Spatial pattern of recent rainfall trends in Serbia (1961-2009)
Само за регистроване кориснике
2014
Чланак у часопису (Објављена верзија)
Метаподаци
Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт
This paper examines a spatial pattern of annual, seasonal and monthly rainfall trends in Serbia. The study used data from 63 weather stations between the period of 1961-2009. The rainfall series was examined by applying the nonparametric method of the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's method to determine the significance and magnitude of the trends. Significant trends have not been detected for the whole country at an annual scale. Seasonal trends at the confidence level of 97.5 %, however, indicate a slight decrease in winter (5 stations out of 63) and spring (7 stations out of 63) precipitation and an increase in autumn precipitation (10 stations out of 63). Results for monthly rainfall trends also generally showed a nonsignificant trend with the exception of a negative trend in May (6 stations out of 63) and positive trend for October (9 stations out of 63). Calculated global autocorrelation statistics (Moran's I) indicate a random spatial pattern of rainfall trends on annual, seasonal an...d monthly timescales with exceptions for March, June and November. Overall, results suggest that only weak, mostly nonsignificant trends are present in Serbia in the period 1961-2009.
Кључне речи:
Spatial pattern / Rainfall trend / Spatial autocorrelation / SerbiaИзвор:
Regional Environmental Change, 2014, 14, 5, 1789-1799Издавач:
- Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg
Финансирање / пројекти:
- Истраживање климатских промена и њиховог утицаја на животну средину - праћење утицаја, адаптација и ублажавање (RS-43007)
- Улога и имплементација државног просторног плана и регионалних развојних докумената у обнови стратешког истраживања, мишљења и управљања у Србији (RS-47014)
- Просторни, еколошки, енергетски и друштвени аспекти развоја насеља и климатске промене - међусобни утицаји (RS-36035)
- Унапређење геодетске инфраструктуре Србије за потребе савременог Државног премера (RS-36020)
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-013-0459-x
ISSN: 1436-3798
WoS: 000342455400009
Scopus: 2-s2.0-84907708808
Колекције
Институција/група
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Luković, Jelena AU - Bajat, Branislav AU - Blagojević, Dragan AU - Kilibarda, Milan PY - 2014 UR - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/641 AB - This paper examines a spatial pattern of annual, seasonal and monthly rainfall trends in Serbia. The study used data from 63 weather stations between the period of 1961-2009. The rainfall series was examined by applying the nonparametric method of the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's method to determine the significance and magnitude of the trends. Significant trends have not been detected for the whole country at an annual scale. Seasonal trends at the confidence level of 97.5 %, however, indicate a slight decrease in winter (5 stations out of 63) and spring (7 stations out of 63) precipitation and an increase in autumn precipitation (10 stations out of 63). Results for monthly rainfall trends also generally showed a nonsignificant trend with the exception of a negative trend in May (6 stations out of 63) and positive trend for October (9 stations out of 63). Calculated global autocorrelation statistics (Moran's I) indicate a random spatial pattern of rainfall trends on annual, seasonal and monthly timescales with exceptions for March, June and November. Overall, results suggest that only weak, mostly nonsignificant trends are present in Serbia in the period 1961-2009. PB - Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg T2 - Regional Environmental Change T1 - Spatial pattern of recent rainfall trends in Serbia (1961-2009) VL - 14 IS - 5 SP - 1789 EP - 1799 DO - 10.1007/s10113-013-0459-x UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_641 ER -
@article{ author = "Luković, Jelena and Bajat, Branislav and Blagojević, Dragan and Kilibarda, Milan", year = "2014", abstract = "This paper examines a spatial pattern of annual, seasonal and monthly rainfall trends in Serbia. The study used data from 63 weather stations between the period of 1961-2009. The rainfall series was examined by applying the nonparametric method of the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's method to determine the significance and magnitude of the trends. Significant trends have not been detected for the whole country at an annual scale. Seasonal trends at the confidence level of 97.5 %, however, indicate a slight decrease in winter (5 stations out of 63) and spring (7 stations out of 63) precipitation and an increase in autumn precipitation (10 stations out of 63). Results for monthly rainfall trends also generally showed a nonsignificant trend with the exception of a negative trend in May (6 stations out of 63) and positive trend for October (9 stations out of 63). Calculated global autocorrelation statistics (Moran's I) indicate a random spatial pattern of rainfall trends on annual, seasonal and monthly timescales with exceptions for March, June and November. Overall, results suggest that only weak, mostly nonsignificant trends are present in Serbia in the period 1961-2009.", publisher = "Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg", journal = "Regional Environmental Change", title = "Spatial pattern of recent rainfall trends in Serbia (1961-2009)", volume = "14", number = "5", pages = "1789-1799", doi = "10.1007/s10113-013-0459-x", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_641" }
Luković, J., Bajat, B., Blagojević, D.,& Kilibarda, M.. (2014). Spatial pattern of recent rainfall trends in Serbia (1961-2009). in Regional Environmental Change Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg., 14(5), 1789-1799. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0459-x https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_641
Luković J, Bajat B, Blagojević D, Kilibarda M. Spatial pattern of recent rainfall trends in Serbia (1961-2009). in Regional Environmental Change. 2014;14(5):1789-1799. doi:10.1007/s10113-013-0459-x https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_641 .
Luković, Jelena, Bajat, Branislav, Blagojević, Dragan, Kilibarda, Milan, "Spatial pattern of recent rainfall trends in Serbia (1961-2009)" in Regional Environmental Change, 14, no. 5 (2014):1789-1799, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0459-x ., https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_641 .