Increase in the completed cohort fertility of high-educated women: A focus in the creation of population policy in Serbia
Porast završnog fertiliteta kod visokoobrazovanih žena - fokus u kreiranju populacione politike u Srbiji
Апстракт
Considering the recorded increase in the completed cohort fertility of high-educated women in the period 1991-2011, the aim of this paper is to indicate how many changes in the parity progression ratios contribute to this change. Using decomposition method based on population censuses 1991 and 2011, author decomposes the change in completed cohort fertility among high-educated women above reproductive age. The results show that the change in completed cohort fertility was mostly driven by increases in progression ratios to the first and the second birth. Given that there is a growing tendency to motherhood, but that it stops on one child (possibly two children), it can be said that the focus of population policy should be to facilitate decision making about entering into parenting.
Imajući u vidu zabeleženi porast završnog fertiliteta visokoobrazovanih žena u periodu 1991-2011, cilj rada je da ce ukaže na to koliko promene u verovatnoćama povećanja broja dece doprinose tom porastu. Navedeni cilj podrazumevaće primenu metoda dekompozicije baziranom na podacima popisa stanovništva iz 1991. i 2011. godine, uz obuhvat žena postfertilne dobi. Rezultati pokazuju da ce zabeleženi porast završnog fertiliteta visokoobrazovanih žena u najvećoj meri objašnjava pozitivnim pomacima u progresijama ka prvoi drugorođenju, što svedoči o sve izraženijoj dominantnosti niskih reproduktivnih normi. S obzirom na njihovu sve veću težnju da se ostvare kao majke ali da se sve češće zaustavljaju na jednom detetu (eventualno dvoje), može se reći da bi u fokusu populacione politike trebalo da bude delovanje u pravcu olakšavanja odluke o ulasku u roditeljstvo.
Кључне речи:
completed cohort fertility / high-educated women / population policy / Serbia / završni fertilitet / visokoobrazovane žene / populaciona politika / SrbijaИзвор:
Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke, 2018, 167, 409-419Издавач:
- Matica srpska, Novi Sad
Колекције
Институција/група
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Mirić, Natalija PY - 2018 UR - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/923 AB - Considering the recorded increase in the completed cohort fertility of high-educated women in the period 1991-2011, the aim of this paper is to indicate how many changes in the parity progression ratios contribute to this change. Using decomposition method based on population censuses 1991 and 2011, author decomposes the change in completed cohort fertility among high-educated women above reproductive age. The results show that the change in completed cohort fertility was mostly driven by increases in progression ratios to the first and the second birth. Given that there is a growing tendency to motherhood, but that it stops on one child (possibly two children), it can be said that the focus of population policy should be to facilitate decision making about entering into parenting. AB - Imajući u vidu zabeleženi porast završnog fertiliteta visokoobrazovanih žena u periodu 1991-2011, cilj rada je da ce ukaže na to koliko promene u verovatnoćama povećanja broja dece doprinose tom porastu. Navedeni cilj podrazumevaće primenu metoda dekompozicije baziranom na podacima popisa stanovništva iz 1991. i 2011. godine, uz obuhvat žena postfertilne dobi. Rezultati pokazuju da ce zabeleženi porast završnog fertiliteta visokoobrazovanih žena u najvećoj meri objašnjava pozitivnim pomacima u progresijama ka prvoi drugorođenju, što svedoči o sve izraženijoj dominantnosti niskih reproduktivnih normi. S obzirom na njihovu sve veću težnju da se ostvare kao majke ali da se sve češće zaustavljaju na jednom detetu (eventualno dvoje), može se reći da bi u fokusu populacione politike trebalo da bude delovanje u pravcu olakšavanja odluke o ulasku u roditeljstvo. PB - Matica srpska, Novi Sad T2 - Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke T1 - Increase in the completed cohort fertility of high-educated women: A focus in the creation of population policy in Serbia T1 - Porast završnog fertiliteta kod visokoobrazovanih žena - fokus u kreiranju populacione politike u Srbiji IS - 167 SP - 409 EP - 419 DO - 10.2298/ZMSDN1867409M UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_923 ER -
@article{ author = "Mirić, Natalija", year = "2018", abstract = "Considering the recorded increase in the completed cohort fertility of high-educated women in the period 1991-2011, the aim of this paper is to indicate how many changes in the parity progression ratios contribute to this change. Using decomposition method based on population censuses 1991 and 2011, author decomposes the change in completed cohort fertility among high-educated women above reproductive age. The results show that the change in completed cohort fertility was mostly driven by increases in progression ratios to the first and the second birth. Given that there is a growing tendency to motherhood, but that it stops on one child (possibly two children), it can be said that the focus of population policy should be to facilitate decision making about entering into parenting., Imajući u vidu zabeleženi porast završnog fertiliteta visokoobrazovanih žena u periodu 1991-2011, cilj rada je da ce ukaže na to koliko promene u verovatnoćama povećanja broja dece doprinose tom porastu. Navedeni cilj podrazumevaće primenu metoda dekompozicije baziranom na podacima popisa stanovništva iz 1991. i 2011. godine, uz obuhvat žena postfertilne dobi. Rezultati pokazuju da ce zabeleženi porast završnog fertiliteta visokoobrazovanih žena u najvećoj meri objašnjava pozitivnim pomacima u progresijama ka prvoi drugorođenju, što svedoči o sve izraženijoj dominantnosti niskih reproduktivnih normi. S obzirom na njihovu sve veću težnju da se ostvare kao majke ali da se sve češće zaustavljaju na jednom detetu (eventualno dvoje), može se reći da bi u fokusu populacione politike trebalo da bude delovanje u pravcu olakšavanja odluke o ulasku u roditeljstvo.", publisher = "Matica srpska, Novi Sad", journal = "Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke", title = "Increase in the completed cohort fertility of high-educated women: A focus in the creation of population policy in Serbia, Porast završnog fertiliteta kod visokoobrazovanih žena - fokus u kreiranju populacione politike u Srbiji", number = "167", pages = "409-419", doi = "10.2298/ZMSDN1867409M", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_923" }
Mirić, N.. (2018). Increase in the completed cohort fertility of high-educated women: A focus in the creation of population policy in Serbia. in Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke Matica srpska, Novi Sad.(167), 409-419. https://doi.org/10.2298/ZMSDN1867409M https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_923
Mirić N. Increase in the completed cohort fertility of high-educated women: A focus in the creation of population policy in Serbia. in Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke. 2018;(167):409-419. doi:10.2298/ZMSDN1867409M https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_923 .
Mirić, Natalija, "Increase in the completed cohort fertility of high-educated women: A focus in the creation of population policy in Serbia" in Zbornik Matice srpske za društvene nauke, no. 167 (2018):409-419, https://doi.org/10.2298/ZMSDN1867409M ., https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_923 .