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Uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanju kolebanja klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu

Spatial pattern of climate change in Serbia in the instrumental period

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2013
Disertacija.pdf (30.31Mb)
Authors
Luković, Jelena
Contributors
Ducić, Vladan
Doctoral thesis (Published version)
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Abstract
Recently, there are many papers analyzing the spatial pattern of air temperature and / or precipitation over the particular area. In this sense, there is very often use of GIS tools and interpolation methods. The use of GIS in climatology is primarily used in climatological maps, depicting the spatial distribution of certain climatic elements. Since the main objective of the thesis is introduction of the spatial approach in the study of climate change in Serbia in the instrumental period, the focus was on the spatial analysis of climatic elements (rainfall, temperature, solar radiation, cloud cover and humidity) and their trends in Serbia in the period 1949-2010. Precipitation and air temperature trend an annual, monthly and seasonal level has been analyzed, applying thematic maps made using web mapping tools. In order to get insight the analysis of the rainfall regime and its uncertainty, rain-spell analysis was performed. General results are showing absence of statistically significa...nt rainfall trends and their spatial coherence. There is, however, slight tendency towards drier conditions during the winter and spring, and the opposite one in the autumn. A significant increase in temperature is detected during the last two decades. The results obtained for Serbia are in line with those obtained for Europe. At many stations in Serbia, there has been a warming trend from 1970s. The negative trend is also calculated for number of sunshine hours, cloud cover and relative humidity. Results generally suggest very weak trends all over the Serbia at annual scale, but show significant spatial patterns...

Poslednjih godina, u stručnoj literaturi iz oblasti klimatologije sve više je radova u kojima se analizira prostorni raspored temperature vazduha i/ili padavina na određenoj teritoriji. U tom smislu, sve češća je primena GIS-a i, u okviru njih, upotreba metoda interpolacije. Korišćenje GIS-a u klimatologiji pre svega ima primenu u izradi klimatoloških karata, na kojima je prikazan prostorni raspored nekog klimatskog elementa Kako je osnovni cilj teze uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanje promena klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu, to je akcenat bio na prostornoj analizi klimatskih elemenata i vrednosti njihovih trendova. Razmatran je prostorni raspored padavina, temperature vazduha, insolacije, oblačnosti i relativne vlažnosti vazduha u Srbiji u periodu od 1949. do 2010. godine. Analiziran je raspored trenda padavina i temperature vazduha u Srbiji na godišnjem, mesečnom i sezonskom nivou, prostorni raspored trendova uz pomoć tematskih mapa napravljenih primenom web kartiranj...a. U cilju detaljnije analize režima i njegove nesigurnosti padavina izvršen je analiza dnevnih padavina po kišnim epizodama, njihovim karakteristikama i uticaju na godišnju sumu padavina. Rezultati trenda padavina ne pokazuju statističku značajnost, kao i prostornu koherentnost. Uočena je, međutim, veoma blaga tendencija ka snižavanju padavina na sezonskom nivou, tokom zime i proleća, kao i ka povećanju tokom jeseni. Značajan porast temperature vazduha prisutan je na većini analiziranih stanica tokom poslednje dve decenije. Rezultati dobijeni za Srbiju u skladu sa onim za Evropu. Na mnogim stanicama u Srbiji uočen je trend otopljavanja počev od kraja 1970-ih godina. Negativan trend karakterističan je za insolaciju, oblačnost i relativnu vlažnost vazduha...

Keywords:
spatial pattern / rainfall / temperature / trend / Serbia / prostorni raspored / padavine / temperatura vazduha / trend / Srbija
Source:
2013
Publisher:
  • Univerzitet u Beogradu, Geografski fakultet
[ Google Scholar ]
Handle
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_2174
URI
http://nardus.mpn.gov.rs/handle/123456789/2174
http://eteze.bg.ac.rs/application/showtheses?thesesId=1039
https://fedorabg.bg.ac.rs/fedora/get/o:7702/bdef:Content/download
http://vbs.rs/scripts/cobiss?command=DISPLAY&base=70036&RID=45089807
https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1097
Collections
  • Doktorske disertacije
Institution/Community
Geografski fakultet
TY  - THES
AU  - Luković, Jelena
PY  - 2013
UR  - http://nardus.mpn.gov.rs/handle/123456789/2174
UR  - http://eteze.bg.ac.rs/application/showtheses?thesesId=1039
UR  - https://fedorabg.bg.ac.rs/fedora/get/o:7702/bdef:Content/download
UR  - http://vbs.rs/scripts/cobiss?command=DISPLAY&base=70036&RID=45089807
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1097
AB  - Recently, there are many papers analyzing the spatial pattern of air temperature and / or precipitation over the particular area. In this sense, there is very often use of GIS tools and interpolation methods. The use of GIS in climatology is primarily used in climatological maps, depicting the spatial distribution of certain climatic elements. Since the main objective of the thesis is introduction of the spatial approach in the study of climate change in Serbia in the instrumental period, the focus was on the spatial analysis of climatic elements (rainfall, temperature, solar radiation, cloud cover and humidity) and their trends in Serbia in the period 1949-2010. Precipitation and air temperature trend an annual, monthly and seasonal level has been analyzed, applying thematic maps made using web mapping tools. In order to get insight the analysis of the rainfall regime and its uncertainty, rain-spell analysis was performed. General results are showing absence of statistically significant rainfall trends and their spatial coherence. There is, however, slight tendency towards drier conditions during the winter and spring, and the opposite one in the autumn. A significant increase in temperature is detected during the last two decades. The results obtained for Serbia are in line with those obtained for Europe. At many stations in Serbia, there has been a warming trend from 1970s. The negative trend is also calculated for number of sunshine hours, cloud cover and relative humidity. Results generally suggest very weak trends all over the Serbia at annual scale, but show significant spatial patterns...
AB  - Poslednjih godina, u stručnoj literaturi iz oblasti klimatologije sve više je radova u kojima se analizira prostorni raspored temperature vazduha i/ili padavina na određenoj teritoriji. U tom smislu, sve češća je primena GIS-a i, u okviru njih, upotreba metoda interpolacije. Korišćenje GIS-a u klimatologiji pre svega ima primenu u izradi klimatoloških karata, na kojima je prikazan prostorni raspored nekog klimatskog elementa Kako je osnovni cilj teze uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanje promena klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu, to je akcenat bio na prostornoj analizi klimatskih elemenata i vrednosti njihovih trendova. Razmatran je prostorni raspored padavina, temperature vazduha, insolacije, oblačnosti i relativne vlažnosti vazduha u Srbiji u periodu od 1949. do 2010. godine. Analiziran je raspored trenda padavina i temperature vazduha u Srbiji na godišnjem, mesečnom i sezonskom nivou, prostorni raspored trendova uz pomoć tematskih mapa napravljenih primenom web kartiranja. U cilju detaljnije analize režima i njegove nesigurnosti padavina izvršen je analiza dnevnih padavina po kišnim epizodama, njihovim karakteristikama i uticaju na godišnju sumu padavina. Rezultati trenda padavina ne pokazuju statističku značajnost, kao i prostornu koherentnost. Uočena je, međutim, veoma blaga tendencija ka snižavanju padavina na sezonskom nivou, tokom zime i proleća, kao i ka povećanju tokom jeseni. Značajan porast temperature vazduha prisutan je na većini analiziranih stanica tokom poslednje dve decenije. Rezultati dobijeni za Srbiju u skladu sa onim za Evropu. Na mnogim stanicama u Srbiji uočen je trend otopljavanja počev od kraja 1970-ih godina. Negativan trend karakterističan je za insolaciju, oblačnost i relativnu vlažnost vazduha...
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu, Geografski fakultet
T1  - Uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanju kolebanja klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu
T1  - Spatial pattern of climate change in Serbia in the instrumental period
UR  - t-680
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_2174
ER  - 
@phdthesis{
author = "Luković, Jelena",
year = "2013",
abstract = "Recently, there are many papers analyzing the spatial pattern of air temperature and / or precipitation over the particular area. In this sense, there is very often use of GIS tools and interpolation methods. The use of GIS in climatology is primarily used in climatological maps, depicting the spatial distribution of certain climatic elements. Since the main objective of the thesis is introduction of the spatial approach in the study of climate change in Serbia in the instrumental period, the focus was on the spatial analysis of climatic elements (rainfall, temperature, solar radiation, cloud cover and humidity) and their trends in Serbia in the period 1949-2010. Precipitation and air temperature trend an annual, monthly and seasonal level has been analyzed, applying thematic maps made using web mapping tools. In order to get insight the analysis of the rainfall regime and its uncertainty, rain-spell analysis was performed. General results are showing absence of statistically significant rainfall trends and their spatial coherence. There is, however, slight tendency towards drier conditions during the winter and spring, and the opposite one in the autumn. A significant increase in temperature is detected during the last two decades. The results obtained for Serbia are in line with those obtained for Europe. At many stations in Serbia, there has been a warming trend from 1970s. The negative trend is also calculated for number of sunshine hours, cloud cover and relative humidity. Results generally suggest very weak trends all over the Serbia at annual scale, but show significant spatial patterns..., Poslednjih godina, u stručnoj literaturi iz oblasti klimatologije sve više je radova u kojima se analizira prostorni raspored temperature vazduha i/ili padavina na određenoj teritoriji. U tom smislu, sve češća je primena GIS-a i, u okviru njih, upotreba metoda interpolacije. Korišćenje GIS-a u klimatologiji pre svega ima primenu u izradi klimatoloških karata, na kojima je prikazan prostorni raspored nekog klimatskog elementa Kako je osnovni cilj teze uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanje promena klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu, to je akcenat bio na prostornoj analizi klimatskih elemenata i vrednosti njihovih trendova. Razmatran je prostorni raspored padavina, temperature vazduha, insolacije, oblačnosti i relativne vlažnosti vazduha u Srbiji u periodu od 1949. do 2010. godine. Analiziran je raspored trenda padavina i temperature vazduha u Srbiji na godišnjem, mesečnom i sezonskom nivou, prostorni raspored trendova uz pomoć tematskih mapa napravljenih primenom web kartiranja. U cilju detaljnije analize režima i njegove nesigurnosti padavina izvršen je analiza dnevnih padavina po kišnim epizodama, njihovim karakteristikama i uticaju na godišnju sumu padavina. Rezultati trenda padavina ne pokazuju statističku značajnost, kao i prostornu koherentnost. Uočena je, međutim, veoma blaga tendencija ka snižavanju padavina na sezonskom nivou, tokom zime i proleća, kao i ka povećanju tokom jeseni. Značajan porast temperature vazduha prisutan je na većini analiziranih stanica tokom poslednje dve decenije. Rezultati dobijeni za Srbiju u skladu sa onim za Evropu. Na mnogim stanicama u Srbiji uočen je trend otopljavanja počev od kraja 1970-ih godina. Negativan trend karakterističan je za insolaciju, oblačnost i relativnu vlažnost vazduha...",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu, Geografski fakultet",
title = "Uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanju kolebanja klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu, Spatial pattern of climate change in Serbia in the instrumental period",
url = "t-680, https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_2174"
}
Luković, J.. (2013). Uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanju kolebanja klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu. 
Univerzitet u Beogradu, Geografski fakultet..
t-680
Luković J. Uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanju kolebanja klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu. 2013;.
t-680 .
Luković, Jelena, "Uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanju kolebanja klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu" (2013),
t-680 .

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