Historical stages in transition of natural replacement of the Serbian population

Abstract

This paper examines the problem of demographic transition of natural replacement of the Serbian population since the mid-nineteenth century to 2010. The special attention is given to analyzing trends in birth rate, mortality and population growth through the historical periods in which started and in which the transformation of demographic trends was being done, from the model of extended natural replacement and population expansion to the depopulation model. The specific progress of transitional trends is shown in the natural replacement of population at the macro-regional levels in Serbia (Central Serbia, Vojvodina and Kosovo and Metohija), especially at the meso-regional and local level in the geospace of Serbia (municipalities, districts, regions).

U radu se razmatra problematika demografske tranzicije prirodnog obnavljanja stanovništva Srbije od sredine XIX veka do 2010. Godine. Posebno se prate trendovi u natalitetu, mortalitetu i prirodnom priraštaju kroz istorijske epohe u kojima je započeta i u kojima se odvijala transformacija demografskih tokova, od modela proširene prirodne reprodukcije i populacione ekspanzije do modela nedovoljne zamene generacija. Prikazuje se specifično odvijanje tranzicionih trendova u prirodnom obnavljanju stanovništva na makro regionalnim nivoima Srbije (Centralna Srbija, Vojvodina i Kosovo i Metohija), a posebno na mezo regionalnom i lokalnom nivou u geoprostoru Srbije (opštine, oblasti, regioni).