TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milentijević, Nikola
AU  - Valjarević, Aleksandar
AU  - Bačević, Nikola
AU  - Ristić, Dušan
AU  - Kalkan, Kristina
AU  - Cimbaljević, Marija
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
AU  - Savić, Stevan
AU  - Pantelić, Milana
PY  - 2022
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1182
AB  - Climate change is one of the largest environmental issues causing hydroclimatological extremes such as floods, droughts, and aridity. The aim of this study is to assess the observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia). Detailed trend analyses and possible climate scenarios over Bačka has not been presented up to now. In this paper, four data sets were extracted and calculated: mean annual air temperature, mean air temperatures during the vegetation period, mean annual precipitation and total precipitation during the vegetation period. The presented parameters were obtained from the annual meteorological reports of the Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia. Trend equation based on linear regression, trend magnitude according to the trend equation, and Mann-Kendall statistics have been used for trend analysis of climatic parameters. A GIS modeling of the possible climate scenario was created according to the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC-CSM2-MR). Based on the trend equations, positive trends related to air temperature and precipitation variables are dominant. The trend magnitude shows the largest mean increase in all time series related to air temperature during the vegetation period. The highest mean precipitation increase occurs only in two time series. The Mann-Kendall statistics showed significantly positive trends in 11 cases and no changes in 9 cases. According to BCC-CSM2-MR, changes will be especially dominant in case of air temperatures. The expected changes in the total precipitation during the vegetation period show a tendency towards semiarid conditions. The presented results of observed and projected climate changes demand adaptation measures, especially from the aspect of sustainable agriculture.
PB  - Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service
T2  - Időjárás
T1  - Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling
VL  - 126
IS  - 1
SP  - 47
EP  - 68
DO  - 10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milentijević, Nikola and Valjarević, Aleksandar and Bačević, Nikola and Ristić, Dušan and Kalkan, Kristina and Cimbaljević, Marija and Dragojlović, Jovan and Savić, Stevan and Pantelić, Milana",
year = "2022",
abstract = "Climate change is one of the largest environmental issues causing hydroclimatological extremes such as floods, droughts, and aridity. The aim of this study is to assess the observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia). Detailed trend analyses and possible climate scenarios over Bačka has not been presented up to now. In this paper, four data sets were extracted and calculated: mean annual air temperature, mean air temperatures during the vegetation period, mean annual precipitation and total precipitation during the vegetation period. The presented parameters were obtained from the annual meteorological reports of the Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia. Trend equation based on linear regression, trend magnitude according to the trend equation, and Mann-Kendall statistics have been used for trend analysis of climatic parameters. A GIS modeling of the possible climate scenario was created according to the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC-CSM2-MR). Based on the trend equations, positive trends related to air temperature and precipitation variables are dominant. The trend magnitude shows the largest mean increase in all time series related to air temperature during the vegetation period. The highest mean precipitation increase occurs only in two time series. The Mann-Kendall statistics showed significantly positive trends in 11 cases and no changes in 9 cases. According to BCC-CSM2-MR, changes will be especially dominant in case of air temperatures. The expected changes in the total precipitation during the vegetation period show a tendency towards semiarid conditions. The presented results of observed and projected climate changes demand adaptation measures, especially from the aspect of sustainable agriculture.",
publisher = "Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service",
journal = "Időjárás",
title = "Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling",
volume = "126",
number = "1",
pages = "47-68",
doi = "10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3"
}

Milentijević, N., Valjarević, A., Bačević, N., Ristić, D., Kalkan, K., Cimbaljević, M., Dragojlović, J., Savić, S.,& Pantelić, M.. (2022). Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling. in Időjárás
Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service., 126(1), 47-68.
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3

Milentijević N, Valjarević A, Bačević N, Ristić D, Kalkan K, Cimbaljević M, Dragojlović J, Savić S, Pantelić M. Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling. in Időjárás. 2022;126(1):47-68.
doi:10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3 .

Milentijević, Nikola, Valjarević, Aleksandar, Bačević, Nikola, Ristić, Dušan, Kalkan, Kristina, Cimbaljević, Marija, Dragojlović, Jovan, Savić, Stevan, Pantelić, Milana, "Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling" in Időjárás, 126, no. 1 (2022):47-68,
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3 . .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milentijević, Nikola
AU  - Bačević, Nikola
AU  - Ristić, Dušan
AU  - Valjarević, Aleksandar
AU  - Pantelić, Milana
AU  - Kićović, Dušan
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1042
AB  - Recent climate changes cause significant natural and socio-economic consequences. They represent one of the major environmental problems of the late 20th and early 21st centuries. Changes in temperature and precipitation play a significant role in understanding climate change issues. They include numerous extreme climatic events such as heat waves, droughts, forest fires and more. Looking at regional differences in temperature and precipitation regime change, Southern Europe, including the Republic of Serbia, occupies a special place. The Mačva district (3.272 km²) is almost four times as spacious as the Mačva area. The administrative-political division of the Mačva district is comprised of eight municipalities. The paper presents trends of two climate variables: mean annual air temperature and mean annual precipitation in the study area. In methodological sense, the main statistical procedure is the non-parametric Mann-Kendall (MK) test. Data from three available meteorological stations in the Mačva district (1949-2015) were used for the analysis. The presented results of the trends in air temperature indicate that there is a statistically significant positive trend in all-time series. In trends, precipitation amounts a statistically significant positive trend was observed in two time series, while in one there is no trend. The expressed trends, especially in the case of air temperatures, lead to the possibility of drought. Mačva district and Mačva have some agricultural importance in the Republic of Serbia. For these reasons, some adaptation to climate change is needed as arid conditions lead to fluctuations in agricultural yield.
PB  - Univerzitet u Prištini - Prirodno-matematički fakultet, Kosovska Mitrovica
T2  - The University Thought - Publication in Natural Sciences
T1  - Application of Mann-Kendal (MK) test in trend analysis of air temperature and precipitation: Case of Mačva district (Serbia)
VL  - 10
IS  - 1
SP  - 37
EP  - 43
DO  - 10.5937/univtho10-24774
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1042
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milentijević, Nikola and Bačević, Nikola and Ristić, Dušan and Valjarević, Aleksandar and Pantelić, Milana and Kićović, Dušan",
year = "2020",
abstract = "Recent climate changes cause significant natural and socio-economic consequences. They represent one of the major environmental problems of the late 20th and early 21st centuries. Changes in temperature and precipitation play a significant role in understanding climate change issues. They include numerous extreme climatic events such as heat waves, droughts, forest fires and more. Looking at regional differences in temperature and precipitation regime change, Southern Europe, including the Republic of Serbia, occupies a special place. The Mačva district (3.272 km²) is almost four times as spacious as the Mačva area. The administrative-political division of the Mačva district is comprised of eight municipalities. The paper presents trends of two climate variables: mean annual air temperature and mean annual precipitation in the study area. In methodological sense, the main statistical procedure is the non-parametric Mann-Kendall (MK) test. Data from three available meteorological stations in the Mačva district (1949-2015) were used for the analysis. The presented results of the trends in air temperature indicate that there is a statistically significant positive trend in all-time series. In trends, precipitation amounts a statistically significant positive trend was observed in two time series, while in one there is no trend. The expressed trends, especially in the case of air temperatures, lead to the possibility of drought. Mačva district and Mačva have some agricultural importance in the Republic of Serbia. For these reasons, some adaptation to climate change is needed as arid conditions lead to fluctuations in agricultural yield.",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Prištini - Prirodno-matematički fakultet, Kosovska Mitrovica",
journal = "The University Thought - Publication in Natural Sciences",
title = "Application of Mann-Kendal (MK) test in trend analysis of air temperature and precipitation: Case of Mačva district (Serbia)",
volume = "10",
number = "1",
pages = "37-43",
doi = "10.5937/univtho10-24774",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1042"
}

Milentijević, N., Bačević, N., Ristić, D., Valjarević, A., Pantelić, M.,& Kićović, D.. (2020). Application of Mann-Kendal (MK) test in trend analysis of air temperature and precipitation: Case of Mačva district (Serbia). in The University Thought - Publication in Natural Sciences
Univerzitet u Prištini - Prirodno-matematički fakultet, Kosovska Mitrovica., 10(1), 37-43.
https://doi.org/10.5937/univtho10-24774
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1042

Milentijević N, Bačević N, Ristić D, Valjarević A, Pantelić M, Kićović D. Application of Mann-Kendal (MK) test in trend analysis of air temperature and precipitation: Case of Mačva district (Serbia). in The University Thought - Publication in Natural Sciences. 2020;10(1):37-43.
doi:10.5937/univtho10-24774
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1042 .

Milentijević, Nikola, Bačević, Nikola, Ristić, Dušan, Valjarević, Aleksandar, Pantelić, Milana, Kićović, Dušan, "Application of Mann-Kendal (MK) test in trend analysis of air temperature and precipitation: Case of Mačva district (Serbia)" in The University Thought - Publication in Natural Sciences, 10, no. 1 (2020):37-43,
https://doi.org/10.5937/univtho10-24774 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1042 .