Changing climate shifts timing of European floods
2017
Autori
Bloeschl, GuenterHall, Julia
Parajka, Juraj
Perdigao, Rui A. P.
Merz, Bruno
Arheimer, Berit
Aronica, Giuseppe T.
Bilibashi, Ardian
Bonacci, Ognjen
Borga, Marco
Canjevac, Ivan
Castellarin, Attilio
Chirico, Giovanni B.
Claps, Pierluigi
Fiala, Kayroly
Frolova, Natalia
Gorbachova, Liudmyla
Gul, Ali
Hannaford, Jamie
Harrigan, Shaun
Kireeva, Maria
Kiss, Andrea
Kjeldsen, Thomas R.
Kohnova, Silvia
Koskela, Jarkko J.
Ledvinka, Ondrej
Macdonald, Neil
Mavrova-Guirguinova, Maria
Mediero, Luis
Merz, Ralf
Molnar, Peter
Montanari, Alberto
Murphy, Conor
Osuch, Marzena
Ovcharuk, Valeryia
Radevski, Ivan
Rogger, Magdalena
Salinas, Jose L.
Sauquet, Eric
Sraj, Mojca
Szolgay, Jan
Viglione, Alberto
Volpi, Elena
Wilson, Donna
Zaimi, Klodian
Živković, Nenad
Članak u časopisu (Objavljena verzija)
Metapodaci
Prikaz svih podataka o dokumentuApstrakt
A warming climate is expected to have an impact on the magnitude and timing of river floods; however, no consistent large-scale climate change signal in observed flood magnitudes has been identified so far. We analyzed the timing of river floods in Europe over the past five decades, using a pan-European database from 4262 observational hydrometric stations, and found clear patterns of change in flood timing. Warmer temperatures have led to earlier spring snowmelt floods throughout northeastern Europe; delayed winter storms associated with polar warming have led to later winter floods around the North Sea and some sectors of the Mediterranean coast; and earlier soil moisture maxima have led to earlier winter floods in western Europe. Our results highlight the existence of a clear climate signal in flood observations at the continental scale.
Izvor:
Science, 2017, 357, 6351, 588-590Izdavač:
- Amer Assoc Advancement Science, Washington
Finansiranje / projekti:
- FLOODCHANGE - Deciphering River Flood Change (EU-FP7-291152)
- Austrian Science Funds (FWF), Doctoral Programme on Water Resource Systems [W1219-N22]
- SWITCH-ON - Sharing Water-related Information to Tackle Changes in the Hydrosphere - for Operational Needs (EU-FP7-603587)
- Russian Science FoundationRussian Science Foundation (RSF) [14-17-00155]
DOI: 10.1126/science.aan2506
ISSN: 0036-8075
PubMed: 28798129
WoS: 000407324800040
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85027114907
Kolekcije
Institucija/grupa
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Bloeschl, Guenter AU - Hall, Julia AU - Parajka, Juraj AU - Perdigao, Rui A. P. AU - Merz, Bruno AU - Arheimer, Berit AU - Aronica, Giuseppe T. AU - Bilibashi, Ardian AU - Bonacci, Ognjen AU - Borga, Marco AU - Canjevac, Ivan AU - Castellarin, Attilio AU - Chirico, Giovanni B. AU - Claps, Pierluigi AU - Fiala, Kayroly AU - Frolova, Natalia AU - Gorbachova, Liudmyla AU - Gul, Ali AU - Hannaford, Jamie AU - Harrigan, Shaun AU - Kireeva, Maria AU - Kiss, Andrea AU - Kjeldsen, Thomas R. AU - Kohnova, Silvia AU - Koskela, Jarkko J. AU - Ledvinka, Ondrej AU - Macdonald, Neil AU - Mavrova-Guirguinova, Maria AU - Mediero, Luis AU - Merz, Ralf AU - Molnar, Peter AU - Montanari, Alberto AU - Murphy, Conor AU - Osuch, Marzena AU - Ovcharuk, Valeryia AU - Radevski, Ivan AU - Rogger, Magdalena AU - Salinas, Jose L. AU - Sauquet, Eric AU - Sraj, Mojca AU - Szolgay, Jan AU - Viglione, Alberto AU - Volpi, Elena AU - Wilson, Donna AU - Zaimi, Klodian AU - Živković, Nenad PY - 2017 UR - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/866 AB - A warming climate is expected to have an impact on the magnitude and timing of river floods; however, no consistent large-scale climate change signal in observed flood magnitudes has been identified so far. We analyzed the timing of river floods in Europe over the past five decades, using a pan-European database from 4262 observational hydrometric stations, and found clear patterns of change in flood timing. Warmer temperatures have led to earlier spring snowmelt floods throughout northeastern Europe; delayed winter storms associated with polar warming have led to later winter floods around the North Sea and some sectors of the Mediterranean coast; and earlier soil moisture maxima have led to earlier winter floods in western Europe. Our results highlight the existence of a clear climate signal in flood observations at the continental scale. PB - Amer Assoc Advancement Science, Washington T2 - Science T1 - Changing climate shifts timing of European floods VL - 357 IS - 6351 SP - 588 EP - 590 DO - 10.1126/science.aan2506 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_866 ER -
@article{ author = "Bloeschl, Guenter and Hall, Julia and Parajka, Juraj and Perdigao, Rui A. P. and Merz, Bruno and Arheimer, Berit and Aronica, Giuseppe T. and Bilibashi, Ardian and Bonacci, Ognjen and Borga, Marco and Canjevac, Ivan and Castellarin, Attilio and Chirico, Giovanni B. and Claps, Pierluigi and Fiala, Kayroly and Frolova, Natalia and Gorbachova, Liudmyla and Gul, Ali and Hannaford, Jamie and Harrigan, Shaun and Kireeva, Maria and Kiss, Andrea and Kjeldsen, Thomas R. and Kohnova, Silvia and Koskela, Jarkko J. and Ledvinka, Ondrej and Macdonald, Neil and Mavrova-Guirguinova, Maria and Mediero, Luis and Merz, Ralf and Molnar, Peter and Montanari, Alberto and Murphy, Conor and Osuch, Marzena and Ovcharuk, Valeryia and Radevski, Ivan and Rogger, Magdalena and Salinas, Jose L. and Sauquet, Eric and Sraj, Mojca and Szolgay, Jan and Viglione, Alberto and Volpi, Elena and Wilson, Donna and Zaimi, Klodian and Živković, Nenad", year = "2017", abstract = "A warming climate is expected to have an impact on the magnitude and timing of river floods; however, no consistent large-scale climate change signal in observed flood magnitudes has been identified so far. We analyzed the timing of river floods in Europe over the past five decades, using a pan-European database from 4262 observational hydrometric stations, and found clear patterns of change in flood timing. Warmer temperatures have led to earlier spring snowmelt floods throughout northeastern Europe; delayed winter storms associated with polar warming have led to later winter floods around the North Sea and some sectors of the Mediterranean coast; and earlier soil moisture maxima have led to earlier winter floods in western Europe. Our results highlight the existence of a clear climate signal in flood observations at the continental scale.", publisher = "Amer Assoc Advancement Science, Washington", journal = "Science", title = "Changing climate shifts timing of European floods", volume = "357", number = "6351", pages = "588-590", doi = "10.1126/science.aan2506", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_866" }
Bloeschl, G., Hall, J., Parajka, J., Perdigao, R. A. P., Merz, B., Arheimer, B., Aronica, G. T., Bilibashi, A., Bonacci, O., Borga, M., Canjevac, I., Castellarin, A., Chirico, G. B., Claps, P., Fiala, K., Frolova, N., Gorbachova, L., Gul, A., Hannaford, J., Harrigan, S., Kireeva, M., Kiss, A., Kjeldsen, T. R., Kohnova, S., Koskela, J. J., Ledvinka, O., Macdonald, N., Mavrova-Guirguinova, M., Mediero, L., Merz, R., Molnar, P., Montanari, A., Murphy, C., Osuch, M., Ovcharuk, V., Radevski, I., Rogger, M., Salinas, J. L., Sauquet, E., Sraj, M., Szolgay, J., Viglione, A., Volpi, E., Wilson, D., Zaimi, K.,& Živković, N.. (2017). Changing climate shifts timing of European floods. in Science Amer Assoc Advancement Science, Washington., 357(6351), 588-590. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aan2506 https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_866
Bloeschl G, Hall J, Parajka J, Perdigao RAP, Merz B, Arheimer B, Aronica GT, Bilibashi A, Bonacci O, Borga M, Canjevac I, Castellarin A, Chirico GB, Claps P, Fiala K, Frolova N, Gorbachova L, Gul A, Hannaford J, Harrigan S, Kireeva M, Kiss A, Kjeldsen TR, Kohnova S, Koskela JJ, Ledvinka O, Macdonald N, Mavrova-Guirguinova M, Mediero L, Merz R, Molnar P, Montanari A, Murphy C, Osuch M, Ovcharuk V, Radevski I, Rogger M, Salinas JL, Sauquet E, Sraj M, Szolgay J, Viglione A, Volpi E, Wilson D, Zaimi K, Živković N. Changing climate shifts timing of European floods. in Science. 2017;357(6351):588-590. doi:10.1126/science.aan2506 https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_866 .
Bloeschl, Guenter, Hall, Julia, Parajka, Juraj, Perdigao, Rui A. P., Merz, Bruno, Arheimer, Berit, Aronica, Giuseppe T., Bilibashi, Ardian, Bonacci, Ognjen, Borga, Marco, Canjevac, Ivan, Castellarin, Attilio, Chirico, Giovanni B., Claps, Pierluigi, Fiala, Kayroly, Frolova, Natalia, Gorbachova, Liudmyla, Gul, Ali, Hannaford, Jamie, Harrigan, Shaun, Kireeva, Maria, Kiss, Andrea, Kjeldsen, Thomas R., Kohnova, Silvia, Koskela, Jarkko J., Ledvinka, Ondrej, Macdonald, Neil, Mavrova-Guirguinova, Maria, Mediero, Luis, Merz, Ralf, Molnar, Peter, Montanari, Alberto, Murphy, Conor, Osuch, Marzena, Ovcharuk, Valeryia, Radevski, Ivan, Rogger, Magdalena, Salinas, Jose L., Sauquet, Eric, Sraj, Mojca, Szolgay, Jan, Viglione, Alberto, Volpi, Elena, Wilson, Donna, Zaimi, Klodian, Živković, Nenad, "Changing climate shifts timing of European floods" in Science, 357, no. 6351 (2017):588-590, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aan2506 ., https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_866 .