Sustainable development of the Third world metropolises: Urban transport and urban form

Abstract

Population of the Third world metropolises simply exploded during last few decades: out of 67 million in 1950, it is going to reach 1.250 million in 2015. Hence, if motorization and motorized mobility of the Third world metropolises (that are quickly mounting, now) finally reach levels of the metropolises of the industrialized countries - global energy consumption and CO2 emissions in the sphere of urban transport will raise 14-fold and 9-fold respectively.

Ukupan broj stanovnika metropola nerazvijenog sveta uvećava se gotovo zastrašujućom brzinom: sa 67 miliona - 1950. godine, porašće na 1.250 miliona do 2015. godine. Ukoliko bi se bi se u metropolama Trećeg sveta nastavio trend nesputanog porasta stepena motorizacije i korišćenja motornih vozila i dostigao nivo potrošnje energije i emisije CO2 metropola razvijenog sveta to bi u globalnim razmerama donelo nesagledive posledice: 14 puta veću ukupnu potrošnju energije i 9 puta veću ukupnu emisiju CO2 u sferi gradskog saobraćaja.