Burić, Dragan

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orcid::0000-0003-0905-1915
  • Burić, Dragan (26)
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Author's Bibliography

Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Obradović, Dragan; Dedić, Aleksandar; Burić, Dragan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2023)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Obradović, Dragan
AU  - Dedić, Aleksandar
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2023
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1631
AB  - Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska peščara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). In settlements in Deliblatska peščara area, there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils
VL  - 73
IS  - 2
SP  - 155
EP  - 168
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI2302155M
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Obradović, Dragan and Dedić, Aleksandar and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2023",
abstract = "Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska peščara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). In settlements in Deliblatska peščara area, there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils",
volume = "73",
number = "2",
pages = "155-168",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI2302155M"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Obradović, D., Dedić, A.,& Burić, D.. (2023). Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 73(2), 155-168.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2302155M
Milenković M, Ducić V, Obradović D, Dedić A, Burić D. Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2023;73(2):155-168.
doi:10.2298/IJGI2302155M .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Obradović, Dragan, Dedić, Aleksandar, Burić, Dragan, "Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 73, no. 2 (2023):155-168,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2302155M . .

Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices

Burić, Dragan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Ducić, Vladan; Milenković, Milan; Anđelković, Goran

(Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service, 2023)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Anđelković, Goran
PY  - 2023
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1439
AB  - The aim of the study is to present some specific climatic conditions on the territory of the Republic of Serbia based on the analysis of four climate indices, which can help in understanding contemporary climate changes. Temperature and precipitation data from 31 meteorological stations for the period 1951–2010 were used. The relative homogeneity of the data series was done using the MASH v3.02 method. The indices used are: Johansson Continentality Index, Kerner Oceanity Index, De Martonne Aridity Index, and Pinna Combinative Index. Geospatial analysis of the distribution of the values of the four mentioned indices was done using the QGIS package 2.8.1. The results of the research show that the continentality effect is present in most of Serbia, while oceanity is observed locally, mainly in the western and southwestern parts of the country. The further analysis showed that there is no dry and semi–dry Mediterranean climate in Serbia. Considering that it is dry in the warmest part of the year (July–September), when the need for water is increased, which is clearly shown by the Walter climate diagram, as well as the fact that an increase in temperature and a decrease in precipitation during the vegetation period were observed in the second 30–year period (1981–2010), it can be concluded that in Serbia there is a tendency towards arid climate. The results presented in this paper can help decision makers to plan certain climate change adaptation measures.
PB  - Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service
T2  - Időjárás
T1  - Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices
VL  - 127
IS  - 3
SP  - 379
EP  - 399
DO  - 10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan and Anđelković, Goran",
year = "2023",
abstract = "The aim of the study is to present some specific climatic conditions on the territory of the Republic of Serbia based on the analysis of four climate indices, which can help in understanding contemporary climate changes. Temperature and precipitation data from 31 meteorological stations for the period 1951–2010 were used. The relative homogeneity of the data series was done using the MASH v3.02 method. The indices used are: Johansson Continentality Index, Kerner Oceanity Index, De Martonne Aridity Index, and Pinna Combinative Index. Geospatial analysis of the distribution of the values of the four mentioned indices was done using the QGIS package 2.8.1. The results of the research show that the continentality effect is present in most of Serbia, while oceanity is observed locally, mainly in the western and southwestern parts of the country. The further analysis showed that there is no dry and semi–dry Mediterranean climate in Serbia. Considering that it is dry in the warmest part of the year (July–September), when the need for water is increased, which is clearly shown by the Walter climate diagram, as well as the fact that an increase in temperature and a decrease in precipitation during the vegetation period were observed in the second 30–year period (1981–2010), it can be concluded that in Serbia there is a tendency towards arid climate. The results presented in this paper can help decision makers to plan certain climate change adaptation measures.",
publisher = "Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service",
journal = "Időjárás",
title = "Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices",
volume = "127",
number = "3",
pages = "379-399",
doi = "10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6"
}
Burić, D., Mihajlović, J., Ducić, V., Milenković, M.,& Anđelković, G.. (2023). Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices. in Időjárás
Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service., 127(3), 379-399.
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6
Burić D, Mihajlović J, Ducić V, Milenković M, Anđelković G. Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices. in Időjárás. 2023;127(3):379-399.
doi:10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6 .
Burić, Dragan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, Anđelković, Goran, "Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices" in Időjárás, 127, no. 3 (2023):379-399,
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6 . .
1

Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018

Mihajlović, Jovan; Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Milenković, Milan

(Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw, 2021)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1089
AB  - Recently Montenegro has often been faced with extreme weather events. The aim of this paper is to provide a detailed synoptic analysis of a severe weather event, a waterspout, and to confirm an indication that in most cases such events could potentially be forecasted, which is of great practical significance, since human lives and property can be saved. The paper presents the research results of synoptic and mesoscale weather conditions which created a favourable meteorological environment for a waterspout development in Tivat (Montenegrin coast) on June 9, 2018, around 01 UTC (03 CET). Based on field survey analysis, the rating of tornado intensity by the Fujita scale (F-scale) has been done by assessing the damage. The synoptic type for this situation was CLOSED-SW and was determined by a detailed examination of atmospheric circulation. The results presented in the manuscript can help decision makers in Montenegro to take certain adaptation measures (above all, in tourism and construction) in order to mitigate the negative consequences of weather extremes.
PB  - Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw
T2  - Geographia Polonica
T1  - Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018
VL  - 94
IS  - 1
SP  - 69
EP  - 90
DO  - 10.7163/GPol.0194
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan",
year = "2021",
abstract = "Recently Montenegro has often been faced with extreme weather events. The aim of this paper is to provide a detailed synoptic analysis of a severe weather event, a waterspout, and to confirm an indication that in most cases such events could potentially be forecasted, which is of great practical significance, since human lives and property can be saved. The paper presents the research results of synoptic and mesoscale weather conditions which created a favourable meteorological environment for a waterspout development in Tivat (Montenegrin coast) on June 9, 2018, around 01 UTC (03 CET). Based on field survey analysis, the rating of tornado intensity by the Fujita scale (F-scale) has been done by assessing the damage. The synoptic type for this situation was CLOSED-SW and was determined by a detailed examination of atmospheric circulation. The results presented in the manuscript can help decision makers in Montenegro to take certain adaptation measures (above all, in tourism and construction) in order to mitigate the negative consequences of weather extremes.",
publisher = "Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw",
journal = "Geographia Polonica",
title = "Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018",
volume = "94",
number = "1",
pages = "69-90",
doi = "10.7163/GPol.0194",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089"
}
Mihajlović, J., Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Milenković, M.. (2021). Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018. in Geographia Polonica
Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw., 94(1), 69-90.
https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.0194
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089
Mihajlović J, Burić D, Ducić V, Milenković M. Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018. in Geographia Polonica. 2021;94(1):69-90.
doi:10.7163/GPol.0194
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089 .
Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, "Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018" in Geographia Polonica, 94, no. 1 (2021):69-90,
https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.0194 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089 .
4
4

Space-Time High-Resolution Data of The Potential Insolation and Solar Duration for Montenegro

Bajat, Branislav; Antonijević, O.; Kilibarda, Milan; Sekulić, Aleksandar; Luković, Jelena; Doljak, D.; Burić, Dragan

(Beograd : Institut za arhitekturu i urbanizam Srbije, 2020)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
AU  - Antonijević, O.
AU  - Kilibarda, Milan
AU  - Sekulić, Aleksandar
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Doljak, D.
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1035
AB  - The assessment of the potential use of renewable energy resources requires reliable and precise data inputs for sustainable energy planning on a regional, national and local scale. In this study, we examine high spatial resolution grids of potential insolation and solar duration in order to determine the location of potential solar power plants in Montenegro. Grids with a 25-m spatial resolution of potential solar radiation and duration were produced based on observational records and publicly available high-resolution digital elevation model provided by the European Environment Agency. These results could be further used for the estimation and selection of a specific location for solar panels. With an average annual potential insolation of 1800 kWh/m² and solar duration of over 2000 h per year for most of its territory, Montenegro is one of the European countries with the highest potential for the development, production, and consumption of solar energy.
PB  - Beograd : Institut za arhitekturu i urbanizam Srbije
T2  - Spatium
T1  - Space-Time High-Resolution Data of The Potential Insolation and Solar Duration for Montenegro
IS  - 44
SP  - 45
EP  - 52
DO  - 10.2298/SPAT2044045B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1035
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Bajat, Branislav and Antonijević, O. and Kilibarda, Milan and Sekulić, Aleksandar and Luković, Jelena and Doljak, D. and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2020",
abstract = "The assessment of the potential use of renewable energy resources requires reliable and precise data inputs for sustainable energy planning on a regional, national and local scale. In this study, we examine high spatial resolution grids of potential insolation and solar duration in order to determine the location of potential solar power plants in Montenegro. Grids with a 25-m spatial resolution of potential solar radiation and duration were produced based on observational records and publicly available high-resolution digital elevation model provided by the European Environment Agency. These results could be further used for the estimation and selection of a specific location for solar panels. With an average annual potential insolation of 1800 kWh/m² and solar duration of over 2000 h per year for most of its territory, Montenegro is one of the European countries with the highest potential for the development, production, and consumption of solar energy.",
publisher = "Beograd : Institut za arhitekturu i urbanizam Srbije",
journal = "Spatium",
title = "Space-Time High-Resolution Data of The Potential Insolation and Solar Duration for Montenegro",
number = "44",
pages = "45-52",
doi = "10.2298/SPAT2044045B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1035"
}
Bajat, B., Antonijević, O., Kilibarda, M., Sekulić, A., Luković, J., Doljak, D.,& Burić, D.. (2020). Space-Time High-Resolution Data of The Potential Insolation and Solar Duration for Montenegro. in Spatium
Beograd : Institut za arhitekturu i urbanizam Srbije.(44), 45-52.
https://doi.org/10.2298/SPAT2044045B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1035
Bajat B, Antonijević O, Kilibarda M, Sekulić A, Luković J, Doljak D, Burić D. Space-Time High-Resolution Data of The Potential Insolation and Solar Duration for Montenegro. in Spatium. 2020;(44):45-52.
doi:10.2298/SPAT2044045B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1035 .
Bajat, Branislav, Antonijević, O., Kilibarda, Milan, Sekulić, Aleksandar, Luković, Jelena, Doljak, D., Burić, Dragan, "Space-Time High-Resolution Data of The Potential Insolation and Solar Duration for Montenegro" in Spatium, no. 44 (2020):45-52,
https://doi.org/10.2298/SPAT2044045B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1035 .
1

Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro

Doderović, Miroslav; Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mijanović, Ivan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2020)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Doderović, Miroslav
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mijanović, Ivan
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1062
AB  - The aim of the research of this paper is changes in air temperature and precipitation in the north of Montenegro in the instrumental period (1951-2018) and projections up to 2100. Kolasin was chosen because the altitude of the place is the average height of the northern region of Montenegro (about 1000 m), the meteorological station has not changed its location since the beginning of instrumental measurements, and homogeneity was tested (for the instrumental period). In general, the climate of Kolasin (1951-2018) has become warmer and with more frequent extreme daily temperatures and precipitations in an upward trend. When it comes to the projections for the north of this Mediterranean country, according to the A1B scenario of the Regional Climate Model EBU-POM, the results indicate warmer conditions and very warm ones at the end of the 21st century. The projected reduction of the annual number of almost all the considered rainfall days also implies that a slightly more arid future is expected. The climate of the mountainous north of Montenegro is changing, and the results presented in this paper may serve decision makers to take some measures of adaptation (in tourism, agriculture, architecture, water management, etc.) and climate change mitigation.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro
VL  - 70
IS  - 3
SP  - 189
EP  - 201
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI2003189D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Doderović, Miroslav and Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mijanović, Ivan",
year = "2020",
abstract = "The aim of the research of this paper is changes in air temperature and precipitation in the north of Montenegro in the instrumental period (1951-2018) and projections up to 2100. Kolasin was chosen because the altitude of the place is the average height of the northern region of Montenegro (about 1000 m), the meteorological station has not changed its location since the beginning of instrumental measurements, and homogeneity was tested (for the instrumental period). In general, the climate of Kolasin (1951-2018) has become warmer and with more frequent extreme daily temperatures and precipitations in an upward trend. When it comes to the projections for the north of this Mediterranean country, according to the A1B scenario of the Regional Climate Model EBU-POM, the results indicate warmer conditions and very warm ones at the end of the 21st century. The projected reduction of the annual number of almost all the considered rainfall days also implies that a slightly more arid future is expected. The climate of the mountainous north of Montenegro is changing, and the results presented in this paper may serve decision makers to take some measures of adaptation (in tourism, agriculture, architecture, water management, etc.) and climate change mitigation.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro",
volume = "70",
number = "3",
pages = "189-201",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI2003189D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062"
}
Doderović, M., Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Mijanović, I.. (2020). Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 70(3), 189-201.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2003189D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062
Doderović M, Burić D, Ducić V, Mijanović I. Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2020;70(3):189-201.
doi:10.2298/IJGI2003189D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062 .
Doderović, Miroslav, Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mijanović, Ivan, "Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 70, no. 3 (2020):189-201,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2003189D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062 .
6
5

Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010

Burić, Dragan; Dragojlović, Jovan; Penjišević-Sočanac, Ivana; Luković, Jelena; Doderović, Miroslav

(Springer, 2019)

TY  - CHAP
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
AU  - Penjišević-Sočanac, Ivana
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Doderović, Miroslav
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/963
AB  - Previous research conducted in Montenegro suggested an increase in maximum and minimum daily temperatures in the last decades, followed by growth of extreme events frequency. This study examines the relationship between temperature and atmospheric circulation fields in Montenegro using 9 WMO-CCL/CLIVAR extreme climatic indices. The data on atmospheric circulation refers to 11 teleconnection patterns analyzed by seasonal timescales. The assessment of the impact of certain teleconnection patterns has shown a significant connection to extreme events in Montenegro. Calculated results showed the strongest impact of EA, MO, WeMO, EAWR and AO during the winter season, while the weaker impact was calculated for NAO and SCAND. The best impact is obtained for EA and AO during spring, while summer temperature variations are connected to EA, AMO, EAWR, SCAND and NAO. The autumn season showed strong connection with EA, SCAND, AMO, EAWR, MO and AO.
PB  - Springer
T2  - Climate Change Management
T1  - Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010
SP  - 29
EP  - 42
DO  - 10.1007/978-3-030-03383-5_3
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_963
ER  - 
@inbook{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Dragojlović, Jovan and Penjišević-Sočanac, Ivana and Luković, Jelena and Doderović, Miroslav",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Previous research conducted in Montenegro suggested an increase in maximum and minimum daily temperatures in the last decades, followed by growth of extreme events frequency. This study examines the relationship between temperature and atmospheric circulation fields in Montenegro using 9 WMO-CCL/CLIVAR extreme climatic indices. The data on atmospheric circulation refers to 11 teleconnection patterns analyzed by seasonal timescales. The assessment of the impact of certain teleconnection patterns has shown a significant connection to extreme events in Montenegro. Calculated results showed the strongest impact of EA, MO, WeMO, EAWR and AO during the winter season, while the weaker impact was calculated for NAO and SCAND. The best impact is obtained for EA and AO during spring, while summer temperature variations are connected to EA, AMO, EAWR, SCAND and NAO. The autumn season showed strong connection with EA, SCAND, AMO, EAWR, MO and AO.",
publisher = "Springer",
journal = "Climate Change Management",
booktitle = "Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010",
pages = "29-42",
doi = "10.1007/978-3-030-03383-5_3",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_963"
}
Burić, D., Dragojlović, J., Penjišević-Sočanac, I., Luković, J.,& Doderović, M.. (2019). Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010. in Climate Change Management
Springer., 29-42.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-03383-5_3
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_963
Burić D, Dragojlović J, Penjišević-Sočanac I, Luković J, Doderović M. Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010. in Climate Change Management. 2019;:29-42.
doi:10.1007/978-3-030-03383-5_3
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_963 .
Burić, Dragan, Dragojlović, Jovan, Penjišević-Sočanac, Ivana, Luković, Jelena, Doderović, Miroslav, "Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010" in Climate Change Management (2019):29-42,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-03383-5_3 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_963 .
5
10

Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Burić, Dragan; Babić, Violeta

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/984
AB  - In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations
VL  - 69
IS  - 1
SP  - 75
EP  - 82
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1901075M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Babić, Violeta",
year = "2019",
abstract = "In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations",
volume = "69",
number = "1",
pages = "75-82",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1901075M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Burić, D.,& Babić, V.. (2019). Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 69(1), 75-82.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984
Milenković M, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Burić D, Babić V. Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2019;69(1):75-82.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1901075M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Babić, Violeta, "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 69, no. 1 (2019):75-82,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984 .
2
3
3

The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)

Burić, Dragan; Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/973
AB  - Danilovgrad and the Bjelopavlića Plain belong to the submediterranean zone of the Mediterranean climate region. The aim of this paper was to determine some specific characteristics of the Danilovgrad climate, such as the degree of continentality, aridity and bioclimatic characteristics. Data used in the research cover the period 1955-2011. The results of the study showed the dominance of the continental effect on temperature, while oceanicity was less pronounced. In hygric terms, during most of the year the climate of Danilovgrad is characterized as low humid to perhumid. Moreover, in the period October-March it is very humid, which points to the domination of oceanic influences. During the three summer months, it is dry to very dry. Based on the average monthly values of the equivalent temperature - an indicator of physiological (subjective) feeling of heat, the winter months in Danilovgrad are not assessed as very cold. It is cold in January, and in February and December it is cool. It is fresh in March and November, comfortable in April and October, and warm in May and September. In Danilovgrad, in summer it is overheated and a little muggy. All considered indicators point to quite pronounced oscillations during the year, especially in terms of humidity. Comparing the obtained results with Podgorica, it can be concluded that the climate of Danilovgrad is more continental, a bit colder and wetter.
AB  - Danilovgrad je centralno i najveće naselje na području Bjelopavlićke ravnice u Crnoj Gori. Sa klimatskog aspekta, područje Bjelopavlićke ravnice je pogodno za život i razvoj poljoprivrede. Međutim, u do sada poznatim klasifikacijama klime za Crnu Goru, dat je uopšteni opis pojedinih regija i mesta, uglavnom na osnovu analize srednjih mesečnih temperatura vazduha i količine padavina. Za Danilovgrad se može reći da ima blago modifikovnu mediteransku klimu, a to znači da su leta topla i prilično sušna, a zime blage i kišovite. Prema Kepenovoj klasifikaciji, klimatska formula Danilovgrada je Csa, prosečna godišnja temperatura je 14,60C, a godišnja suma padavina 2.216 mm. Cilj nam je bio da klimu ovog mesta što bolje i podrobnije opišemo, kroz analizu termičke kontinentalnosti, aridnosti i bioklimatske karakteristike. Analizom kombinovanih klimatskih elemenata, dat je kompleksniji prikaz i kvalitetnija karakterizacija klime Danilovgrada. Smatramo da će istraživanje imati značaja za lokalnu zajednicu u smislu boljeg razumevanja prirodnog okruženja i da se dobijeni rezultati mogu primeniti u poljoprivredi, vodoprivredi i energetici, turizmu i drugim delatnostima od važnosti za budući razvoj Danilovgrada i Crne Gore. Takođe, rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu biće korisni nauci, struci i opštem obrazovanju stanovništva, jer se radi o tematici koja sve više participira kod današnjeg čoveka. Za razmatranje specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada, korišćeni su podaci za instrumentalni period 1955-2011. Rezultati istraživanja su pokazali dominaciju kontinentalnog uticaja na temperaturu, dok je maritimnost slabije izražena. U higričkom smislu, tokom većeg dela godine klima Danilovgrada se karakteriše kao slabo humidna do perhumidna. Štaviše, u periodu oktobar - mart je veoma vlažno, što govori o dominaciji maritimnih upliva. Sušno do veoma sušno je tokom tri letnja meseca. Prema bioklimatskim pokazateljima, ni jedan mesec se ne karakteriše kao veoma hladan. Na osnovu srednjih mesečnih vrednosti ekvivalentne temperature, koja je korišćena kao pokazatelj fiziološkog (subjektivnog) osećaja toplote, tokom januara je hladno, a u februaru i decembru veoma prohladno. Sveže je u martu i novembru, ugodno u aprilu i oktobru, a toplo u maju i septembru. U Danilovgradu je leti pregrejano i malo zaparno. Svi razmatrani pokazatelji ukazuju na prilično izražene oscilacije tokom godine, naročito u pogledu vlažnosti. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da Danilovgrad ima slične termičke, higričke i bioklimatske karakteristike kao Podgorica (Burić et al., 2007), jer je rastojanje između ova dva grada oko 20 km. Ipak, Danilovgrad je više kontinentalniji, malo hladniji i vlažniji od Podgorice.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)
T1  - Specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada (Crna Gora)
VL  - 99
IS  - 1
SP  - 19
EP  - 28
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1901019B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Danilovgrad and the Bjelopavlića Plain belong to the submediterranean zone of the Mediterranean climate region. The aim of this paper was to determine some specific characteristics of the Danilovgrad climate, such as the degree of continentality, aridity and bioclimatic characteristics. Data used in the research cover the period 1955-2011. The results of the study showed the dominance of the continental effect on temperature, while oceanicity was less pronounced. In hygric terms, during most of the year the climate of Danilovgrad is characterized as low humid to perhumid. Moreover, in the period October-March it is very humid, which points to the domination of oceanic influences. During the three summer months, it is dry to very dry. Based on the average monthly values of the equivalent temperature - an indicator of physiological (subjective) feeling of heat, the winter months in Danilovgrad are not assessed as very cold. It is cold in January, and in February and December it is cool. It is fresh in March and November, comfortable in April and October, and warm in May and September. In Danilovgrad, in summer it is overheated and a little muggy. All considered indicators point to quite pronounced oscillations during the year, especially in terms of humidity. Comparing the obtained results with Podgorica, it can be concluded that the climate of Danilovgrad is more continental, a bit colder and wetter., Danilovgrad je centralno i najveće naselje na području Bjelopavlićke ravnice u Crnoj Gori. Sa klimatskog aspekta, područje Bjelopavlićke ravnice je pogodno za život i razvoj poljoprivrede. Međutim, u do sada poznatim klasifikacijama klime za Crnu Goru, dat je uopšteni opis pojedinih regija i mesta, uglavnom na osnovu analize srednjih mesečnih temperatura vazduha i količine padavina. Za Danilovgrad se može reći da ima blago modifikovnu mediteransku klimu, a to znači da su leta topla i prilično sušna, a zime blage i kišovite. Prema Kepenovoj klasifikaciji, klimatska formula Danilovgrada je Csa, prosečna godišnja temperatura je 14,60C, a godišnja suma padavina 2.216 mm. Cilj nam je bio da klimu ovog mesta što bolje i podrobnije opišemo, kroz analizu termičke kontinentalnosti, aridnosti i bioklimatske karakteristike. Analizom kombinovanih klimatskih elemenata, dat je kompleksniji prikaz i kvalitetnija karakterizacija klime Danilovgrada. Smatramo da će istraživanje imati značaja za lokalnu zajednicu u smislu boljeg razumevanja prirodnog okruženja i da se dobijeni rezultati mogu primeniti u poljoprivredi, vodoprivredi i energetici, turizmu i drugim delatnostima od važnosti za budući razvoj Danilovgrada i Crne Gore. Takođe, rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu biće korisni nauci, struci i opštem obrazovanju stanovništva, jer se radi o tematici koja sve više participira kod današnjeg čoveka. Za razmatranje specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada, korišćeni su podaci za instrumentalni period 1955-2011. Rezultati istraživanja su pokazali dominaciju kontinentalnog uticaja na temperaturu, dok je maritimnost slabije izražena. U higričkom smislu, tokom većeg dela godine klima Danilovgrada se karakteriše kao slabo humidna do perhumidna. Štaviše, u periodu oktobar - mart je veoma vlažno, što govori o dominaciji maritimnih upliva. Sušno do veoma sušno je tokom tri letnja meseca. Prema bioklimatskim pokazateljima, ni jedan mesec se ne karakteriše kao veoma hladan. Na osnovu srednjih mesečnih vrednosti ekvivalentne temperature, koja je korišćena kao pokazatelj fiziološkog (subjektivnog) osećaja toplote, tokom januara je hladno, a u februaru i decembru veoma prohladno. Sveže je u martu i novembru, ugodno u aprilu i oktobru, a toplo u maju i septembru. U Danilovgradu je leti pregrejano i malo zaparno. Svi razmatrani pokazatelji ukazuju na prilično izražene oscilacije tokom godine, naročito u pogledu vlažnosti. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da Danilovgrad ima slične termičke, higričke i bioklimatske karakteristike kao Podgorica (Burić et al., 2007), jer je rastojanje između ova dva grada oko 20 km. Ipak, Danilovgrad je više kontinentalniji, malo hladniji i vlažniji od Podgorice.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro), Specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada (Crna Gora)",
volume = "99",
number = "1",
pages = "19-28",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1901019B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973"
}
Burić, D., Milenković, M.,& Ducić, V.. (2019). The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro). in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 99(1), 19-28.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1901019B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973
Burić D, Milenković M, Ducić V. The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro). in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2019;99(1):19-28.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1901019B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973 .
Burić, Dragan, Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, "The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 99, no. 1 (2019):19-28,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1901019B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973 .
2

Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods

Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2018)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/917
AB  - In the second half of the 20th and by the beginning of the 21st century the area of Montenegro was dominated by positive air temperature fluctuations and negative precipitation sums. This paper analyses a 60-year period (1951-2010), with the aim to determine air temperature and precipitation deviation between the two 30-year periods: 1951-1980 and 1981-2010. Calculations of mean, mean maximum and mean minimum temperature have been done, as well as annual values of precipitation sums. All three temperature parameters, particularly maximum values, show that the 1981-2010 period was significantly warmer in relation to previous three decades. Significant changes in mean annual precipitation sums between the two observation periods have been recorded on the coast and, locally, in the western part of the country. The results also showed that there was a significant increase in positive deviations of mean maximum temperature in most parts of Montenegro during the 1981-2010 period in relation to the 1951-1980 period, while changes of this type in other observation parameters were mostly minor.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods
VL  - 98
IS  - 1
SP  - 31
EP  - 48
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD180325004B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_917
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan",
year = "2018",
abstract = "In the second half of the 20th and by the beginning of the 21st century the area of Montenegro was dominated by positive air temperature fluctuations and negative precipitation sums. This paper analyses a 60-year period (1951-2010), with the aim to determine air temperature and precipitation deviation between the two 30-year periods: 1951-1980 and 1981-2010. Calculations of mean, mean maximum and mean minimum temperature have been done, as well as annual values of precipitation sums. All three temperature parameters, particularly maximum values, show that the 1981-2010 period was significantly warmer in relation to previous three decades. Significant changes in mean annual precipitation sums between the two observation periods have been recorded on the coast and, locally, in the western part of the country. The results also showed that there was a significant increase in positive deviations of mean maximum temperature in most parts of Montenegro during the 1981-2010 period in relation to the 1951-1980 period, while changes of this type in other observation parameters were mostly minor.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods",
volume = "98",
number = "1",
pages = "31-48",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD180325004B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_917"
}
Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Mihajlović, J.. (2018). Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 98(1), 31-48.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD180325004B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_917
Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J. Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2018;98(1):31-48.
doi:10.2298/GSGD180325004B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_917 .
Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, "Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 98, no. 1 (2018):31-48,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD180325004B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_917 .
6

Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment

Mihajlović, Jovan; Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2016)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/785
AB  - The aim of this paper is the waterspout in Split (phi 43.51 degrees N, lambda 16.45 degrees E, h = 0 m) observed on January 6, 2016, which swept over the city at 15:40-16:00 CET (14:40-15:00 UTC). There were convective developments in upper-level south-west flow within the cloudiness which followed the low-level cyclone and associated frontal disturbances. There was an intense thermodynamic instability in lower and mid layers of the atmosphere-the passage of the cold front as a main synoptic feature over the warm Adriatic water, pronounced directional and speed wind shear, as well as the presence of jet stream and a pronounced horizontal field of positive divergence above the observed area. The aim of this paper is to investigate synoptic and mesoscale situation, and meteorological conditions which created favourable thermodynamic environment which preceded the waterspout development.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment
VL  - 66
IS  - 2
SP  - 185
EP  - 202
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1602185M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_785
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2016",
abstract = "The aim of this paper is the waterspout in Split (phi 43.51 degrees N, lambda 16.45 degrees E, h = 0 m) observed on January 6, 2016, which swept over the city at 15:40-16:00 CET (14:40-15:00 UTC). There were convective developments in upper-level south-west flow within the cloudiness which followed the low-level cyclone and associated frontal disturbances. There was an intense thermodynamic instability in lower and mid layers of the atmosphere-the passage of the cold front as a main synoptic feature over the warm Adriatic water, pronounced directional and speed wind shear, as well as the presence of jet stream and a pronounced horizontal field of positive divergence above the observed area. The aim of this paper is to investigate synoptic and mesoscale situation, and meteorological conditions which created favourable thermodynamic environment which preceded the waterspout development.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment",
volume = "66",
number = "2",
pages = "185-202",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1602185M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_785"
}
Mihajlović, J., Ducić, V.,& Burić, D.. (2016). Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 66(2), 185-202.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1602185M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_785
Mihajlović J, Ducić V, Burić D. Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2016;66(2):185-202.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1602185M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_785 .
Mihajlović, Jovan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, "Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 66, no. 2 (2016):185-202,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1602185M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_785 .
8
8

The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan; Lazić, Bozidar

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2016)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Lazić, Bozidar
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/765
AB  - The study examines the connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires (the annual number of fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire) in France in the period 1980-2014. In order to determine the strength of the correlation connection Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of AMO were used in calculations, and one year phase shift was performed (the values for the previous year were used). In burned area the highest values of R on the monthly level were recorded for April (-0.474) and January (-0.470), and on the seasonal level for winter (-0.459) and spring (-0.447). These values are statistically significant at the level of p=0.01. By phase shifting the highest level of correlation was obtained for the autumn (-0.489). In the average burned area per fire on a monthly level the highest value of R was for January (-0.522), and on seasonal for winter (-0.506). By phase shifting the highest value of R was obtained for autumn (-0.522). In the number of fires the highest values were recorded by phase shifting for September (-0.382) and autumn (-0.337). All R values recorded during the study had a negative sign (the correlation is antiphase). In addition, downward trends were determined for all three examined indicators of forest fires in the researched period (1980-2014). Results of the research could be used as a basis for the long-term forecast of the risk of forest fires, and the approach used in the research could be applied for the other areas of the world. However, the more detailed research of the effects of other teleconnections are necessary.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014
VL  - 66
IS  - 1
SP  - 35
EP  - 44
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1601035M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan and Lazić, Bozidar",
year = "2016",
abstract = "The study examines the connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires (the annual number of fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire) in France in the period 1980-2014. In order to determine the strength of the correlation connection Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of AMO were used in calculations, and one year phase shift was performed (the values for the previous year were used). In burned area the highest values of R on the monthly level were recorded for April (-0.474) and January (-0.470), and on the seasonal level for winter (-0.459) and spring (-0.447). These values are statistically significant at the level of p=0.01. By phase shifting the highest level of correlation was obtained for the autumn (-0.489). In the average burned area per fire on a monthly level the highest value of R was for January (-0.522), and on seasonal for winter (-0.506). By phase shifting the highest value of R was obtained for autumn (-0.522). In the number of fires the highest values were recorded by phase shifting for September (-0.382) and autumn (-0.337). All R values recorded during the study had a negative sign (the correlation is antiphase). In addition, downward trends were determined for all three examined indicators of forest fires in the researched period (1980-2014). Results of the research could be used as a basis for the long-term forecast of the risk of forest fires, and the approach used in the research could be applied for the other areas of the world. However, the more detailed research of the effects of other teleconnections are necessary.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014",
volume = "66",
number = "1",
pages = "35-44",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1601035M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Burić, D.,& Lazić, B.. (2016). The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 66(1), 35-44.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601035M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765
Milenković M, Ducić V, Burić D, Lazić B. The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2016;66(1):35-44.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1601035M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, Lazić, Bozidar, "The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 66, no. 1 (2016):35-44,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601035M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765 .
2
4

Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro

Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Luković, Jelena; Dragojlović, Jovan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/721
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro
VL  - 95
IS  - 4
SP  - 53
EP  - 66
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD140626002B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Luković, Jelena and Dragojlović, Jovan",
year = "2015",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro",
volume = "95",
number = "4",
pages = "53-66",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD140626002B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721"
}
Burić, D., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Luković, J.,& Dragojlović, J.. (2015). Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 95(4), 53-66.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD140626002B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721
Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Luković J, Dragojlović J. Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2015;95(4):53-66.
doi:10.2298/GSGD140626002B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721 .
Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Luković, Jelena, Dragojlović, Jovan, "Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 95, no. 4 (2015):53-66,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD140626002B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721 .
8

Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010)

Burić, Dragan; Luković, Jelena; Bajat, Branislav; Kilibarda, Milan; Živković, Nenad

(Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen, 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
AU  - Kilibarda, Milan
AU  - Živković, Nenad
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/689
AB  - More intense rainfall may cause a range of negative impacts upon society and the environment. In this study we analysed trends in extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) rainfall indices in Montenegro for the period between 1951 and 2010. Montenegro has been poorly studied in terms of rainfall extremes, yet it contains the wettest Mediterranean region known as Krivosije. Several indices of precipitation extremes were assessed including the number of dry days and rainfall totals in order to identify trends and possible changes. A spatial pattern relationship between extreme rainfall indices and the North Atlantic Oscillation has also been examined. The results generally suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased while rainfall intensity increased, particularly in south-western parts of the country. A slight tendency towards intense rainfall events is suggested. The examined rainfall indices and North Atlantic Oscillation over Montenegro seemed to be directly linked to changes in one of the major large-scale circulation modes such as the NAO pattern that is particularly evident during the winter season.
PB  - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
T2  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
T1  - Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010)
VL  - 15
IS  - 9
SP  - 2069
EP  - 2077
DO  - 10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Luković, Jelena and Bajat, Branislav and Kilibarda, Milan and Živković, Nenad",
year = "2015",
abstract = "More intense rainfall may cause a range of negative impacts upon society and the environment. In this study we analysed trends in extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) rainfall indices in Montenegro for the period between 1951 and 2010. Montenegro has been poorly studied in terms of rainfall extremes, yet it contains the wettest Mediterranean region known as Krivosije. Several indices of precipitation extremes were assessed including the number of dry days and rainfall totals in order to identify trends and possible changes. A spatial pattern relationship between extreme rainfall indices and the North Atlantic Oscillation has also been examined. The results generally suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased while rainfall intensity increased, particularly in south-western parts of the country. A slight tendency towards intense rainfall events is suggested. The examined rainfall indices and North Atlantic Oscillation over Montenegro seemed to be directly linked to changes in one of the major large-scale circulation modes such as the NAO pattern that is particularly evident during the winter season.",
publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen",
journal = "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences",
title = "Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010)",
volume = "15",
number = "9",
pages = "2069-2077",
doi = "10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689"
}
Burić, D., Luković, J., Bajat, B., Kilibarda, M.,& Živković, N.. (2015). Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010). in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 15(9), 2069-2077.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689
Burić D, Luković J, Bajat B, Kilibarda M, Živković N. Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010). in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2015;15(9):2069-2077.
doi:10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689 .
Burić, Dragan, Luković, Jelena, Bajat, Branislav, Kilibarda, Milan, Živković, Nenad, "Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010)" in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 15, no. 9 (2015):2069-2077,
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689 .
30
19
32

Spatial and temporal variability of rain-spells characteristics in Serbia and Montenegro

Kutiel, Haim; Luković, Jelena; Burić, Dragan

(Wiley, Hoboken, 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kutiel, Haim
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/676
AB  - Rain spells are a key parameter in examining rainfall regime. A rain spell is defined as a series of consecutive days above a certain daily rainfall threshold (DRT). For each rain spell, its duration (RSD), yield (RSY) and average intensity (RSI), as well as their total number (NRS) in each year, were calculated. The present study analyses daily rainfall series from 22 stations representing the different regions of Serbia and Montenegro in the period 1949-2007. This study highlights the temporal variability (both inter- and intra-annual) and the complexity of the rainfall regime in both countries. In each station, all years were divided into three categories: wet, normal and dry according to their standard scores. Then, on the basis of these scores, the entire year was categorized accordingly. The various rain-spell parameters were calculated and are presented for each of these three categories. The relationships between NRS (exponential), RSY (linear) and RSI (power) with the RSD were calculated for each station and their coefficients were plotted. The entire study area was divided into three sub-regions in terms of similar annual behaviour, using the factor analysis. The regions are as follows: northern and central Serbia, eastern and southern Serbia and Montenegro. All years were grouped into several clusters, each representing a different spatial distribution. Their characteristics and probabilities are presented. Overall, Montenegro is much rainier than Serbia, having longer and more intense rain spells. Serbia, on the other hand, has more short rain spells than Montenegro and demonstrates no real summer dryness such as in Montenegro. Intra-annual variability is relatively high in both countries, slightly higher in Montenegro.
PB  - Wiley, Hoboken
T2  - International Journal of Climatology
T1  - Spatial and temporal variability of rain-spells characteristics in Serbia and Montenegro
VL  - 35
IS  - 7
SP  - 1611
EP  - 1624
DO  - 10.1002/joc.4080
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_676
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Kutiel, Haim and Luković, Jelena and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2015",
abstract = "Rain spells are a key parameter in examining rainfall regime. A rain spell is defined as a series of consecutive days above a certain daily rainfall threshold (DRT). For each rain spell, its duration (RSD), yield (RSY) and average intensity (RSI), as well as their total number (NRS) in each year, were calculated. The present study analyses daily rainfall series from 22 stations representing the different regions of Serbia and Montenegro in the period 1949-2007. This study highlights the temporal variability (both inter- and intra-annual) and the complexity of the rainfall regime in both countries. In each station, all years were divided into three categories: wet, normal and dry according to their standard scores. Then, on the basis of these scores, the entire year was categorized accordingly. The various rain-spell parameters were calculated and are presented for each of these three categories. The relationships between NRS (exponential), RSY (linear) and RSI (power) with the RSD were calculated for each station and their coefficients were plotted. The entire study area was divided into three sub-regions in terms of similar annual behaviour, using the factor analysis. The regions are as follows: northern and central Serbia, eastern and southern Serbia and Montenegro. All years were grouped into several clusters, each representing a different spatial distribution. Their characteristics and probabilities are presented. Overall, Montenegro is much rainier than Serbia, having longer and more intense rain spells. Serbia, on the other hand, has more short rain spells than Montenegro and demonstrates no real summer dryness such as in Montenegro. Intra-annual variability is relatively high in both countries, slightly higher in Montenegro.",
publisher = "Wiley, Hoboken",
journal = "International Journal of Climatology",
title = "Spatial and temporal variability of rain-spells characteristics in Serbia and Montenegro",
volume = "35",
number = "7",
pages = "1611-1624",
doi = "10.1002/joc.4080",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_676"
}
Kutiel, H., Luković, J.,& Burić, D.. (2015). Spatial and temporal variability of rain-spells characteristics in Serbia and Montenegro. in International Journal of Climatology
Wiley, Hoboken., 35(7), 1611-1624.
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4080
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_676
Kutiel H, Luković J, Burić D. Spatial and temporal variability of rain-spells characteristics in Serbia and Montenegro. in International Journal of Climatology. 2015;35(7):1611-1624.
doi:10.1002/joc.4080
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_676 .
Kutiel, Haim, Luković, Jelena, Burić, Dragan, "Spatial and temporal variability of rain-spells characteristics in Serbia and Montenegro" in International Journal of Climatology, 35, no. 7 (2015):1611-1624,
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4080 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_676 .
13
12
14

Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend

Mihajlović, Jovan; Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/686
AB  - Citing numerical simulations, climate alarmists believe that global warming will lead to more frequent and more intensive tornadoes. Considering temperature increase data in the contiguous USA, this study has investigated the trend of strong tornadoes in F3+ category in the 1954-2012 period. Statistically significant decrease of tornadoes per year at an average rate of 0.44 has been recorded, that is, 4.4 tornadoes per decade. Tornado increase has been recorded with F0 and F1 categories and the cause of this increase lies in meteorological and non-meteorological factors. By using upper and lower standard deviation values, the stages of tornado activity have been singled out. The 1957-1974 period may be considered as an active stage and the 1978-2009 period as an inactive stage. Upward trend of air temperature increase does not correspond with the downward trend of the number of F3+ tornado category, while the correlation coefficient between these two variables is R = -0.14. This fact does not correspond with the simulation results and output data of various numerical models anticipating an increase in the number and intensity of tornado events in the conditions of surface air temperature growth.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend
VL  - 65
IS  - 3
SP  - 269
EP  - 280
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1503269M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_686
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2015",
abstract = "Citing numerical simulations, climate alarmists believe that global warming will lead to more frequent and more intensive tornadoes. Considering temperature increase data in the contiguous USA, this study has investigated the trend of strong tornadoes in F3+ category in the 1954-2012 period. Statistically significant decrease of tornadoes per year at an average rate of 0.44 has been recorded, that is, 4.4 tornadoes per decade. Tornado increase has been recorded with F0 and F1 categories and the cause of this increase lies in meteorological and non-meteorological factors. By using upper and lower standard deviation values, the stages of tornado activity have been singled out. The 1957-1974 period may be considered as an active stage and the 1978-2009 period as an inactive stage. Upward trend of air temperature increase does not correspond with the downward trend of the number of F3+ tornado category, while the correlation coefficient between these two variables is R = -0.14. This fact does not correspond with the simulation results and output data of various numerical models anticipating an increase in the number and intensity of tornado events in the conditions of surface air temperature growth.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend",
volume = "65",
number = "3",
pages = "269-280",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1503269M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_686"
}
Mihajlović, J., Ducić, V.,& Burić, D.. (2015). Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 65(3), 269-280.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1503269M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_686
Mihajlović J, Ducić V, Burić D. Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2015;65(3):269-280.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1503269M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_686 .
Mihajlović, Jovan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, "Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 65, no. 3 (2015):269-280,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1503269M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_686 .
1
1

Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia

Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Popović, Ljubomir

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Popović, Ljubomir
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/685
AB  - In the conditions of dominant influence of anthropogenic greenhouse effect and according to simulation models, a more intensive temperature increase in upper-air layers of troposphere than in lower-air layers should be expected. In order to check this, the difference between temperature trends in the middle and lower troposphere over the Australian continent has been analyzed. Satellite data UAHMSU for lower troposphere (TLT) and middle troposphere (TMT), for the 1979-2014 period have been used in the study. Estimates have been done on seasonal and annual value, and the results obtained indicate that there is a trend of temperature increase, but not altitude amplification over Australia. Reducing the time series for a year from the beginning (1980-2014, 1981-2014.), a comparative analysis between corresponding time series for each season, i.e., each year, showed that from 140 mutual comparisons, altitude amplification does not exist in 130, i.e., in 93% of cases. Moreover, in sub-periods of 1996 (1997-2014, 19982014.), we can not even talk about warming in most cases because the trend of temperature is negative.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia
VL  - 65
IS  - 3
SP  - 297
EP  - 307
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1503297B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_685
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Popović, Ljubomir",
year = "2015",
abstract = "In the conditions of dominant influence of anthropogenic greenhouse effect and according to simulation models, a more intensive temperature increase in upper-air layers of troposphere than in lower-air layers should be expected. In order to check this, the difference between temperature trends in the middle and lower troposphere over the Australian continent has been analyzed. Satellite data UAHMSU for lower troposphere (TLT) and middle troposphere (TMT), for the 1979-2014 period have been used in the study. Estimates have been done on seasonal and annual value, and the results obtained indicate that there is a trend of temperature increase, but not altitude amplification over Australia. Reducing the time series for a year from the beginning (1980-2014, 1981-2014.), a comparative analysis between corresponding time series for each season, i.e., each year, showed that from 140 mutual comparisons, altitude amplification does not exist in 130, i.e., in 93% of cases. Moreover, in sub-periods of 1996 (1997-2014, 19982014.), we can not even talk about warming in most cases because the trend of temperature is negative.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia",
volume = "65",
number = "3",
pages = "297-307",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1503297B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_685"
}
Burić, D., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J.,& Popović, L.. (2015). Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 65(3), 297-307.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1503297B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_685
Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Popović L. Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2015;65(3):297-307.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1503297B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_685 .
Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Popović, Ljubomir, "Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 65, no. 3 (2015):297-307,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1503297B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_685 .

Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951-2010)

Burić, Dragan; Luković, Jelena; Ducić, V.; Dragojlović, Jovan; Doderović, Miroslav

(Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Ducić, V.
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
AU  - Doderović, Miroslav
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/619
AB  - Montenegro so far has been poorly investigated in terms of climate extremes. The aim of this paper was to analyse the extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) temperature indices in the Mediterranean region of Montenegro for the period of 1951-2010. Four stations in the coastal area of Montenegro have been analysed: Herceg Novi, Ulcinj, Budva and Bar. Two periods (before 1980 and after 1980) were separately investigated in this study due to a well-known climate shift that occurred in the late 1970s. Seven indices of temperature extremes have been chosen. The trend was analysed using a Mann-Kendall non-parametric test, while the slope was estimated using Sen's slope estimator. A negative trend has been calculated for cold nights and cold days at almost all stations. The most significant positive trends were obtained for warm conditions. The two separately investigated periods have shown contrasting temperature trends.
PB  - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
T2  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
T1  - Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951-2010)
VL  - 14
IS  - 1
SP  - 67
EP  - 72
DO  - 10.5194/nhess-14-67-2014
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_619
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Luković, Jelena and Ducić, V. and Dragojlović, Jovan and Doderović, Miroslav",
year = "2014",
abstract = "Montenegro so far has been poorly investigated in terms of climate extremes. The aim of this paper was to analyse the extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) temperature indices in the Mediterranean region of Montenegro for the period of 1951-2010. Four stations in the coastal area of Montenegro have been analysed: Herceg Novi, Ulcinj, Budva and Bar. Two periods (before 1980 and after 1980) were separately investigated in this study due to a well-known climate shift that occurred in the late 1970s. Seven indices of temperature extremes have been chosen. The trend was analysed using a Mann-Kendall non-parametric test, while the slope was estimated using Sen's slope estimator. A negative trend has been calculated for cold nights and cold days at almost all stations. The most significant positive trends were obtained for warm conditions. The two separately investigated periods have shown contrasting temperature trends.",
publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen",
journal = "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences",
title = "Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951-2010)",
volume = "14",
number = "1",
pages = "67-72",
doi = "10.5194/nhess-14-67-2014",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_619"
}
Burić, D., Luković, J., Ducić, V., Dragojlović, J.,& Doderović, M.. (2014). Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951-2010). in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 14(1), 67-72.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-67-2014
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_619
Burić D, Luković J, Ducić V, Dragojlović J, Doderović M. Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951-2010). in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2014;14(1):67-72.
doi:10.5194/nhess-14-67-2014
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_619 .
Burić, Dragan, Luković, Jelena, Ducić, V., Dragojlović, Jovan, Doderović, Miroslav, "Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951-2010)" in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 14, no. 1 (2014):67-72,
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-67-2014 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_619 .
37
20
38

Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation

Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Luković, Jelena; Dragojlović, Jovan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/610
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation
VL  - 94
IS  - 4
SP  - 109
EP  - 120
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1404109B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Luković, Jelena and Dragojlović, Jovan",
year = "2014",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation",
volume = "94",
number = "4",
pages = "109-120",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1404109B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610"
}
Burić, D., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Luković, J.,& Dragojlović, J.. (2014). Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 94(4), 109-120.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1404109B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610
Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Luković J, Dragojlović J. Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2014;94(4):109-120.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1404109B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610 .
Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Luković, Jelena, Dragojlović, Jovan, "Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 94, no. 4 (2014):109-120,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1404109B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610 .
4

Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation

Mihajlović, Jovan; Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/649
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation
VL  - 64
IS  - 3
SP  - 279
EP  - 292
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1403279M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_649
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2014",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation",
volume = "64",
number = "3",
pages = "279-292",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1403279M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_649"
}
Mihajlović, J., Ducić, V.,& Burić, D.. (2014). Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 64(3), 279-292.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1403279M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_649
Mihajlović J, Ducić V, Burić D. Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2014;64(3):279-292.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1403279M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_649 .
Mihajlović, Jovan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, "Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 64, no. 3 (2014):279-292,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1403279M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_649 .

The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two

Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/625
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two
VL  - 94
IS  - 1
SP  - 73
EP  - 90
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1401073B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_625
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan",
year = "2014",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two",
volume = "94",
number = "1",
pages = "73-90",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1401073B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_625"
}
Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Mihajlović, J.. (2014). The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 94(1), 73-90.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1401073B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_625
Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J. The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2014;94(1):73-90.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1401073B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_625 .
Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, "The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 94, no. 1 (2014):73-90,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1401073B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_625 .
38

Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI)

Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan; Trbić, Goran; Cupać, Raduška

(Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Trbić, Goran
AU  - Cupać, Raduška
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/612
AB  - Most frequent indicator of the meteorological draught is the standardized precipitation index (SPI). This paper analyses SPI at 8 weather stations in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The calculations were perfomred per a calendar year and weather seasons between 1961 and 2010. The results indicate a trend of annual SPI12 to be relevant for only one weather station, but it was still positive refering to increased humidity. During the observed period, there was an increase in number of stations indicating extremely humid and extremely dry years but the changes were statistically irrelevant. The SPI3 trend for February (winter) was statistically immaterial at all stations but most observed locations showed increased draught. Not even SPI3 spring trend was statistically important nor did it have specific geografical regularities showing tendencies. In summer, there was an increased draugth at most locations and the negative value of SPI3 trend for August (summer) was statistically relevant at two weather stations (Bihać and Bileća). Over the last decade (2001-2010), at most locations there was a largest number of both dry and humid summers, which certainly shows more frequent extreme summer priods with reference to precipitation. At 7 of 8 stations, autumn was getting more humid but it was only in Bijeljina that SPI3 trend for November (autumn) was statistically significant. Most dry years were within 1981-1990 decade as NAO and AO indexes were the highest. On the other hand, 2001-2010 decade had most humid years and NAO index reached lowest values. In addition, the interannual precipitation variations were also largely affected by changes in atmospheric circulation. At season level, the best corelation with NAO and AO circulation parameters was in winter.
AB  - Najčešće korišćen pokazatelj meteorološke suše je Standardizovani indeks padavina (SPI). U ovom radu analiziran je SPI za 8 meteoroloških stanica u Bosni i Hercegovini. Proračuni su urađeni za kalendarsku godinu i meteorološke sezone, za period 1961-2010. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da je trend godišnjeg SPI12 značajan samo na jednoj stanici, ali je pozitivnog znaka, što znači da je došlo do povećanja vlažnosti. U posmatranom periodu prisutna je stopa rasta broja stanica na kojima su zabeležene ekstremno vlažne i ekstremno sušne godine, ali su i te promene statistički beznačajne. Trend SPI3 za februar (zimu) na svim stanicama je statistički beznačajan, ali je u većini posmatranih mesta došlo do povećanja sušnosti. Ni trend SPI3 za proleće ne pokazuje statističku značajnost ni na jednoj stanici, a nema ni određene geografske pravilnosti u znaku tendencije. Leti je došlo do povećanja sušnosti u većini mesta, a pri tome je negativna vrednost trenda SPI3 za avgust (leto) statistički značajna na 2 stanice (Bihać i Bileća). U poslednjoj dekadi (2001-2010) u većini mesta registrovaâ je najveći broj i sušnih i vlažnih leta, što nesumnjivo pokazuje povećanje učestalosti ekstremnih leta u pogledu padavina. Na 7 od 8 stanica jesen je sve vlažnija, ali je samo u Bijeljini pozitivan trend SPI3 za novembar (jesen) statistički signifikantan. Najveći broj sušnih godina registrovan je u dekadi 1981-1990., kada su NAO i AO indeks imali najviše vrednosti. S druge strane, dekada 2001-2010. izdvaja se sa najvećim brojem vlažnih godina, a u tom periodu je NAO indeks dostigav najniže vrednosti. I međugodišnje varijacije padavina su u velikoj meri pod uticajem promene atmosferske cirkulacije. Na sezonskom nivou, najbolja korelacija sa parametrima cirkulacije NAO i AO dobijena je za zimu
PB  - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske
T2  - Glasnik - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske
T1  - Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI)
T1  - Analiza padavina i suša na teritoriji BiH na osnovu standardizovanog indeksa padavina (SPI)
IS  - 18
SP  - 53
EP  - 70
DO  - 10.7251/HER1814053D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_612
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan and Trbić, Goran and Cupać, Raduška",
year = "2014",
abstract = "Most frequent indicator of the meteorological draught is the standardized precipitation index (SPI). This paper analyses SPI at 8 weather stations in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The calculations were perfomred per a calendar year and weather seasons between 1961 and 2010. The results indicate a trend of annual SPI12 to be relevant for only one weather station, but it was still positive refering to increased humidity. During the observed period, there was an increase in number of stations indicating extremely humid and extremely dry years but the changes were statistically irrelevant. The SPI3 trend for February (winter) was statistically immaterial at all stations but most observed locations showed increased draught. Not even SPI3 spring trend was statistically important nor did it have specific geografical regularities showing tendencies. In summer, there was an increased draugth at most locations and the negative value of SPI3 trend for August (summer) was statistically relevant at two weather stations (Bihać and Bileća). Over the last decade (2001-2010), at most locations there was a largest number of both dry and humid summers, which certainly shows more frequent extreme summer priods with reference to precipitation. At 7 of 8 stations, autumn was getting more humid but it was only in Bijeljina that SPI3 trend for November (autumn) was statistically significant. Most dry years were within 1981-1990 decade as NAO and AO indexes were the highest. On the other hand, 2001-2010 decade had most humid years and NAO index reached lowest values. In addition, the interannual precipitation variations were also largely affected by changes in atmospheric circulation. At season level, the best corelation with NAO and AO circulation parameters was in winter., Najčešće korišćen pokazatelj meteorološke suše je Standardizovani indeks padavina (SPI). U ovom radu analiziran je SPI za 8 meteoroloških stanica u Bosni i Hercegovini. Proračuni su urađeni za kalendarsku godinu i meteorološke sezone, za period 1961-2010. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da je trend godišnjeg SPI12 značajan samo na jednoj stanici, ali je pozitivnog znaka, što znači da je došlo do povećanja vlažnosti. U posmatranom periodu prisutna je stopa rasta broja stanica na kojima su zabeležene ekstremno vlažne i ekstremno sušne godine, ali su i te promene statistički beznačajne. Trend SPI3 za februar (zimu) na svim stanicama je statistički beznačajan, ali je u većini posmatranih mesta došlo do povećanja sušnosti. Ni trend SPI3 za proleće ne pokazuje statističku značajnost ni na jednoj stanici, a nema ni određene geografske pravilnosti u znaku tendencije. Leti je došlo do povećanja sušnosti u većini mesta, a pri tome je negativna vrednost trenda SPI3 za avgust (leto) statistički značajna na 2 stanice (Bihać i Bileća). U poslednjoj dekadi (2001-2010) u većini mesta registrovaâ je najveći broj i sušnih i vlažnih leta, što nesumnjivo pokazuje povećanje učestalosti ekstremnih leta u pogledu padavina. Na 7 od 8 stanica jesen je sve vlažnija, ali je samo u Bijeljini pozitivan trend SPI3 za novembar (jesen) statistički signifikantan. Najveći broj sušnih godina registrovan je u dekadi 1981-1990., kada su NAO i AO indeks imali najviše vrednosti. S druge strane, dekada 2001-2010. izdvaja se sa najvećim brojem vlažnih godina, a u tom periodu je NAO indeks dostigav najniže vrednosti. I međugodišnje varijacije padavina su u velikoj meri pod uticajem promene atmosferske cirkulacije. Na sezonskom nivou, najbolja korelacija sa parametrima cirkulacije NAO i AO dobijena je za zimu",
publisher = "Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske",
journal = "Glasnik - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske",
title = "Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI), Analiza padavina i suša na teritoriji BiH na osnovu standardizovanog indeksa padavina (SPI)",
number = "18",
pages = "53-70",
doi = "10.7251/HER1814053D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_612"
}
Ducić, V., Burić, D., Trbić, G.,& Cupać, R.. (2014). Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI). in Glasnik - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske
Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske.(18), 53-70.
https://doi.org/10.7251/HER1814053D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_612
Ducić V, Burić D, Trbić G, Cupać R. Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI). in Glasnik - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske. 2014;(18):53-70.
doi:10.7251/HER1814053D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_612 .
Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, Trbić, Goran, Cupać, Raduška, "Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI)" in Glasnik - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske, no. 18 (2014):53-70,
https://doi.org/10.7251/HER1814053D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_612 .
1

Landspout across Novi Beograd, 24 may 2012: Synoptic analysis

Mihajlović, Jovan; Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan; Ivanović, Rade; Ristić, Dušan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2013)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ivanović, Rade
AU  - Ristić, Dušan
PY  - 2013
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/574
AB  - In this study we have analysed a case of the landspout across Novi Beograd on 24 May 2012. We have used a synoptic analysis method in the research and the description of the landspout event is based on visual evidence and photographs. According to the available data, it can be concluded that there were favourable conditions for a landspout development since there was a process and an increased amount of instability. The landspout occured within the northeast stream which moved over Belgrade and further toward the southeast and west. Based upon synoptic data analysis, it can't be said that there was a cold air advection. Surface air was warm enough, but not the air in the upper layers of the atmosphere. The conditions for a landspout development were favourable - high relative air humidity and increased vertical and horizontal air currents.
AB  - U radu je prikazan slučaj pojave trombe 24.05.2012. na Novom Beogradu. U istraživanju je korišćen metod sinoptičke analize, a opis pojave trombe temelji se na vizuelnom opažanju i fotografijama. Prema raspoloživim podacima može se zaključiti da su uslovi za razvoj trombe bili povoljni, jer je postojao i proces i povećana energija nestabilnosti. Tromba se javila u sklopu severoistočne struje koja se premeštala preko Beograda dalje na jugozapad i zapad. Na osnovu analize sinoptičkog materijala, ne može se reći da se radilo o advekciji jako hladnog vazduha. Bilo je dovoljno toplote u prizemlju, ali ne i po visini. Postojali su povoljni uslovi za nastanak trombe - visoka vlažnost vazduha, izražena vertikalna i horizontalna strujanja.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Landspout across Novi Beograd, 24 may 2012: Synoptic analysis
T1  - Pojava trombe na Novom Beogradu 24. maja 2012. godine - sinoptička analiza
VL  - 93
IS  - 2
SP  - 55
EP  - 72
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1302055M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_574
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan and Ivanović, Rade and Ristić, Dušan",
year = "2013",
abstract = "In this study we have analysed a case of the landspout across Novi Beograd on 24 May 2012. We have used a synoptic analysis method in the research and the description of the landspout event is based on visual evidence and photographs. According to the available data, it can be concluded that there were favourable conditions for a landspout development since there was a process and an increased amount of instability. The landspout occured within the northeast stream which moved over Belgrade and further toward the southeast and west. Based upon synoptic data analysis, it can't be said that there was a cold air advection. Surface air was warm enough, but not the air in the upper layers of the atmosphere. The conditions for a landspout development were favourable - high relative air humidity and increased vertical and horizontal air currents., U radu je prikazan slučaj pojave trombe 24.05.2012. na Novom Beogradu. U istraživanju je korišćen metod sinoptičke analize, a opis pojave trombe temelji se na vizuelnom opažanju i fotografijama. Prema raspoloživim podacima može se zaključiti da su uslovi za razvoj trombe bili povoljni, jer je postojao i proces i povećana energija nestabilnosti. Tromba se javila u sklopu severoistočne struje koja se premeštala preko Beograda dalje na jugozapad i zapad. Na osnovu analize sinoptičkog materijala, ne može se reći da se radilo o advekciji jako hladnog vazduha. Bilo je dovoljno toplote u prizemlju, ali ne i po visini. Postojali su povoljni uslovi za nastanak trombe - visoka vlažnost vazduha, izražena vertikalna i horizontalna strujanja.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Landspout across Novi Beograd, 24 may 2012: Synoptic analysis, Pojava trombe na Novom Beogradu 24. maja 2012. godine - sinoptička analiza",
volume = "93",
number = "2",
pages = "55-72",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1302055M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_574"
}
Mihajlović, J., Ducić, V., Burić, D., Ivanović, R.,& Ristić, D.. (2013). Landspout across Novi Beograd, 24 may 2012: Synoptic analysis. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 93(2), 55-72.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1302055M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_574
Mihajlović J, Ducić V, Burić D, Ivanović R, Ristić D. Landspout across Novi Beograd, 24 may 2012: Synoptic analysis. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2013;93(2):55-72.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1302055M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_574 .
Mihajlović, Jovan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, Ivanović, Rade, Ristić, Dušan, "Landspout across Novi Beograd, 24 may 2012: Synoptic analysis" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 93, no. 2 (2013):55-72,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1302055M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_574 .

The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part one

Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2013)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
PY  - 2013
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/585
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part one
VL  - 93
IS  - 4
SP  - 83
EP  - 102
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1304083B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_585
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan",
year = "2013",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part one",
volume = "93",
number = "4",
pages = "83-102",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1304083B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_585"
}
Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Mihajlović, J.. (2013). The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part one. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 93(4), 83-102.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1304083B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_585
Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J. The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part one. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2013;93(4):83-102.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1304083B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_585 .
Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, "The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part one" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 93, no. 4 (2013):83-102,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1304083B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_585 .
19

Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types

Ducić, Vladan; Luković, Jelena; Burić, Dragan; Stanojević, Gorica; Mustafić, Sanja

(Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen, 2012)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Mustafić, Sanja
PY  - 2012
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/502
AB  - The aim of this paper is to analyse indices of extreme precipitation in Krivosije, Montenegro, the wettest Mediterranean region, from the period 1951-2007 and their relationships with atmospheric circulation using 'SynopVis Grosswetterlagen' (SVG) series. Data from two stations were analysed, namely Crkvice (42A degrees 34 ' N and 18A degrees 39 ' E) and Herceg Novi (42A degrees 27 ' N and 18A degrees 31 ' E). Four indices of precipitation extremes (SDII, R75p, R95p, R95pTOT) were assessed including number of dry days. The results suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased. To analyse the relationship between extreme precipitation events and circulation types we have used an efficiency coefficient (E-c). Regarding relation to atmospheric circulation, westerly, southwesterly and northwesterly circulation types with anticyclonic features over Central Europe are more frequent for dry days (days with R  lt  1.0 mm) and northerly, easterly and southerly types for wet and very wet days (R75p and R95p indices). The types with cyclonic condition over Central Europe show a large proportion of wet and very wet days. Also, activity of Genoa cyclogenesis and orographic influence over a small area are the main reasons for the high precipitation amounts recorded in the Krivosije region (Crkvice).
PB  - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
T2  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
T1  - Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types
VL  - 12
IS  - 3
SP  - 687
EP  - 697
DO  - 10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Luković, Jelena and Burić, Dragan and Stanojević, Gorica and Mustafić, Sanja",
year = "2012",
abstract = "The aim of this paper is to analyse indices of extreme precipitation in Krivosije, Montenegro, the wettest Mediterranean region, from the period 1951-2007 and their relationships with atmospheric circulation using 'SynopVis Grosswetterlagen' (SVG) series. Data from two stations were analysed, namely Crkvice (42A degrees 34 ' N and 18A degrees 39 ' E) and Herceg Novi (42A degrees 27 ' N and 18A degrees 31 ' E). Four indices of precipitation extremes (SDII, R75p, R95p, R95pTOT) were assessed including number of dry days. The results suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased. To analyse the relationship between extreme precipitation events and circulation types we have used an efficiency coefficient (E-c). Regarding relation to atmospheric circulation, westerly, southwesterly and northwesterly circulation types with anticyclonic features over Central Europe are more frequent for dry days (days with R  lt  1.0 mm) and northerly, easterly and southerly types for wet and very wet days (R75p and R95p indices). The types with cyclonic condition over Central Europe show a large proportion of wet and very wet days. Also, activity of Genoa cyclogenesis and orographic influence over a small area are the main reasons for the high precipitation amounts recorded in the Krivosije region (Crkvice).",
publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen",
journal = "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences",
title = "Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types",
volume = "12",
number = "3",
pages = "687-697",
doi = "10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502"
}
Ducić, V., Luković, J., Burić, D., Stanojević, G.,& Mustafić, S.. (2012). Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types. in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 12(3), 687-697.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502
Ducić V, Luković J, Burić D, Stanojević G, Mustafić S. Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types. in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2012;12(3):687-697.
doi:10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502 .
Ducić, Vladan, Luković, Jelena, Burić, Dragan, Stanojević, Gorica, Mustafić, Sanja, "Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types" in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 12, no. 3 (2012):687-697,
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502 .
38
34
40

Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge

Burić, Dragan; Stanojević, Gorica; Luković, Jelena; Gavrilović, Ljiljana; Živković, Nenad

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2012)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Gavrilović, Ljiljana
AU  - Živković, Nenad
PY  - 2012
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/496
AB  - This paper analyzes climate change and its impact on river discharge. This issue is very well studied worldwide, but in Serbia so far has been poorly studied. The first part of the paper presents the views of two different opinions, those who favored anthropogenic impact on the increasing greenhouse effect, and those who say that this is due to natural factors. Most attention is paid to changes in temperature and precipitation patterns. Classification by the group of those who favor the promotion of natural phenomena is demonstrated through the analysis of river flow fluctuations in the hydrological gauge Beli brod located on Kolubara River.
AB  - U radu se analiziraju klimatske promene i njihov uticaj na vodnost reka. Ova problematika je veoma aktuelna u svetu, mada se u Srbiji njoj nije dovoljno poklanjala pažnja. U prvom delu rada se iznose stavovi dve nepomirljive pozicije, onih koji protežiraju stav o uticaju ljudi na pojačavanje efekta staklene bašte, i onih koji ističu da je to posledica prirodnih faktora. Najviše pažnje se poklanja promenama temperature i padavina. Svrstavanje autora u grupu onih koji su skloniji isticanju prirodnih fenomena je pokazano kroz analizu kolebanja proticaja reke Kolubare na hidrološkoj stanice Beli Brod.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge
T1  - Klimatske promene i vodnost reka - primer Kolubare, Beli brod
VL  - 92
IS  - 1
SP  - 123
EP  - 134
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Stanojević, Gorica and Luković, Jelena and Gavrilović, Ljiljana and Živković, Nenad",
year = "2012",
abstract = "This paper analyzes climate change and its impact on river discharge. This issue is very well studied worldwide, but in Serbia so far has been poorly studied. The first part of the paper presents the views of two different opinions, those who favored anthropogenic impact on the increasing greenhouse effect, and those who say that this is due to natural factors. Most attention is paid to changes in temperature and precipitation patterns. Classification by the group of those who favor the promotion of natural phenomena is demonstrated through the analysis of river flow fluctuations in the hydrological gauge Beli brod located on Kolubara River., U radu se analiziraju klimatske promene i njihov uticaj na vodnost reka. Ova problematika je veoma aktuelna u svetu, mada se u Srbiji njoj nije dovoljno poklanjala pažnja. U prvom delu rada se iznose stavovi dve nepomirljive pozicije, onih koji protežiraju stav o uticaju ljudi na pojačavanje efekta staklene bašte, i onih koji ističu da je to posledica prirodnih faktora. Najviše pažnje se poklanja promenama temperature i padavina. Svrstavanje autora u grupu onih koji su skloniji isticanju prirodnih fenomena je pokazano kroz analizu kolebanja proticaja reke Kolubare na hidrološkoj stanice Beli Brod.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge, Klimatske promene i vodnost reka - primer Kolubare, Beli brod",
volume = "92",
number = "1",
pages = "123-134",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496"
}
Burić, D., Stanojević, G., Luković, J., Gavrilović, L.,& Živković, N.. (2012). Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 92(1), 123-134.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496
Burić D, Stanojević G, Luković J, Gavrilović L, Živković N. Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2012;92(1):123-134.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496 .
Burić, Dragan, Stanojević, Gorica, Luković, Jelena, Gavrilović, Ljiljana, Živković, Nenad, "Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 92, no. 1 (2012):123-134,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496 .