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Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study

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2016
754.pdf (454.2Kb)
Authors
Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena
Devedžić, Mirjana
Article (Published version)
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Abstract
The aim of this research is to show trajectories of population ageing in Serbia according to chronological and prospective criteria. The data used are from the complete period life tables published around the census years from 1953 to 2011. The emphasis is on the most recent period, since these data allow us to incorporate a regional dimension into the study, and to carry out the analysis at the municipal level. Throughout this study period, the prospective age threshold in Serbia was below the retrospective threshold; as a consequence, the proportion of people with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was consistently higher than the share of people aged 65 or older. Only the most recently available data for 2010/2012 indicate that the share of the population with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was the same as the share of the population aged 65+, albeit with uneven contributions by the male and female populations. Indeed, the use of the prospective approach highlights the unf...avourable mortality conditions in Serbia, which are not made clear when only the chronological approach to population ageing is applied.

Source:
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, 2016, 14, 89-106
Publisher:
  • Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der
Funding / projects:
  • Geography of Serbia (RS-47007)

DOI: 10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089

ISSN: 1728-4414

Scopus: 2-s2.0-85035002992
[ Google Scholar ]
URI
https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/756
Collections
  • Radovi istraživača
Institution/Community
Geografski fakultet
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena
AU  - Devedžić, Mirjana
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/756
AB  - The aim of this research is to show trajectories of population ageing in Serbia according to chronological and prospective criteria. The data used are from the complete period life tables published around the census years from 1953 to 2011. The emphasis is on the most recent period, since these data allow us to incorporate a regional dimension into the study, and to carry out the analysis at the municipal level. Throughout this study period, the prospective age threshold in Serbia was below the retrospective threshold; as a consequence, the proportion of people with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was consistently higher than the share of people aged 65 or older. Only the most recently available data for 2010/2012 indicate that the share of the population with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was the same as the share of the population aged 65+, albeit with uneven contributions by the male and female populations. Indeed, the use of the prospective approach highlights the unfavourable mortality conditions in Serbia, which are not made clear when only the chronological approach to population ageing is applied.
PB  - Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der
T2  - Vienna Yearbook of Population Research
T1  - Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study
VL  - 14
SP  - 89
EP  - 106
DO  - 10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089
UR  - conv_1151
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena and Devedžić, Mirjana",
year = "2016",
abstract = "The aim of this research is to show trajectories of population ageing in Serbia according to chronological and prospective criteria. The data used are from the complete period life tables published around the census years from 1953 to 2011. The emphasis is on the most recent period, since these data allow us to incorporate a regional dimension into the study, and to carry out the analysis at the municipal level. Throughout this study period, the prospective age threshold in Serbia was below the retrospective threshold; as a consequence, the proportion of people with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was consistently higher than the share of people aged 65 or older. Only the most recently available data for 2010/2012 indicate that the share of the population with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was the same as the share of the population aged 65+, albeit with uneven contributions by the male and female populations. Indeed, the use of the prospective approach highlights the unfavourable mortality conditions in Serbia, which are not made clear when only the chronological approach to population ageing is applied.",
publisher = "Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der",
journal = "Vienna Yearbook of Population Research",
title = "Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study",
volume = "14",
pages = "89-106",
doi = "10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089",
url = "conv_1151"
}
Stojilković Gnjatović, J.,& Devedžić, M.. (2016). Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study. in Vienna Yearbook of Population Research
Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der., 14, 89-106.
https://doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089
conv_1151
Stojilković Gnjatović J, Devedžić M. Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study. in Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. 2016;14:89-106.
doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089
conv_1151 .
Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena, Devedžić, Mirjana, "Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study" in Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, 14 (2016):89-106,
https://doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089 .,
conv_1151 .

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