Fertility of Belgrade's population in the context of the theory of the second demographic transition

Abstract

The paper identifies the features of fertility in the population of Belgrade that can be regarded as a manifestation of the second demographic transition. The analysis focuses on fertility decline, its age model, birth postponing, extramarital births, and exclusion from reproduction. It compares the municipalities constituting the inner city to those belonging to the suburbs, and checks whether the fertility changes correspond to the context of the second demographic transition.

U radu se markiraju odlike fertiliteta stanovništva Beograda koje se mogu posmatrati kao manifestacija druge demografske tranzicije. Osnovni predmet analiza su: pad fertiliteta, njegov starosni model, odlaganje rađanja, vanbračna rođenja i neučestvovanje u reprodukciji. Kompariraju se opštine užeg gradskog jezgra i prigradske, i proverava da li promene u fertilitetu odgovaraju kontekstu teorije druge demografske tranzicije.