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Linear trend temperature changes for latitudes in the period of satellite measurements

Promene linearnog trenda temperature vazduha po geografskim širinama u periodu satelitskih osmatranja

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2006
183.pdf (260.6Kb)
Authors
Ducić, Vladan
Nikolić, Jugoslav
Luković, Jelena
Article (Published version)
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Abstract
This study examines linear temperature trend changes for zones of 10º lati­tude, which are investigated by satellite data in the period 1979-2005. The main results confirm existence of polar amplification (increase) of temperature on the Northern hemisphere according to climate models, while changes on the Southern hemisphere do not confirm anthropogenic greenhouse models. Mathematically speaking, global warming is significant on the 54,18% of the Earth’s surface, but only on the highest probability level. Next level of probability does not support global character of warming.
U radu su ispitivane promene linearnog trenda temperature vazduha po pojasevima od po 10º geografske širine od 1979 do 2005, na osnovu satelitskih podataka. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju na prisustvo polarne amplifikacije (po-rast) temperature vazduha na severnoj hemisferi, u skladu sa modelima, dok promene na južnoj hemisferi ne odgovaraju modelima antropogenog efekta staklene bašte. Strogo matematički posmatrano, globalno otopljavanje je prisutno kao signifikantan trend, na 54,18% površine planete, ali samo na najvišoj matematičkoj verovatnoći rizika hipoteze. Već na sledećem nivou verovatnoće, otopljavanje nema globalni karakter.
Keywords:
temperature / satellite measurements / linear trend / polar amplification / global warming / temperatura vazduha / satelitska merenja / linearni trend / polarna amplifikacija / globalno otopljavanje
Source:
Zbornik radova - Geografski fakultet Univerziteta u Beogradu, 2006, 54, 37-46
Publisher:
  • Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet, Beograd
Funding / projects:
  • Intenzitet hemijske i mehaničke erozije i akumulacije u Istočnoj Srbiji (RS-146005)

ISSN: 1450-7552

[ Google Scholar ]
Handle
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_185
URI
https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/185
Collections
  • Radovi istraživača
Institution/Community
Geografski fakultet
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Nikolić, Jugoslav
AU  - Luković, Jelena
PY  - 2006
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/185
AB  - This study examines linear temperature trend changes for zones of 10º lati­tude, which are investigated by satellite data in the period 1979-2005. The main results confirm existence of polar amplification (increase) of temperature on the Northern hemisphere according to climate models, while changes on the Southern hemisphere do not confirm anthropogenic greenhouse models. Mathematically speaking, global warming is significant on the 54,18% of the Earth’s surface, but only on the highest probability level. Next level of probability does not support global character of warming.
AB  - U radu su ispitivane promene linearnog trenda temperature vazduha po pojasevima od po 10º geografske širine od 1979 do 2005, na osnovu satelitskih podataka. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju na prisustvo polarne amplifikacije (po-rast) temperature vazduha na severnoj hemisferi, u skladu sa modelima, dok promene na južnoj hemisferi ne odgovaraju modelima antropogenog efekta staklene bašte. Strogo matematički posmatrano, globalno otopljavanje je prisutno kao signifikantan trend, na 54,18% površine planete, ali samo na najvišoj matematičkoj verovatnoći rizika hipoteze. Već na sledećem nivou verovatnoće, otopljavanje nema globalni karakter.
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet, Beograd
T2  - Zbornik radova - Geografski fakultet Univerziteta u Beogradu
T1  - Linear trend temperature changes for latitudes in the period of satellite measurements
T1  - Promene linearnog trenda temperature vazduha po geografskim širinama u periodu satelitskih osmatranja
IS  - 54
SP  - 37
EP  - 46
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_185
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Nikolić, Jugoslav and Luković, Jelena",
year = "2006",
abstract = "This study examines linear temperature trend changes for zones of 10º lati­tude, which are investigated by satellite data in the period 1979-2005. The main results confirm existence of polar amplification (increase) of temperature on the Northern hemisphere according to climate models, while changes on the Southern hemisphere do not confirm anthropogenic greenhouse models. Mathematically speaking, global warming is significant on the 54,18% of the Earth’s surface, but only on the highest probability level. Next level of probability does not support global character of warming., U radu su ispitivane promene linearnog trenda temperature vazduha po pojasevima od po 10º geografske širine od 1979 do 2005, na osnovu satelitskih podataka. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju na prisustvo polarne amplifikacije (po-rast) temperature vazduha na severnoj hemisferi, u skladu sa modelima, dok promene na južnoj hemisferi ne odgovaraju modelima antropogenog efekta staklene bašte. Strogo matematički posmatrano, globalno otopljavanje je prisutno kao signifikantan trend, na 54,18% površine planete, ali samo na najvišoj matematičkoj verovatnoći rizika hipoteze. Već na sledećem nivou verovatnoće, otopljavanje nema globalni karakter.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet, Beograd",
journal = "Zbornik radova - Geografski fakultet Univerziteta u Beogradu",
title = "Linear trend temperature changes for latitudes in the period of satellite measurements, Promene linearnog trenda temperature vazduha po geografskim širinama u periodu satelitskih osmatranja",
number = "54",
pages = "37-46",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_185"
}
Ducić, V., Nikolić, J.,& Luković, J.. (2006). Linear trend temperature changes for latitudes in the period of satellite measurements. in Zbornik radova - Geografski fakultet Univerziteta u Beogradu
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet, Beograd.(54), 37-46.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_185
Ducić V, Nikolić J, Luković J. Linear trend temperature changes for latitudes in the period of satellite measurements. in Zbornik radova - Geografski fakultet Univerziteta u Beogradu. 2006;(54):37-46.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_185 .
Ducić, Vladan, Nikolić, Jugoslav, Luković, Jelena, "Linear trend temperature changes for latitudes in the period of satellite measurements" in Zbornik radova - Geografski fakultet Univerziteta u Beogradu, no. 54 (2006):37-46,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_185 .

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