Updated Trewartha climate classification with four climate change scenarios
Само за регистроване кориснике
2022
Чланак у часопису (Објављена верзија)
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Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт
The Updated Trewartha climate classification (TWCC) at global level shows the
changes that are expected as a consequence of global temperature increase and
imbalance of precipitation. This type of classification is more precise than the
Köppen climate classification. Predictions included the increase in global tem perature (T in °C) and change in the amount of precipitation (PA in mm). Two
climate models MIROC6 and IPSL-CM6A- LR were used, along with 4261 mete orological stations from which the data on temperature and precipitation were
taken. These climate models were used because they represent the most extreme
models in the CMIP6 database. Four scenarios of climate change and their terri tories were analysed in accordance with the TWCC classification. Four scenarios
of representative concentration pathway (RCP) by 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5 W/m2
fol low the increase of temperature between 0.3°C and 4.3°C in relation to precipita tion and are being analysed for the periods... 2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2061–2080 and
2081–2100. The biggest extremes are shown in the last grid for the period 2081–
2100, reflecting the increase of T up to 4.3°C. With the help of GIS (geographical
information systems) and spatial analyses, it is possible to estimate the changes in
climate zones as well as their movement. Australia and South East Asia will suffer
the biggest changes of biomes, followed by South America and North America.
Climate belts to undergo the biggest change due to such temperature according to
TWCC are Ar, Am, Aw and BS, BW, E, Ft and Fi. The Antarctic will lose 11.5% of
the territory under Fi and Ft climates within the period between 2081 and 2100.
The conclusion is that the climates BW, Bwh and Bwk, which represent the de serts, will increase by 119.8% with the increase of T by 4.3°C
Кључне речи:
climate scenarios / GIS / IPSL-CM6A- LR / MIROC6 / updated Trewartha climate classificationИзвор:
The Geographical Journal, 2022, 188, 4, 506-517Издавач:
- John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
- The Royal Geographical Society
Финансирање / пројекти:
DOI: 10.1111/geoj.12458
ISSN: 0016-7398
WoS: 00082235990000
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85133566984
Колекције
Институција/група
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Valjarević, Aleksandar AU - Milanović, Miško AU - Gultepe, Ismail AU - Filipović, Dejan AU - Lukić, Tin PY - 2022 UR - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1181 AB - The Updated Trewartha climate classification (TWCC) at global level shows the changes that are expected as a consequence of global temperature increase and imbalance of precipitation. This type of classification is more precise than the Köppen climate classification. Predictions included the increase in global tem perature (T in °C) and change in the amount of precipitation (PA in mm). Two climate models MIROC6 and IPSL-CM6A- LR were used, along with 4261 mete orological stations from which the data on temperature and precipitation were taken. These climate models were used because they represent the most extreme models in the CMIP6 database. Four scenarios of climate change and their terri tories were analysed in accordance with the TWCC classification. Four scenarios of representative concentration pathway (RCP) by 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5 W/m2 fol low the increase of temperature between 0.3°C and 4.3°C in relation to precipita tion and are being analysed for the periods 2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2061–2080 and 2081–2100. The biggest extremes are shown in the last grid for the period 2081– 2100, reflecting the increase of T up to 4.3°C. With the help of GIS (geographical information systems) and spatial analyses, it is possible to estimate the changes in climate zones as well as their movement. Australia and South East Asia will suffer the biggest changes of biomes, followed by South America and North America. Climate belts to undergo the biggest change due to such temperature according to TWCC are Ar, Am, Aw and BS, BW, E, Ft and Fi. The Antarctic will lose 11.5% of the territory under Fi and Ft climates within the period between 2081 and 2100. The conclusion is that the climates BW, Bwh and Bwk, which represent the de serts, will increase by 119.8% with the increase of T by 4.3°C PB - John Wiley & Sons, Ltd PB - The Royal Geographical Society T2 - The Geographical Journal T1 - Updated Trewartha climate classification with four climate change scenarios VL - 188 IS - 4 SP - 506 EP - 517 DO - 10.1111/geoj.12458 ER -
@article{ author = "Valjarević, Aleksandar and Milanović, Miško and Gultepe, Ismail and Filipović, Dejan and Lukić, Tin", year = "2022", abstract = "The Updated Trewartha climate classification (TWCC) at global level shows the changes that are expected as a consequence of global temperature increase and imbalance of precipitation. This type of classification is more precise than the Köppen climate classification. Predictions included the increase in global tem perature (T in °C) and change in the amount of precipitation (PA in mm). Two climate models MIROC6 and IPSL-CM6A- LR were used, along with 4261 mete orological stations from which the data on temperature and precipitation were taken. These climate models were used because they represent the most extreme models in the CMIP6 database. Four scenarios of climate change and their terri tories were analysed in accordance with the TWCC classification. Four scenarios of representative concentration pathway (RCP) by 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5 W/m2 fol low the increase of temperature between 0.3°C and 4.3°C in relation to precipita tion and are being analysed for the periods 2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2061–2080 and 2081–2100. The biggest extremes are shown in the last grid for the period 2081– 2100, reflecting the increase of T up to 4.3°C. With the help of GIS (geographical information systems) and spatial analyses, it is possible to estimate the changes in climate zones as well as their movement. Australia and South East Asia will suffer the biggest changes of biomes, followed by South America and North America. Climate belts to undergo the biggest change due to such temperature according to TWCC are Ar, Am, Aw and BS, BW, E, Ft and Fi. The Antarctic will lose 11.5% of the territory under Fi and Ft climates within the period between 2081 and 2100. The conclusion is that the climates BW, Bwh and Bwk, which represent the de serts, will increase by 119.8% with the increase of T by 4.3°C", publisher = "John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, The Royal Geographical Society", journal = "The Geographical Journal", title = "Updated Trewartha climate classification with four climate change scenarios", volume = "188", number = "4", pages = "506-517", doi = "10.1111/geoj.12458" }
Valjarević, A., Milanović, M., Gultepe, I., Filipović, D.,& Lukić, T.. (2022). Updated Trewartha climate classification with four climate change scenarios. in The Geographical Journal John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., 188(4), 506-517. https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.12458
Valjarević A, Milanović M, Gultepe I, Filipović D, Lukić T. Updated Trewartha climate classification with four climate change scenarios. in The Geographical Journal. 2022;188(4):506-517. doi:10.1111/geoj.12458 .
Valjarević, Aleksandar, Milanović, Miško, Gultepe, Ismail, Filipović, Dejan, Lukić, Tin, "Updated Trewartha climate classification with four climate change scenarios" in The Geographical Journal, 188, no. 4 (2022):506-517, https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.12458 . .