 2020, relocation intensity exceeded the pre-pandemic level in 2021, with a positive net migration rate for all age groups except 15–30. The unfavorable economic characteristics of rural in-migrants shifted slightly in pandemic years since the share of active and population with personal means rose in non-suburban settlements, while the percentage of dependent population decreased. The opposite holds for suburban settlements.",
publisher = "Bonn : University of Bonn",
journal = "Erdkunde",
title = "Did the Covid-19 Pandemic Change Internal Rural Migration Patterns in Serbia?",
volume = "77",
number = "3",
pages = "233-249",
doi = "10.3112/erdkunde.2023.03.04"
}
Lukić, V., Lović Obradović, S.,& Stojilković Gnjatović, J.. (2023). Did the Covid-19 Pandemic Change Internal Rural Migration Patterns in Serbia?. in Erdkunde
Bonn : University of Bonn., 77(3), 233-249.
https://doi.org/10.3112/erdkunde.2023.03.04
Lukić V, Lović Obradović S, Stojilković Gnjatović J. Did the Covid-19 Pandemic Change Internal Rural Migration Patterns in Serbia?. in Erdkunde. 2023;77(3):233-249.
doi:10.3112/erdkunde.2023.03.04 .
Lukić, Vesna, Lović Obradović, Suzana, Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena, "Did the Covid-19 Pandemic Change Internal Rural Migration Patterns in Serbia?" in Erdkunde, 77, no. 3 (2023):233-249,
https://doi.org/10.3112/erdkunde.2023.03.04 . .

Age waves of baby boom and baby bust generations through arithmetic and geometric coefficients of population ageing in Serbia

Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena; Devedžić, Mirjana

(Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet, 2020)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena
AU  - Devedžić, Mirjana
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1037
AB  - Age waves is theoretical concept that take into account the importance of disordered cohort flows, mainly as by-product of demographic transition (fluctuating fertility and improved survival), but also external factors (especially wars). The primary age wave as a consequence of high births after the Second World War in Serbia did not remain an isolated phenomenon, but created a secondary cohort wave although the fertility indicators were declining, which is visible as the thickening of the pyramid base in 1981 due to the absolute increase in births. Cohort "tide" has influenced the shape of the pyramid to longer retain the properties of the stationary type because the baby boom generation reproduced the "echo" generation, which is a counterbalance to extreme demographic aging as the baby boom generation entered the contingent of the old population. A cohort analysis of the elderly population shows that the declining share of the elderly in a certain age group is typical for cohorts born during turbulent times, most often wars, while cohorts born afterwards form more numerous generations. A half-century characteristic of the Serbian population is an absolute increase of people older than 65, but it does not automatically mean an adequate increase in the relative share of the elderly because it depends on the number of other age groups and their cohort trajectories. The methodological tool that can valorize heterogeneity of the old population is important for societies with past oscillations in fertility and migratory movements. In this study, the usefulness of the arithmetic and geometric coefficients of aging was tested on the example of baby boom and baby bust generations and their position in the old population, revealing periods when rejuvenation or aging of the old has dominated.
AB  - Kohortno talasanje je teorijski koncept koji uvažava značaj neregularnih kohortnih tokova kao nusprodukta demografske tranzicije (fluktuirajući fertilitet i produženo očekivano trajanje života), ali i eksternih faktora (posebno ratovi). Primarni "starosni talas" kao posledica visokog rađanja nakon Drugog svetskog rata nije ostao izolovan fenomen, već je generisao sekundarno kohortno talasanje što potvrđuje i zadebljanje baze piramide 1981. godine nastalo zbog apsolutnog povećanja rođenih. Kohortno talasanje je uticalo da oblik piramide duže zadrži svojstva stacionarnog tipa jer je bebi bum generacija reprodukovala "eho" generaciju, koja je predstavlja protivtežu ekstremnom demografskom starenju pošto je bebi bum generacija ušla u kontingnet starijih od 65 godina. Analiza starog stanovništva pokazuje da opadanje udela starih u određenoj starosnoj grupi po pravilu znači da je TA kohorta rođena tokom vremene turbulentnih vremena, najčešće ratova, dok oni rođeni posle ratova formiraju brojnije generacije. Ali treba naglasiti da apsolutni porast starijih od 65 godina, što je poluvekovna karakteristika stanovništva Srbije, ne znači i automatski adekvatan porast relativnog udela starijih jer on zavisi od broja ostalih starosnih grupa, ali i od kohortnih trajektorija. Novo metodološko rešenje dopušta da se valorizuje heterogenost starog stanovništva i čini se vrlo praktičnim u društvima u kojima je dolazilo do velikih oscilacija fertiliteta i izrazitih migratornih kretanja. U ovom istraživaju je testirana korisnost koeficijenta oštrine i dubine starenja na primeru krnjih i kompenzacionih generacija i njihovoj poziciji u starom stanovništvu, otkrivajući periode kada je dominiralo podmlađivanje starog stanovništva, odnosno kada je nastupalo izraženije starenje starih.
PB  - Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet
T2  - Demografija
T1  - Age waves of baby boom and baby bust generations through arithmetic and geometric coefficients of population ageing in Serbia
T1  - Kohortno "talasanje" kompenzacionih i krnjih generacija kroz pokazatelje oštrine i dubine starenja stanovništva u Srbiji
IS  - 17
SP  - 9
EP  - 28
DO  - 10.5937/demografija2017009S
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1037
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena and Devedžić, Mirjana",
year = "2020",
abstract = "Age waves is theoretical concept that take into account the importance of disordered cohort flows, mainly as by-product of demographic transition (fluctuating fertility and improved survival), but also external factors (especially wars). The primary age wave as a consequence of high births after the Second World War in Serbia did not remain an isolated phenomenon, but created a secondary cohort wave although the fertility indicators were declining, which is visible as the thickening of the pyramid base in 1981 due to the absolute increase in births. Cohort "tide" has influenced the shape of the pyramid to longer retain the properties of the stationary type because the baby boom generation reproduced the "echo" generation, which is a counterbalance to extreme demographic aging as the baby boom generation entered the contingent of the old population. A cohort analysis of the elderly population shows that the declining share of the elderly in a certain age group is typical for cohorts born during turbulent times, most often wars, while cohorts born afterwards form more numerous generations. A half-century characteristic of the Serbian population is an absolute increase of people older than 65, but it does not automatically mean an adequate increase in the relative share of the elderly because it depends on the number of other age groups and their cohort trajectories. The methodological tool that can valorize heterogeneity of the old population is important for societies with past oscillations in fertility and migratory movements. In this study, the usefulness of the arithmetic and geometric coefficients of aging was tested on the example of baby boom and baby bust generations and their position in the old population, revealing periods when rejuvenation or aging of the old has dominated., Kohortno talasanje je teorijski koncept koji uvažava značaj neregularnih kohortnih tokova kao nusprodukta demografske tranzicije (fluktuirajući fertilitet i produženo očekivano trajanje života), ali i eksternih faktora (posebno ratovi). Primarni "starosni talas" kao posledica visokog rađanja nakon Drugog svetskog rata nije ostao izolovan fenomen, već je generisao sekundarno kohortno talasanje što potvrđuje i zadebljanje baze piramide 1981. godine nastalo zbog apsolutnog povećanja rođenih. Kohortno talasanje je uticalo da oblik piramide duže zadrži svojstva stacionarnog tipa jer je bebi bum generacija reprodukovala "eho" generaciju, koja je predstavlja protivtežu ekstremnom demografskom starenju pošto je bebi bum generacija ušla u kontingnet starijih od 65 godina. Analiza starog stanovništva pokazuje da opadanje udela starih u određenoj starosnoj grupi po pravilu znači da je TA kohorta rođena tokom vremene turbulentnih vremena, najčešće ratova, dok oni rođeni posle ratova formiraju brojnije generacije. Ali treba naglasiti da apsolutni porast starijih od 65 godina, što je poluvekovna karakteristika stanovništva Srbije, ne znači i automatski adekvatan porast relativnog udela starijih jer on zavisi od broja ostalih starosnih grupa, ali i od kohortnih trajektorija. Novo metodološko rešenje dopušta da se valorizuje heterogenost starog stanovništva i čini se vrlo praktičnim u društvima u kojima je dolazilo do velikih oscilacija fertiliteta i izrazitih migratornih kretanja. U ovom istraživaju je testirana korisnost koeficijenta oštrine i dubine starenja na primeru krnjih i kompenzacionih generacija i njihovoj poziciji u starom stanovništvu, otkrivajući periode kada je dominiralo podmlađivanje starog stanovništva, odnosno kada je nastupalo izraženije starenje starih.",
publisher = "Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet",
journal = "Demografija",
title = "Age waves of baby boom and baby bust generations through arithmetic and geometric coefficients of population ageing in Serbia, Kohortno "talasanje" kompenzacionih i krnjih generacija kroz pokazatelje oštrine i dubine starenja stanovništva u Srbiji",
number = "17",
pages = "9-28",
doi = "10.5937/demografija2017009S",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1037"
}
Stojilković Gnjatović, J.,& Devedžić, M.. (2020). Age waves of baby boom and baby bust generations through arithmetic and geometric coefficients of population ageing in Serbia. in Demografija
Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet.(17), 9-28.
https://doi.org/10.5937/demografija2017009S
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1037
Stojilković Gnjatović J, Devedžić M. Age waves of baby boom and baby bust generations through arithmetic and geometric coefficients of population ageing in Serbia. in Demografija. 2020;(17):9-28.
doi:10.5937/demografija2017009S
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1037 .
Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena, Devedžić, Mirjana, "Age waves of baby boom and baby bust generations through arithmetic and geometric coefficients of population ageing in Serbia" in Demografija, no. 17 (2020):9-28,
https://doi.org/10.5937/demografija2017009S .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1037 .
3

Age-and cause-specific components of recent life expectancy improvements in Croatia, Serbia and Slovenia

Lotric-Dolinar, Alesa; Cipin, Ivan; Medimurec, Petra; Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena; Sambt, Joze

(Inst of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar, Zagreb, 2020)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Lotric-Dolinar, Alesa
AU  - Cipin, Ivan
AU  - Medimurec, Petra
AU  - Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena
AU  - Sambt, Joze
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1059
AB  - All ex-Yugoslav countries experienced improvements in life expectancy during the last few decades. This study describes and compares recent life expectancy trends in Croatia, Serbia and Slovenia. What age groups and what causes of death account for the largest mortality declines? Have the three countries joined the cardiovascular revolution? Do patterns differ between countries? And, is there room for further improvements? We use life tables and decomposition methods to address these questions. Our key findings are: 1) lower mortality from circulatory diseases at older ages contributed most to life expectancy growth 2001-2017 for both sexes in all three countries; 2) despite this common pattern, life expectancy in Slovenia grew fastest and the gap between countries increased; 3) under the Slovenian age-specific cardiovascular mortality schedule, Croatia added 1.79 years to both female and male life expectancies, while Serbia added 3.97 and 3.26 to female and male life expectancies.
PB  - Inst of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar, Zagreb
T2  - Društvena istražvanja
T1  - Age-and cause-specific components of recent life expectancy improvements in Croatia, Serbia and Slovenia
VL  - 29
IS  - 2
SP  - 175
EP  - 193
DO  - 10.5559/di.29.2.01
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1059
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Lotric-Dolinar, Alesa and Cipin, Ivan and Medimurec, Petra and Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena and Sambt, Joze",
year = "2020",
abstract = "All ex-Yugoslav countries experienced improvements in life expectancy during the last few decades. This study describes and compares recent life expectancy trends in Croatia, Serbia and Slovenia. What age groups and what causes of death account for the largest mortality declines? Have the three countries joined the cardiovascular revolution? Do patterns differ between countries? And, is there room for further improvements? We use life tables and decomposition methods to address these questions. Our key findings are: 1) lower mortality from circulatory diseases at older ages contributed most to life expectancy growth 2001-2017 for both sexes in all three countries; 2) despite this common pattern, life expectancy in Slovenia grew fastest and the gap between countries increased; 3) under the Slovenian age-specific cardiovascular mortality schedule, Croatia added 1.79 years to both female and male life expectancies, while Serbia added 3.97 and 3.26 to female and male life expectancies.",
publisher = "Inst of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar, Zagreb",
journal = "Društvena istražvanja",
title = "Age-and cause-specific components of recent life expectancy improvements in Croatia, Serbia and Slovenia",
volume = "29",
number = "2",
pages = "175-193",
doi = "10.5559/di.29.2.01",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1059"
}
Lotric-Dolinar, A., Cipin, I., Medimurec, P., Stojilković Gnjatović, J.,& Sambt, J.. (2020). Age-and cause-specific components of recent life expectancy improvements in Croatia, Serbia and Slovenia. in Društvena istražvanja
Inst of Social Sciences Ivo Pilar, Zagreb., 29(2), 175-193.
https://doi.org/10.5559/di.29.2.01
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1059
Lotric-Dolinar A, Cipin I, Medimurec P, Stojilković Gnjatović J, Sambt J. Age-and cause-specific components of recent life expectancy improvements in Croatia, Serbia and Slovenia. in Društvena istražvanja. 2020;29(2):175-193.
doi:10.5559/di.29.2.01
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1059 .
Lotric-Dolinar, Alesa, Cipin, Ivan, Medimurec, Petra, Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena, Sambt, Joze, "Age-and cause-specific components of recent life expectancy improvements in Croatia, Serbia and Slovenia" in Društvena istražvanja, 29, no. 2 (2020):175-193,
https://doi.org/10.5559/di.29.2.01 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1059 .
1

Ageing in Serbia: Perceptions and experiences of nursing home residents

Lukić, Vesna; Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena

(Beograd : Sociološko društvo Srbije, 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Lukić, Vesna
AU  - Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/968
AB  - Population ageing in Serbia has pervading effect on many societal spheres. Paradigm of active ageing highlights the importance for older to lead healthy and productive life. The aim of this paper is to explore active ageing practices of institutionalised older citizens considering their sociodemographic characteristics and migration background. Semi-structured interview, as a qualitative research method was used to grasp perceptions and experiences of 27 older residents in nursing homes regarding adjustment in later life and daily activities. Additional valuable insight on topic was gained from institutional social workers. According to the results, the routine of daily living of the elders varies depending on individual abilities, preferences, health, marital status and migration history. The findings suggest that institutional setting does not have to represent barrier to active ageing, with implications for further research and practice.
AB  - Starenje stanovništva u Srbiji je proces sa izraženim uticajima na različite društvene sfere. Paradigma aktivnog starenja naglašava koliko je značajno da stariji stanovnici vode zdrav i produktivan život. Cilj rada je da se istraži praksa aktivnog starenja institucionalizovanih starijih lica, uzimajući u obzir njihove sociodemografske karakteristike i migracionu istoriju. Kao kvalitativna istraživačka metoda korišćen je polustrukturirani intervju, kako bi se otkrila iskustva i stavovi 27 starijih ispitanika smeštenih u staračkim domovima po pitanju njihovih dnevnih aktivnosti i prilagođavanja na proces starenja. Vredne uvide u temu dala su i zapažanja socijalnih radnika zaposlenih u ovim institucijama. Prema rezultatima istraživanja, dnevna rutina starijih zavisi od njihovih ličnih sposobnosti, zdravstvenog i bračnog statusa kao i migracione istorije. Nalazi ukazuju da institucionalni okvir ne mora da predstavlja kočnicu za aktivno starenje, što može biti od značaja za moguće pravce daljih istraživanja ali i odgovarajuće politike i mere.
PB  - Beograd : Sociološko društvo Srbije
T2  - Sociološki pregled
T1  - Ageing in Serbia: Perceptions and experiences of nursing home residents
T1  - Starenje u Srbiji - percepcije i iskustva lica u domovima za stare
VL  - 53
IS  - 3
SP  - 1271
EP  - 1292
DO  - 10.5937/socpreg53-21572
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_968
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Lukić, Vesna and Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Population ageing in Serbia has pervading effect on many societal spheres. Paradigm of active ageing highlights the importance for older to lead healthy and productive life. The aim of this paper is to explore active ageing practices of institutionalised older citizens considering their sociodemographic characteristics and migration background. Semi-structured interview, as a qualitative research method was used to grasp perceptions and experiences of 27 older residents in nursing homes regarding adjustment in later life and daily activities. Additional valuable insight on topic was gained from institutional social workers. According to the results, the routine of daily living of the elders varies depending on individual abilities, preferences, health, marital status and migration history. The findings suggest that institutional setting does not have to represent barrier to active ageing, with implications for further research and practice., Starenje stanovništva u Srbiji je proces sa izraženim uticajima na različite društvene sfere. Paradigma aktivnog starenja naglašava koliko je značajno da stariji stanovnici vode zdrav i produktivan život. Cilj rada je da se istraži praksa aktivnog starenja institucionalizovanih starijih lica, uzimajući u obzir njihove sociodemografske karakteristike i migracionu istoriju. Kao kvalitativna istraživačka metoda korišćen je polustrukturirani intervju, kako bi se otkrila iskustva i stavovi 27 starijih ispitanika smeštenih u staračkim domovima po pitanju njihovih dnevnih aktivnosti i prilagođavanja na proces starenja. Vredne uvide u temu dala su i zapažanja socijalnih radnika zaposlenih u ovim institucijama. Prema rezultatima istraživanja, dnevna rutina starijih zavisi od njihovih ličnih sposobnosti, zdravstvenog i bračnog statusa kao i migracione istorije. Nalazi ukazuju da institucionalni okvir ne mora da predstavlja kočnicu za aktivno starenje, što može biti od značaja za moguće pravce daljih istraživanja ali i odgovarajuće politike i mere.",
publisher = "Beograd : Sociološko društvo Srbije",
journal = "Sociološki pregled",
title = "Ageing in Serbia: Perceptions and experiences of nursing home residents, Starenje u Srbiji - percepcije i iskustva lica u domovima za stare",
volume = "53",
number = "3",
pages = "1271-1292",
doi = "10.5937/socpreg53-21572",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_968"
}
Lukić, V.,& Stojilković Gnjatović, J.. (2019). Ageing in Serbia: Perceptions and experiences of nursing home residents. in Sociološki pregled
Beograd : Sociološko društvo Srbije., 53(3), 1271-1292.
https://doi.org/10.5937/socpreg53-21572
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_968
Lukić V, Stojilković Gnjatović J. Ageing in Serbia: Perceptions and experiences of nursing home residents. in Sociološki pregled. 2019;53(3):1271-1292.
doi:10.5937/socpreg53-21572
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_968 .
Lukić, Vesna, Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena, "Ageing in Serbia: Perceptions and experiences of nursing home residents" in Sociološki pregled, 53, no. 3 (2019):1271-1292,
https://doi.org/10.5937/socpreg53-21572 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_968 .
1

Teorijski i konceptualni okvir izučavanja starenja stanovništva

Stojilković-Gnjatović, Jelena

(Beograd : Institut društvenih nauka - Centar za demografska istraživanja, 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojilković-Gnjatović, Jelena
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1020
AB  - Dok je starenje stanovništva logična posledica demografskih tranzicija, jer je u srži ovog fenomena nizak fertilitet i produženo očekivano trajanje života, intrigantna je njegova paradoksalnost kada se posmatra u širem društvenom kontekstu. Sa jedne strane je to civilizacijski trijumf u kontrolisanju reproduktivnog ponašanja i dostizanju dugovečnosti, dok propratne posledice ovog fenomena na socioekonomske sisteme imaju difuzno i percipirano negativno dejstvo. Tako je teorijsko uobličavanje pristupa u izučavanju demografskog starenja izazovno i traži napuštanje rigidnih teorijskih postavki i uključivanje celog korpusa modela, koncepata i pristupa. Revidiranje teorije demografske tranzicije i integrisanje efekta momentuma i tranzicije starosti u njene okvire otkriva buduća kretanja i u fertilitetu, mortalitetu i starosnoj strukturi, što klasična teorija ne uspeva. Nivo fertiliteta je dugo bio glavni faktor starenja stanovništva, da bi tek skoro mortalitet počeo da dobija značajniju ulogu u ovom procesu. Pitanja kako će buduće kretanje očekivanog trajanja života izgledati dato je preko tri teorijska pravca: kompresije morbiditeta, dinamičke ravnoteže i ekspanzije morbiditeta. Uvažavanje neregularnih kohortnih tokova koji dovode do „starosne ondulacije” bitno je za sadašnji i budući balans populacije zbog potencijalnih institucionalnih odgovora. Značaj kohortnih tokova za starenje stanovništva, posmatran kroz koncept demografskog metabolizma, otkriva čvorove na kojima postoji veća demografska „gustina” što, osim teoretskog, ima praktični značaj u životnim ciklusima određene populacije. Osavremenjivanje izučavanja starenja stanovništva je poželjno i preko prospektivnog pristupa jer daje okvire starenja u kojima je ugrađena komponenta promene u očekivanom trajanju života.
PB  - Beograd : Institut društvenih nauka - Centar za demografska istraživanja
T2  - Stanovništvo
T1  - Teorijski i konceptualni okvir izučavanja starenja stanovništva
T1  - Theoretical and conceptual framework for population ageing research
VL  - 57
IS  - 2
SP  - 13
EP  - 33
DO  - 10.2298/STNV1902013S
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1020
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojilković-Gnjatović, Jelena",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Dok je starenje stanovništva logična posledica demografskih tranzicija, jer je u srži ovog fenomena nizak fertilitet i produženo očekivano trajanje života, intrigantna je njegova paradoksalnost kada se posmatra u širem društvenom kontekstu. Sa jedne strane je to civilizacijski trijumf u kontrolisanju reproduktivnog ponašanja i dostizanju dugovečnosti, dok propratne posledice ovog fenomena na socioekonomske sisteme imaju difuzno i percipirano negativno dejstvo. Tako je teorijsko uobličavanje pristupa u izučavanju demografskog starenja izazovno i traži napuštanje rigidnih teorijskih postavki i uključivanje celog korpusa modela, koncepata i pristupa. Revidiranje teorije demografske tranzicije i integrisanje efekta momentuma i tranzicije starosti u njene okvire otkriva buduća kretanja i u fertilitetu, mortalitetu i starosnoj strukturi, što klasična teorija ne uspeva. Nivo fertiliteta je dugo bio glavni faktor starenja stanovništva, da bi tek skoro mortalitet počeo da dobija značajniju ulogu u ovom procesu. Pitanja kako će buduće kretanje očekivanog trajanja života izgledati dato je preko tri teorijska pravca: kompresije morbiditeta, dinamičke ravnoteže i ekspanzije morbiditeta. Uvažavanje neregularnih kohortnih tokova koji dovode do „starosne ondulacije” bitno je za sadašnji i budući balans populacije zbog potencijalnih institucionalnih odgovora. Značaj kohortnih tokova za starenje stanovništva, posmatran kroz koncept demografskog metabolizma, otkriva čvorove na kojima postoji veća demografska „gustina” što, osim teoretskog, ima praktični značaj u životnim ciklusima određene populacije. Osavremenjivanje izučavanja starenja stanovništva je poželjno i preko prospektivnog pristupa jer daje okvire starenja u kojima je ugrađena komponenta promene u očekivanom trajanju života.",
publisher = "Beograd : Institut društvenih nauka - Centar za demografska istraživanja",
journal = "Stanovništvo",
title = "Teorijski i konceptualni okvir izučavanja starenja stanovništva, Theoretical and conceptual framework for population ageing research",
volume = "57",
number = "2",
pages = "13-33",
doi = "10.2298/STNV1902013S",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1020"
}
Stojilković-Gnjatović, J.. (2019). Teorijski i konceptualni okvir izučavanja starenja stanovništva. in Stanovništvo
Beograd : Institut društvenih nauka - Centar za demografska istraživanja., 57(2), 13-33.
https://doi.org/10.2298/STNV1902013S
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1020
Stojilković-Gnjatović J. Teorijski i konceptualni okvir izučavanja starenja stanovništva. in Stanovništvo. 2019;57(2):13-33.
doi:10.2298/STNV1902013S
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1020 .
Stojilković-Gnjatović, Jelena, "Teorijski i konceptualni okvir izučavanja starenja stanovništva" in Stanovništvo, 57, no. 2 (2019):13-33,
https://doi.org/10.2298/STNV1902013S .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1020 .
2

The Bilateral Cooperation between the Department of Demography, University of Belgrade-Faculty of Geography and the Faculty of Economics and Business-University of Zagreb, 2016-2017.

Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena

(Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/840
PB  - Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet
T2  - Demografija
T1  - The Bilateral Cooperation between the Department of Demography, University of Belgrade-Faculty of Geography and the Faculty of Economics and Business-University of Zagreb, 2016-2017.
IS  - 14
SP  - 119
EP  - 121
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_840
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena",
year = "2017",
publisher = "Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet",
journal = "Demografija",
title = "The Bilateral Cooperation between the Department of Demography, University of Belgrade-Faculty of Geography and the Faculty of Economics and Business-University of Zagreb, 2016-2017.",
number = "14",
pages = "119-121",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_840"
}
Stojilković Gnjatović, J.. (2017). The Bilateral Cooperation between the Department of Demography, University of Belgrade-Faculty of Geography and the Faculty of Economics and Business-University of Zagreb, 2016-2017.. in Demografija
Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet.(14), 119-121.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_840
Stojilković Gnjatović J. The Bilateral Cooperation between the Department of Demography, University of Belgrade-Faculty of Geography and the Faculty of Economics and Business-University of Zagreb, 2016-2017.. in Demografija. 2017;(14):119-121.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_840 .
Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena, "The Bilateral Cooperation between the Department of Demography, University of Belgrade-Faculty of Geography and the Faculty of Economics and Business-University of Zagreb, 2016-2017." in Demografija, no. 14 (2017):119-121,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_840 .

Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study

Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena; Devedžić, Mirjana

(Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der, 2016)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena
AU  - Devedžić, Mirjana
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/756
AB  - The aim of this research is to show trajectories of population ageing in Serbia according to chronological and prospective criteria. The data used are from the complete period life tables published around the census years from 1953 to 2011. The emphasis is on the most recent period, since these data allow us to incorporate a regional dimension into the study, and to carry out the analysis at the municipal level. Throughout this study period, the prospective age threshold in Serbia was below the retrospective threshold; as a consequence, the proportion of people with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was consistently higher than the share of people aged 65 or older. Only the most recently available data for 2010/2012 indicate that the share of the population with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was the same as the share of the population aged 65+, albeit with uneven contributions by the male and female populations. Indeed, the use of the prospective approach highlights the unfavourable mortality conditions in Serbia, which are not made clear when only the chronological approach to population ageing is applied.
PB  - Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der
T2  - Vienna Yearbook of Population Research
T1  - Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study
VL  - 14
SP  - 89
EP  - 106
DO  - 10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_756
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena and Devedžić, Mirjana",
year = "2016",
abstract = "The aim of this research is to show trajectories of population ageing in Serbia according to chronological and prospective criteria. The data used are from the complete period life tables published around the census years from 1953 to 2011. The emphasis is on the most recent period, since these data allow us to incorporate a regional dimension into the study, and to carry out the analysis at the municipal level. Throughout this study period, the prospective age threshold in Serbia was below the retrospective threshold; as a consequence, the proportion of people with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was consistently higher than the share of people aged 65 or older. Only the most recently available data for 2010/2012 indicate that the share of the population with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was the same as the share of the population aged 65+, albeit with uneven contributions by the male and female populations. Indeed, the use of the prospective approach highlights the unfavourable mortality conditions in Serbia, which are not made clear when only the chronological approach to population ageing is applied.",
publisher = "Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der",
journal = "Vienna Yearbook of Population Research",
title = "Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study",
volume = "14",
pages = "89-106",
doi = "10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_756"
}
Stojilković Gnjatović, J.,& Devedžić, M.. (2016). Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study. in Vienna Yearbook of Population Research
Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der., 14, 89-106.
https://doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_756
Stojilković Gnjatović J, Devedžić M. Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study. in Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. 2016;14:89-106.
doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_756 .
Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena, Devedžić, Mirjana, "Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study" in Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, 14 (2016):89-106,
https://doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_756 .
1

Демографски профил старог становништва Србије

Девеџић, Мирјана; Стојилковић Гњатовић, Јелена

(Београд: Републички завод за статистику, 2015)

TY  - BOOK
AU  - Девеџић, Мирјана
AU  - Стојилковић Гњатовић, Јелена
PY  - 2015
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1149
PB  - Београд: Републички завод за статистику
T2  - Попис становништва, домаћинстава и станова 2011. у Републици Србији
T1  - Демографски профил старог становништва Србије
EP  - 172
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1149
ER  - 
@book{
author = "Девеџић, Мирјана and Стојилковић Гњатовић, Јелена",
year = "2015",
publisher = "Београд: Републички завод за статистику",
journal = "Попис становништва, домаћинстава и станова 2011. у Републици Србији",
title = "Демографски профил старог становништва Србије",
pages = "172",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1149"
}
Девеџић, М.,& Стојилковић Гњатовић, Ј.. (2015). Демографски профил старог становништва Србије. in Попис становништва, домаћинстава и станова 2011. у Републици Србији
Београд: Републички завод за статистику..
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1149
Девеџић М, Стојилковић Гњатовић Ј. Демографски профил старог становништва Србије. in Попис становништва, домаћинстава и станова 2011. у Републици Србији. 2015;:null-172.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1149 .
Девеџић, Мирјана, Стојилковић Гњатовић, Јелена, "Демографски профил старог становништва Србије" in Попис становништва, домаћинстава и станова 2011. у Републици Србији (2015),
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1149 .

New concept of age(ing): Prospective age

Devedžić, Mirjana; Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena

(Beograd : Institut društvenih nauka - Centar za demografska istraživanja, 2012)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Devedžić, Mirjana
AU  - Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena
PY  - 2012
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/521
AB  - While the last century was the century of world population growth, according to demographers, the XXI century will be century of population aging. Statistics undoubtedly show that number of elderly will continue it’s growth in the future. If old age is seen as period of life with reduced physical and mental capabilities and increased disability, and demographic aging as increase of dependent population, trends are quite disturbing, at least in certain societal segments. In developed countries, this population category is no longer treated as passive or as a 'burden of society' and efforts are made for better social inclusion of older people. In contrast to growing interest in this phenomenon, the concepts that define the aging of the population remained stagnant. The aim of this paper is to introduce into domestic literature the term 'prospective age' as a dynamic category which is more affected with socio-historical conditions, not only with biological as traditional definition of aging suggested. Papers written by Sanderson and Scherbov offer new methodological options for study of population aging, because it takes into account the biometric rather than chronological approach. Calculation of prospective years is a simple operation that requires pair of the same number of remained life expectancy from life tables for two different periods (the year of concern is index, and the one we are comparing with is standard year), so that phrase '40s is the new 30s' or '70s the new 60s' gets scientific foundation. Average remaining years of life represent a realistic indicator suggesting increased capacity, activity and vitality of individuals, which is due to accepted demographic parameters still considered old. 'Prospective threshold' is defined as the age when life expectancy falls below 15 years (it is subjective choice made by Sanderson and Scherbov, which is also used in this paper) and during the elaboration of these ideas three demographic indicators was constructed, redefined more precisely, based on prospective age: (prospective) share of the elderly, (prospective) median age and (prospective) old age dependency ratio. With respect to the remaining years of life in the calculation of demographic aging, world’s population will be in rejuvenation process by 2035, longer and more intense than defined by proportion of the elderly. Prospective approach found that longer life expectancy in developing countries is not only a result of the decrease in infant and child mortality, but also the decrease of the old population mortality. Data used in this paper are from period life tables and censuses, for period 1953-2010. Prospective age threshold in Serbia was always higher than retrospective age (60,17 in 1953 .and 63,15 in 2010. for total population) , or the proportion of people with a life expectancy less than 15 years has consistently been higher than the share of people older than 65 years (17.86% vs. 16.92% in 2010). According to prospective criteria, differences between men and women almost do not existent, so that it calls into question the widely accepted feminization of the elderly. The same conclusion stands when we discuss (prospective) median age, population is older using prospective (47,15 years) than traditional (41.41) indicator in 2010, also, compared with rest of the region or with more developed countries, prospective median age is higher in Serbia. Also, prospective old-age dependency ratio is higher than conventional one during analyzed period. Prospective concept and amendments are necessary in public policy, especially pension and health care system, because in combination with traditional approaches can create more justified distribution for older and younger generations.
AB  - Dok je prošli vek bio vek porasta svetskog stanovništva, prema tvrdnjama demografa, XXI ce biti vek starenja stanovništva. Nasuprot rastućem interesovanju za ovaj fenomen, koncepti kojima se definiše starenje stanovništva su ostali stagnantni. Cilj ovog rada je da se u našu literaturu uvede pojam 'prospektivna starost' kao dinamička kategorija na koju utiču sve više društveno-istorijski uslovi, a ne samo biološki kao u tradicionalnoj definiciji starenja. Radovima Sandersona i Scherbova otvaraju se nove metodološke mogućnosti kada je izučavanje populacijskog starenja u pitanju, jer se koristi biometrijski, a ne hronološki pristup. Tako se 'prospektivni prag' definiše kao starost kada očekivano trajanje života pada ispod 15 godina, pa su tokom razrade ove ideje pomenuti autori konstruisali, tačnije redefinisali, tri pokazatelja demografske starosti zasnovana na prospektivnim godinama: (prospektivni) udeo starih lica, (prospektivnu) medijalnu starost i (prospektivni) koeficijent starosne zavisnosti starih. Uvažavanje prospektivne starosti u izračunavanju demografskog starenja ukazuje na proces podmlađivanja svetskog stanovništva sve do 2035. godine, duži i intenzivniji od onog koji definiše proporcija starih. U Srbiji je starost iskazana preko prospektivnog praga uvek bila viša nego preko retrospektivnih godina, odnosno udeo stanovnika sa očekivanim trajanjem života kraćim od 15 godina je konstantno bio veći od udela stanovnika starijih od 65 godina. Prema prospektivnom kriterijumu, razlike između muškaraca i žena skoro da ne postoje, tako da se dovodi u pitanje i široko prihvaćena feminizacija starih. Prospektivne godine su neophodna dopuna javnim politikama, posebno penzionom i zdravstvenom sistemu, jer u kombinaciji sa tradicionalnim pristupima mogu da stvore pravedniju raspodelu za sve starije i mlade građane.
PB  - Beograd : Institut društvenih nauka - Centar za demografska istraživanja
T2  - Stanovništvo
T1  - New concept of age(ing): Prospective age
T1  - Novo poimanje starosti - prospektivna starost
VL  - 50
IS  - 1
SP  - 45
EP  - 68
DO  - 10.2298/STNV1201045D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_521
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Devedžić, Mirjana and Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena",
year = "2012",
abstract = "While the last century was the century of world population growth, according to demographers, the XXI century will be century of population aging. Statistics undoubtedly show that number of elderly will continue it’s growth in the future. If old age is seen as period of life with reduced physical and mental capabilities and increased disability, and demographic aging as increase of dependent population, trends are quite disturbing, at least in certain societal segments. In developed countries, this population category is no longer treated as passive or as a 'burden of society' and efforts are made for better social inclusion of older people. In contrast to growing interest in this phenomenon, the concepts that define the aging of the population remained stagnant. The aim of this paper is to introduce into domestic literature the term 'prospective age' as a dynamic category which is more affected with socio-historical conditions, not only with biological as traditional definition of aging suggested. Papers written by Sanderson and Scherbov offer new methodological options for study of population aging, because it takes into account the biometric rather than chronological approach. Calculation of prospective years is a simple operation that requires pair of the same number of remained life expectancy from life tables for two different periods (the year of concern is index, and the one we are comparing with is standard year), so that phrase '40s is the new 30s' or '70s the new 60s' gets scientific foundation. Average remaining years of life represent a realistic indicator suggesting increased capacity, activity and vitality of individuals, which is due to accepted demographic parameters still considered old. 'Prospective threshold' is defined as the age when life expectancy falls below 15 years (it is subjective choice made by Sanderson and Scherbov, which is also used in this paper) and during the elaboration of these ideas three demographic indicators was constructed, redefined more precisely, based on prospective age: (prospective) share of the elderly, (prospective) median age and (prospective) old age dependency ratio. With respect to the remaining years of life in the calculation of demographic aging, world’s population will be in rejuvenation process by 2035, longer and more intense than defined by proportion of the elderly. Prospective approach found that longer life expectancy in developing countries is not only a result of the decrease in infant and child mortality, but also the decrease of the old population mortality. Data used in this paper are from period life tables and censuses, for period 1953-2010. Prospective age threshold in Serbia was always higher than retrospective age (60,17 in 1953 .and 63,15 in 2010. for total population) , or the proportion of people with a life expectancy less than 15 years has consistently been higher than the share of people older than 65 years (17.86% vs. 16.92% in 2010). According to prospective criteria, differences between men and women almost do not existent, so that it calls into question the widely accepted feminization of the elderly. The same conclusion stands when we discuss (prospective) median age, population is older using prospective (47,15 years) than traditional (41.41) indicator in 2010, also, compared with rest of the region or with more developed countries, prospective median age is higher in Serbia. Also, prospective old-age dependency ratio is higher than conventional one during analyzed period. Prospective concept and amendments are necessary in public policy, especially pension and health care system, because in combination with traditional approaches can create more justified distribution for older and younger generations., Dok je prošli vek bio vek porasta svetskog stanovništva, prema tvrdnjama demografa, XXI ce biti vek starenja stanovništva. Nasuprot rastućem interesovanju za ovaj fenomen, koncepti kojima se definiše starenje stanovništva su ostali stagnantni. Cilj ovog rada je da se u našu literaturu uvede pojam 'prospektivna starost' kao dinamička kategorija na koju utiču sve više društveno-istorijski uslovi, a ne samo biološki kao u tradicionalnoj definiciji starenja. Radovima Sandersona i Scherbova otvaraju se nove metodološke mogućnosti kada je izučavanje populacijskog starenja u pitanju, jer se koristi biometrijski, a ne hronološki pristup. Tako se 'prospektivni prag' definiše kao starost kada očekivano trajanje života pada ispod 15 godina, pa su tokom razrade ove ideje pomenuti autori konstruisali, tačnije redefinisali, tri pokazatelja demografske starosti zasnovana na prospektivnim godinama: (prospektivni) udeo starih lica, (prospektivnu) medijalnu starost i (prospektivni) koeficijent starosne zavisnosti starih. Uvažavanje prospektivne starosti u izračunavanju demografskog starenja ukazuje na proces podmlađivanja svetskog stanovništva sve do 2035. godine, duži i intenzivniji od onog koji definiše proporcija starih. U Srbiji je starost iskazana preko prospektivnog praga uvek bila viša nego preko retrospektivnih godina, odnosno udeo stanovnika sa očekivanim trajanjem života kraćim od 15 godina je konstantno bio veći od udela stanovnika starijih od 65 godina. Prema prospektivnom kriterijumu, razlike između muškaraca i žena skoro da ne postoje, tako da se dovodi u pitanje i široko prihvaćena feminizacija starih. Prospektivne godine su neophodna dopuna javnim politikama, posebno penzionom i zdravstvenom sistemu, jer u kombinaciji sa tradicionalnim pristupima mogu da stvore pravedniju raspodelu za sve starije i mlade građane.",
publisher = "Beograd : Institut društvenih nauka - Centar za demografska istraživanja",
journal = "Stanovništvo",
title = "New concept of age(ing): Prospective age, Novo poimanje starosti - prospektivna starost",
volume = "50",
number = "1",
pages = "45-68",
doi = "10.2298/STNV1201045D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_521"
}
Devedžić, M.,& Stojilković Gnjatović, J.. (2012). New concept of age(ing): Prospective age. in Stanovništvo
Beograd : Institut društvenih nauka - Centar za demografska istraživanja., 50(1), 45-68.
https://doi.org/10.2298/STNV1201045D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_521
Devedžić M, Stojilković Gnjatović J. New concept of age(ing): Prospective age. in Stanovništvo. 2012;50(1):45-68.
doi:10.2298/STNV1201045D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_521 .
Devedžić, Mirjana, Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena, "New concept of age(ing): Prospective age" in Stanovništvo, 50, no. 1 (2012):45-68,
https://doi.org/10.2298/STNV1201045D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_521 .
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