Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro
Abstract
The aim of the research of this paper is changes in air temperature and precipitation in the north of Montenegro in the instrumental period (1951-2018) and projections up to 2100. Kolasin was chosen because the altitude of the place is the average height of the northern region of Montenegro (about 1000 m), the meteorological station has not changed its location since the beginning of instrumental measurements, and homogeneity was tested (for the instrumental period). In general, the climate of Kolasin (1951-2018) has become warmer and with more frequent extreme daily temperatures and precipitations in an upward trend. When it comes to the projections for the north of this Mediterranean country, according to the A1B scenario of the Regional Climate Model EBU-POM, the results indicate warmer conditions and very warm ones at the end of the 21st century. The projected reduction of the annual number of almost all the considered rainfall days also implies that a slightly more arid future is ...expected. The climate of the mountainous north of Montenegro is changing, and the results presented in this paper may serve decision makers to take some measures of adaptation (in tourism, agriculture, architecture, water management, etc.) and climate change mitigation.
Keywords:
Montenegro / Kolasin / temperature and precipitation indices / climate changesSource:
Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 2020, 70, 3, 189-201Publisher:
- Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd
DOI: 10.2298/IJGI2003189D
ISSN: 0350-7599
WoS: 000607062100001
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85098218100
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Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Doderović, Miroslav AU - Burić, Dragan AU - Ducić, Vladan AU - Mijanović, Ivan PY - 2020 UR - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1062 AB - The aim of the research of this paper is changes in air temperature and precipitation in the north of Montenegro in the instrumental period (1951-2018) and projections up to 2100. Kolasin was chosen because the altitude of the place is the average height of the northern region of Montenegro (about 1000 m), the meteorological station has not changed its location since the beginning of instrumental measurements, and homogeneity was tested (for the instrumental period). In general, the climate of Kolasin (1951-2018) has become warmer and with more frequent extreme daily temperatures and precipitations in an upward trend. When it comes to the projections for the north of this Mediterranean country, according to the A1B scenario of the Regional Climate Model EBU-POM, the results indicate warmer conditions and very warm ones at the end of the 21st century. The projected reduction of the annual number of almost all the considered rainfall days also implies that a slightly more arid future is expected. The climate of the mountainous north of Montenegro is changing, and the results presented in this paper may serve decision makers to take some measures of adaptation (in tourism, agriculture, architecture, water management, etc.) and climate change mitigation. PB - Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd T2 - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU T1 - Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro VL - 70 IS - 3 SP - 189 EP - 201 DO - 10.2298/IJGI2003189D UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062 ER -
@article{ author = "Doderović, Miroslav and Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mijanović, Ivan", year = "2020", abstract = "The aim of the research of this paper is changes in air temperature and precipitation in the north of Montenegro in the instrumental period (1951-2018) and projections up to 2100. Kolasin was chosen because the altitude of the place is the average height of the northern region of Montenegro (about 1000 m), the meteorological station has not changed its location since the beginning of instrumental measurements, and homogeneity was tested (for the instrumental period). In general, the climate of Kolasin (1951-2018) has become warmer and with more frequent extreme daily temperatures and precipitations in an upward trend. When it comes to the projections for the north of this Mediterranean country, according to the A1B scenario of the Regional Climate Model EBU-POM, the results indicate warmer conditions and very warm ones at the end of the 21st century. The projected reduction of the annual number of almost all the considered rainfall days also implies that a slightly more arid future is expected. The climate of the mountainous north of Montenegro is changing, and the results presented in this paper may serve decision makers to take some measures of adaptation (in tourism, agriculture, architecture, water management, etc.) and climate change mitigation.", publisher = "Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd", journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU", title = "Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro", volume = "70", number = "3", pages = "189-201", doi = "10.2298/IJGI2003189D", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062" }
Doderović, M., Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Mijanović, I.. (2020). Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut 'Jovan Cvijić', Beograd., 70(3), 189-201. https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2003189D https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062
Doderović M, Burić D, Ducić V, Mijanović I. Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2020;70(3):189-201. doi:10.2298/IJGI2003189D https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062 .
Doderović, Miroslav, Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mijanović, Ivan, "Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 70, no. 3 (2020):189-201, https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2003189D ., https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062 .