Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010)
Apstrakt
More intense rainfall may cause a range of negative impacts upon society and the environment. In this study we analysed trends in extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) rainfall indices in Montenegro for the period between 1951 and 2010. Montenegro has been poorly studied in terms of rainfall extremes, yet it contains the wettest Mediterranean region known as Krivosije. Several indices of precipitation extremes were assessed including the number of dry days and rainfall totals in order to identify trends and possible changes. A spatial pattern relationship between extreme rainfall indices and the North Atlantic Oscillation has also been examined. The results generally suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased while rainfall intensity increased, particularly in south-western parts of the country. A slight tendency towards intense rainfall events is suggested. The examined rainfall indices and North Atlantic Oscillation over Montenegro see...med to be directly linked to changes in one of the major large-scale circulation modes such as the NAO pattern that is particularly evident during the winter season.
Izvor:
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2015, 15, 9, 2069-2077Izdavač:
- Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
Finansiranje / projekti:
- Istraživanje klimatskih promena i njihovog uticaja na životnu sredinu - praćenje uticaja, adaptacija i ublažavanje (RS-MESTD-Integrated and Interdisciplinary Research (IIR or III)-43007)
- Uloga i implementacija državnog prostornog plana i regionalnih razvojnih dokumenata u obnovi strateškog istraživanja, mišljenja i upravljanja u Srbiji (RS-MESTD-Integrated and Interdisciplinary Research (IIR or III)-47014)
- Prostorni, ekološki, energetski i društveni aspekti razvoja naselja i klimatske promene - međusobni uticaji (RS-MESTD-Technological Development (TD or TR)-36035)
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015
ISSN: 1561-8633
WoS: 000363645500011
Scopus: 2-s2.0-84941659300
Kolekcije
Institucija/grupa
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Burić, Dragan AU - Luković, Jelena AU - Bajat, Branislav AU - Kilibarda, Milan AU - Živković, Nenad PY - 2015 UR - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/689 AB - More intense rainfall may cause a range of negative impacts upon society and the environment. In this study we analysed trends in extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) rainfall indices in Montenegro for the period between 1951 and 2010. Montenegro has been poorly studied in terms of rainfall extremes, yet it contains the wettest Mediterranean region known as Krivosije. Several indices of precipitation extremes were assessed including the number of dry days and rainfall totals in order to identify trends and possible changes. A spatial pattern relationship between extreme rainfall indices and the North Atlantic Oscillation has also been examined. The results generally suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased while rainfall intensity increased, particularly in south-western parts of the country. A slight tendency towards intense rainfall events is suggested. The examined rainfall indices and North Atlantic Oscillation over Montenegro seemed to be directly linked to changes in one of the major large-scale circulation modes such as the NAO pattern that is particularly evident during the winter season. PB - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen T2 - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences T1 - Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010) VL - 15 IS - 9 SP - 2069 EP - 2077 DO - 10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689 ER -
@article{ author = "Burić, Dragan and Luković, Jelena and Bajat, Branislav and Kilibarda, Milan and Živković, Nenad", year = "2015", abstract = "More intense rainfall may cause a range of negative impacts upon society and the environment. In this study we analysed trends in extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) rainfall indices in Montenegro for the period between 1951 and 2010. Montenegro has been poorly studied in terms of rainfall extremes, yet it contains the wettest Mediterranean region known as Krivosije. Several indices of precipitation extremes were assessed including the number of dry days and rainfall totals in order to identify trends and possible changes. A spatial pattern relationship between extreme rainfall indices and the North Atlantic Oscillation has also been examined. The results generally suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased while rainfall intensity increased, particularly in south-western parts of the country. A slight tendency towards intense rainfall events is suggested. The examined rainfall indices and North Atlantic Oscillation over Montenegro seemed to be directly linked to changes in one of the major large-scale circulation modes such as the NAO pattern that is particularly evident during the winter season.", publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen", journal = "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences", title = "Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010)", volume = "15", number = "9", pages = "2069-2077", doi = "10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689" }
Burić, D., Luković, J., Bajat, B., Kilibarda, M.,& Živković, N.. (2015). Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010). in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 15(9), 2069-2077. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015 https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689
Burić D, Luković J, Bajat B, Kilibarda M, Živković N. Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010). in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2015;15(9):2069-2077. doi:10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015 https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689 .
Burić, Dragan, Luković, Jelena, Bajat, Branislav, Kilibarda, Milan, Živković, Nenad, "Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010)" in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 15, no. 9 (2015):2069-2077, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015 ., https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689 .