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The influence of solar activities on occurrence of the forest fires in south Europe

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2015
688.pdf (346.4Kb)
Authors
Radovanović, Milan
Pavlović, Tomislav M.
Stanojević, Gorica
Milanović, Miško
Pavlović, Mila
Radivojević, Aleksandar
Article (Published version)
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Abstract
In mid-July 2012, hundreds of fires spread over forest stands in the south of Europe. Considering available satellite and meteorological data we have tried to determine a method using analogy, whether these fires were preceded by the intensified solar activity. The justification of this approach lies in the belief that it is impossible by direct or indirect activity of man to set fire at the same time to the sites that are geographically separated. In this paper we have tried to test the hypothesis claiming that charged particles coming to us from the Sun may be responsible for the number of forest fires. Unlike some other situations when the potential explanation could be a sudden influx of the protons of different energy ranges, in our study, there are electrons as carriers of the potential explanation. Many previous studies results have shown that there is statistically significant relationship between the processes on the Sun and certain movements of air masses in the atmosphere ou...r planet. The presented results in this paper of the correlation relationships between the mean hourly flows of electrons and the mean hourly air temperatures in Belgrade and Rome and the analysis of the synoptic situation as a function of the suggested model so far, indicate that the number of fires that were occurring more than a week, from July 15, 2012, in the south of Europe, were caused by electrons coming from the Sun.

Keywords:
solar activity / electrons / forest fires / South Europe
Source:
Thermal Science, 2015, 19, 2, 435-446
Publisher:
  • Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd
Funding / projects:
  • Geography of Serbia (RS-47007)
  • Development programs of villages’ revitalization in Serbia (RS-176008)

DOI: 10.2298/TSCI130930036R

ISSN: 0354-9836

WoS: 000355777100008

Scopus: 2-s2.0-84932169022
[ Google Scholar ]
8
9
URI
https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/690
Collections
  • Radovi istraživača
Institution/Community
Geografski fakultet
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
AU  - Pavlović, Tomislav M.
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Milanović, Miško
AU  - Pavlović, Mila
AU  - Radivojević, Aleksandar
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/690
AB  - In mid-July 2012, hundreds of fires spread over forest stands in the south of Europe. Considering available satellite and meteorological data we have tried to determine a method using analogy, whether these fires were preceded by the intensified solar activity. The justification of this approach lies in the belief that it is impossible by direct or indirect activity of man to set fire at the same time to the sites that are geographically separated. In this paper we have tried to test the hypothesis claiming that charged particles coming to us from the Sun may be responsible for the number of forest fires. Unlike some other situations when the potential explanation could be a sudden influx of the protons of different energy ranges, in our study, there are electrons as carriers of the potential explanation. Many previous studies results have shown that there is statistically significant relationship between the processes on the Sun and certain movements of air masses in the atmosphere our planet. The presented results in this paper of the correlation relationships between the mean hourly flows of electrons and the mean hourly air temperatures in Belgrade and Rome and the analysis of the synoptic situation as a function of the suggested model so far, indicate that the number of fires that were occurring more than a week, from July 15, 2012, in the south of Europe, were caused by electrons coming from the Sun.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - The influence of solar activities on occurrence of the forest fires in south Europe
VL  - 19
IS  - 2
SP  - 435
EP  - 446
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI130930036R
UR  - conv_934
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Radovanović, Milan and Pavlović, Tomislav M. and Stanojević, Gorica and Milanović, Miško and Pavlović, Mila and Radivojević, Aleksandar",
year = "2015",
abstract = "In mid-July 2012, hundreds of fires spread over forest stands in the south of Europe. Considering available satellite and meteorological data we have tried to determine a method using analogy, whether these fires were preceded by the intensified solar activity. The justification of this approach lies in the belief that it is impossible by direct or indirect activity of man to set fire at the same time to the sites that are geographically separated. In this paper we have tried to test the hypothesis claiming that charged particles coming to us from the Sun may be responsible for the number of forest fires. Unlike some other situations when the potential explanation could be a sudden influx of the protons of different energy ranges, in our study, there are electrons as carriers of the potential explanation. Many previous studies results have shown that there is statistically significant relationship between the processes on the Sun and certain movements of air masses in the atmosphere our planet. The presented results in this paper of the correlation relationships between the mean hourly flows of electrons and the mean hourly air temperatures in Belgrade and Rome and the analysis of the synoptic situation as a function of the suggested model so far, indicate that the number of fires that were occurring more than a week, from July 15, 2012, in the south of Europe, were caused by electrons coming from the Sun.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "The influence of solar activities on occurrence of the forest fires in south Europe",
volume = "19",
number = "2",
pages = "435-446",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI130930036R",
url = "conv_934"
}
Radovanović, M., Pavlović, T. M., Stanojević, G., Milanović, M., Pavlović, M.,& Radivojević, A.. (2015). The influence of solar activities on occurrence of the forest fires in south Europe. in Thermal Science
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, Beograd., 19(2), 435-446.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI130930036R
conv_934
Radovanović M, Pavlović TM, Stanojević G, Milanović M, Pavlović M, Radivojević A. The influence of solar activities on occurrence of the forest fires in south Europe. in Thermal Science. 2015;19(2):435-446.
doi:10.2298/TSCI130930036R
conv_934 .
Radovanović, Milan, Pavlović, Tomislav M., Stanojević, Gorica, Milanović, Miško, Pavlović, Mila, Radivojević, Aleksandar, "The influence of solar activities on occurrence of the forest fires in south Europe" in Thermal Science, 19, no. 2 (2015):435-446,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI130930036R .,
conv_934 .

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