Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara
Abstract
Considering the actual scenario of contemporary global climate changes and their possible influence on forest fires, the connections between temperature changes and precipitations on fires have been examined in Deliblatska pescara. The basic characteristics of fires have been analyzed in the area which is considered the most endangered in Serbia. The decreasing trend of annual number of fires was ascertained for period the 1948-2002. However, the trend of annual temperature and precipitation changes is not in accordance with the trend of annual number of fires. Some seasonal aspects related with the change of climate elements cannot also explain the decreasing number of fires. A rising trend of annual fire spread surface have been ascertained, which is in accordance with air temperature rise at the end of the 20th century. However, five extreme values were far above the upper standard deviation, which was explained by non climate factors (increase of surface under pine trees, mistakes ...during fire extinguishing and similar).
Keywords:
Deliblatska pescara / forest fires / climate changesSource:
Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 2008, 58, 59-73Publisher:
- Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
Collections
Institution/Community
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Ducić, Vladan AU - Milenković, Milan AU - Radovanović, Milan PY - 2008 UR - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/274 AB - Considering the actual scenario of contemporary global climate changes and their possible influence on forest fires, the connections between temperature changes and precipitations on fires have been examined in Deliblatska pescara. The basic characteristics of fires have been analyzed in the area which is considered the most endangered in Serbia. The decreasing trend of annual number of fires was ascertained for period the 1948-2002. However, the trend of annual temperature and precipitation changes is not in accordance with the trend of annual number of fires. Some seasonal aspects related with the change of climate elements cannot also explain the decreasing number of fires. A rising trend of annual fire spread surface have been ascertained, which is in accordance with air temperature rise at the end of the 20th century. However, five extreme values were far above the upper standard deviation, which was explained by non climate factors (increase of surface under pine trees, mistakes during fire extinguishing and similar). PB - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd T2 - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU T1 - Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara IS - 58 SP - 59 EP - 73 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_274 ER -
@article{ author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan and Radovanović, Milan", year = "2008", abstract = "Considering the actual scenario of contemporary global climate changes and their possible influence on forest fires, the connections between temperature changes and precipitations on fires have been examined in Deliblatska pescara. The basic characteristics of fires have been analyzed in the area which is considered the most endangered in Serbia. The decreasing trend of annual number of fires was ascertained for period the 1948-2002. However, the trend of annual temperature and precipitation changes is not in accordance with the trend of annual number of fires. Some seasonal aspects related with the change of climate elements cannot also explain the decreasing number of fires. A rising trend of annual fire spread surface have been ascertained, which is in accordance with air temperature rise at the end of the 20th century. However, five extreme values were far above the upper standard deviation, which was explained by non climate factors (increase of surface under pine trees, mistakes during fire extinguishing and similar).", publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd", journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU", title = "Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara", number = "58", pages = "59-73", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_274" }
Ducić, V., Milenković, M.,& Radovanović, M.. (2008). Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd.(58), 59-73. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_274
Ducić V, Milenković M, Radovanović M. Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2008;(58):59-73. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_274 .
Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, Radovanović, Milan, "Contemporary climate variability and forest fires in Deliblatska pescara" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, no. 58 (2008):59-73, https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_274 .