Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia)
Autori
Durlević, UrošNovković, Ivan
Lukić, Tin
Valjarević, Aleksandar
Samardžić, Ivan
Krstić, Filip
Batoćanin, Natalija
Mijatov, Maja
Ćurić, Vladimir
Članak u časopisu (Objavljena verzija)
Metapodaci
Prikaz svih podataka o dokumentuApstrakt
The municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia) is
an area located within Šar Mountain National Park, which
is of great ecological importance. Due to the vicinity of
settlements, it is necessary to analyze the terrain's susceptibility
to natural hazards. The main goal of this research
was to determine locations that are highly vulnerable at
times of natural hazards (such as earthquakes, erosion,
torrential flooding, snow avalanches, and forest fires).
The first step in this research was to analyze seismic
hazards for a 475 years return period (VII–VIII MCS for
the observed area), which was possible by means of
Geographic Information Systems. The second step was to
determine the intensity of erosion and total sediment production
using the Erosion Potential Model. The third step
was related to the analysis of the potential of torrential
floods using the Flash Flood Potential Index. The Avalanches
Potential Index method was used as the fourth step. The fifth
step included th...e analysis of a terrain susceptibility to the
occurrence of forest fires. Following the five criteria analysis,
weight coefficients were assigned to each of the analyzed parameters
by using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), which
provided results of the total susceptibility to natural hazards of
the territory of Štrpce. Results indicated that over 45% of the
municipality is highly or very highly susceptible to various
natural hazards. This article represents a significant step
toward a better understanding of natural hazards and it
provides a unique knowledge basis for establishing the
management and mitigation guidelines and measures,
not only within the researched area but at regional and
national levels as well.
Ključne reči:
natural hazards / AHP / GIS / remote sensing / Šar mountainIzvor:
Open Geosciences, 2021, 13, 1, 1414-1431Izdavač:
- De Gruyter Open Access
Finansiranje / projekti:
DOI: 10.1515/geo-2020-0314
ISSN: 2391-5447
WoS: 000723691600001
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85120753653
Kolekcije
Institucija/grupa
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Durlević, Uroš AU - Novković, Ivan AU - Lukić, Tin AU - Valjarević, Aleksandar AU - Samardžić, Ivan AU - Krstić, Filip AU - Batoćanin, Natalija AU - Mijatov, Maja AU - Ćurić, Vladimir PY - 2021 UR - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1333 AB - The municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia) is an area located within Šar Mountain National Park, which is of great ecological importance. Due to the vicinity of settlements, it is necessary to analyze the terrain's susceptibility to natural hazards. The main goal of this research was to determine locations that are highly vulnerable at times of natural hazards (such as earthquakes, erosion, torrential flooding, snow avalanches, and forest fires). The first step in this research was to analyze seismic hazards for a 475 years return period (VII–VIII MCS for the observed area), which was possible by means of Geographic Information Systems. The second step was to determine the intensity of erosion and total sediment production using the Erosion Potential Model. The third step was related to the analysis of the potential of torrential floods using the Flash Flood Potential Index. The Avalanches Potential Index method was used as the fourth step. The fifth step included the analysis of a terrain susceptibility to the occurrence of forest fires. Following the five criteria analysis, weight coefficients were assigned to each of the analyzed parameters by using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), which provided results of the total susceptibility to natural hazards of the territory of Štrpce. Results indicated that over 45% of the municipality is highly or very highly susceptible to various natural hazards. This article represents a significant step toward a better understanding of natural hazards and it provides a unique knowledge basis for establishing the management and mitigation guidelines and measures, not only within the researched area but at regional and national levels as well. PB - De Gruyter Open Access T2 - Open Geosciences T1 - Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia) VL - 13 IS - 1 SP - 1414 EP - 1431 DO - 10.1515/geo-2020-0314 ER -
@article{ author = "Durlević, Uroš and Novković, Ivan and Lukić, Tin and Valjarević, Aleksandar and Samardžić, Ivan and Krstić, Filip and Batoćanin, Natalija and Mijatov, Maja and Ćurić, Vladimir", year = "2021", abstract = "The municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia) is an area located within Šar Mountain National Park, which is of great ecological importance. Due to the vicinity of settlements, it is necessary to analyze the terrain's susceptibility to natural hazards. The main goal of this research was to determine locations that are highly vulnerable at times of natural hazards (such as earthquakes, erosion, torrential flooding, snow avalanches, and forest fires). The first step in this research was to analyze seismic hazards for a 475 years return period (VII–VIII MCS for the observed area), which was possible by means of Geographic Information Systems. The second step was to determine the intensity of erosion and total sediment production using the Erosion Potential Model. The third step was related to the analysis of the potential of torrential floods using the Flash Flood Potential Index. The Avalanches Potential Index method was used as the fourth step. The fifth step included the analysis of a terrain susceptibility to the occurrence of forest fires. Following the five criteria analysis, weight coefficients were assigned to each of the analyzed parameters by using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), which provided results of the total susceptibility to natural hazards of the territory of Štrpce. Results indicated that over 45% of the municipality is highly or very highly susceptible to various natural hazards. This article represents a significant step toward a better understanding of natural hazards and it provides a unique knowledge basis for establishing the management and mitigation guidelines and measures, not only within the researched area but at regional and national levels as well.", publisher = "De Gruyter Open Access", journal = "Open Geosciences", title = "Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia)", volume = "13", number = "1", pages = "1414-1431", doi = "10.1515/geo-2020-0314" }
Durlević, U., Novković, I., Lukić, T., Valjarević, A., Samardžić, I., Krstić, F., Batoćanin, N., Mijatov, M.,& Ćurić, V.. (2021). Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia). in Open Geosciences De Gruyter Open Access., 13(1), 1414-1431. https://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2020-0314
Durlević U, Novković I, Lukić T, Valjarević A, Samardžić I, Krstić F, Batoćanin N, Mijatov M, Ćurić V. Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia). in Open Geosciences. 2021;13(1):1414-1431. doi:10.1515/geo-2020-0314 .
Durlević, Uroš, Novković, Ivan, Lukić, Tin, Valjarević, Aleksandar, Samardžić, Ivan, Krstić, Filip, Batoćanin, Natalija, Mijatov, Maja, Ćurić, Vladimir, "Multihazard susceptibility assessment: A case study – Municipality of Štrpce (Southern Serbia)" in Open Geosciences, 13, no. 1 (2021):1414-1431, https://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2020-0314 . .