Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study
Abstract
The aim of this research is to show trajectories of population ageing in Serbia according to chronological and prospective criteria. The data used are from the complete period life tables published around the census years from 1953 to 2011. The emphasis is on the most recent period, since these data allow us to incorporate a regional dimension into the study, and to carry out the analysis at the municipal level. Throughout this study period, the prospective age threshold in Serbia was below the retrospective threshold; as a consequence, the proportion of people with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was consistently higher than the share of people aged 65 or older. Only the most recently available data for 2010/2012 indicate that the share of the population with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was the same as the share of the population aged 65+, albeit with uneven contributions by the male and female populations. Indeed, the use of the prospective approach highlights the unf...avourable mortality conditions in Serbia, which are not made clear when only the chronological approach to population ageing is applied.
Source:
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, 2016, 14, 89-106Publisher:
- Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der
Funding / projects:
- Geography of Serbia (RS-47007)
DOI: 10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089
ISSN: 1728-4414
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85035002992
Collections
Institution/Community
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena AU - Devedžić, Mirjana PY - 2016 UR - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/756 AB - The aim of this research is to show trajectories of population ageing in Serbia according to chronological and prospective criteria. The data used are from the complete period life tables published around the census years from 1953 to 2011. The emphasis is on the most recent period, since these data allow us to incorporate a regional dimension into the study, and to carry out the analysis at the municipal level. Throughout this study period, the prospective age threshold in Serbia was below the retrospective threshold; as a consequence, the proportion of people with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was consistently higher than the share of people aged 65 or older. Only the most recently available data for 2010/2012 indicate that the share of the population with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was the same as the share of the population aged 65+, albeit with uneven contributions by the male and female populations. Indeed, the use of the prospective approach highlights the unfavourable mortality conditions in Serbia, which are not made clear when only the chronological approach to population ageing is applied. PB - Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der T2 - Vienna Yearbook of Population Research T1 - Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study VL - 14 SP - 89 EP - 106 DO - 10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_756 ER -
@article{ author = "Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena and Devedžić, Mirjana", year = "2016", abstract = "The aim of this research is to show trajectories of population ageing in Serbia according to chronological and prospective criteria. The data used are from the complete period life tables published around the census years from 1953 to 2011. The emphasis is on the most recent period, since these data allow us to incorporate a regional dimension into the study, and to carry out the analysis at the municipal level. Throughout this study period, the prospective age threshold in Serbia was below the retrospective threshold; as a consequence, the proportion of people with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was consistently higher than the share of people aged 65 or older. Only the most recently available data for 2010/2012 indicate that the share of the population with a life expectancy of 15 years or less was the same as the share of the population aged 65+, albeit with uneven contributions by the male and female populations. Indeed, the use of the prospective approach highlights the unfavourable mortality conditions in Serbia, which are not made clear when only the chronological approach to population ageing is applied.", publisher = "Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der", journal = "Vienna Yearbook of Population Research", title = "Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study", volume = "14", pages = "89-106", doi = "10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_756" }
Stojilković Gnjatović, J.,& Devedžić, M.. (2016). Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study. in Vienna Yearbook of Population Research Verlag der Oesterreichischen Akademie der., 14, 89-106. https://doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089 https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_756
Stojilković Gnjatović J, Devedžić M. Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study. in Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. 2016;14:89-106. doi:10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089 https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_756 .
Stojilković Gnjatović, Jelena, Devedžić, Mirjana, "Certain characteristics of population ageing using a prospective approach: Serbia as a case study" in Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, 14 (2016):89-106, https://doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2016s089 ., https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_756 .