Trip generation model: Example of grammar school students in Belgrade

Abstract

Trip generation models aim to predict the amount of transportation movements (or the number of potential trip makers) leaving a territorial unit according to the attributes of that unit. There are two basic approaches used for modeling the generation of trips: linear regression and category analysis. This article explains the issue of trip generation modeling based on the methodology of linear regression analysis, on the example of grammar schools in Belgrade.

Modeli generisanja saobraćaja imaju za cilj prognozu obima saobraćajnog kretanja (ili broja potencijalnih učesnika u saobraćaju) koji polazi iz date teritorijalne jedinice, na osnovu njenih karakteristika a y okviru definisanog vremenskog perioda. Postoje dva osnovna pristupa rešavanju problema modelovanja generisanja saobraćaja: analiza kategorija i linearna regresija. U ovom radu je, na primeru gimnazija u Beogradu, sagledana problematika modelovanja generisanja saobraćaja metodom linearne regresije.