Assessment of climate change risks to natural resources in the republic of Serbia
Abstract
A temperature rise, extreme weather conditions and its consequences negatively impact the quality of life in towns and regions in Serbia and are challenges yet to be faced in the future. In order to prepare the country more adequately to altered climate conditions, as well as the successful implementation of adaptive measures, it is necessary to determine the vulnerability, as well as the assessment of the risks to certain sectors to climate change. Estimates show that since 2000 the Republic of Serbia has faced several significant extreme climate and weather events that have caused the loss of human life, considerable material consequences and degradation of the natural environment. The consequences have been various depending on the part of the country and the paper uses as an example the Raska Administrative District which covers an area of 3.918 km(2) and has 309.258 residents. The aim of the paper is to assess the vulnerability and assessment of the risks of natural resources (agr...icultural and forest land) of the Raska Administrative District to climate change based on methodology 'FUTURE CITIES Adaptation Compass' [1], developed as part of the EU Project FUTURE CITIES. Using the results of 9 different models for the RCP 8.5 scenario, the paper concluded that agriculture and forests would be at a very high risk of heat waves, droughts and extreme precipitation, as well as under the medium-level risk of extreme cold. The research has a applicative character as it represents the starting point in the process of adapting to climate change. Also, the result of the paper has significant impact on planning spatial development because the defining of planned solutions must be in correlation with possibilities for adapting the sector to different climate conditions, and thus the realistic concept of spatial development.
Keywords:
Vulnerability / risk assessment / climate change / agriculture / forest / Republic of Serbia / Raska Administrative DistrictSource:
Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 2020, 29, 4 A, 2758-2765Publisher:
- Parlar Scientific Publications
Collections
Institution/Community
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Duškov, Ljubica AU - Filipović, Dejan AU - Đurđević, Vladimir PY - 2020 UR - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1060 AB - A temperature rise, extreme weather conditions and its consequences negatively impact the quality of life in towns and regions in Serbia and are challenges yet to be faced in the future. In order to prepare the country more adequately to altered climate conditions, as well as the successful implementation of adaptive measures, it is necessary to determine the vulnerability, as well as the assessment of the risks to certain sectors to climate change. Estimates show that since 2000 the Republic of Serbia has faced several significant extreme climate and weather events that have caused the loss of human life, considerable material consequences and degradation of the natural environment. The consequences have been various depending on the part of the country and the paper uses as an example the Raska Administrative District which covers an area of 3.918 km(2) and has 309.258 residents. The aim of the paper is to assess the vulnerability and assessment of the risks of natural resources (agricultural and forest land) of the Raska Administrative District to climate change based on methodology 'FUTURE CITIES Adaptation Compass' [1], developed as part of the EU Project FUTURE CITIES. Using the results of 9 different models for the RCP 8.5 scenario, the paper concluded that agriculture and forests would be at a very high risk of heat waves, droughts and extreme precipitation, as well as under the medium-level risk of extreme cold. The research has a applicative character as it represents the starting point in the process of adapting to climate change. Also, the result of the paper has significant impact on planning spatial development because the defining of planned solutions must be in correlation with possibilities for adapting the sector to different climate conditions, and thus the realistic concept of spatial development. PB - Parlar Scientific Publications T2 - Fresenius Environmental Bulletin T1 - Assessment of climate change risks to natural resources in the republic of Serbia VL - 29 IS - 4 A SP - 2758 EP - 2765 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1060 ER -
@article{ author = "Duškov, Ljubica and Filipović, Dejan and Đurđević, Vladimir", year = "2020", abstract = "A temperature rise, extreme weather conditions and its consequences negatively impact the quality of life in towns and regions in Serbia and are challenges yet to be faced in the future. In order to prepare the country more adequately to altered climate conditions, as well as the successful implementation of adaptive measures, it is necessary to determine the vulnerability, as well as the assessment of the risks to certain sectors to climate change. Estimates show that since 2000 the Republic of Serbia has faced several significant extreme climate and weather events that have caused the loss of human life, considerable material consequences and degradation of the natural environment. The consequences have been various depending on the part of the country and the paper uses as an example the Raska Administrative District which covers an area of 3.918 km(2) and has 309.258 residents. The aim of the paper is to assess the vulnerability and assessment of the risks of natural resources (agricultural and forest land) of the Raska Administrative District to climate change based on methodology 'FUTURE CITIES Adaptation Compass' [1], developed as part of the EU Project FUTURE CITIES. Using the results of 9 different models for the RCP 8.5 scenario, the paper concluded that agriculture and forests would be at a very high risk of heat waves, droughts and extreme precipitation, as well as under the medium-level risk of extreme cold. The research has a applicative character as it represents the starting point in the process of adapting to climate change. Also, the result of the paper has significant impact on planning spatial development because the defining of planned solutions must be in correlation with possibilities for adapting the sector to different climate conditions, and thus the realistic concept of spatial development.", publisher = "Parlar Scientific Publications", journal = "Fresenius Environmental Bulletin", title = "Assessment of climate change risks to natural resources in the republic of Serbia", volume = "29", number = "4 A", pages = "2758-2765", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1060" }
Duškov, L., Filipović, D.,& Đurđević, V.. (2020). Assessment of climate change risks to natural resources in the republic of Serbia. in Fresenius Environmental Bulletin Parlar Scientific Publications., 29(4 A), 2758-2765. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1060
Duškov L, Filipović D, Đurđević V. Assessment of climate change risks to natural resources in the republic of Serbia. in Fresenius Environmental Bulletin. 2020;29(4 A):2758-2765. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1060 .
Duškov, Ljubica, Filipović, Dejan, Đurđević, Vladimir, "Assessment of climate change risks to natural resources in the republic of Serbia" in Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 29, no. 4 A (2020):2758-2765, https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1060 .