TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milentijević, Nikola
AU  - Valjarević, Aleksandar
AU  - Bačević, Nikola
AU  - Ristić, Dušan
AU  - Kalkan, Kristina
AU  - Cimbaljević, Marija
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
AU  - Savić, Stevan
AU  - Pantelić, Milana
PY  - 2022
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1182
AB  - Climate change is one of the largest environmental issues causing hydroclimatological extremes such as floods, droughts, and aridity. The aim of this study is to assess the observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia). Detailed trend analyses and possible climate scenarios over Bačka has not been presented up to now. In this paper, four data sets were extracted and calculated: mean annual air temperature, mean air temperatures during the vegetation period, mean annual precipitation and total precipitation during the vegetation period. The presented parameters were obtained from the annual meteorological reports of the Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia. Trend equation based on linear regression, trend magnitude according to the trend equation, and Mann-Kendall statistics have been used for trend analysis of climatic parameters. A GIS modeling of the possible climate scenario was created according to the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC-CSM2-MR). Based on the trend equations, positive trends related to air temperature and precipitation variables are dominant. The trend magnitude shows the largest mean increase in all time series related to air temperature during the vegetation period. The highest mean precipitation increase occurs only in two time series. The Mann-Kendall statistics showed significantly positive trends in 11 cases and no changes in 9 cases. According to BCC-CSM2-MR, changes will be especially dominant in case of air temperatures. The expected changes in the total precipitation during the vegetation period show a tendency towards semiarid conditions. The presented results of observed and projected climate changes demand adaptation measures, especially from the aspect of sustainable agriculture.
PB  - Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service
T2  - Időjárás
T1  - Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling
VL  - 126
IS  - 1
SP  - 47
EP  - 68
DO  - 10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milentijević, Nikola and Valjarević, Aleksandar and Bačević, Nikola and Ristić, Dušan and Kalkan, Kristina and Cimbaljević, Marija and Dragojlović, Jovan and Savić, Stevan and Pantelić, Milana",
year = "2022",
abstract = "Climate change is one of the largest environmental issues causing hydroclimatological extremes such as floods, droughts, and aridity. The aim of this study is to assess the observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia). Detailed trend analyses and possible climate scenarios over Bačka has not been presented up to now. In this paper, four data sets were extracted and calculated: mean annual air temperature, mean air temperatures during the vegetation period, mean annual precipitation and total precipitation during the vegetation period. The presented parameters were obtained from the annual meteorological reports of the Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia. Trend equation based on linear regression, trend magnitude according to the trend equation, and Mann-Kendall statistics have been used for trend analysis of climatic parameters. A GIS modeling of the possible climate scenario was created according to the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC-CSM2-MR). Based on the trend equations, positive trends related to air temperature and precipitation variables are dominant. The trend magnitude shows the largest mean increase in all time series related to air temperature during the vegetation period. The highest mean precipitation increase occurs only in two time series. The Mann-Kendall statistics showed significantly positive trends in 11 cases and no changes in 9 cases. According to BCC-CSM2-MR, changes will be especially dominant in case of air temperatures. The expected changes in the total precipitation during the vegetation period show a tendency towards semiarid conditions. The presented results of observed and projected climate changes demand adaptation measures, especially from the aspect of sustainable agriculture.",
publisher = "Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service",
journal = "Időjárás",
title = "Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling",
volume = "126",
number = "1",
pages = "47-68",
doi = "10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3"
}

Milentijević, N., Valjarević, A., Bačević, N., Ristić, D., Kalkan, K., Cimbaljević, M., Dragojlović, J., Savić, S.,& Pantelić, M.. (2022). Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling. in Időjárás
Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service., 126(1), 47-68.
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3

Milentijević N, Valjarević A, Bačević N, Ristić D, Kalkan K, Cimbaljević M, Dragojlović J, Savić S, Pantelić M. Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling. in Időjárás. 2022;126(1):47-68.
doi:10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3 .

Milentijević, Nikola, Valjarević, Aleksandar, Bačević, Nikola, Ristić, Dušan, Kalkan, Kristina, Cimbaljević, Marija, Dragojlović, Jovan, Savić, Stevan, Pantelić, Milana, "Assessment of observed and projected climate changes in Bačka (Serbia) using trend analysis and climate modeling" in Időjárás, 126, no. 1 (2022):47-68,
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2022.1.3 . .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milentijević, Nikola
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
AU  - Ristić, Dušan
AU  - Cimbaljević, Marija
AU  - Demirović, Dunja
AU  - Valjarević, Aleksandar
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/913
AB  - In the paper, the aridity is defined on the basis of four climate indices: De Martonne's index of aridity, Lang's Rain Factor and Gracanin's Rain factor for the vegetation period and hydrothermal coefficient of Seljaninov. While the annual value of the drought index (I-DM) shows humid characteristics, the monthly values show the variability of the conditions. The summer months (July and August) are classified as semi-arid months, while the winter months (December-February) are extremely humid. The spatial distribution of the isoarids indicates that the northern part of the basin has the characteristics of a semiarid climate, while the southeastern parts are more humid. The analysis of mean annual values of the drought index indicates in semiarid conditions (1990 and 2000), but also the humid conditions (2005 and 2009). A positive linear trend indicates that there is a tendency towards humid conditions. The significance test confirms the existence of a statistically significant trend. During the vegetation period, semi-arid conditions are present (July-August). April is slightly humid, and October is moderately arid. The Lang's Rain Factor (KFg) characterizes basin climate as semiarid, while the Gracanin rain factor for the vegetation period (KFm) indicates a moisture deficit in the summer months. Hydrothermal coefficient Seljaninova (HTC) indicates a lack of moisture in July and August. Vegetation period is characterized as insufficiently humid. Irrigation is one of the most important measures for solving drought problems, since the yield varies from year to year.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - The assessment of aridity in Leskovac basin, Serbia (1981-2010)
VL  - 68
IS  - 2
SP  - 249
EP  - 264
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1802249M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_913
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milentijević, Nikola and Dragojlović, Jovan and Ristić, Dušan and Cimbaljević, Marija and Demirović, Dunja and Valjarević, Aleksandar",
year = "2018",
abstract = "In the paper, the aridity is defined on the basis of four climate indices: De Martonne's index of aridity, Lang's Rain Factor and Gracanin's Rain factor for the vegetation period and hydrothermal coefficient of Seljaninov. While the annual value of the drought index (I-DM) shows humid characteristics, the monthly values show the variability of the conditions. The summer months (July and August) are classified as semi-arid months, while the winter months (December-February) are extremely humid. The spatial distribution of the isoarids indicates that the northern part of the basin has the characteristics of a semiarid climate, while the southeastern parts are more humid. The analysis of mean annual values of the drought index indicates in semiarid conditions (1990 and 2000), but also the humid conditions (2005 and 2009). A positive linear trend indicates that there is a tendency towards humid conditions. The significance test confirms the existence of a statistically significant trend. During the vegetation period, semi-arid conditions are present (July-August). April is slightly humid, and October is moderately arid. The Lang's Rain Factor (KFg) characterizes basin climate as semiarid, while the Gracanin rain factor for the vegetation period (KFm) indicates a moisture deficit in the summer months. Hydrothermal coefficient Seljaninova (HTC) indicates a lack of moisture in July and August. Vegetation period is characterized as insufficiently humid. Irrigation is one of the most important measures for solving drought problems, since the yield varies from year to year.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "The assessment of aridity in Leskovac basin, Serbia (1981-2010)",
volume = "68",
number = "2",
pages = "249-264",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1802249M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_913"
}

Milentijević, N., Dragojlović, J., Ristić, D., Cimbaljević, M., Demirović, D.,& Valjarević, A.. (2018). The assessment of aridity in Leskovac basin, Serbia (1981-2010). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 68(2), 249-264.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1802249M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_913

Milentijević N, Dragojlović J, Ristić D, Cimbaljević M, Demirović D, Valjarević A. The assessment of aridity in Leskovac basin, Serbia (1981-2010). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2018;68(2):249-264.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1802249M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_913 .

Milentijević, Nikola, Dragojlović, Jovan, Ristić, Dušan, Cimbaljević, Marija, Demirović, Dunja, Valjarević, Aleksandar, "The assessment of aridity in Leskovac basin, Serbia (1981-2010)" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 68, no. 2 (2018):249-264,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1802249M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_913 .