TY  - JOUR
AU  - Langović, Marko
AU  - Živković, Nenad
AU  - Dragićević, Slavoljub
AU  - Luković, Jelena
PY  - 2023
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1716
AB  - Water scarcity, unequal access to water resources, and the impact of climate change on water availability are among the major global environmental concerns. As dynamic and vulnerable water subjects, rivers are constantly exposed to the pressure of natural conditions variability (primarily climatic) and direct anthropogenic influences. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate river regime dynamics over longer periods to adapt the water management sector, and human demands to any observed variations in river discharge. Observing the periodicity or cyclicity of the occurrence of certain discharge values is an important topic of modern physical geography and hydrology research. Statistics and hydrologic modelling provide great opportunities for observing cyclicality and forecasting future trends. The aim of this paper is to indicate the importance of specific statistical methods of autocorrelation and spectral analysis to study the repeatability of mean annual and maximum discharges. The South Morava River in Serbia (HS: Mojsinje, Korvingrad, Grdelica) has been selected as a case study. The obtained results (period: 1924-2021) indicated the significant cyclicity of mean annual discharges, especially pronounced at the upstream hydrological station Grdelica (3.5-year cycle) and downstream hydrological station Mojsinje (19.5-year cycle). These cyclicities are mostly influenced by variations in the amount of precipitation received from the upper part of the river basin (R > 0.6). In contrast, no regular cycles of maximum annual discharge values were determined in the studied period. The obtained results can be important for future detailed geographic and hydrologic studies as well as for the development of strategies and plans in the field of water management, environmental protection, spatial planning, prevention of floods and droughts, etc.
PB  - Baia Mare : North University of Baia Mare
T2  - Carpathian Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences
T1  - Repeatability Cycles of River Discharges: Can We Identify Discharge Patterns? a Case Study of the South Morava River (Serbia)
VL  - 18
IS  - 2
SP  - 369
EP  - 383
DO  - 10.26471/cjees/2023/018/266
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Langović, Marko and Živković, Nenad and Dragićević, Slavoljub and Luković, Jelena",
year = "2023",
abstract = "Water scarcity, unequal access to water resources, and the impact of climate change on water availability are among the major global environmental concerns. As dynamic and vulnerable water subjects, rivers are constantly exposed to the pressure of natural conditions variability (primarily climatic) and direct anthropogenic influences. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate river regime dynamics over longer periods to adapt the water management sector, and human demands to any observed variations in river discharge. Observing the periodicity or cyclicity of the occurrence of certain discharge values is an important topic of modern physical geography and hydrology research. Statistics and hydrologic modelling provide great opportunities for observing cyclicality and forecasting future trends. The aim of this paper is to indicate the importance of specific statistical methods of autocorrelation and spectral analysis to study the repeatability of mean annual and maximum discharges. The South Morava River in Serbia (HS: Mojsinje, Korvingrad, Grdelica) has been selected as a case study. The obtained results (period: 1924-2021) indicated the significant cyclicity of mean annual discharges, especially pronounced at the upstream hydrological station Grdelica (3.5-year cycle) and downstream hydrological station Mojsinje (19.5-year cycle). These cyclicities are mostly influenced by variations in the amount of precipitation received from the upper part of the river basin (R > 0.6). In contrast, no regular cycles of maximum annual discharge values were determined in the studied period. The obtained results can be important for future detailed geographic and hydrologic studies as well as for the development of strategies and plans in the field of water management, environmental protection, spatial planning, prevention of floods and droughts, etc.",
publisher = "Baia Mare : North University of Baia Mare",
journal = "Carpathian Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences",
title = "Repeatability Cycles of River Discharges: Can We Identify Discharge Patterns? a Case Study of the South Morava River (Serbia)",
volume = "18",
number = "2",
pages = "369-383",
doi = "10.26471/cjees/2023/018/266"
}

Langović, M., Živković, N., Dragićević, S.,& Luković, J.. (2023). Repeatability Cycles of River Discharges: Can We Identify Discharge Patterns? a Case Study of the South Morava River (Serbia). in Carpathian Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences
Baia Mare : North University of Baia Mare., 18(2), 369-383.
https://doi.org/10.26471/cjees/2023/018/266

Langović M, Živković N, Dragićević S, Luković J. Repeatability Cycles of River Discharges: Can We Identify Discharge Patterns? a Case Study of the South Morava River (Serbia). in Carpathian Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences. 2023;18(2):369-383.
doi:10.26471/cjees/2023/018/266 .

Langović, Marko, Živković, Nenad, Dragićević, Slavoljub, Luković, Jelena, "Repeatability Cycles of River Discharges: Can We Identify Discharge Patterns? a Case Study of the South Morava River (Serbia)" in Carpathian Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences, 18, no. 2 (2023):369-383,
https://doi.org/10.26471/cjees/2023/018/266 . .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Chiang, John C. H.
AU  - Blagojević, Dragan
AU  - Sekulić, Aleksandar
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1088
AB  - Californian hydroclimate is strongly seasonal and prone to severe water shortages. Recent changes in climate trends have induced shifts in seasonality, thus exacerbating droughts, wildfires, and adverse water shortage effects on the environment and economy. Previous studies have examined the timing of the seasonal cycle shifts mainly as temperature driven earlier onset of the spring season. In this paper, we address quantitative changes in the onset, amounts, and termination of the precipitation season over the past 6 decades, as well as the large-scale atmospheric circulation underpinning the seasonal cycle changes. We discover that the onset of the rainy season has been progressively delayed since the 1960s, and as a result the precipitation season has become shorter and sharper in California. The progressively later onset of the rainy season is shown to be related to the summer circulation pattern extending into autumn across the North Pacific, in particular, a delay in the strengthening of the Aleutian Low and later southward displacement of the North Pacific westerlies. Plain Language Summary The rainy season over California is projected to show a distinct sharpening of the mean seasonal cycle, with winter precipitation increasing, and both autumn and spring precipitation decreasing. Our analysis of the past 6 decades of data for California suggests autumn decrease is already underway. A delayed start of the rainy season of 27 days since 1960s can exacerbate seasonal droughts and prolong the wildfire season. This delay occurs due to a number of conditions that controls precipitation: the summer circulation pattern has been extending throughout November across the North Pacific, and the wintertime strengthening of the Aleutian Low is delayed. Accordingly, the southward migration of the North Pacific jet stream as well as extratropical storm tracks, which marks the start of the California rainy season, are delayed. More work, using climate models, will be needed to provide a better understanding of atmospheric conditions across the North America and the North Pacific. However, our findings provide observational evidence for the projected rainfall change over California and inform ongoing discussion about the drying/wetting tendencies of the rainy season in California.
PB  - Amer Geophysical Union, Washington
T2  - Geophysical Research Letters
T1  - A Later Onset of the Rainy Season in California
VL  - 48
IS  - 4
DO  - 10.1029/2020GL090350
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1088
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Luković, Jelena and Chiang, John C. H. and Blagojević, Dragan and Sekulić, Aleksandar",
year = "2021",
abstract = "Californian hydroclimate is strongly seasonal and prone to severe water shortages. Recent changes in climate trends have induced shifts in seasonality, thus exacerbating droughts, wildfires, and adverse water shortage effects on the environment and economy. Previous studies have examined the timing of the seasonal cycle shifts mainly as temperature driven earlier onset of the spring season. In this paper, we address quantitative changes in the onset, amounts, and termination of the precipitation season over the past 6 decades, as well as the large-scale atmospheric circulation underpinning the seasonal cycle changes. We discover that the onset of the rainy season has been progressively delayed since the 1960s, and as a result the precipitation season has become shorter and sharper in California. The progressively later onset of the rainy season is shown to be related to the summer circulation pattern extending into autumn across the North Pacific, in particular, a delay in the strengthening of the Aleutian Low and later southward displacement of the North Pacific westerlies. Plain Language Summary The rainy season over California is projected to show a distinct sharpening of the mean seasonal cycle, with winter precipitation increasing, and both autumn and spring precipitation decreasing. Our analysis of the past 6 decades of data for California suggests autumn decrease is already underway. A delayed start of the rainy season of 27 days since 1960s can exacerbate seasonal droughts and prolong the wildfire season. This delay occurs due to a number of conditions that controls precipitation: the summer circulation pattern has been extending throughout November across the North Pacific, and the wintertime strengthening of the Aleutian Low is delayed. Accordingly, the southward migration of the North Pacific jet stream as well as extratropical storm tracks, which marks the start of the California rainy season, are delayed. More work, using climate models, will be needed to provide a better understanding of atmospheric conditions across the North America and the North Pacific. However, our findings provide observational evidence for the projected rainfall change over California and inform ongoing discussion about the drying/wetting tendencies of the rainy season in California.",
publisher = "Amer Geophysical Union, Washington",
journal = "Geophysical Research Letters",
title = "A Later Onset of the Rainy Season in California",
volume = "48",
number = "4",
doi = "10.1029/2020GL090350",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1088"
}

Luković, J., Chiang, J. C. H., Blagojević, D.,& Sekulić, A.. (2021). A Later Onset of the Rainy Season in California. in Geophysical Research Letters
Amer Geophysical Union, Washington., 48(4).
https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090350
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1088

Luković J, Chiang JCH, Blagojević D, Sekulić A. A Later Onset of the Rainy Season in California. in Geophysical Research Letters. 2021;48(4).
doi:10.1029/2020GL090350
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1088 .

Luković, Jelena, Chiang, John C. H., Blagojević, Dragan, Sekulić, Aleksandar, "A Later Onset of the Rainy Season in California" in Geophysical Research Letters, 48, no. 4 (2021),
https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090350 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1088 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Cvijanović, Ivana
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Begg, James D.
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1050
PB  - Nature Publishing Group, New York
T2  - Nature Geoscience
T1  - One hundred years of Milankovic cycles
VL  - 13
IS  - 8
SP  - 524
EP  - 525
DO  - 10.1038/s41561-020-0621-2
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1050
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Cvijanović, Ivana and Luković, Jelena and Begg, James D.",
year = "2020",
publisher = "Nature Publishing Group, New York",
journal = "Nature Geoscience",
title = "One hundred years of Milankovic cycles",
volume = "13",
number = "8",
pages = "524-525",
doi = "10.1038/s41561-020-0621-2",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1050"
}

Cvijanović, I., Luković, J.,& Begg, J. D.. (2020). One hundred years of Milankovic cycles. in Nature Geoscience
Nature Publishing Group, New York., 13(8), 524-525.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-0621-2
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1050

Cvijanović I, Luković J, Begg JD. One hundred years of Milankovic cycles. in Nature Geoscience. 2020;13(8):524-525.
doi:10.1038/s41561-020-0621-2
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1050 .

Cvijanović, Ivana, Luković, Jelena, Begg, James D., "One hundred years of Milankovic cycles" in Nature Geoscience, 13, no. 8 (2020):524-525,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-0621-2 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1050 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
AU  - Antonijević, O.
AU  - Kilibarda, Milan
AU  - Sekulić, Aleksandar
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Doljak, D.
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1035
AB  - The assessment of the potential use of renewable energy resources requires reliable and precise data inputs for sustainable energy planning on a regional, national and local scale. In this study, we examine high spatial resolution grids of potential insolation and solar duration in order to determine the location of potential solar power plants in Montenegro. Grids with a 25-m spatial resolution of potential solar radiation and duration were produced based on observational records and publicly available high-resolution digital elevation model provided by the European Environment Agency. These results could be further used for the estimation and selection of a specific location for solar panels. With an average annual potential insolation of 1800 kWh/m² and solar duration of over 2000 h per year for most of its territory, Montenegro is one of the European countries with the highest potential for the development, production, and consumption of solar energy.
PB  - Beograd : Institut za arhitekturu i urbanizam Srbije
T2  - Spatium
T1  - Space-Time High-Resolution Data of The Potential Insolation and Solar Duration for Montenegro
IS  - 44
SP  - 45
EP  - 52
DO  - 10.2298/SPAT2044045B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1035
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Bajat, Branislav and Antonijević, O. and Kilibarda, Milan and Sekulić, Aleksandar and Luković, Jelena and Doljak, D. and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2020",
abstract = "The assessment of the potential use of renewable energy resources requires reliable and precise data inputs for sustainable energy planning on a regional, national and local scale. In this study, we examine high spatial resolution grids of potential insolation and solar duration in order to determine the location of potential solar power plants in Montenegro. Grids with a 25-m spatial resolution of potential solar radiation and duration were produced based on observational records and publicly available high-resolution digital elevation model provided by the European Environment Agency. These results could be further used for the estimation and selection of a specific location for solar panels. With an average annual potential insolation of 1800 kWh/m² and solar duration of over 2000 h per year for most of its territory, Montenegro is one of the European countries with the highest potential for the development, production, and consumption of solar energy.",
publisher = "Beograd : Institut za arhitekturu i urbanizam Srbije",
journal = "Spatium",
title = "Space-Time High-Resolution Data of The Potential Insolation and Solar Duration for Montenegro",
number = "44",
pages = "45-52",
doi = "10.2298/SPAT2044045B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1035"
}

Bajat, B., Antonijević, O., Kilibarda, M., Sekulić, A., Luković, J., Doljak, D.,& Burić, D.. (2020). Space-Time High-Resolution Data of The Potential Insolation and Solar Duration for Montenegro. in Spatium
Beograd : Institut za arhitekturu i urbanizam Srbije.(44), 45-52.
https://doi.org/10.2298/SPAT2044045B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1035

Bajat B, Antonijević O, Kilibarda M, Sekulić A, Luković J, Doljak D, Burić D. Space-Time High-Resolution Data of The Potential Insolation and Solar Duration for Montenegro. in Spatium. 2020;(44):45-52.
doi:10.2298/SPAT2044045B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1035 .

Bajat, Branislav, Antonijević, O., Kilibarda, Milan, Sekulić, Aleksandar, Luković, Jelena, Doljak, D., Burić, Dragan, "Space-Time High-Resolution Data of The Potential Insolation and Solar Duration for Montenegro" in Spatium, no. 44 (2020):45-52,
https://doi.org/10.2298/SPAT2044045B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1035 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kutiel, Haim
AU  - Luković, Jelena
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1029
AB  - In this manuscript we analyze daily rainfall observational records from 22 weather stations located in different regions over Serbia in the period 1949–2007. We examine the characteristics of dryness by using the Dry Days Since Last Rain – DDSLR approach. In order to quantify the DDSLR we use three metrics for each weather station: severity, consistency and uncertainty. Results show that these three metrics vary independently of each other as well as that there is a weak relationship between them. Weather stations in the northern parts of Serbia, with moderate annual amount of rainfall less than 650 mm, present higher dryness conditions whereas the lowest values were obtained for central parts in Serbia. Limited number of studies examined drying tendencies in Serbia and neighboring countries so far. We consider Serbia as an area of particular interest because of its position in a frontier between Mediterranean conditions on the southwest and the continental inland.
AB  - Дуги периоди без кише могу изазвати негативне последице на животну средину, економију и друштво. Суше несумњиво утичу и на водне ресурсе, пољопривреду, интензитет шумских пожара и деградацију земљишта. У овом раду анализиране су осмотрене дневне падавине у Србији у периоду између 1949. и 2007. године. Простор Србије је од посебног интереса с обзиром на његов географски положај између медитеранских и континенталних услова климе. У овом раду испитиване су карактеристике суше користећи приступ Dry Days Since Last Rain – DDSLR. За квантификацију DDSLR анализирана су три параметра на свакој станици: severity, consistency и uncertainty. Северни делови Србије, који имају релативно умерену количину падавина током године, показали су сушне тенденције. С друге стране, најниже вредности истраживаних параметара уочене се у централној Србији. Имајући у виду резултате истраживања може се закључити да суша није значајна климатска претња за Србију. Другим речима, како је Србија изложена утицајима медитеранске климе у њеним југозападним деловима, са вредностима медитеранског индекса од 1, могућност од појаве суша значајно је умањена. Појава суше у Србији изражена је у северним и источним деловима земље, равницама са најпродуктивнијим типовима земљишта. Због тога је боље разумевање ове појаве у Србији и њених друштвених и економских последица кључно у будућим истраживањима.
PB  - Srpsko geografsko društvo (Serbian Geographical society)
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva (Bulletin of the Serbian Geographical Society)
T1  - Various aspects of dryness in Serbia
T1  - Карактеристике сушности у Србији
VL  - 100
IS  - 1
SP  - 23
EP  - 30
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD2001023K
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1029
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Kutiel, Haim and Luković, Jelena",
year = "2020",
abstract = "In this manuscript we analyze daily rainfall observational records from 22 weather stations located in different regions over Serbia in the period 1949–2007. We examine the characteristics of dryness by using the Dry Days Since Last Rain – DDSLR approach. In order to quantify the DDSLR we use three metrics for each weather station: severity, consistency and uncertainty. Results show that these three metrics vary independently of each other as well as that there is a weak relationship between them. Weather stations in the northern parts of Serbia, with moderate annual amount of rainfall less than 650 mm, present higher dryness conditions whereas the lowest values were obtained for central parts in Serbia. Limited number of studies examined drying tendencies in Serbia and neighboring countries so far. We consider Serbia as an area of particular interest because of its position in a frontier between Mediterranean conditions on the southwest and the continental inland., Дуги периоди без кише могу изазвати негативне последице на животну средину, економију и друштво. Суше несумњиво утичу и на водне ресурсе, пољопривреду, интензитет шумских пожара и деградацију земљишта. У овом раду анализиране су осмотрене дневне падавине у Србији у периоду између 1949. и 2007. године. Простор Србије је од посебног интереса с обзиром на његов географски положај између медитеранских и континенталних услова климе. У овом раду испитиване су карактеристике суше користећи приступ Dry Days Since Last Rain – DDSLR. За квантификацију DDSLR анализирана су три параметра на свакој станици: severity, consistency и uncertainty. Северни делови Србије, који имају релативно умерену количину падавина током године, показали су сушне тенденције. С друге стране, најниже вредности истраживаних параметара уочене се у централној Србији. Имајући у виду резултате истраживања може се закључити да суша није значајна климатска претња за Србију. Другим речима, како је Србија изложена утицајима медитеранске климе у њеним југозападним деловима, са вредностима медитеранског индекса од 1, могућност од појаве суша значајно је умањена. Појава суше у Србији изражена је у северним и источним деловима земље, равницама са најпродуктивнијим типовима земљишта. Због тога је боље разумевање ове појаве у Србији и њених друштвених и економских последица кључно у будућим истраживањима.",
publisher = "Srpsko geografsko društvo (Serbian Geographical society)",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva (Bulletin of the Serbian Geographical Society)",
title = "Various aspects of dryness in Serbia, Карактеристике сушности у Србији",
volume = "100",
number = "1",
pages = "23-30",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD2001023K",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1029"
}

Kutiel, H.,& Luković, J.. (2020). Various aspects of dryness in Serbia. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva (Bulletin of the Serbian Geographical Society)
Srpsko geografsko društvo (Serbian Geographical society)., 100(1), 23-30.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD2001023K
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1029

Kutiel H, Luković J. Various aspects of dryness in Serbia. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva (Bulletin of the Serbian Geographical Society). 2020;100(1):23-30.
doi:10.2298/GSGD2001023K
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1029 .

Kutiel, Haim, Luković, Jelena, "Various aspects of dryness in Serbia" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva (Bulletin of the Serbian Geographical Society), 100, no. 1 (2020):23-30,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD2001023K .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1029 .

TY  - CHAP
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
AU  - Penjišević-Sočanac, Ivana
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Doderović, Miroslav
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/963
AB  - Previous research conducted in Montenegro suggested an increase in maximum and minimum daily temperatures in the last decades, followed by growth of extreme events frequency. This study examines the relationship between temperature and atmospheric circulation fields in Montenegro using 9 WMO-CCL/CLIVAR extreme climatic indices. The data on atmospheric circulation refers to 11 teleconnection patterns analyzed by seasonal timescales. The assessment of the impact of certain teleconnection patterns has shown a significant connection to extreme events in Montenegro. Calculated results showed the strongest impact of EA, MO, WeMO, EAWR and AO during the winter season, while the weaker impact was calculated for NAO and SCAND. The best impact is obtained for EA and AO during spring, while summer temperature variations are connected to EA, AMO, EAWR, SCAND and NAO. The autumn season showed strong connection with EA, SCAND, AMO, EAWR, MO and AO.
PB  - Springer
T2  - Climate Change Management
T1  - Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010
SP  - 29
EP  - 42
DO  - 10.1007/978-3-030-03383-5_3
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_963
ER  - 

@inbook{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Dragojlović, Jovan and Penjišević-Sočanac, Ivana and Luković, Jelena and Doderović, Miroslav",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Previous research conducted in Montenegro suggested an increase in maximum and minimum daily temperatures in the last decades, followed by growth of extreme events frequency. This study examines the relationship between temperature and atmospheric circulation fields in Montenegro using 9 WMO-CCL/CLIVAR extreme climatic indices. The data on atmospheric circulation refers to 11 teleconnection patterns analyzed by seasonal timescales. The assessment of the impact of certain teleconnection patterns has shown a significant connection to extreme events in Montenegro. Calculated results showed the strongest impact of EA, MO, WeMO, EAWR and AO during the winter season, while the weaker impact was calculated for NAO and SCAND. The best impact is obtained for EA and AO during spring, while summer temperature variations are connected to EA, AMO, EAWR, SCAND and NAO. The autumn season showed strong connection with EA, SCAND, AMO, EAWR, MO and AO.",
publisher = "Springer",
journal = "Climate Change Management",
booktitle = "Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010",
pages = "29-42",
doi = "10.1007/978-3-030-03383-5_3",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_963"
}

Burić, D., Dragojlović, J., Penjišević-Sočanac, I., Luković, J.,& Doderović, M.. (2019). Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010. in Climate Change Management
Springer., 29-42.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-03383-5_3
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_963

Burić D, Dragojlović J, Penjišević-Sočanac I, Luković J, Doderović M. Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010. in Climate Change Management. 2019;:29-42.
doi:10.1007/978-3-030-03383-5_3
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_963 .

Burić, Dragan, Dragojlović, Jovan, Penjišević-Sočanac, Ivana, Luković, Jelena, Doderović, Miroslav, "Relationship Between Atmospheric Circulation and Temperature Extremes in Montenegro in the Period 1951–2010" in Climate Change Management (2019):29-42,
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-03383-5_3 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_963 .

TY  - CONF
AU  - Mustafić, Sanja
AU  - Dobrosavljević, Tanja
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Manojlović, Predrag
AU  - Milošević, Marko
PY  - 2015
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1382
AB  - Soil erosion as well as sedimentation and transportation processes are complex in Serbia. The processes of erosion are
widely distributed and determined by quite favorable natural conditions. Examination of suspended sediment load transport in
Serbia is very popular recently. Frequent extreme meteorological and hydrological conditions imply permanent loss of land. In this
study, the inter-annual sediment load is examined in the Morava River Basin. Suspended load (Qs) monitoring was carried out by
Met office at 16 profiles. Identified trends were obtained using the nonparametric Mann-Kendall test. Average transport of
suspended sediment within the Morava drainage basin is ranged from 15.1 to 160.5 t/km2/year. The results of the Mann-Kendall
test showed different trends. Six stations identified a negative trend significant at 0.001, at three stations significance at 0.1, while
four stations didn’t reveal any significant result. The average negative trend in suspended sediment load is ranged from 0.03 to 7.6
t/km2/year. On the other hand, on three stations a positive trend is identified. The differences can be attributed to the impact of
climate change as well as anthropogenic factors. Increasing rainfall trend may have an impact on suspended sediment load on
specific stations. On the other hand, extensive years of erosion control measures, as well as the depopulation of rural settlements
in some parts of the basin led to reduced intensity of the erosion as well as suspended sediment load transportation.
PB  - Budapest : Hungarian Geographical society
PB  - Association of Geographical societies in Europe
C3  - Congers programme and Abstract of the Fifth EUGEO Congress on the Geography of Europe, Budapest
T1  - Suspended Sediment Transport in Serbian River
SP  - 177
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1382
ER  - 

@conference{
author = "Mustafić, Sanja and Dobrosavljević, Tanja and Luković, Jelena and Manojlović, Predrag and Milošević, Marko",
year = "2015",
abstract = "Soil erosion as well as sedimentation and transportation processes are complex in Serbia. The processes of erosion are
widely distributed and determined by quite favorable natural conditions. Examination of suspended sediment load transport in
Serbia is very popular recently. Frequent extreme meteorological and hydrological conditions imply permanent loss of land. In this
study, the inter-annual sediment load is examined in the Morava River Basin. Suspended load (Qs) monitoring was carried out by
Met office at 16 profiles. Identified trends were obtained using the nonparametric Mann-Kendall test. Average transport of
suspended sediment within the Morava drainage basin is ranged from 15.1 to 160.5 t/km2/year. The results of the Mann-Kendall
test showed different trends. Six stations identified a negative trend significant at 0.001, at three stations significance at 0.1, while
four stations didn’t reveal any significant result. The average negative trend in suspended sediment load is ranged from 0.03 to 7.6
t/km2/year. On the other hand, on three stations a positive trend is identified. The differences can be attributed to the impact of
climate change as well as anthropogenic factors. Increasing rainfall trend may have an impact on suspended sediment load on
specific stations. On the other hand, extensive years of erosion control measures, as well as the depopulation of rural settlements
in some parts of the basin led to reduced intensity of the erosion as well as suspended sediment load transportation.",
publisher = "Budapest : Hungarian Geographical society, Association of Geographical societies in Europe",
journal = "Congers programme and Abstract of the Fifth EUGEO Congress on the Geography of Europe, Budapest",
title = "Suspended Sediment Transport in Serbian River",
pages = "177",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1382"
}

Mustafić, S., Dobrosavljević, T., Luković, J., Manojlović, P.,& Milošević, M.. (2015). Suspended Sediment Transport in Serbian River. in Congers programme and Abstract of the Fifth EUGEO Congress on the Geography of Europe, Budapest
Budapest : Hungarian Geographical society., 177.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1382

Mustafić S, Dobrosavljević T, Luković J, Manojlović P, Milošević M. Suspended Sediment Transport in Serbian River. in Congers programme and Abstract of the Fifth EUGEO Congress on the Geography of Europe, Budapest. 2015;:177.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1382 .

Mustafić, Sanja, Dobrosavljević, Tanja, Luković, Jelena, Manojlović, Predrag, Milošević, Marko, "Suspended Sediment Transport in Serbian River" in Congers programme and Abstract of the Fifth EUGEO Congress on the Geography of Europe, Budapest (2015):177,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1382 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/721
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro
VL  - 95
IS  - 4
SP  - 53
EP  - 66
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD140626002B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Luković, Jelena and Dragojlović, Jovan",
year = "2015",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro",
volume = "95",
number = "4",
pages = "53-66",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD140626002B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721"
}

Burić, D., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Luković, J.,& Dragojlović, J.. (2015). Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 95(4), 53-66.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD140626002B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721

Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Luković J, Dragojlović J. Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2015;95(4):53-66.
doi:10.2298/GSGD140626002B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721 .

Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Luković, Jelena, Dragojlović, Jovan, "Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 95, no. 4 (2015):53-66,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD140626002B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kilibarda, Milan
AU  - Percec-Tadić, Melita
AU  - Hengl, Tomislav
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/700
AB  - This article highlights the results of an assessment of representation and usability of global temperature station data for global spatio-temporal analysis. Datasets from the Global Surface Summary of Day (GSOD) and the European Climate Assessment & Dataset (ECA&D) were merged and consisted of 10,695 global stations for the year 2011. Three aspects of data quality were considered: (a) representation in the geographical domain, (b) representation in the feature space (based on the MaxEnt method), and (c) usability i.e. fitness of use for spatio-temporal interpolation based on cross-validation of spatio-temporal regression-kriging models. The results indicate significant clustering of meteorological stations in the combined data set in both geographical and feature space. The majority of the distribution of stations (84%) can be explained by population density and accessibility maps. Consequently, higher elevations areas and inaccessible areas that are sparsely populated are significantly under-represented. Under-representation also reflects on the results of spatio-temporal analysis. Spatio-temporal regression-kriging model of mean daily temperature using 8-day MODIS LST images, as covariate, produces average global accuracy of 2-3 degrees C. Prediction of temperature for polar areas and mountains is 2 times lower than for areas densely covered with meteorological stations. Balanced spatio-temporal regression models that account for station clustering are suggested.
PB  - Elsevier Sci Ltd, Oxford
T2  - Spatial Statistics
T1  - Global geographic and feature space coverage of temperature data in the context of spatio-temporal interpolation
VL  - 14
SP  - 22
EP  - 38
DO  - 10.1016/j.spasta.2015.04.005
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_700
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Kilibarda, Milan and Percec-Tadić, Melita and Hengl, Tomislav and Luković, Jelena and Bajat, Branislav",
year = "2015",
abstract = "This article highlights the results of an assessment of representation and usability of global temperature station data for global spatio-temporal analysis. Datasets from the Global Surface Summary of Day (GSOD) and the European Climate Assessment & Dataset (ECA&D) were merged and consisted of 10,695 global stations for the year 2011. Three aspects of data quality were considered: (a) representation in the geographical domain, (b) representation in the feature space (based on the MaxEnt method), and (c) usability i.e. fitness of use for spatio-temporal interpolation based on cross-validation of spatio-temporal regression-kriging models. The results indicate significant clustering of meteorological stations in the combined data set in both geographical and feature space. The majority of the distribution of stations (84%) can be explained by population density and accessibility maps. Consequently, higher elevations areas and inaccessible areas that are sparsely populated are significantly under-represented. Under-representation also reflects on the results of spatio-temporal analysis. Spatio-temporal regression-kriging model of mean daily temperature using 8-day MODIS LST images, as covariate, produces average global accuracy of 2-3 degrees C. Prediction of temperature for polar areas and mountains is 2 times lower than for areas densely covered with meteorological stations. Balanced spatio-temporal regression models that account for station clustering are suggested.",
publisher = "Elsevier Sci Ltd, Oxford",
journal = "Spatial Statistics",
title = "Global geographic and feature space coverage of temperature data in the context of spatio-temporal interpolation",
volume = "14",
pages = "22-38",
doi = "10.1016/j.spasta.2015.04.005",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_700"
}

Kilibarda, M., Percec-Tadić, M., Hengl, T., Luković, J.,& Bajat, B.. (2015). Global geographic and feature space coverage of temperature data in the context of spatio-temporal interpolation. in Spatial Statistics
Elsevier Sci Ltd, Oxford., 14, 22-38.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2015.04.005
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_700

Kilibarda M, Percec-Tadić M, Hengl T, Luković J, Bajat B. Global geographic and feature space coverage of temperature data in the context of spatio-temporal interpolation. in Spatial Statistics. 2015;14:22-38.
doi:10.1016/j.spasta.2015.04.005
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_700 .

Kilibarda, Milan, Percec-Tadić, Melita, Hengl, Tomislav, Luković, Jelena, Bajat, Branislav, "Global geographic and feature space coverage of temperature data in the context of spatio-temporal interpolation" in Spatial Statistics, 14 (2015):22-38,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2015.04.005 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_700 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Blagojević, Dragan
AU  - Kilibarda, Milan
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/699
AB  - This study examines the spatial pattern of relationships between annual, seasonal and monthly rainfall in Serbia, and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) for the period of 1961-2009. The first correlation analysis between rainfall and the NAO was performed using a Pearson product-moment test. Results suggested negative, mainly statistically significant correlations at annual and winter scales as was expected. However, the highest percentage of stations showed significant result in October suggesting a strong impact of a large scale atmospheric mode throughout a wet season in Serbia. Further spatial analysis that incorporated a spatial autocorrelation statistic of correlation coefficients showed significant clustering at all temporal scales.
PB  - Elsevier Sci Ltd, Oxford
T2  - Spatial Statistics
T1  - Spatial pattern of North Atlantic Oscillation impact on rainfall in Serbia
VL  - 14
SP  - 39
EP  - 52
DO  - 10.1016/j.spasta.2015.04.007
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_699
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Luković, Jelena and Blagojević, Dragan and Kilibarda, Milan and Bajat, Branislav",
year = "2015",
abstract = "This study examines the spatial pattern of relationships between annual, seasonal and monthly rainfall in Serbia, and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) for the period of 1961-2009. The first correlation analysis between rainfall and the NAO was performed using a Pearson product-moment test. Results suggested negative, mainly statistically significant correlations at annual and winter scales as was expected. However, the highest percentage of stations showed significant result in October suggesting a strong impact of a large scale atmospheric mode throughout a wet season in Serbia. Further spatial analysis that incorporated a spatial autocorrelation statistic of correlation coefficients showed significant clustering at all temporal scales.",
publisher = "Elsevier Sci Ltd, Oxford",
journal = "Spatial Statistics",
title = "Spatial pattern of North Atlantic Oscillation impact on rainfall in Serbia",
volume = "14",
pages = "39-52",
doi = "10.1016/j.spasta.2015.04.007",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_699"
}

Luković, J., Blagojević, D., Kilibarda, M.,& Bajat, B.. (2015). Spatial pattern of North Atlantic Oscillation impact on rainfall in Serbia. in Spatial Statistics
Elsevier Sci Ltd, Oxford., 14, 39-52.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2015.04.007
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_699

Luković J, Blagojević D, Kilibarda M, Bajat B. Spatial pattern of North Atlantic Oscillation impact on rainfall in Serbia. in Spatial Statistics. 2015;14:39-52.
doi:10.1016/j.spasta.2015.04.007
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_699 .

Luković, Jelena, Blagojević, Dragan, Kilibarda, Milan, Bajat, Branislav, "Spatial pattern of North Atlantic Oscillation impact on rainfall in Serbia" in Spatial Statistics, 14 (2015):39-52,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spasta.2015.04.007 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_699 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
AU  - Kilibarda, Milan
AU  - Filipović, Dejan
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/695
AB  - Solar radiation is a key driving force for many natural processes. At the Earth's surface solar radiation is the result of complex interactions between the atmosphere and Earth's surface. Our study highlights the development and evaluation of a data base of potential solar radiation that is based on a digital elevation model with a resolution of 90 m over Serbia. The main aim of this paper is to map solar radiation in Serbia using digital elevation model. This is so far the finest resolution being applied and presented using this model. The final results of the potential direct, diffuse and total solar radiation as well as duration of insolation databases of Serbia are portrayed as thematic maps that can be communicated and shared easily through the cartographic web map-based service.
PB  - Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - High resolution grid of potential incoming solar radiation for Serbia
VL  - 19
SP  - S427
EP  - S435
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI150430134L
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_695
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Luković, Jelena and Bajat, Branislav and Kilibarda, Milan and Filipović, Dejan",
year = "2015",
abstract = "Solar radiation is a key driving force for many natural processes. At the Earth's surface solar radiation is the result of complex interactions between the atmosphere and Earth's surface. Our study highlights the development and evaluation of a data base of potential solar radiation that is based on a digital elevation model with a resolution of 90 m over Serbia. The main aim of this paper is to map solar radiation in Serbia using digital elevation model. This is so far the finest resolution being applied and presented using this model. The final results of the potential direct, diffuse and total solar radiation as well as duration of insolation databases of Serbia are portrayed as thematic maps that can be communicated and shared easily through the cartographic web map-based service.",
publisher = "Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "High resolution grid of potential incoming solar radiation for Serbia",
volume = "19",
pages = "S427-S435",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI150430134L",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_695"
}

Luković, J., Bajat, B., Kilibarda, M.,& Filipović, D.. (2015). High resolution grid of potential incoming solar radiation for Serbia. in Thermal Science
Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča., 19, S427-S435.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430134L
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_695

Luković J, Bajat B, Kilibarda M, Filipović D. High resolution grid of potential incoming solar radiation for Serbia. in Thermal Science. 2015;19:S427-S435.
doi:10.2298/TSCI150430134L
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_695 .

Luković, Jelena, Bajat, Branislav, Kilibarda, Milan, Filipović, Dejan, "High resolution grid of potential incoming solar radiation for Serbia" in Thermal Science, 19 (2015):S427-S435,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430134L .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_695 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
AU  - Kilibarda, Milan
AU  - Živković, Nenad
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/689
AB  - More intense rainfall may cause a range of negative impacts upon society and the environment. In this study we analysed trends in extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) rainfall indices in Montenegro for the period between 1951 and 2010. Montenegro has been poorly studied in terms of rainfall extremes, yet it contains the wettest Mediterranean region known as Krivosije. Several indices of precipitation extremes were assessed including the number of dry days and rainfall totals in order to identify trends and possible changes. A spatial pattern relationship between extreme rainfall indices and the North Atlantic Oscillation has also been examined. The results generally suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased while rainfall intensity increased, particularly in south-western parts of the country. A slight tendency towards intense rainfall events is suggested. The examined rainfall indices and North Atlantic Oscillation over Montenegro seemed to be directly linked to changes in one of the major large-scale circulation modes such as the NAO pattern that is particularly evident during the winter season.
PB  - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
T2  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
T1  - Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010)
VL  - 15
IS  - 9
SP  - 2069
EP  - 2077
DO  - 10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Luković, Jelena and Bajat, Branislav and Kilibarda, Milan and Živković, Nenad",
year = "2015",
abstract = "More intense rainfall may cause a range of negative impacts upon society and the environment. In this study we analysed trends in extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) rainfall indices in Montenegro for the period between 1951 and 2010. Montenegro has been poorly studied in terms of rainfall extremes, yet it contains the wettest Mediterranean region known as Krivosije. Several indices of precipitation extremes were assessed including the number of dry days and rainfall totals in order to identify trends and possible changes. A spatial pattern relationship between extreme rainfall indices and the North Atlantic Oscillation has also been examined. The results generally suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased while rainfall intensity increased, particularly in south-western parts of the country. A slight tendency towards intense rainfall events is suggested. The examined rainfall indices and North Atlantic Oscillation over Montenegro seemed to be directly linked to changes in one of the major large-scale circulation modes such as the NAO pattern that is particularly evident during the winter season.",
publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen",
journal = "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences",
title = "Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010)",
volume = "15",
number = "9",
pages = "2069-2077",
doi = "10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689"
}

Burić, D., Luković, J., Bajat, B., Kilibarda, M.,& Živković, N.. (2015). Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010). in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 15(9), 2069-2077.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689

Burić D, Luković J, Bajat B, Kilibarda M, Živković N. Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010). in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2015;15(9):2069-2077.
doi:10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689 .

Burić, Dragan, Luković, Jelena, Bajat, Branislav, Kilibarda, Milan, Živković, Nenad, "Recent trends in daily rainfall extremes over Montenegro (1951-2010)" in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 15, no. 9 (2015):2069-2077,
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2069-2015 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_689 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Kutiel, Haim
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/676
AB  - Rain spells are a key parameter in examining rainfall regime. A rain spell is defined as a series of consecutive days above a certain daily rainfall threshold (DRT). For each rain spell, its duration (RSD), yield (RSY) and average intensity (RSI), as well as their total number (NRS) in each year, were calculated. The present study analyses daily rainfall series from 22 stations representing the different regions of Serbia and Montenegro in the period 1949-2007. This study highlights the temporal variability (both inter- and intra-annual) and the complexity of the rainfall regime in both countries. In each station, all years were divided into three categories: wet, normal and dry according to their standard scores. Then, on the basis of these scores, the entire year was categorized accordingly. The various rain-spell parameters were calculated and are presented for each of these three categories. The relationships between NRS (exponential), RSY (linear) and RSI (power) with the RSD were calculated for each station and their coefficients were plotted. The entire study area was divided into three sub-regions in terms of similar annual behaviour, using the factor analysis. The regions are as follows: northern and central Serbia, eastern and southern Serbia and Montenegro. All years were grouped into several clusters, each representing a different spatial distribution. Their characteristics and probabilities are presented. Overall, Montenegro is much rainier than Serbia, having longer and more intense rain spells. Serbia, on the other hand, has more short rain spells than Montenegro and demonstrates no real summer dryness such as in Montenegro. Intra-annual variability is relatively high in both countries, slightly higher in Montenegro.
PB  - Wiley, Hoboken
T2  - International Journal of Climatology
T1  - Spatial and temporal variability of rain-spells characteristics in Serbia and Montenegro
VL  - 35
IS  - 7
SP  - 1611
EP  - 1624
DO  - 10.1002/joc.4080
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_676
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Kutiel, Haim and Luković, Jelena and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2015",
abstract = "Rain spells are a key parameter in examining rainfall regime. A rain spell is defined as a series of consecutive days above a certain daily rainfall threshold (DRT). For each rain spell, its duration (RSD), yield (RSY) and average intensity (RSI), as well as their total number (NRS) in each year, were calculated. The present study analyses daily rainfall series from 22 stations representing the different regions of Serbia and Montenegro in the period 1949-2007. This study highlights the temporal variability (both inter- and intra-annual) and the complexity of the rainfall regime in both countries. In each station, all years were divided into three categories: wet, normal and dry according to their standard scores. Then, on the basis of these scores, the entire year was categorized accordingly. The various rain-spell parameters were calculated and are presented for each of these three categories. The relationships between NRS (exponential), RSY (linear) and RSI (power) with the RSD were calculated for each station and their coefficients were plotted. The entire study area was divided into three sub-regions in terms of similar annual behaviour, using the factor analysis. The regions are as follows: northern and central Serbia, eastern and southern Serbia and Montenegro. All years were grouped into several clusters, each representing a different spatial distribution. Their characteristics and probabilities are presented. Overall, Montenegro is much rainier than Serbia, having longer and more intense rain spells. Serbia, on the other hand, has more short rain spells than Montenegro and demonstrates no real summer dryness such as in Montenegro. Intra-annual variability is relatively high in both countries, slightly higher in Montenegro.",
publisher = "Wiley, Hoboken",
journal = "International Journal of Climatology",
title = "Spatial and temporal variability of rain-spells characteristics in Serbia and Montenegro",
volume = "35",
number = "7",
pages = "1611-1624",
doi = "10.1002/joc.4080",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_676"
}

Kutiel, H., Luković, J.,& Burić, D.. (2015). Spatial and temporal variability of rain-spells characteristics in Serbia and Montenegro. in International Journal of Climatology
Wiley, Hoboken., 35(7), 1611-1624.
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4080
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_676

Kutiel H, Luković J, Burić D. Spatial and temporal variability of rain-spells characteristics in Serbia and Montenegro. in International Journal of Climatology. 2015;35(7):1611-1624.
doi:10.1002/joc.4080
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_676 .

Kutiel, Haim, Luković, Jelena, Burić, Dragan, "Spatial and temporal variability of rain-spells characteristics in Serbia and Montenegro" in International Journal of Climatology, 35, no. 7 (2015):1611-1624,
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4080 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_676 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
AU  - Blagojević, Dragan
AU  - Kilibarda, Milan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Tosić, Ivana
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/668
AB  - The spatial analysis of annual and seasonal temperature trends in Serbia during the period 1961-2010 was carried out using mean monthly data from 64 meteorological stations. Change year detection was achieved using cumulative sum charts. The magnitude of trends was derived from the slopes of linear trends using the least square method. The same formalism of least square method was used to assess the statistical significance of the determined trends. Maps of temperature trends were generated by applying a spatial regression method to visualize the detected tendencies. The obtained results indicate a negative temperature trend for the period before the change year except for winter and a more pronounced positive trend after the change year. Besides being more pronounced, the vast majority of trends after the change year were also clearly statistically significant. Our estimate of the average temperature trend over Serbia is in agreement with those obtained at the global and European scale. Calculated global autocorrelation statistics (Moran's I) indicate an apparent random spatial pattern of temperature trends across the Serbia for both periods before and after the change year.
PB  - Springer Wien, Wien
T2  - Theoretical and Applied Climatology
T1  - Spatial analysis of the temperature trends in Serbia during the period 1961-2010
VL  - 121
IS  - 1-2
SP  - 289
EP  - 301
DO  - 10.1007/s00704-014-1243-7
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_668
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Bajat, Branislav and Blagojević, Dragan and Kilibarda, Milan and Luković, Jelena and Tosić, Ivana",
year = "2015",
abstract = "The spatial analysis of annual and seasonal temperature trends in Serbia during the period 1961-2010 was carried out using mean monthly data from 64 meteorological stations. Change year detection was achieved using cumulative sum charts. The magnitude of trends was derived from the slopes of linear trends using the least square method. The same formalism of least square method was used to assess the statistical significance of the determined trends. Maps of temperature trends were generated by applying a spatial regression method to visualize the detected tendencies. The obtained results indicate a negative temperature trend for the period before the change year except for winter and a more pronounced positive trend after the change year. Besides being more pronounced, the vast majority of trends after the change year were also clearly statistically significant. Our estimate of the average temperature trend over Serbia is in agreement with those obtained at the global and European scale. Calculated global autocorrelation statistics (Moran's I) indicate an apparent random spatial pattern of temperature trends across the Serbia for both periods before and after the change year.",
publisher = "Springer Wien, Wien",
journal = "Theoretical and Applied Climatology",
title = "Spatial analysis of the temperature trends in Serbia during the period 1961-2010",
volume = "121",
number = "1-2",
pages = "289-301",
doi = "10.1007/s00704-014-1243-7",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_668"
}

Bajat, B., Blagojević, D., Kilibarda, M., Luković, J.,& Tosić, I.. (2015). Spatial analysis of the temperature trends in Serbia during the period 1961-2010. in Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Springer Wien, Wien., 121(1-2), 289-301.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1243-7
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_668

Bajat B, Blagojević D, Kilibarda M, Luković J, Tosić I. Spatial analysis of the temperature trends in Serbia during the period 1961-2010. in Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 2015;121(1-2):289-301.
doi:10.1007/s00704-014-1243-7
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_668 .

Bajat, Branislav, Blagojević, Dragan, Kilibarda, Milan, Luković, Jelena, Tosić, Ivana, "Spatial analysis of the temperature trends in Serbia during the period 1961-2010" in Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 121, no. 1-2 (2015):289-301,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1243-7 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_668 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Zivkovic, Nenad
AU  - Dragicevic, Slavoljub
AU  - Ristic, Ratko
AU  - Novkovic, Ivan
AU  - Djurdjic, Snezana
AU  - Lukovic, Jelena
AU  - Zivkovic, Ljiljana
AU  - Jovanovic, Slavoljub
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/672
AB  - The aim of this paper is to show the real impact of vegetation types on runoff, expressed by a mathematical model. Better understanding of this relationship may significantly contribute to the prevention of extreme natural processes that are more and more frequent in the world in recent years. Particular attention to this problem has been paid after the historic flooding that occurred in Serbia in May 2014, taking away many lives, property and starting up numerous erosive processes. In this work multiple linear regression was used to make an estimation of the mean annual, maximum and minimum river runoff in Serbia for the period of 1998-2009. The sample analyzed consisted of 40 small river basins with natural runoff and the independent variables used were mean annual precipitation, mean annual air temperature, basin altitude, the humidity index, basin area, average basin slope, and vegetation factors separated in 8 categories. It was shown that vegetation has an important role in runoff regulation and that it is justified to classify it particularly into three categories: forests, meadows and agriculture. A total of 33 models were formed with R-2 > 0.8 and runoff changes from 0.1% to 1% within 1% changes to vegetation, depending on type.
PB  - Parlar Scientific Publications
T2  - Fresenius Environmental Bulletin
T1  - Effects of vegetation on runoff in small river basins in Serbia
VL  - 24
IS  - 6
SP  - 2082
EP  - 2089
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_672
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Zivkovic, Nenad and Dragicevic, Slavoljub and Ristic, Ratko and Novkovic, Ivan and Djurdjic, Snezana and Lukovic, Jelena and Zivkovic, Ljiljana and Jovanovic, Slavoljub",
year = "2015",
abstract = "The aim of this paper is to show the real impact of vegetation types on runoff, expressed by a mathematical model. Better understanding of this relationship may significantly contribute to the prevention of extreme natural processes that are more and more frequent in the world in recent years. Particular attention to this problem has been paid after the historic flooding that occurred in Serbia in May 2014, taking away many lives, property and starting up numerous erosive processes. In this work multiple linear regression was used to make an estimation of the mean annual, maximum and minimum river runoff in Serbia for the period of 1998-2009. The sample analyzed consisted of 40 small river basins with natural runoff and the independent variables used were mean annual precipitation, mean annual air temperature, basin altitude, the humidity index, basin area, average basin slope, and vegetation factors separated in 8 categories. It was shown that vegetation has an important role in runoff regulation and that it is justified to classify it particularly into three categories: forests, meadows and agriculture. A total of 33 models were formed with R-2 > 0.8 and runoff changes from 0.1% to 1% within 1% changes to vegetation, depending on type.",
publisher = "Parlar Scientific Publications",
journal = "Fresenius Environmental Bulletin",
title = "Effects of vegetation on runoff in small river basins in Serbia",
volume = "24",
number = "6",
pages = "2082-2089",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_672"
}

Zivkovic, N., Dragicevic, S., Ristic, R., Novkovic, I., Djurdjic, S., Lukovic, J., Zivkovic, L.,& Jovanovic, S.. (2015). Effects of vegetation on runoff in small river basins in Serbia. in Fresenius Environmental Bulletin
Parlar Scientific Publications., 24(6), 2082-2089.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_672

Zivkovic N, Dragicevic S, Ristic R, Novkovic I, Djurdjic S, Lukovic J, Zivkovic L, Jovanovic S. Effects of vegetation on runoff in small river basins in Serbia. in Fresenius Environmental Bulletin. 2015;24(6):2082-2089.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_672 .

Zivkovic, Nenad, Dragicevic, Slavoljub, Ristic, Ratko, Novkovic, Ivan, Djurdjic, Snezana, Lukovic, Jelena, Zivkovic, Ljiljana, Jovanovic, Slavoljub, "Effects of vegetation on runoff in small river basins in Serbia" in Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 24, no. 6 (2015):2082-2089,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_672 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
AU  - Blagojević, Dragan
AU  - Kilibarda, Milan
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/641
AB  - This paper examines a spatial pattern of annual, seasonal and monthly rainfall trends in Serbia. The study used data from 63 weather stations between the period of 1961-2009. The rainfall series was examined by applying the nonparametric method of the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's method to determine the significance and magnitude of the trends. Significant trends have not been detected for the whole country at an annual scale. Seasonal trends at the confidence level of 97.5 %, however, indicate a slight decrease in winter (5 stations out of 63) and spring (7 stations out of 63) precipitation and an increase in autumn precipitation (10 stations out of 63). Results for monthly rainfall trends also generally showed a nonsignificant trend with the exception of a negative trend in May (6 stations out of 63) and positive trend for October (9 stations out of 63). Calculated global autocorrelation statistics (Moran's I) indicate a random spatial pattern of rainfall trends on annual, seasonal and monthly timescales with exceptions for March, June and November. Overall, results suggest that only weak, mostly nonsignificant trends are present in Serbia in the period 1961-2009.
PB  - Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg
T2  - Regional Environmental Change
T1  - Spatial pattern of recent rainfall trends in Serbia (1961-2009)
VL  - 14
IS  - 5
SP  - 1789
EP  - 1799
DO  - 10.1007/s10113-013-0459-x
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_641
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Luković, Jelena and Bajat, Branislav and Blagojević, Dragan and Kilibarda, Milan",
year = "2014",
abstract = "This paper examines a spatial pattern of annual, seasonal and monthly rainfall trends in Serbia. The study used data from 63 weather stations between the period of 1961-2009. The rainfall series was examined by applying the nonparametric method of the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's method to determine the significance and magnitude of the trends. Significant trends have not been detected for the whole country at an annual scale. Seasonal trends at the confidence level of 97.5 %, however, indicate a slight decrease in winter (5 stations out of 63) and spring (7 stations out of 63) precipitation and an increase in autumn precipitation (10 stations out of 63). Results for monthly rainfall trends also generally showed a nonsignificant trend with the exception of a negative trend in May (6 stations out of 63) and positive trend for October (9 stations out of 63). Calculated global autocorrelation statistics (Moran's I) indicate a random spatial pattern of rainfall trends on annual, seasonal and monthly timescales with exceptions for March, June and November. Overall, results suggest that only weak, mostly nonsignificant trends are present in Serbia in the period 1961-2009.",
publisher = "Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg",
journal = "Regional Environmental Change",
title = "Spatial pattern of recent rainfall trends in Serbia (1961-2009)",
volume = "14",
number = "5",
pages = "1789-1799",
doi = "10.1007/s10113-013-0459-x",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_641"
}

Luković, J., Bajat, B., Blagojević, D.,& Kilibarda, M.. (2014). Spatial pattern of recent rainfall trends in Serbia (1961-2009). in Regional Environmental Change
Springer Heidelberg, Heidelberg., 14(5), 1789-1799.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0459-x
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_641

Luković J, Bajat B, Blagojević D, Kilibarda M. Spatial pattern of recent rainfall trends in Serbia (1961-2009). in Regional Environmental Change. 2014;14(5):1789-1799.
doi:10.1007/s10113-013-0459-x
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_641 .

Luković, Jelena, Bajat, Branislav, Blagojević, Dragan, Kilibarda, Milan, "Spatial pattern of recent rainfall trends in Serbia (1961-2009)" in Regional Environmental Change, 14, no. 5 (2014):1789-1799,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0459-x .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_641 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Ducić, V.
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
AU  - Doderović, Miroslav
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/619
AB  - Montenegro so far has been poorly investigated in terms of climate extremes. The aim of this paper was to analyse the extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) temperature indices in the Mediterranean region of Montenegro for the period of 1951-2010. Four stations in the coastal area of Montenegro have been analysed: Herceg Novi, Ulcinj, Budva and Bar. Two periods (before 1980 and after 1980) were separately investigated in this study due to a well-known climate shift that occurred in the late 1970s. Seven indices of temperature extremes have been chosen. The trend was analysed using a Mann-Kendall non-parametric test, while the slope was estimated using Sen's slope estimator. A negative trend has been calculated for cold nights and cold days at almost all stations. The most significant positive trends were obtained for warm conditions. The two separately investigated periods have shown contrasting temperature trends.
PB  - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
T2  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
T1  - Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951-2010)
VL  - 14
IS  - 1
SP  - 67
EP  - 72
DO  - 10.5194/nhess-14-67-2014
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_619
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Luković, Jelena and Ducić, V. and Dragojlović, Jovan and Doderović, Miroslav",
year = "2014",
abstract = "Montenegro so far has been poorly investigated in terms of climate extremes. The aim of this paper was to analyse the extreme ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) temperature indices in the Mediterranean region of Montenegro for the period of 1951-2010. Four stations in the coastal area of Montenegro have been analysed: Herceg Novi, Ulcinj, Budva and Bar. Two periods (before 1980 and after 1980) were separately investigated in this study due to a well-known climate shift that occurred in the late 1970s. Seven indices of temperature extremes have been chosen. The trend was analysed using a Mann-Kendall non-parametric test, while the slope was estimated using Sen's slope estimator. A negative trend has been calculated for cold nights and cold days at almost all stations. The most significant positive trends were obtained for warm conditions. The two separately investigated periods have shown contrasting temperature trends.",
publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen",
journal = "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences",
title = "Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951-2010)",
volume = "14",
number = "1",
pages = "67-72",
doi = "10.5194/nhess-14-67-2014",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_619"
}

Burić, D., Luković, J., Ducić, V., Dragojlović, J.,& Doderović, M.. (2014). Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951-2010). in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 14(1), 67-72.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-67-2014
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_619

Burić D, Luković J, Ducić V, Dragojlović J, Doderović M. Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951-2010). in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2014;14(1):67-72.
doi:10.5194/nhess-14-67-2014
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_619 .

Burić, Dragan, Luković, Jelena, Ducić, V., Dragojlović, Jovan, Doderović, Miroslav, "Recent trends in daily temperature extremes over southern Montenegro (1951-2010)" in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 14, no. 1 (2014):67-72,
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-67-2014 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_619 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/610
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation
VL  - 94
IS  - 4
SP  - 109
EP  - 120
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1404109B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Luković, Jelena and Dragojlović, Jovan",
year = "2014",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation",
volume = "94",
number = "4",
pages = "109-120",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1404109B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610"
}

Burić, D., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Luković, J.,& Dragojlović, J.. (2014). Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 94(4), 109-120.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1404109B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610

Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Luković J, Dragojlović J. Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2014;94(4):109-120.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1404109B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610 .

Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Luković, Jelena, Dragojlović, Jovan, "Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 94, no. 4 (2014):109-120,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1404109B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610 .

TY  - THES
AU  - Luković, Jelena
PY  - 2013
UR  - http://nardus.mpn.gov.rs/handle/123456789/2174
UR  - http://eteze.bg.ac.rs/application/showtheses?thesesId=1039
UR  - https://fedorabg.bg.ac.rs/fedora/get/o:7702/bdef:Content/download
UR  - http://vbs.rs/scripts/cobiss?command=DISPLAY&base=70036&RID=45089807
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1097
AB  - Recently, there are many papers analyzing the spatial pattern of air temperature and / or precipitation over the particular area. In this sense, there is very often use of GIS tools and interpolation methods. The use of GIS in climatology is primarily used in climatological maps, depicting the spatial distribution of certain climatic elements. Since the main objective of the thesis is introduction of the spatial approach in the study of climate change in Serbia in the instrumental period, the focus was on the spatial analysis of climatic elements (rainfall, temperature, solar radiation, cloud cover and humidity) and their trends in Serbia in the period 1949-2010. Precipitation and air temperature trend an annual, monthly and seasonal level has been analyzed, applying thematic maps made using web mapping tools. In order to get insight the analysis of the rainfall regime and its uncertainty, rain-spell analysis was performed. General results are showing absence of statistically significant rainfall trends and their spatial coherence. There is, however, slight tendency towards drier conditions during the winter and spring, and the opposite one in the autumn. A significant increase in temperature is detected during the last two decades. The results obtained for Serbia are in line with those obtained for Europe. At many stations in Serbia, there has been a warming trend from 1970s. The negative trend is also calculated for number of sunshine hours, cloud cover and relative humidity. Results generally suggest very weak trends all over the Serbia at annual scale, but show significant spatial patterns...
AB  - Poslednjih godina, u stručnoj literaturi iz oblasti klimatologije sve više je radova u kojima se analizira prostorni raspored temperature vazduha i/ili padavina na određenoj teritoriji. U tom smislu, sve češća je primena GIS-a i, u okviru njih, upotreba metoda interpolacije. Korišćenje GIS-a u klimatologiji pre svega ima primenu u izradi klimatoloških karata, na kojima je prikazan prostorni raspored nekog klimatskog elementa Kako je osnovni cilj teze uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanje promena klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu, to je akcenat bio na prostornoj analizi klimatskih elemenata i vrednosti njihovih trendova. Razmatran je prostorni raspored padavina, temperature vazduha, insolacije, oblačnosti i relativne vlažnosti vazduha u Srbiji u periodu od 1949. do 2010. godine. Analiziran je raspored trenda padavina i temperature vazduha u Srbiji na godišnjem, mesečnom i sezonskom nivou, prostorni raspored trendova uz pomoć tematskih mapa napravljenih primenom web kartiranja. U cilju detaljnije analize režima i njegove nesigurnosti padavina izvršen je analiza dnevnih padavina po kišnim epizodama, njihovim karakteristikama i uticaju na godišnju sumu padavina. Rezultati trenda padavina ne pokazuju statističku značajnost, kao i prostornu koherentnost. Uočena je, međutim, veoma blaga tendencija ka snižavanju padavina na sezonskom nivou, tokom zime i proleća, kao i ka povećanju tokom jeseni. Značajan porast temperature vazduha prisutan je na većini analiziranih stanica tokom poslednje dve decenije. Rezultati dobijeni za Srbiju u skladu sa onim za Evropu. Na mnogim stanicama u Srbiji uočen je trend otopljavanja počev od kraja 1970-ih godina. Negativan trend karakterističan je za insolaciju, oblačnost i relativnu vlažnost vazduha...
PB  - Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet
T1  - Uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanju kolebanja klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu
T1  - Spatial pattern of climate change in Serbia in the instrumental period
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_2174
ER  - 

@phdthesis{
author = "Luković, Jelena",
year = "2013",
abstract = "Recently, there are many papers analyzing the spatial pattern of air temperature and / or precipitation over the particular area. In this sense, there is very often use of GIS tools and interpolation methods. The use of GIS in climatology is primarily used in climatological maps, depicting the spatial distribution of certain climatic elements. Since the main objective of the thesis is introduction of the spatial approach in the study of climate change in Serbia in the instrumental period, the focus was on the spatial analysis of climatic elements (rainfall, temperature, solar radiation, cloud cover and humidity) and their trends in Serbia in the period 1949-2010. Precipitation and air temperature trend an annual, monthly and seasonal level has been analyzed, applying thematic maps made using web mapping tools. In order to get insight the analysis of the rainfall regime and its uncertainty, rain-spell analysis was performed. General results are showing absence of statistically significant rainfall trends and their spatial coherence. There is, however, slight tendency towards drier conditions during the winter and spring, and the opposite one in the autumn. A significant increase in temperature is detected during the last two decades. The results obtained for Serbia are in line with those obtained for Europe. At many stations in Serbia, there has been a warming trend from 1970s. The negative trend is also calculated for number of sunshine hours, cloud cover and relative humidity. Results generally suggest very weak trends all over the Serbia at annual scale, but show significant spatial patterns..., Poslednjih godina, u stručnoj literaturi iz oblasti klimatologije sve više je radova u kojima se analizira prostorni raspored temperature vazduha i/ili padavina na određenoj teritoriji. U tom smislu, sve češća je primena GIS-a i, u okviru njih, upotreba metoda interpolacije. Korišćenje GIS-a u klimatologiji pre svega ima primenu u izradi klimatoloških karata, na kojima je prikazan prostorni raspored nekog klimatskog elementa Kako je osnovni cilj teze uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanje promena klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu, to je akcenat bio na prostornoj analizi klimatskih elemenata i vrednosti njihovih trendova. Razmatran je prostorni raspored padavina, temperature vazduha, insolacije, oblačnosti i relativne vlažnosti vazduha u Srbiji u periodu od 1949. do 2010. godine. Analiziran je raspored trenda padavina i temperature vazduha u Srbiji na godišnjem, mesečnom i sezonskom nivou, prostorni raspored trendova uz pomoć tematskih mapa napravljenih primenom web kartiranja. U cilju detaljnije analize režima i njegove nesigurnosti padavina izvršen je analiza dnevnih padavina po kišnim epizodama, njihovim karakteristikama i uticaju na godišnju sumu padavina. Rezultati trenda padavina ne pokazuju statističku značajnost, kao i prostornu koherentnost. Uočena je, međutim, veoma blaga tendencija ka snižavanju padavina na sezonskom nivou, tokom zime i proleća, kao i ka povećanju tokom jeseni. Značajan porast temperature vazduha prisutan je na većini analiziranih stanica tokom poslednje dve decenije. Rezultati dobijeni za Srbiju u skladu sa onim za Evropu. Na mnogim stanicama u Srbiji uočen je trend otopljavanja počev od kraja 1970-ih godina. Negativan trend karakterističan je za insolaciju, oblačnost i relativnu vlažnost vazduha...",
publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet",
title = "Uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanju kolebanja klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu, Spatial pattern of climate change in Serbia in the instrumental period",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_2174"
}

Luković, J.. (2013). Uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanju kolebanja klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu. 
Univerzitet u Beogradu - Geografski fakultet..
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_2174

Luković J. Uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanju kolebanja klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu. 2013;.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_2174 .

Luković, Jelena, "Uvođenje prostorne dimenzije u proučavanju kolebanja klime u Srbiji u instrumentalnom periodu" (2013),
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_nardus_2174 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Pandžić, Jelena
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
AU  - Luković, Jelena
PY  - 2013
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/573
AB  - This paper presents the application of indicator kriging as a geostatistical method for the purpose of creating maps of precipitation occurrence probabilities on the territory of the Republic of Serbia for distinctive months during 2009. The difference between this approach to mapping and standard isohyetal maps, which describe precipitation intensity, lies in the fact that this approach points to the potential of the occurrence of a certain amount of precipitation at a specific location for a given time period.
AB  - U radu je dat prikaz primene geostatističke metode indikatorskog kriginga za potrebe izrade karata verovatnoća pojave kišnih padavina na teritoriji Republike Srbije za karakteristične mesece u toku 2009. godine. Razlika između ovakvog pristupa kartiranju i standardnih izohijetnih karata koje opisuju intenzitet padavina je u tome što ovaj pristup ukazuje na potencijal pojave određene količine padavina na nekoj lokaciji za dati vremenski interval.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Mapping probabilities of precipitation occurrence on the territory of the Republic of Serbia by the method of indicator kriging
T1  - Kartiranje verovatnoća pojave kišnih padavina na teritoriji Republike Srbije metodom indikatorskog kriginga
VL  - 93
IS  - 2
SP  - 23
EP  - 40
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1302023P
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_573
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Pandžić, Jelena and Bajat, Branislav and Luković, Jelena",
year = "2013",
abstract = "This paper presents the application of indicator kriging as a geostatistical method for the purpose of creating maps of precipitation occurrence probabilities on the territory of the Republic of Serbia for distinctive months during 2009. The difference between this approach to mapping and standard isohyetal maps, which describe precipitation intensity, lies in the fact that this approach points to the potential of the occurrence of a certain amount of precipitation at a specific location for a given time period., U radu je dat prikaz primene geostatističke metode indikatorskog kriginga za potrebe izrade karata verovatnoća pojave kišnih padavina na teritoriji Republike Srbije za karakteristične mesece u toku 2009. godine. Razlika između ovakvog pristupa kartiranju i standardnih izohijetnih karata koje opisuju intenzitet padavina je u tome što ovaj pristup ukazuje na potencijal pojave određene količine padavina na nekoj lokaciji za dati vremenski interval.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Mapping probabilities of precipitation occurrence on the territory of the Republic of Serbia by the method of indicator kriging, Kartiranje verovatnoća pojave kišnih padavina na teritoriji Republike Srbije metodom indikatorskog kriginga",
volume = "93",
number = "2",
pages = "23-40",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1302023P",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_573"
}

Pandžić, J., Bajat, B.,& Luković, J.. (2013). Mapping probabilities of precipitation occurrence on the territory of the Republic of Serbia by the method of indicator kriging. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 93(2), 23-40.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1302023P
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_573

Pandžić J, Bajat B, Luković J. Mapping probabilities of precipitation occurrence on the territory of the Republic of Serbia by the method of indicator kriging. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2013;93(2):23-40.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1302023P
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_573 .

Pandžić, Jelena, Bajat, Branislav, Luković, Jelena, "Mapping probabilities of precipitation occurrence on the territory of the Republic of Serbia by the method of indicator kriging" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 93, no. 2 (2013):23-40,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1302023P .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_573 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Bajat, Branislav
AU  - Pejović, Milutin
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Manojlović, Predrag
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mustafić, Sanja
PY  - 2013
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/560
AB  - The appearence of geostatistics and geographical information systems has made it possible to analyze complex spatial patterns of meteorological elements over large areas in the applied climatology. The objective of this study is to use geostatistics to characterize the spatial structure and map the spatial variation of average values of precipitation for a 30-year period in Serbia. New, recently introduced, geostatistical algorithms facilitate utilization of auxiliary variables especially remote sensing data or freely available global datasets. The data from Advanced Spaceborn Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer global digital elevation model are incorporated as ancillary variables into spatial prediction of average annual precipitation using geostatistical method known as regression kriging. The R (2) value of 0.842 proves high performance result of the prediction of the proposed method.
PB  - Springer Wien, Wien
T2  - Theoretical and Applied Climatology
T1  - Mapping average annual precipitation in Serbia (1961-1990) by using regression kriging
VL  - 112
IS  - 1-2
SP  - 1
EP  - 13
DO  - 10.1007/s00704-012-0702-2
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_560
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Bajat, Branislav and Pejović, Milutin and Luković, Jelena and Manojlović, Predrag and Ducić, Vladan and Mustafić, Sanja",
year = "2013",
abstract = "The appearence of geostatistics and geographical information systems has made it possible to analyze complex spatial patterns of meteorological elements over large areas in the applied climatology. The objective of this study is to use geostatistics to characterize the spatial structure and map the spatial variation of average values of precipitation for a 30-year period in Serbia. New, recently introduced, geostatistical algorithms facilitate utilization of auxiliary variables especially remote sensing data or freely available global datasets. The data from Advanced Spaceborn Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer global digital elevation model are incorporated as ancillary variables into spatial prediction of average annual precipitation using geostatistical method known as regression kriging. The R (2) value of 0.842 proves high performance result of the prediction of the proposed method.",
publisher = "Springer Wien, Wien",
journal = "Theoretical and Applied Climatology",
title = "Mapping average annual precipitation in Serbia (1961-1990) by using regression kriging",
volume = "112",
number = "1-2",
pages = "1-13",
doi = "10.1007/s00704-012-0702-2",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_560"
}

Bajat, B., Pejović, M., Luković, J., Manojlović, P., Ducić, V.,& Mustafić, S.. (2013). Mapping average annual precipitation in Serbia (1961-1990) by using regression kriging. in Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Springer Wien, Wien., 112(1-2), 1-13.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0702-2
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_560

Bajat B, Pejović M, Luković J, Manojlović P, Ducić V, Mustafić S. Mapping average annual precipitation in Serbia (1961-1990) by using regression kriging. in Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 2013;112(1-2):1-13.
doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0702-2
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_560 .

Bajat, Branislav, Pejović, Milutin, Luković, Jelena, Manojlović, Predrag, Ducić, Vladan, Mustafić, Sanja, "Mapping average annual precipitation in Serbia (1961-1990) by using regression kriging" in Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 112, no. 1-2 (2013):1-13,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0702-2 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_560 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Mustafić, Sanja
PY  - 2012
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/502
AB  - The aim of this paper is to analyse indices of extreme precipitation in Krivosije, Montenegro, the wettest Mediterranean region, from the period 1951-2007 and their relationships with atmospheric circulation using 'SynopVis Grosswetterlagen' (SVG) series. Data from two stations were analysed, namely Crkvice (42A degrees 34 ' N and 18A degrees 39 ' E) and Herceg Novi (42A degrees 27 ' N and 18A degrees 31 ' E). Four indices of precipitation extremes (SDII, R75p, R95p, R95pTOT) were assessed including number of dry days. The results suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased. To analyse the relationship between extreme precipitation events and circulation types we have used an efficiency coefficient (E-c). Regarding relation to atmospheric circulation, westerly, southwesterly and northwesterly circulation types with anticyclonic features over Central Europe are more frequent for dry days (days with R  lt  1.0 mm) and northerly, easterly and southerly types for wet and very wet days (R75p and R95p indices). The types with cyclonic condition over Central Europe show a large proportion of wet and very wet days. Also, activity of Genoa cyclogenesis and orographic influence over a small area are the main reasons for the high precipitation amounts recorded in the Krivosije region (Crkvice).
PB  - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
T2  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
T1  - Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types
VL  - 12
IS  - 3
SP  - 687
EP  - 697
DO  - 10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Luković, Jelena and Burić, Dragan and Stanojević, Gorica and Mustafić, Sanja",
year = "2012",
abstract = "The aim of this paper is to analyse indices of extreme precipitation in Krivosije, Montenegro, the wettest Mediterranean region, from the period 1951-2007 and their relationships with atmospheric circulation using 'SynopVis Grosswetterlagen' (SVG) series. Data from two stations were analysed, namely Crkvice (42A degrees 34 ' N and 18A degrees 39 ' E) and Herceg Novi (42A degrees 27 ' N and 18A degrees 31 ' E). Four indices of precipitation extremes (SDII, R75p, R95p, R95pTOT) were assessed including number of dry days. The results suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased. To analyse the relationship between extreme precipitation events and circulation types we have used an efficiency coefficient (E-c). Regarding relation to atmospheric circulation, westerly, southwesterly and northwesterly circulation types with anticyclonic features over Central Europe are more frequent for dry days (days with R  lt  1.0 mm) and northerly, easterly and southerly types for wet and very wet days (R75p and R95p indices). The types with cyclonic condition over Central Europe show a large proportion of wet and very wet days. Also, activity of Genoa cyclogenesis and orographic influence over a small area are the main reasons for the high precipitation amounts recorded in the Krivosije region (Crkvice).",
publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen",
journal = "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences",
title = "Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types",
volume = "12",
number = "3",
pages = "687-697",
doi = "10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502"
}

Ducić, V., Luković, J., Burić, D., Stanojević, G.,& Mustafić, S.. (2012). Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types. in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 12(3), 687-697.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502

Ducić V, Luković J, Burić D, Stanojević G, Mustafić S. Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types. in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2012;12(3):687-697.
doi:10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502 .

Ducić, Vladan, Luković, Jelena, Burić, Dragan, Stanojević, Gorica, Mustafić, Sanja, "Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types" in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 12, no. 3 (2012):687-697,
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Gavrilović, Ljiljana
AU  - Živković, Nenad
PY  - 2012
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/496
AB  - This paper analyzes climate change and its impact on river discharge. This issue is very well studied worldwide, but in Serbia so far has been poorly studied. The first part of the paper presents the views of two different opinions, those who favored anthropogenic impact on the increasing greenhouse effect, and those who say that this is due to natural factors. Most attention is paid to changes in temperature and precipitation patterns. Classification by the group of those who favor the promotion of natural phenomena is demonstrated through the analysis of river flow fluctuations in the hydrological gauge Beli brod located on Kolubara River.
AB  - U radu se analiziraju klimatske promene i njihov uticaj na vodnost reka. Ova problematika je veoma aktuelna u svetu, mada se u Srbiji njoj nije dovoljno poklanjala pažnja. U prvom delu rada se iznose stavovi dve nepomirljive pozicije, onih koji protežiraju stav o uticaju ljudi na pojačavanje efekta staklene bašte, i onih koji ističu da je to posledica prirodnih faktora. Najviše pažnje se poklanja promenama temperature i padavina. Svrstavanje autora u grupu onih koji su skloniji isticanju prirodnih fenomena je pokazano kroz analizu kolebanja proticaja reke Kolubare na hidrološkoj stanice Beli Brod.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge
T1  - Klimatske promene i vodnost reka - primer Kolubare, Beli brod
VL  - 92
IS  - 1
SP  - 123
EP  - 134
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Stanojević, Gorica and Luković, Jelena and Gavrilović, Ljiljana and Živković, Nenad",
year = "2012",
abstract = "This paper analyzes climate change and its impact on river discharge. This issue is very well studied worldwide, but in Serbia so far has been poorly studied. The first part of the paper presents the views of two different opinions, those who favored anthropogenic impact on the increasing greenhouse effect, and those who say that this is due to natural factors. Most attention is paid to changes in temperature and precipitation patterns. Classification by the group of those who favor the promotion of natural phenomena is demonstrated through the analysis of river flow fluctuations in the hydrological gauge Beli brod located on Kolubara River., U radu se analiziraju klimatske promene i njihov uticaj na vodnost reka. Ova problematika je veoma aktuelna u svetu, mada se u Srbiji njoj nije dovoljno poklanjala pažnja. U prvom delu rada se iznose stavovi dve nepomirljive pozicije, onih koji protežiraju stav o uticaju ljudi na pojačavanje efekta staklene bašte, i onih koji ističu da je to posledica prirodnih faktora. Najviše pažnje se poklanja promenama temperature i padavina. Svrstavanje autora u grupu onih koji su skloniji isticanju prirodnih fenomena je pokazano kroz analizu kolebanja proticaja reke Kolubare na hidrološkoj stanice Beli Brod.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge, Klimatske promene i vodnost reka - primer Kolubare, Beli brod",
volume = "92",
number = "1",
pages = "123-134",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496"
}

Burić, D., Stanojević, G., Luković, J., Gavrilović, L.,& Živković, N.. (2012). Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 92(1), 123-134.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496

Burić D, Stanojević G, Luković J, Gavrilović L, Živković N. Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2012;92(1):123-134.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496 .

Burić, Dragan, Stanojević, Gorica, Luković, Jelena, Gavrilović, Ljiljana, Živković, Nenad, "Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 92, no. 1 (2012):123-134,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Milenković, M.
AU  - Ćurčić, Nina
PY  - 2012
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/471
AB  - This paper examines the relationship between North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and damage made by insects in Serbian forests. The damage has been separated into three groups: bark beetles, gypsy moth and damage made by other insects. For North Atlantic Oscillation the NAO index is used. The period of investigation was 1969-2001. Data were studied on an annual scale as well as with five-year moving averages. Analysis showed a statistically significant correlation for NAO index and gypsy moth.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo, i dr.
T2  - Archives of Biological Sciences
T1  - North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and insect damage in Serbian forests
VL  - 64
IS  - 1
SP  - 215
EP  - 219
DO  - 10.2298/ABS1201215D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_471
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Luković, Jelena and Milenković, M. and Ćurčić, Nina",
year = "2012",
abstract = "This paper examines the relationship between North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and damage made by insects in Serbian forests. The damage has been separated into three groups: bark beetles, gypsy moth and damage made by other insects. For North Atlantic Oscillation the NAO index is used. The period of investigation was 1969-2001. Data were studied on an annual scale as well as with five-year moving averages. Analysis showed a statistically significant correlation for NAO index and gypsy moth.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo, i dr.",
journal = "Archives of Biological Sciences",
title = "North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and insect damage in Serbian forests",
volume = "64",
number = "1",
pages = "215-219",
doi = "10.2298/ABS1201215D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_471"
}

Ducić, V., Luković, J., Milenković, M.,& Ćurčić, N.. (2012). North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and insect damage in Serbian forests. in Archives of Biological Sciences
Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo, i dr.., 64(1), 215-219.
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS1201215D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_471

Ducić V, Luković J, Milenković M, Ćurčić N. North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and insect damage in Serbian forests. in Archives of Biological Sciences. 2012;64(1):215-219.
doi:10.2298/ABS1201215D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_471 .

Ducić, Vladan, Luković, Jelena, Milenković, M., Ćurčić, Nina, "North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and insect damage in Serbian forests" in Archives of Biological Sciences, 64, no. 1 (2012):215-219,
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS1201215D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_471 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
PY  - 2011
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/400
AB  - The global warming and climate change are the actual and challenging topics. Recently there is one question, frequently asked: whether today's climate is changing? The studies of this issues are mainly related to the two the most important climatic elements - air temperature and precipitation amounts. We have done research about temperature variability for Montenegro and the main aim of this paper is analysis precipitation changes for station Podgorica (Montenegro) in the period of systematic observation - are there changes, to what extent and whether they are significant. According to the results, accumulated precipitation do not show significant changes for annual and seasonal values in the period 1951-2010. The interannual variations of the precipitation (which are characteristic for this climate element) do not show increases in recent times. The component trend shows some changes, but statistically insignificant. The previous results for precipitation conditions in Podgorica are not in accordance with the concept of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which predicted a general decrease in precipitation and increase variability on this area.
AB  - Globalno otopljavanje i kolebanje klime je aktuelna i izazovna tema. Pitanje koje se u poslednje vreme najčešće postavlja je: da li se menja današnja klima? Istraživanja iz ove problematike su uglavnom vezana za dva najvažnija klimatska elementa - temperaturu vazduha i količinu padavina. Obzirom da smo neka istraživanja već radili, a bila su vezana za utvrđivanje promena temperature vazduha u Crnoj Gori, osnovni cilj ovog rada je bio da se utvrdi šta se dešava sa padavinskim prilikama u Podgorici u periodu sistematskih osmatranja - da li promene postoje, u kojem obimu i da li su one značajne. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da se sa akumuliranim padavinama u Podgorici, u periodu 1951-2010., ništa bitnije ne dešava, kako na sezonskom tako i na godišnjem nivou. Međugodišnje varijacije, koje inače karakterišu ovaj element, nisu povećane u poslednje vreme. Trend komponenta pokazuje izvesne promene, ali su one statistički nesignifikantne. Dosadašnji rezultati istraživanja padavinskih prilika na području Podgorice ne uklapaju se sasvim u koncept Međuvladinog panela za klimatske promene (IPCC), koji predviđa opšte smanjenje količine padavina u našim krajevima i povećanje varijabilnosti.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - The changes of precipitation in Podgorica for period 1951-2010
T1  - Promene količine padavina u Podgorici u periodu 1951-2010
VL  - 91
IS  - 2
SP  - 51
EP  - 70
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_400
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan and Luković, Jelena and Stanojević, Gorica",
year = "2011",
abstract = "The global warming and climate change are the actual and challenging topics. Recently there is one question, frequently asked: whether today's climate is changing? The studies of this issues are mainly related to the two the most important climatic elements - air temperature and precipitation amounts. We have done research about temperature variability for Montenegro and the main aim of this paper is analysis precipitation changes for station Podgorica (Montenegro) in the period of systematic observation - are there changes, to what extent and whether they are significant. According to the results, accumulated precipitation do not show significant changes for annual and seasonal values in the period 1951-2010. The interannual variations of the precipitation (which are characteristic for this climate element) do not show increases in recent times. The component trend shows some changes, but statistically insignificant. The previous results for precipitation conditions in Podgorica are not in accordance with the concept of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which predicted a general decrease in precipitation and increase variability on this area., Globalno otopljavanje i kolebanje klime je aktuelna i izazovna tema. Pitanje koje se u poslednje vreme najčešće postavlja je: da li se menja današnja klima? Istraživanja iz ove problematike su uglavnom vezana za dva najvažnija klimatska elementa - temperaturu vazduha i količinu padavina. Obzirom da smo neka istraživanja već radili, a bila su vezana za utvrđivanje promena temperature vazduha u Crnoj Gori, osnovni cilj ovog rada je bio da se utvrdi šta se dešava sa padavinskim prilikama u Podgorici u periodu sistematskih osmatranja - da li promene postoje, u kojem obimu i da li su one značajne. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da se sa akumuliranim padavinama u Podgorici, u periodu 1951-2010., ništa bitnije ne dešava, kako na sezonskom tako i na godišnjem nivou. Međugodišnje varijacije, koje inače karakterišu ovaj element, nisu povećane u poslednje vreme. Trend komponenta pokazuje izvesne promene, ali su one statistički nesignifikantne. Dosadašnji rezultati istraživanja padavinskih prilika na području Podgorice ne uklapaju se sasvim u koncept Međuvladinog panela za klimatske promene (IPCC), koji predviđa opšte smanjenje količine padavina u našim krajevima i povećanje varijabilnosti.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "The changes of precipitation in Podgorica for period 1951-2010, Promene količine padavina u Podgorici u periodu 1951-2010",
volume = "91",
number = "2",
pages = "51-70",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_400"
}

Ducić, V., Burić, D., Luković, J.,& Stanojević, G.. (2011). The changes of precipitation in Podgorica for period 1951-2010. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 91(2), 51-70.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_400

Ducić V, Burić D, Luković J, Stanojević G. The changes of precipitation in Podgorica for period 1951-2010. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2011;91(2):51-70.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_400 .

Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, Luković, Jelena, Stanojević, Gorica, "The changes of precipitation in Podgorica for period 1951-2010" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 91, no. 2 (2011):51-70,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_400 .