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The future of edible crops in Europe and their maximum point of resistance in temperature increase

Thumbnail
2020
1025.pdf (2.732Mb)
Authors
Valjarević, Aleksandar
Milanović, Miško
Golijanin, Jelena
Milinčić, Miroljub
Lukić, Tin
Article (Published version)
Metadata
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Abstract
In the last decades. knowledge about the climate has increased significantly. Climate change today is the subject of many sciences, including meteorology, climatology, geology, geography, geophysics, astronomy, etc. The present predictions with updated meteorological data and with data of the number of particles of CO2 in the troposphere may give satisfying results. Forecasting for industrial grains such as maize, soybean, and wheat will be essential for industry and everyday life. Within the last agreement of climate change in Paris, global temperatures will continuously be increasing by 2100. In this research, we used a synthetic grid with agroclimatological data which comprises predictions until 2100. These data were found in the sub-section called World Clim Version 1 or in the CMIP5 database. After numerical and gcospatial GIS analysis, we got the following predictions: (i) slight- no temperature changes or changes including the increase of temperature by 0.5 degrees C, (ii) moder...ate- temperature increases by 2.0 degrees C, (iii) severe- temperature increases by 5.0 degrees C, and (iv) incredible-temperature increases to extreme values. incase of which the survival of plants will be endangered.

Keywords:
plants / Europe / GIS / geospatial / agroclimatology / predictions / future
Source:
Idojaras, 2020, 124, 4, 541-560
Publisher:
  • Hungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest

DOI: 10.28974/idojaras.2020.4.7

ISSN: 0324-6329

WoS: 000598175500007

Scopus: 2-s2.0-85097380433
[ Google Scholar ]
URI
https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1027
Collections
  • Radovi istraživača
Institution/Community
Geografski fakultet
TY  - JOUR
AU  - Valjarević, Aleksandar
AU  - Milanović, Miško
AU  - Golijanin, Jelena
AU  - Milinčić, Miroljub
AU  - Lukić, Tin
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1027
AB  - In the last decades. knowledge about the climate has increased significantly. Climate change today is the subject of many sciences, including meteorology, climatology, geology, geography, geophysics, astronomy, etc. The present predictions with updated meteorological data and with data of the number of particles of CO2 in the troposphere may give satisfying results. Forecasting for industrial grains such as maize, soybean, and wheat will be essential for industry and everyday life. Within the last agreement of climate change in Paris, global temperatures will continuously be increasing by 2100. In this research, we used a synthetic grid with agroclimatological data which comprises predictions until 2100. These data were found in the sub-section called World Clim Version 1 or in the CMIP5 database. After numerical and gcospatial GIS analysis, we got the following predictions: (i) slight- no temperature changes or changes including the increase of temperature by 0.5 degrees C, (ii) moderate- temperature increases by 2.0 degrees C, (iii) severe- temperature increases by 5.0 degrees C, and (iv) incredible-temperature increases to extreme values. incase of which the survival of plants will be endangered.
PB  - Hungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest
T2  - Idojaras
T1  - The future of edible crops in Europe and their maximum point of resistance in temperature increase
VL  - 124
IS  - 4
SP  - 541
EP  - 560
DO  - 10.28974/idojaras.2020.4.7
UR  - convd_1907
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Valjarević, Aleksandar and Milanović, Miško and Golijanin, Jelena and Milinčić, Miroljub and Lukić, Tin",
year = "2020",
abstract = "In the last decades. knowledge about the climate has increased significantly. Climate change today is the subject of many sciences, including meteorology, climatology, geology, geography, geophysics, astronomy, etc. The present predictions with updated meteorological data and with data of the number of particles of CO2 in the troposphere may give satisfying results. Forecasting for industrial grains such as maize, soybean, and wheat will be essential for industry and everyday life. Within the last agreement of climate change in Paris, global temperatures will continuously be increasing by 2100. In this research, we used a synthetic grid with agroclimatological data which comprises predictions until 2100. These data were found in the sub-section called World Clim Version 1 or in the CMIP5 database. After numerical and gcospatial GIS analysis, we got the following predictions: (i) slight- no temperature changes or changes including the increase of temperature by 0.5 degrees C, (ii) moderate- temperature increases by 2.0 degrees C, (iii) severe- temperature increases by 5.0 degrees C, and (iv) incredible-temperature increases to extreme values. incase of which the survival of plants will be endangered.",
publisher = "Hungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest",
journal = "Idojaras",
title = "The future of edible crops in Europe and their maximum point of resistance in temperature increase",
volume = "124",
number = "4",
pages = "541-560",
doi = "10.28974/idojaras.2020.4.7",
url = "convd_1907"
}
Valjarević, A., Milanović, M., Golijanin, J., Milinčić, M.,& Lukić, T.. (2020). The future of edible crops in Europe and their maximum point of resistance in temperature increase. in Idojaras
Hungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest., 124(4), 541-560.
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2020.4.7
convd_1907
Valjarević A, Milanović M, Golijanin J, Milinčić M, Lukić T. The future of edible crops in Europe and their maximum point of resistance in temperature increase. in Idojaras. 2020;124(4):541-560.
doi:10.28974/idojaras.2020.4.7
convd_1907 .
Valjarević, Aleksandar, Milanović, Miško, Golijanin, Jelena, Milinčić, Miroljub, Lukić, Tin, "The future of edible crops in Europe and their maximum point of resistance in temperature increase" in Idojaras, 124, no. 4 (2020):541-560,
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2020.4.7 .,
convd_1907 .

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