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Contribution of the aging to the decrease in the rate of economic activity: Quantification with the decomposition method

Doprinos starenja opadanju stope aktivnosti - kvantifikacija dekompozitnim metodom

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2018
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Elieorijević, Vera
Vasić, Petar
Article (Published version)
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Abstract
To explain the causes of the recent decrease in economic activity in Serbia and ascertain the extent to which population aging has contributed to this phenomenon, this paper uses the decomposition method to quantify two different kinds of effects: composite and direct. Direct effects or rate effects occur due to changes in the population's behaviour, typically brought on by a changed cultural or institutional context or changes in the state of the labour market. Composite effects represent purely demographic effects, arising due to age re-composition of the population. This paper uses census data and the Prithwis Das Gupta decomposition method - widely accepted as best practice for this type of research. The results have shown that behavioural factors were twice as important as demographic factors in explaining the decrease in the rate of economic activity seen in the most recent inter-censal period.
Kako bi ce objasniliuzroci opadanja ekonomske aktivnosti stanovništva Srbije i pokazalo u kojoj meri starenje uzrokuje smanjenje broja aktivnih, u ovom radu ce upotrebom dekompozitnog metoda kvantifikuje uticaj dve vrste efekata: direktnih i kompozitnih. Direktni ili efekti stopa nastaju usled promena u ponašanju stanovništva, obično zbog izmenjenog kulturnog i institucionalnog konteksta i (nejprilika na tržištu rada, dok su kompozitni efekti čisti demografski efekti koji nastaju kao posledica prekomponovanja stanovništva prema starosti. U radu ce koriste podaci popisne statistike i dekompozitni metod P. Das Gupte koji je odabran kao najprikladniji za ovu vrstu istraživanja. Rezultati su pokazali da su u poslednjem međupopisnom periodu, na opadanje stope aktivnosti radnog kontingenta u Srbiji dvostruko više uticali bihejvioralni nego demografski faktori.
Keywords:
activity rate / decomposition / aging / standardisation / Serbia / ekonomska aktivnost / dekompozicija / starenje / standardizacija / Srbija
Source:
Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke, 2018, 167, 525-535
Publisher:
  • Matica srpska, Novi Sad

DOI: 10.2298/ZMSDN1867525G

ISSN: 0352-5732

[ Google Scholar ]
URI
https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/946
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  • Radovi istraživača
Institution/Community
Geografski fakultet
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Elieorijević, Vera
AU  - Vasić, Petar
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/946
AB  - To explain the causes of the recent decrease in economic activity in Serbia and ascertain the extent to which population aging has contributed to this phenomenon, this paper uses the decomposition method to quantify two different kinds of effects: composite and direct. Direct effects or rate effects occur due to changes in the population's behaviour, typically brought on by a changed cultural or institutional context or changes in the state of the labour market. Composite effects represent purely demographic effects, arising due to age re-composition of the population. This paper uses census data and the Prithwis Das Gupta decomposition method - widely accepted as best practice for this type of research. The results have shown that behavioural factors were twice as important as demographic factors in explaining the decrease in the rate of economic activity seen in the most recent inter-censal period.
AB  - Kako bi ce objasniliuzroci opadanja ekonomske aktivnosti stanovništva Srbije i pokazalo u kojoj meri starenje uzrokuje smanjenje broja aktivnih, u ovom radu ce upotrebom dekompozitnog metoda kvantifikuje uticaj dve vrste efekata: direktnih i kompozitnih. Direktni ili efekti stopa nastaju usled promena u ponašanju stanovništva, obično zbog izmenjenog kulturnog i institucionalnog konteksta i (nejprilika na tržištu rada, dok su kompozitni efekti čisti demografski efekti koji nastaju kao posledica prekomponovanja stanovništva prema starosti. U radu ce koriste podaci popisne statistike i dekompozitni metod P. Das Gupte koji je odabran kao najprikladniji za ovu vrstu istraživanja. Rezultati su pokazali da su u poslednjem međupopisnom periodu, na opadanje stope aktivnosti radnog kontingenta u Srbiji dvostruko više uticali bihejvioralni nego demografski faktori.
PB  - Matica srpska, Novi Sad
T2  - Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke
T1  - Contribution of the aging to the decrease in the rate of economic activity: Quantification with the decomposition method
T1  - Doprinos starenja opadanju stope aktivnosti - kvantifikacija dekompozitnim metodom
IS  - 167
SP  - 525
EP  - 535
DO  - 10.2298/ZMSDN1867525G
UR  - convd_2830
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Elieorijević, Vera and Vasić, Petar",
year = "2018",
abstract = "To explain the causes of the recent decrease in economic activity in Serbia and ascertain the extent to which population aging has contributed to this phenomenon, this paper uses the decomposition method to quantify two different kinds of effects: composite and direct. Direct effects or rate effects occur due to changes in the population's behaviour, typically brought on by a changed cultural or institutional context or changes in the state of the labour market. Composite effects represent purely demographic effects, arising due to age re-composition of the population. This paper uses census data and the Prithwis Das Gupta decomposition method - widely accepted as best practice for this type of research. The results have shown that behavioural factors were twice as important as demographic factors in explaining the decrease in the rate of economic activity seen in the most recent inter-censal period., Kako bi ce objasniliuzroci opadanja ekonomske aktivnosti stanovništva Srbije i pokazalo u kojoj meri starenje uzrokuje smanjenje broja aktivnih, u ovom radu ce upotrebom dekompozitnog metoda kvantifikuje uticaj dve vrste efekata: direktnih i kompozitnih. Direktni ili efekti stopa nastaju usled promena u ponašanju stanovništva, obično zbog izmenjenog kulturnog i institucionalnog konteksta i (nejprilika na tržištu rada, dok su kompozitni efekti čisti demografski efekti koji nastaju kao posledica prekomponovanja stanovništva prema starosti. U radu ce koriste podaci popisne statistike i dekompozitni metod P. Das Gupte koji je odabran kao najprikladniji za ovu vrstu istraživanja. Rezultati su pokazali da su u poslednjem međupopisnom periodu, na opadanje stope aktivnosti radnog kontingenta u Srbiji dvostruko više uticali bihejvioralni nego demografski faktori.",
publisher = "Matica srpska, Novi Sad",
journal = "Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke",
title = "Contribution of the aging to the decrease in the rate of economic activity: Quantification with the decomposition method, Doprinos starenja opadanju stope aktivnosti - kvantifikacija dekompozitnim metodom",
number = "167",
pages = "525-535",
doi = "10.2298/ZMSDN1867525G",
url = "convd_2830"
}
Elieorijević, V.,& Vasić, P.. (2018). Contribution of the aging to the decrease in the rate of economic activity: Quantification with the decomposition method. in Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke
Matica srpska, Novi Sad.(167), 525-535.
https://doi.org/10.2298/ZMSDN1867525G
convd_2830
Elieorijević V, Vasić P. Contribution of the aging to the decrease in the rate of economic activity: Quantification with the decomposition method. in Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke. 2018;(167):525-535.
doi:10.2298/ZMSDN1867525G
convd_2830 .
Elieorijević, Vera, Vasić, Petar, "Contribution of the aging to the decrease in the rate of economic activity: Quantification with the decomposition method" in Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke, no. 167 (2018):525-535,
https://doi.org/10.2298/ZMSDN1867525G .,
convd_2830 .

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