Rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation in the Pannonian basin
2019
Autori
Lukić, TinLukić, Aco
Basarin, Biljana
Micić-Ponjiger, Tanja
Blagojević, Dragana
Mesaros, Minucer
Milanović, Miško
Gavrilov, Milivoj B.
Pavić, Dragoslav
Zorn, Matija
Komac, Blaz
Miljković, Đurđa
Sakulski, Dušan
Babić-Kekez, Snežana
Morar, Cezar
Janićević, Sava
Članak u časopisu (Objavljena verzija)
Metapodaci
Prikaz svih podataka o dokumentuApstrakt
In order to assess the rainfall erosivity in the Pannonian basin, several parameters which describe distribution, concentration and variability of precipitation were used, as well as 9 extreme precipitation indices. The precipitation data is obtained from the European Climate Assessment and Dataset project for the period 1961-2014, for 8 meteorological stations in northern Serbia, 5 in Hungary and 1 in eastern Croatia. The extreme values of precipitation were calculated following the indices developed by the ETCCDI. RclimDex software package was used for indices calculation. Based on statistical analysis and the calculated values, the results have been presented with Geographic Information System (GIS) to point out the most vulnerable parts of the Pannonian basin, with regard to pluvial erosion. This study presents the first result of combined rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation indices for the investigated area. Results of PCI indicate presence of moderate precipitation conce...ntration (mean value 11.6). Trend analysis of FI (mean value 22.7) and MFI (mean value 70.2) implies a shift from being largely in the low erosivity class, to being completely in the moderate erosivity class in the future, thus indicating an increase in rainfall erosivity for most of the investigated area (except in the northwestern parts). Furthermore, the observed precipitation extremes suggest that both the amount and the intensity of precipitation are increasing. The knowledge about the areas affected by strong soil erosion could lead to introducing effective measures in order to reduce it. Long term analysis of rainfall erosivity is a significant step concerning flood prevention, hazard mitigation, ecosystem services, land use change and agricultural production.
Ključne reči:
erosion / natural hazard / precipitation / rainfall erosivity / extreme precipitation indices / Pannonian basinIzvor:
Open Geosciences, 2019, 11, 1, 664-681Izdavač:
- Sciendo, Warsaw
Finansiranje / projekti:
- Provincial Secretariat for Science and Technological Development, Vojvodina Province [114-451-2080/2017]
- [HUSRB/1602/11/0057]
- Transformacije geoprostora Srbije - prošlost, savremeni problemi i predlozi rešenja (RS-176020)
- Biosensing tehnologije i globalni sistem za kontinuirana istraživanja i integrisano upravljanje ekosistemima (RS-43002)
DOI: 10.1515/geo-2019-0053
ISSN: 2391-5447
WoS: 000493724000003
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85074887249
Kolekcije
Institucija/grupa
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Lukić, Tin AU - Lukić, Aco AU - Basarin, Biljana AU - Micić-Ponjiger, Tanja AU - Blagojević, Dragana AU - Mesaros, Minucer AU - Milanović, Miško AU - Gavrilov, Milivoj B. AU - Pavić, Dragoslav AU - Zorn, Matija AU - Komac, Blaz AU - Miljković, Đurđa AU - Sakulski, Dušan AU - Babić-Kekez, Snežana AU - Morar, Cezar AU - Janićević, Sava PY - 2019 UR - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/989 AB - In order to assess the rainfall erosivity in the Pannonian basin, several parameters which describe distribution, concentration and variability of precipitation were used, as well as 9 extreme precipitation indices. The precipitation data is obtained from the European Climate Assessment and Dataset project for the period 1961-2014, for 8 meteorological stations in northern Serbia, 5 in Hungary and 1 in eastern Croatia. The extreme values of precipitation were calculated following the indices developed by the ETCCDI. RclimDex software package was used for indices calculation. Based on statistical analysis and the calculated values, the results have been presented with Geographic Information System (GIS) to point out the most vulnerable parts of the Pannonian basin, with regard to pluvial erosion. This study presents the first result of combined rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation indices for the investigated area. Results of PCI indicate presence of moderate precipitation concentration (mean value 11.6). Trend analysis of FI (mean value 22.7) and MFI (mean value 70.2) implies a shift from being largely in the low erosivity class, to being completely in the moderate erosivity class in the future, thus indicating an increase in rainfall erosivity for most of the investigated area (except in the northwestern parts). Furthermore, the observed precipitation extremes suggest that both the amount and the intensity of precipitation are increasing. The knowledge about the areas affected by strong soil erosion could lead to introducing effective measures in order to reduce it. Long term analysis of rainfall erosivity is a significant step concerning flood prevention, hazard mitigation, ecosystem services, land use change and agricultural production. PB - Sciendo, Warsaw T2 - Open Geosciences T1 - Rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation in the Pannonian basin VL - 11 IS - 1 SP - 664 EP - 681 DO - 10.1515/geo-2019-0053 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_989 ER -
@article{ author = "Lukić, Tin and Lukić, Aco and Basarin, Biljana and Micić-Ponjiger, Tanja and Blagojević, Dragana and Mesaros, Minucer and Milanović, Miško and Gavrilov, Milivoj B. and Pavić, Dragoslav and Zorn, Matija and Komac, Blaz and Miljković, Đurđa and Sakulski, Dušan and Babić-Kekez, Snežana and Morar, Cezar and Janićević, Sava", year = "2019", abstract = "In order to assess the rainfall erosivity in the Pannonian basin, several parameters which describe distribution, concentration and variability of precipitation were used, as well as 9 extreme precipitation indices. The precipitation data is obtained from the European Climate Assessment and Dataset project for the period 1961-2014, for 8 meteorological stations in northern Serbia, 5 in Hungary and 1 in eastern Croatia. The extreme values of precipitation were calculated following the indices developed by the ETCCDI. RclimDex software package was used for indices calculation. Based on statistical analysis and the calculated values, the results have been presented with Geographic Information System (GIS) to point out the most vulnerable parts of the Pannonian basin, with regard to pluvial erosion. This study presents the first result of combined rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation indices for the investigated area. Results of PCI indicate presence of moderate precipitation concentration (mean value 11.6). Trend analysis of FI (mean value 22.7) and MFI (mean value 70.2) implies a shift from being largely in the low erosivity class, to being completely in the moderate erosivity class in the future, thus indicating an increase in rainfall erosivity for most of the investigated area (except in the northwestern parts). Furthermore, the observed precipitation extremes suggest that both the amount and the intensity of precipitation are increasing. The knowledge about the areas affected by strong soil erosion could lead to introducing effective measures in order to reduce it. Long term analysis of rainfall erosivity is a significant step concerning flood prevention, hazard mitigation, ecosystem services, land use change and agricultural production.", publisher = "Sciendo, Warsaw", journal = "Open Geosciences", title = "Rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation in the Pannonian basin", volume = "11", number = "1", pages = "664-681", doi = "10.1515/geo-2019-0053", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_989" }
Lukić, T., Lukić, A., Basarin, B., Micić-Ponjiger, T., Blagojević, D., Mesaros, M., Milanović, M., Gavrilov, M. B., Pavić, D., Zorn, M., Komac, B., Miljković, Đ., Sakulski, D., Babić-Kekez, S., Morar, C.,& Janićević, S.. (2019). Rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation in the Pannonian basin. in Open Geosciences Sciendo, Warsaw., 11(1), 664-681. https://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2019-0053 https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_989
Lukić T, Lukić A, Basarin B, Micić-Ponjiger T, Blagojević D, Mesaros M, Milanović M, Gavrilov MB, Pavić D, Zorn M, Komac B, Miljković Đ, Sakulski D, Babić-Kekez S, Morar C, Janićević S. Rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation in the Pannonian basin. in Open Geosciences. 2019;11(1):664-681. doi:10.1515/geo-2019-0053 https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_989 .
Lukić, Tin, Lukić, Aco, Basarin, Biljana, Micić-Ponjiger, Tanja, Blagojević, Dragana, Mesaros, Minucer, Milanović, Miško, Gavrilov, Milivoj B., Pavić, Dragoslav, Zorn, Matija, Komac, Blaz, Miljković, Đurđa, Sakulski, Dušan, Babić-Kekez, Snežana, Morar, Cezar, Janićević, Sava, "Rainfall erosivity and extreme precipitation in the Pannonian basin" in Open Geosciences, 11, no. 1 (2019):664-681, https://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2019-0053 ., https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_989 .