The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using the dendrochronological method in drought prediction in eastern Bosnia. As an indicator of drought, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used. In the wider area of Rogatica (eastern Bosnia), 11 core samples from trees were taken. The best connection between the width of tree rings and drought was shown by the sample of a 67-year-old European silver fir (Abies alba) from the mountain Boksanica. Removal of the biological trend (standardization) was performed by the autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) method. Calculations showed that precipitation, i.e. drought in the summer months, is crucial for radial increment of the sample. The obtained results of our research have been confirmed in examples in the region and further.
Keywords:
dendrochronology / tree-ring width / fir / standardized precipitation index (SPI) / Rogatica
Source:
Archives of Biological Sciences, 2015, 67, 1, 201-211
TY - JOUR
AU - Ducić, Vladan
AU - Ivanović, Rade
AU - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU - Gnjato, Rajko
AU - Trbić, Goran
AU - Ćurčić, Nina
PY - 2015
UR - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/724
AB - The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using the dendrochronological method in drought prediction in eastern Bosnia. As an indicator of drought, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used. In the wider area of Rogatica (eastern Bosnia), 11 core samples from trees were taken. The best connection between the width of tree rings and drought was shown by the sample of a 67-year-old European silver fir (Abies alba) from the mountain Boksanica. Removal of the biological trend (standardization) was performed by the autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) method. Calculations showed that precipitation, i.e. drought in the summer months, is crucial for radial increment of the sample. The obtained results of our research have been confirmed in examples in the region and further.
PB - Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.
T2 - Archives of Biological Sciences
T1 - Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)
VL - 67
IS - 1
SP - 201
EP - 211
DO - 10.2298/ABS141114025D
UR - conv_927
ER -
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Ivanović, Rade and Mihajlović, Jovan and Gnjato, Rajko and Trbić, Goran and Ćurčić, Nina",
year = "2015",
abstract = "The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using the dendrochronological method in drought prediction in eastern Bosnia. As an indicator of drought, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used. In the wider area of Rogatica (eastern Bosnia), 11 core samples from trees were taken. The best connection between the width of tree rings and drought was shown by the sample of a 67-year-old European silver fir (Abies alba) from the mountain Boksanica. Removal of the biological trend (standardization) was performed by the autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) method. Calculations showed that precipitation, i.e. drought in the summer months, is crucial for radial increment of the sample. The obtained results of our research have been confirmed in examples in the region and further.",
publisher = "Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.",
journal = "Archives of Biological Sciences",
title = "Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)",
volume = "67",
number = "1",
pages = "201-211",
doi = "10.2298/ABS141114025D",
url = "conv_927"
}
Ducić, V., Ivanović, R., Mihajlović, J., Gnjato, R., Trbić, G.,& Ćurčić, N.. (2015). Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia). in Archives of Biological Sciences
Srpsko biološko društvo, Beograd, i dr.., 67(1), 201-211.
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS141114025D
conv_927
Ducić V, Ivanović R, Mihajlović J, Gnjato R, Trbić G, Ćurčić N. Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia). in Archives of Biological Sciences. 2015;67(1):201-211.
doi:10.2298/ABS141114025D
conv_927 .
Ducić, Vladan, Ivanović, Rade, Mihajlović, Jovan, Gnjato, Rajko, Trbić, Goran, Ćurčić, Nina, "Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)" in Archives of Biological Sciences, 67, no. 1 (2015):201-211,
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS141114025D .,
conv_927 .
