Ducić, Vladan

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orcid::0000-0003-2673-7185
  • Ducić, Vladan (66)
  • Ducic, Vladan (1)

Author's Bibliography

Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Obradović, Dragan; Dedić, Aleksandar; Burić, Dragan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2023)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Obradović, Dragan
AU  - Dedić, Aleksandar
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2023
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1631
AB  - Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska peščara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). In settlements in Deliblatska peščara area, there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils
VL  - 73
IS  - 2
SP  - 155
EP  - 168
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI2302155M
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Obradović, Dragan and Dedić, Aleksandar and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2023",
abstract = "Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska peščara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). In settlements in Deliblatska peščara area, there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils",
volume = "73",
number = "2",
pages = "155-168",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI2302155M"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Obradović, D., Dedić, A.,& Burić, D.. (2023). Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 73(2), 155-168.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2302155M
Milenković M, Ducić V, Obradović D, Dedić A, Burić D. Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2023;73(2):155-168.
doi:10.2298/IJGI2302155M .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Obradović, Dragan, Dedić, Aleksandar, Burić, Dragan, "Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 73, no. 2 (2023):155-168,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2302155M . .

Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices

Burić, Dragan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Ducić, Vladan; Milenković, Milan; Anđelković, Goran

(Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service, 2023)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Anđelković, Goran
PY  - 2023
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1439
AB  - The aim of the study is to present some specific climatic conditions on the territory of the Republic of Serbia based on the analysis of four climate indices, which can help in understanding contemporary climate changes. Temperature and precipitation data from 31 meteorological stations for the period 1951–2010 were used. The relative homogeneity of the data series was done using the MASH v3.02 method. The indices used are: Johansson Continentality Index, Kerner Oceanity Index, De Martonne Aridity Index, and Pinna Combinative Index. Geospatial analysis of the distribution of the values of the four mentioned indices was done using the QGIS package 2.8.1. The results of the research show that the continentality effect is present in most of Serbia, while oceanity is observed locally, mainly in the western and southwestern parts of the country. The further analysis showed that there is no dry and semi–dry Mediterranean climate in Serbia. Considering that it is dry in the warmest part of the year (July–September), when the need for water is increased, which is clearly shown by the Walter climate diagram, as well as the fact that an increase in temperature and a decrease in precipitation during the vegetation period were observed in the second 30–year period (1981–2010), it can be concluded that in Serbia there is a tendency towards arid climate. The results presented in this paper can help decision makers to plan certain climate change adaptation measures.
PB  - Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service
T2  - Időjárás
T1  - Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices
VL  - 127
IS  - 3
SP  - 379
EP  - 399
DO  - 10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan and Anđelković, Goran",
year = "2023",
abstract = "The aim of the study is to present some specific climatic conditions on the territory of the Republic of Serbia based on the analysis of four climate indices, which can help in understanding contemporary climate changes. Temperature and precipitation data from 31 meteorological stations for the period 1951–2010 were used. The relative homogeneity of the data series was done using the MASH v3.02 method. The indices used are: Johansson Continentality Index, Kerner Oceanity Index, De Martonne Aridity Index, and Pinna Combinative Index. Geospatial analysis of the distribution of the values of the four mentioned indices was done using the QGIS package 2.8.1. The results of the research show that the continentality effect is present in most of Serbia, while oceanity is observed locally, mainly in the western and southwestern parts of the country. The further analysis showed that there is no dry and semi–dry Mediterranean climate in Serbia. Considering that it is dry in the warmest part of the year (July–September), when the need for water is increased, which is clearly shown by the Walter climate diagram, as well as the fact that an increase in temperature and a decrease in precipitation during the vegetation period were observed in the second 30–year period (1981–2010), it can be concluded that in Serbia there is a tendency towards arid climate. The results presented in this paper can help decision makers to plan certain climate change adaptation measures.",
publisher = "Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service",
journal = "Időjárás",
title = "Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices",
volume = "127",
number = "3",
pages = "379-399",
doi = "10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6"
}
Burić, D., Mihajlović, J., Ducić, V., Milenković, M.,& Anđelković, G.. (2023). Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices. in Időjárás
Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service., 127(3), 379-399.
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6
Burić D, Mihajlović J, Ducić V, Milenković M, Anđelković G. Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices. in Időjárás. 2023;127(3):379-399.
doi:10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6 .
Burić, Dragan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, Anđelković, Goran, "Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices" in Időjárás, 127, no. 3 (2023):379-399,
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6 . .
1

Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018

Mihajlović, Jovan; Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Milenković, Milan

(Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw, 2021)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1089
AB  - Recently Montenegro has often been faced with extreme weather events. The aim of this paper is to provide a detailed synoptic analysis of a severe weather event, a waterspout, and to confirm an indication that in most cases such events could potentially be forecasted, which is of great practical significance, since human lives and property can be saved. The paper presents the research results of synoptic and mesoscale weather conditions which created a favourable meteorological environment for a waterspout development in Tivat (Montenegrin coast) on June 9, 2018, around 01 UTC (03 CET). Based on field survey analysis, the rating of tornado intensity by the Fujita scale (F-scale) has been done by assessing the damage. The synoptic type for this situation was CLOSED-SW and was determined by a detailed examination of atmospheric circulation. The results presented in the manuscript can help decision makers in Montenegro to take certain adaptation measures (above all, in tourism and construction) in order to mitigate the negative consequences of weather extremes.
PB  - Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw
T2  - Geographia Polonica
T1  - Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018
VL  - 94
IS  - 1
SP  - 69
EP  - 90
DO  - 10.7163/GPol.0194
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan",
year = "2021",
abstract = "Recently Montenegro has often been faced with extreme weather events. The aim of this paper is to provide a detailed synoptic analysis of a severe weather event, a waterspout, and to confirm an indication that in most cases such events could potentially be forecasted, which is of great practical significance, since human lives and property can be saved. The paper presents the research results of synoptic and mesoscale weather conditions which created a favourable meteorological environment for a waterspout development in Tivat (Montenegrin coast) on June 9, 2018, around 01 UTC (03 CET). Based on field survey analysis, the rating of tornado intensity by the Fujita scale (F-scale) has been done by assessing the damage. The synoptic type for this situation was CLOSED-SW and was determined by a detailed examination of atmospheric circulation. The results presented in the manuscript can help decision makers in Montenegro to take certain adaptation measures (above all, in tourism and construction) in order to mitigate the negative consequences of weather extremes.",
publisher = "Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw",
journal = "Geographia Polonica",
title = "Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018",
volume = "94",
number = "1",
pages = "69-90",
doi = "10.7163/GPol.0194",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089"
}
Mihajlović, J., Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Milenković, M.. (2021). Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018. in Geographia Polonica
Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw., 94(1), 69-90.
https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.0194
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089
Mihajlović J, Burić D, Ducić V, Milenković M. Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018. in Geographia Polonica. 2021;94(1):69-90.
doi:10.7163/GPol.0194
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089 .
Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, "Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018" in Geographia Polonica, 94, no. 1 (2021):69-90,
https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.0194 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089 .
5
4

Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro

Doderović, Miroslav; Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mijanović, Ivan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2020)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Doderović, Miroslav
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mijanović, Ivan
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1062
AB  - The aim of the research of this paper is changes in air temperature and precipitation in the north of Montenegro in the instrumental period (1951-2018) and projections up to 2100. Kolasin was chosen because the altitude of the place is the average height of the northern region of Montenegro (about 1000 m), the meteorological station has not changed its location since the beginning of instrumental measurements, and homogeneity was tested (for the instrumental period). In general, the climate of Kolasin (1951-2018) has become warmer and with more frequent extreme daily temperatures and precipitations in an upward trend. When it comes to the projections for the north of this Mediterranean country, according to the A1B scenario of the Regional Climate Model EBU-POM, the results indicate warmer conditions and very warm ones at the end of the 21st century. The projected reduction of the annual number of almost all the considered rainfall days also implies that a slightly more arid future is expected. The climate of the mountainous north of Montenegro is changing, and the results presented in this paper may serve decision makers to take some measures of adaptation (in tourism, agriculture, architecture, water management, etc.) and climate change mitigation.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro
VL  - 70
IS  - 3
SP  - 189
EP  - 201
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI2003189D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Doderović, Miroslav and Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mijanović, Ivan",
year = "2020",
abstract = "The aim of the research of this paper is changes in air temperature and precipitation in the north of Montenegro in the instrumental period (1951-2018) and projections up to 2100. Kolasin was chosen because the altitude of the place is the average height of the northern region of Montenegro (about 1000 m), the meteorological station has not changed its location since the beginning of instrumental measurements, and homogeneity was tested (for the instrumental period). In general, the climate of Kolasin (1951-2018) has become warmer and with more frequent extreme daily temperatures and precipitations in an upward trend. When it comes to the projections for the north of this Mediterranean country, according to the A1B scenario of the Regional Climate Model EBU-POM, the results indicate warmer conditions and very warm ones at the end of the 21st century. The projected reduction of the annual number of almost all the considered rainfall days also implies that a slightly more arid future is expected. The climate of the mountainous north of Montenegro is changing, and the results presented in this paper may serve decision makers to take some measures of adaptation (in tourism, agriculture, architecture, water management, etc.) and climate change mitigation.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro",
volume = "70",
number = "3",
pages = "189-201",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI2003189D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062"
}
Doderović, M., Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Mijanović, I.. (2020). Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 70(3), 189-201.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2003189D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062
Doderović M, Burić D, Ducić V, Mijanović I. Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2020;70(3):189-201.
doi:10.2298/IJGI2003189D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062 .
Doderović, Miroslav, Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mijanović, Ivan, "Recent and future air temperature and precipitation changes in the mountainous north of montenegro" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 70, no. 3 (2020):189-201,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2003189D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1062 .
6
5

Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Burić, Dragan; Babić, Violeta

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/984
AB  - In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations
VL  - 69
IS  - 1
SP  - 75
EP  - 82
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1901075M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Babić, Violeta",
year = "2019",
abstract = "In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations",
volume = "69",
number = "1",
pages = "75-82",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1901075M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Burić, D.,& Babić, V.. (2019). Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 69(1), 75-82.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984
Milenković M, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Burić D, Babić V. Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2019;69(1):75-82.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1901075M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Babić, Violeta, "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 69, no. 1 (2019):75-82,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984 .
2
3
3

The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)

Burić, Dragan; Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2019)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/973
AB  - Danilovgrad and the Bjelopavlića Plain belong to the submediterranean zone of the Mediterranean climate region. The aim of this paper was to determine some specific characteristics of the Danilovgrad climate, such as the degree of continentality, aridity and bioclimatic characteristics. Data used in the research cover the period 1955-2011. The results of the study showed the dominance of the continental effect on temperature, while oceanicity was less pronounced. In hygric terms, during most of the year the climate of Danilovgrad is characterized as low humid to perhumid. Moreover, in the period October-March it is very humid, which points to the domination of oceanic influences. During the three summer months, it is dry to very dry. Based on the average monthly values of the equivalent temperature - an indicator of physiological (subjective) feeling of heat, the winter months in Danilovgrad are not assessed as very cold. It is cold in January, and in February and December it is cool. It is fresh in March and November, comfortable in April and October, and warm in May and September. In Danilovgrad, in summer it is overheated and a little muggy. All considered indicators point to quite pronounced oscillations during the year, especially in terms of humidity. Comparing the obtained results with Podgorica, it can be concluded that the climate of Danilovgrad is more continental, a bit colder and wetter.
AB  - Danilovgrad je centralno i najveće naselje na području Bjelopavlićke ravnice u Crnoj Gori. Sa klimatskog aspekta, područje Bjelopavlićke ravnice je pogodno za život i razvoj poljoprivrede. Međutim, u do sada poznatim klasifikacijama klime za Crnu Goru, dat je uopšteni opis pojedinih regija i mesta, uglavnom na osnovu analize srednjih mesečnih temperatura vazduha i količine padavina. Za Danilovgrad se može reći da ima blago modifikovnu mediteransku klimu, a to znači da su leta topla i prilično sušna, a zime blage i kišovite. Prema Kepenovoj klasifikaciji, klimatska formula Danilovgrada je Csa, prosečna godišnja temperatura je 14,60C, a godišnja suma padavina 2.216 mm. Cilj nam je bio da klimu ovog mesta što bolje i podrobnije opišemo, kroz analizu termičke kontinentalnosti, aridnosti i bioklimatske karakteristike. Analizom kombinovanih klimatskih elemenata, dat je kompleksniji prikaz i kvalitetnija karakterizacija klime Danilovgrada. Smatramo da će istraživanje imati značaja za lokalnu zajednicu u smislu boljeg razumevanja prirodnog okruženja i da se dobijeni rezultati mogu primeniti u poljoprivredi, vodoprivredi i energetici, turizmu i drugim delatnostima od važnosti za budući razvoj Danilovgrada i Crne Gore. Takođe, rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu biće korisni nauci, struci i opštem obrazovanju stanovništva, jer se radi o tematici koja sve više participira kod današnjeg čoveka. Za razmatranje specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada, korišćeni su podaci za instrumentalni period 1955-2011. Rezultati istraživanja su pokazali dominaciju kontinentalnog uticaja na temperaturu, dok je maritimnost slabije izražena. U higričkom smislu, tokom većeg dela godine klima Danilovgrada se karakteriše kao slabo humidna do perhumidna. Štaviše, u periodu oktobar - mart je veoma vlažno, što govori o dominaciji maritimnih upliva. Sušno do veoma sušno je tokom tri letnja meseca. Prema bioklimatskim pokazateljima, ni jedan mesec se ne karakteriše kao veoma hladan. Na osnovu srednjih mesečnih vrednosti ekvivalentne temperature, koja je korišćena kao pokazatelj fiziološkog (subjektivnog) osećaja toplote, tokom januara je hladno, a u februaru i decembru veoma prohladno. Sveže je u martu i novembru, ugodno u aprilu i oktobru, a toplo u maju i septembru. U Danilovgradu je leti pregrejano i malo zaparno. Svi razmatrani pokazatelji ukazuju na prilično izražene oscilacije tokom godine, naročito u pogledu vlažnosti. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da Danilovgrad ima slične termičke, higričke i bioklimatske karakteristike kao Podgorica (Burić et al., 2007), jer je rastojanje između ova dva grada oko 20 km. Ipak, Danilovgrad je više kontinentalniji, malo hladniji i vlažniji od Podgorice.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)
T1  - Specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada (Crna Gora)
VL  - 99
IS  - 1
SP  - 19
EP  - 28
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1901019B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Danilovgrad and the Bjelopavlića Plain belong to the submediterranean zone of the Mediterranean climate region. The aim of this paper was to determine some specific characteristics of the Danilovgrad climate, such as the degree of continentality, aridity and bioclimatic characteristics. Data used in the research cover the period 1955-2011. The results of the study showed the dominance of the continental effect on temperature, while oceanicity was less pronounced. In hygric terms, during most of the year the climate of Danilovgrad is characterized as low humid to perhumid. Moreover, in the period October-March it is very humid, which points to the domination of oceanic influences. During the three summer months, it is dry to very dry. Based on the average monthly values of the equivalent temperature - an indicator of physiological (subjective) feeling of heat, the winter months in Danilovgrad are not assessed as very cold. It is cold in January, and in February and December it is cool. It is fresh in March and November, comfortable in April and October, and warm in May and September. In Danilovgrad, in summer it is overheated and a little muggy. All considered indicators point to quite pronounced oscillations during the year, especially in terms of humidity. Comparing the obtained results with Podgorica, it can be concluded that the climate of Danilovgrad is more continental, a bit colder and wetter., Danilovgrad je centralno i najveće naselje na području Bjelopavlićke ravnice u Crnoj Gori. Sa klimatskog aspekta, područje Bjelopavlićke ravnice je pogodno za život i razvoj poljoprivrede. Međutim, u do sada poznatim klasifikacijama klime za Crnu Goru, dat je uopšteni opis pojedinih regija i mesta, uglavnom na osnovu analize srednjih mesečnih temperatura vazduha i količine padavina. Za Danilovgrad se može reći da ima blago modifikovnu mediteransku klimu, a to znači da su leta topla i prilično sušna, a zime blage i kišovite. Prema Kepenovoj klasifikaciji, klimatska formula Danilovgrada je Csa, prosečna godišnja temperatura je 14,60C, a godišnja suma padavina 2.216 mm. Cilj nam je bio da klimu ovog mesta što bolje i podrobnije opišemo, kroz analizu termičke kontinentalnosti, aridnosti i bioklimatske karakteristike. Analizom kombinovanih klimatskih elemenata, dat je kompleksniji prikaz i kvalitetnija karakterizacija klime Danilovgrada. Smatramo da će istraživanje imati značaja za lokalnu zajednicu u smislu boljeg razumevanja prirodnog okruženja i da se dobijeni rezultati mogu primeniti u poljoprivredi, vodoprivredi i energetici, turizmu i drugim delatnostima od važnosti za budući razvoj Danilovgrada i Crne Gore. Takođe, rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu biće korisni nauci, struci i opštem obrazovanju stanovništva, jer se radi o tematici koja sve više participira kod današnjeg čoveka. Za razmatranje specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada, korišćeni su podaci za instrumentalni period 1955-2011. Rezultati istraživanja su pokazali dominaciju kontinentalnog uticaja na temperaturu, dok je maritimnost slabije izražena. U higričkom smislu, tokom većeg dela godine klima Danilovgrada se karakteriše kao slabo humidna do perhumidna. Štaviše, u periodu oktobar - mart je veoma vlažno, što govori o dominaciji maritimnih upliva. Sušno do veoma sušno je tokom tri letnja meseca. Prema bioklimatskim pokazateljima, ni jedan mesec se ne karakteriše kao veoma hladan. Na osnovu srednjih mesečnih vrednosti ekvivalentne temperature, koja je korišćena kao pokazatelj fiziološkog (subjektivnog) osećaja toplote, tokom januara je hladno, a u februaru i decembru veoma prohladno. Sveže je u martu i novembru, ugodno u aprilu i oktobru, a toplo u maju i septembru. U Danilovgradu je leti pregrejano i malo zaparno. Svi razmatrani pokazatelji ukazuju na prilično izražene oscilacije tokom godine, naročito u pogledu vlažnosti. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da Danilovgrad ima slične termičke, higričke i bioklimatske karakteristike kao Podgorica (Burić et al., 2007), jer je rastojanje između ova dva grada oko 20 km. Ipak, Danilovgrad je više kontinentalniji, malo hladniji i vlažniji od Podgorice.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro), Specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada (Crna Gora)",
volume = "99",
number = "1",
pages = "19-28",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1901019B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973"
}
Burić, D., Milenković, M.,& Ducić, V.. (2019). The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro). in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 99(1), 19-28.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1901019B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973
Burić D, Milenković M, Ducić V. The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro). in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2019;99(1):19-28.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1901019B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973 .
Burić, Dragan, Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, "The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 99, no. 1 (2019):19-28,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1901019B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973 .
2

Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods

Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2018)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
PY  - 2018
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/917
AB  - In the second half of the 20th and by the beginning of the 21st century the area of Montenegro was dominated by positive air temperature fluctuations and negative precipitation sums. This paper analyses a 60-year period (1951-2010), with the aim to determine air temperature and precipitation deviation between the two 30-year periods: 1951-1980 and 1981-2010. Calculations of mean, mean maximum and mean minimum temperature have been done, as well as annual values of precipitation sums. All three temperature parameters, particularly maximum values, show that the 1981-2010 period was significantly warmer in relation to previous three decades. Significant changes in mean annual precipitation sums between the two observation periods have been recorded on the coast and, locally, in the western part of the country. The results also showed that there was a significant increase in positive deviations of mean maximum temperature in most parts of Montenegro during the 1981-2010 period in relation to the 1951-1980 period, while changes of this type in other observation parameters were mostly minor.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods
VL  - 98
IS  - 1
SP  - 31
EP  - 48
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD180325004B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_917
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan",
year = "2018",
abstract = "In the second half of the 20th and by the beginning of the 21st century the area of Montenegro was dominated by positive air temperature fluctuations and negative precipitation sums. This paper analyses a 60-year period (1951-2010), with the aim to determine air temperature and precipitation deviation between the two 30-year periods: 1951-1980 and 1981-2010. Calculations of mean, mean maximum and mean minimum temperature have been done, as well as annual values of precipitation sums. All three temperature parameters, particularly maximum values, show that the 1981-2010 period was significantly warmer in relation to previous three decades. Significant changes in mean annual precipitation sums between the two observation periods have been recorded on the coast and, locally, in the western part of the country. The results also showed that there was a significant increase in positive deviations of mean maximum temperature in most parts of Montenegro during the 1981-2010 period in relation to the 1951-1980 period, while changes of this type in other observation parameters were mostly minor.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods",
volume = "98",
number = "1",
pages = "31-48",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD180325004B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_917"
}
Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Mihajlović, J.. (2018). Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 98(1), 31-48.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD180325004B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_917
Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J. Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2018;98(1):31-48.
doi:10.2298/GSGD180325004B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_917 .
Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, "Relationship between mean annual temperatures and precipitation sums in montenegro between 1951-1980 and 1981-2010 periods" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 98, no. 1 (2018):31-48,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD180325004B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_917 .
6

Dr Predrag Manojlović the winner of the

Dragićević, Slavoljub; Ducić, Vladan; Živković, Nenad; Jovanović, Velimir; Lazarević, Radenko

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Dragićević, Slavoljub
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Živković, Nenad
AU  - Jovanović, Velimir
AU  - Lazarević, Radenko
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/838
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Dr Predrag Manojlović the winner of the
VL  - 97
IS  - 1
SP  - 1
EP  - 18
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1701001D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_838
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Dragićević, Slavoljub and Ducić, Vladan and Živković, Nenad and Jovanović, Velimir and Lazarević, Radenko",
year = "2017",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Dr Predrag Manojlović the winner of the",
volume = "97",
number = "1",
pages = "1-18",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1701001D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_838"
}
Dragićević, S., Ducić, V., Živković, N., Jovanović, V.,& Lazarević, R.. (2017). Dr Predrag Manojlović the winner of the. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 97(1), 1-18.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1701001D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_838
Dragićević S, Ducić V, Živković N, Jovanović V, Lazarević R. Dr Predrag Manojlović the winner of the. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2017;97(1):1-18.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1701001D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_838 .
Dragićević, Slavoljub, Ducić, Vladan, Živković, Nenad, Jovanović, Velimir, Lazarević, Radenko, "Dr Predrag Manojlović the winner of the" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 97, no. 1 (2017):1-18,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1701001D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_838 .

The impact of Mediterranean oscillations on periodicity and trend of temperature in the valley of the Nisava river - a fourier and wavelet approach

Martić-Bursać, Nataša; Bursać, Branislav L.; Ducić, Vladan; Radivojević, Aleksandar; Živković, Nenad; Ivanović, Radomir; Đokić, Mrđan M.; Stričević, Ljiljana S.; Gocić, Milena

(Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Martić-Bursać, Nataša
AU  - Bursać, Branislav L.
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Radivojević, Aleksandar
AU  - Živković, Nenad
AU  - Ivanović, Radomir
AU  - Đokić, Mrđan M.
AU  - Stričević, Ljiljana S.
AU  - Gocić, Milena
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/867
AB  - Periodicity of temperature on three stations in the Nisava River valley in period 1949-2014, has been analyzed by means of Fourier and wavelet transforms. Combined periodogram based on fast Fourier transform shows considerable similarity among individual series and identffies significant periods on 2.2, 2.7, 3.3, 5, 6-7, and 8.2 years in all datasets. Wavelet coherence analysis connects strongest 6-7 years spectral component to Mediterranean oscillation, starting in 1980s. Combined periodogram of Mediterranean oscillation index reveals 6-7 years spectral component as a dominant mode in period 1949-2014. Wavelet power spectra and partial combined periodograms show absence of 6-7 years component before 1975, after which this component becomes dominant in the spectrum. Consistency between alternation in temperature trend in the Nisava River valley and change in periodicity of Mediterranean oscillation was found.
PB  - Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - The impact of Mediterranean oscillations on periodicity and trend of temperature in the valley of the Nisava river - a fourier and wavelet approach
VL  - 21
IS  - 3
SP  - 1389
EP  - 1398
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI160201229M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_867
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Martić-Bursać, Nataša and Bursać, Branislav L. and Ducić, Vladan and Radivojević, Aleksandar and Živković, Nenad and Ivanović, Radomir and Đokić, Mrđan M. and Stričević, Ljiljana S. and Gocić, Milena",
year = "2017",
abstract = "Periodicity of temperature on three stations in the Nisava River valley in period 1949-2014, has been analyzed by means of Fourier and wavelet transforms. Combined periodogram based on fast Fourier transform shows considerable similarity among individual series and identffies significant periods on 2.2, 2.7, 3.3, 5, 6-7, and 8.2 years in all datasets. Wavelet coherence analysis connects strongest 6-7 years spectral component to Mediterranean oscillation, starting in 1980s. Combined periodogram of Mediterranean oscillation index reveals 6-7 years spectral component as a dominant mode in period 1949-2014. Wavelet power spectra and partial combined periodograms show absence of 6-7 years component before 1975, after which this component becomes dominant in the spectrum. Consistency between alternation in temperature trend in the Nisava River valley and change in periodicity of Mediterranean oscillation was found.",
publisher = "Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "The impact of Mediterranean oscillations on periodicity and trend of temperature in the valley of the Nisava river - a fourier and wavelet approach",
volume = "21",
number = "3",
pages = "1389-1398",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI160201229M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_867"
}
Martić-Bursać, N., Bursać, B. L., Ducić, V., Radivojević, A., Živković, N., Ivanović, R., Đokić, M. M., Stričević, L. S.,& Gocić, M.. (2017). The impact of Mediterranean oscillations on periodicity and trend of temperature in the valley of the Nisava river - a fourier and wavelet approach. in Thermal Science
Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča., 21(3), 1389-1398.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI160201229M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_867
Martić-Bursać N, Bursać BL, Ducić V, Radivojević A, Živković N, Ivanović R, Đokić MM, Stričević LS, Gocić M. The impact of Mediterranean oscillations on periodicity and trend of temperature in the valley of the Nisava river - a fourier and wavelet approach. in Thermal Science. 2017;21(3):1389-1398.
doi:10.2298/TSCI160201229M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_867 .
Martić-Bursać, Nataša, Bursać, Branislav L., Ducić, Vladan, Radivojević, Aleksandar, Živković, Nenad, Ivanović, Radomir, Đokić, Mrđan M., Stričević, Ljiljana S., Gocić, Milena, "The impact of Mediterranean oscillations on periodicity and trend of temperature in the valley of the Nisava river - a fourier and wavelet approach" in Thermal Science, 21, no. 3 (2017):1389-1398,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI160201229M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_867 .
2
2

Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)

Milenković, Milan; Yamashkin, Anatoly A.; Ducić, Vladan; Babić, Violeta; Govedar, Zoran

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Yamashkin, Anatoly A.
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
AU  - Govedar, Zoran
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/864
AB  - The data on forest fires in Portugal in the period 1980-2015 were used in the research: the annual number of forest fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire. Increasing trend of the annual number of forest fires (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01), nonsignificant increasing trend of the annual burned area and decreasing trend of the average burned area per fire (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01) were recorded. Portugal is the most endangered country by forest fires in comparison with the other European countries. During the research period, fires in Portugal covered 23.6% of the total burned area in five the most affected European countries (Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece). In the research of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of the AMO index were used in calculations. All R values recorded for the annual number of fires were positive and statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01. The highest values were recorded for August (0.543) and for summer (0.525). With the annual burned area all R values were also positive and the highest one on the seasonal level was for summer (0.359). With the average burned area per fire all R values were negative (-0.428 was recorded for winter). The results of the research could be applied in the fire danger forecast for periods of several months. Other climate indices should also be considered in future research.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)
VL  - 67
IS  - 1
SP  - 27
EP  - 35
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1701027M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_864
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Yamashkin, Anatoly A. and Ducić, Vladan and Babić, Violeta and Govedar, Zoran",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The data on forest fires in Portugal in the period 1980-2015 were used in the research: the annual number of forest fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire. Increasing trend of the annual number of forest fires (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01), nonsignificant increasing trend of the annual burned area and decreasing trend of the average burned area per fire (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01) were recorded. Portugal is the most endangered country by forest fires in comparison with the other European countries. During the research period, fires in Portugal covered 23.6% of the total burned area in five the most affected European countries (Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece). In the research of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of the AMO index were used in calculations. All R values recorded for the annual number of fires were positive and statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01. The highest values were recorded for August (0.543) and for summer (0.525). With the annual burned area all R values were also positive and the highest one on the seasonal level was for summer (0.359). With the average burned area per fire all R values were negative (-0.428 was recorded for winter). The results of the research could be applied in the fire danger forecast for periods of several months. Other climate indices should also be considered in future research.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)",
volume = "67",
number = "1",
pages = "27-35",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1701027M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_864"
}
Milenković, M., Yamashkin, A. A., Ducić, V., Babić, V.,& Govedar, Z.. (2017). Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 67(1), 27-35.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1701027M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_864
Milenković M, Yamashkin AA, Ducić V, Babić V, Govedar Z. Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2017;67(1):27-35.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1701027M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_864 .
Milenković, Milan, Yamashkin, Anatoly A., Ducić, Vladan, Babić, Violeta, Govedar, Zoran, "Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 67, no. 1 (2017):27-35,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1701027M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_864 .
2
4

Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification

Milovanović, Boško; Ducić, Vladan; Radovanović, Milan; Milivojević, Milovan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
AU  - Milivojević, Milovan
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/843
AB  - The paper presents a concise overview of the theoretical framework on which climate classifications are based. Beside short review of climate classifications, namely climatic regionalization for Serbia (or wider area including Serbia), main deficiency of these research was ascertained (which primarily relate to the period on the basis of which climate regionalization was carried out). The criteria of the Koppen climate classification are presented, on the basis of which the climate regionalization of Serbia has been carried out. The methodology of making maps of air temperatures and precipitation amounts has been described, on the basis of which a map of the climate regions of Serbia has been created. Spatial distribution of the types and subtypes of the climates in Serbia has been briefly described. It has been pointed to the constraints of the climate regionalization that arise from the theoretical bases of the climate classifications, but also from nature of the collected data and the applied methodology.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification
VL  - 67
IS  - 2
SP  - 103
EP  - 114
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1702103M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_843
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milovanović, Boško and Ducić, Vladan and Radovanović, Milan and Milivojević, Milovan",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The paper presents a concise overview of the theoretical framework on which climate classifications are based. Beside short review of climate classifications, namely climatic regionalization for Serbia (or wider area including Serbia), main deficiency of these research was ascertained (which primarily relate to the period on the basis of which climate regionalization was carried out). The criteria of the Koppen climate classification are presented, on the basis of which the climate regionalization of Serbia has been carried out. The methodology of making maps of air temperatures and precipitation amounts has been described, on the basis of which a map of the climate regions of Serbia has been created. Spatial distribution of the types and subtypes of the climates in Serbia has been briefly described. It has been pointed to the constraints of the climate regionalization that arise from the theoretical bases of the climate classifications, but also from nature of the collected data and the applied methodology.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification",
volume = "67",
number = "2",
pages = "103-114",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1702103M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_843"
}
Milovanović, B., Ducić, V., Radovanović, M.,& Milivojević, M.. (2017). Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 67(2), 103-114.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702103M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_843
Milovanović B, Ducić V, Radovanović M, Milivojević M. Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2017;67(2):103-114.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1702103M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_843 .
Milovanović, Boško, Ducić, Vladan, Radovanović, Milan, Milivojević, Milovan, "Climate regionalization of Serbia according to koppen climate classification" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 67, no. 2 (2017):103-114,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702103M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_843 .
18
13

The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia

Milenković, Milan; Savić, Dragan; Walker, David; Dedić, Aleksandar; Ducić, Vladan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2017)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Savić, Dragan
AU  - Walker, David
AU  - Dedić, Aleksandar
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/819
AB  - The data on the water temperature of the Sava in Serbia (hydrological stations Sabac and Belgrade, period 1961-2015) were used for the research, as well as the data on the surface air temperature. The temperature trends were determined and the significance (at p  lt = 0.05 and p  lt = 0.01) was established on the basis of the t-test. The Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used for the calculation of the correlation. Increasing trends of the water temperature of the Sava were recorded in all cases at both stations. However, in the case of the HS Sabac, the trends for 6 months (February-April and September-November) were not statistically significant. In the case of the HS Belgrade, all the calculations (except for April) showed statistically significant increasing trends, which can be explained by anthropogenic influence. High level of correlation between the surface air temperature and the water temperature was also determined. In this research, the lowest values of R were recorded for October (0.561 for Belgrade), and on the seasonal level, for autumn (0.625 for Sabac). The research on the correlation between the water temperature of the Sava River and the NAO index showed the highest values of R for January (0.512 for HS Sabac and 0.528 for HS Belgrade). On the seasonal level, the highest values were recorded for winter (0.422 for HS Sabac and 0.432 for HS Belgrade).
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia
VL  - 67
IS  - 2
SP  - 135
EP  - 144
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1702135M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_819
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Savić, Dragan and Walker, David and Dedić, Aleksandar and Ducić, Vladan",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The data on the water temperature of the Sava in Serbia (hydrological stations Sabac and Belgrade, period 1961-2015) were used for the research, as well as the data on the surface air temperature. The temperature trends were determined and the significance (at p  lt = 0.05 and p  lt = 0.01) was established on the basis of the t-test. The Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used for the calculation of the correlation. Increasing trends of the water temperature of the Sava were recorded in all cases at both stations. However, in the case of the HS Sabac, the trends for 6 months (February-April and September-November) were not statistically significant. In the case of the HS Belgrade, all the calculations (except for April) showed statistically significant increasing trends, which can be explained by anthropogenic influence. High level of correlation between the surface air temperature and the water temperature was also determined. In this research, the lowest values of R were recorded for October (0.561 for Belgrade), and on the seasonal level, for autumn (0.625 for Sabac). The research on the correlation between the water temperature of the Sava River and the NAO index showed the highest values of R for January (0.512 for HS Sabac and 0.528 for HS Belgrade). On the seasonal level, the highest values were recorded for winter (0.422 for HS Sabac and 0.432 for HS Belgrade).",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia",
volume = "67",
number = "2",
pages = "135-144",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1702135M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_819"
}
Milenković, M., Savić, D., Walker, D., Dedić, A.,& Ducić, V.. (2017). The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 67(2), 135-144.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702135M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_819
Milenković M, Savić D, Walker D, Dedić A, Ducić V. The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2017;67(2):135-144.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1702135M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_819 .
Milenković, Milan, Savić, Dragan, Walker, David, Dedić, Aleksandar, Ducić, Vladan, "The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 67, no. 2 (2017):135-144,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702135M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_819 .
1
1

Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment

Mihajlović, Jovan; Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2016)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/785
AB  - The aim of this paper is the waterspout in Split (phi 43.51 degrees N, lambda 16.45 degrees E, h = 0 m) observed on January 6, 2016, which swept over the city at 15:40-16:00 CET (14:40-15:00 UTC). There were convective developments in upper-level south-west flow within the cloudiness which followed the low-level cyclone and associated frontal disturbances. There was an intense thermodynamic instability in lower and mid layers of the atmosphere-the passage of the cold front as a main synoptic feature over the warm Adriatic water, pronounced directional and speed wind shear, as well as the presence of jet stream and a pronounced horizontal field of positive divergence above the observed area. The aim of this paper is to investigate synoptic and mesoscale situation, and meteorological conditions which created favourable thermodynamic environment which preceded the waterspout development.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment
VL  - 66
IS  - 2
SP  - 185
EP  - 202
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1602185M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_785
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2016",
abstract = "The aim of this paper is the waterspout in Split (phi 43.51 degrees N, lambda 16.45 degrees E, h = 0 m) observed on January 6, 2016, which swept over the city at 15:40-16:00 CET (14:40-15:00 UTC). There were convective developments in upper-level south-west flow within the cloudiness which followed the low-level cyclone and associated frontal disturbances. There was an intense thermodynamic instability in lower and mid layers of the atmosphere-the passage of the cold front as a main synoptic feature over the warm Adriatic water, pronounced directional and speed wind shear, as well as the presence of jet stream and a pronounced horizontal field of positive divergence above the observed area. The aim of this paper is to investigate synoptic and mesoscale situation, and meteorological conditions which created favourable thermodynamic environment which preceded the waterspout development.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment",
volume = "66",
number = "2",
pages = "185-202",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1602185M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_785"
}
Mihajlović, J., Ducić, V.,& Burić, D.. (2016). Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 66(2), 185-202.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1602185M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_785
Mihajlović J, Ducić V, Burić D. Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2016;66(2):185-202.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1602185M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_785 .
Mihajlović, Jovan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, "Tornadic waterspout event in Split (Croatia) - analysis of meteorological environment" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 66, no. 2 (2016):185-202,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1602185M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_785 .
8
8

The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014

Milenković, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan; Lazić, Bozidar

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2016)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Lazić, Bozidar
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/765
AB  - The study examines the connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires (the annual number of fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire) in France in the period 1980-2014. In order to determine the strength of the correlation connection Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of AMO were used in calculations, and one year phase shift was performed (the values for the previous year were used). In burned area the highest values of R on the monthly level were recorded for April (-0.474) and January (-0.470), and on the seasonal level for winter (-0.459) and spring (-0.447). These values are statistically significant at the level of p=0.01. By phase shifting the highest level of correlation was obtained for the autumn (-0.489). In the average burned area per fire on a monthly level the highest value of R was for January (-0.522), and on seasonal for winter (-0.506). By phase shifting the highest value of R was obtained for autumn (-0.522). In the number of fires the highest values were recorded by phase shifting for September (-0.382) and autumn (-0.337). All R values recorded during the study had a negative sign (the correlation is antiphase). In addition, downward trends were determined for all three examined indicators of forest fires in the researched period (1980-2014). Results of the research could be used as a basis for the long-term forecast of the risk of forest fires, and the approach used in the research could be applied for the other areas of the world. However, the more detailed research of the effects of other teleconnections are necessary.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014
VL  - 66
IS  - 1
SP  - 35
EP  - 44
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1601035M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan and Lazić, Bozidar",
year = "2016",
abstract = "The study examines the connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires (the annual number of fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire) in France in the period 1980-2014. In order to determine the strength of the correlation connection Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of AMO were used in calculations, and one year phase shift was performed (the values for the previous year were used). In burned area the highest values of R on the monthly level were recorded for April (-0.474) and January (-0.470), and on the seasonal level for winter (-0.459) and spring (-0.447). These values are statistically significant at the level of p=0.01. By phase shifting the highest level of correlation was obtained for the autumn (-0.489). In the average burned area per fire on a monthly level the highest value of R was for January (-0.522), and on seasonal for winter (-0.506). By phase shifting the highest value of R was obtained for autumn (-0.522). In the number of fires the highest values were recorded by phase shifting for September (-0.382) and autumn (-0.337). All R values recorded during the study had a negative sign (the correlation is antiphase). In addition, downward trends were determined for all three examined indicators of forest fires in the researched period (1980-2014). Results of the research could be used as a basis for the long-term forecast of the risk of forest fires, and the approach used in the research could be applied for the other areas of the world. However, the more detailed research of the effects of other teleconnections are necessary.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014",
volume = "66",
number = "1",
pages = "35-44",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1601035M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765"
}
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Burić, D.,& Lazić, B.. (2016). The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 66(1), 35-44.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601035M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765
Milenković M, Ducić V, Burić D, Lazić B. The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2016;66(1):35-44.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1601035M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765 .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, Lazić, Bozidar, "The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 66, no. 1 (2016):35-44,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601035M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765 .
2
4

Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro

Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Luković, Jelena; Dragojlović, Jovan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/721
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro
VL  - 95
IS  - 4
SP  - 53
EP  - 66
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD140626002B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Luković, Jelena and Dragojlović, Jovan",
year = "2015",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro",
volume = "95",
number = "4",
pages = "53-66",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD140626002B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721"
}
Burić, D., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Luković, J.,& Dragojlović, J.. (2015). Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 95(4), 53-66.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD140626002B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721
Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Luković J, Dragojlović J. Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2015;95(4):53-66.
doi:10.2298/GSGD140626002B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721 .
Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Luković, Jelena, Dragojlović, Jovan, "Recent extreme air temperature changes in Montenegro" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 95, no. 4 (2015):53-66,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD140626002B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_721 .
8

Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)

Ducić, Vladan; Milenković, Milan; Milijašević, Dragana; Vujačić, Duško M.; Bjeljac, Željko; Lović, Suzana L.; Gajić, Mirjana; Anđelković, Goran; Đorđević, Aleksandar

(Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Milijašević, Dragana
AU  - Vujačić, Duško M.
AU  - Bjeljac, Željko
AU  - Lović, Suzana L.
AU  - Gajić, Mirjana
AU  - Anđelković, Goran
AU  - Đorđević, Aleksandar
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/694
AB  - The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature (0.039 degrees C per year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February. A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years), and February (49 years). The highest correlations between water temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60), the AMO in autumn (0.52), and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water temperature of the Danube.
PB  - Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)
VL  - 19
SP  - S467
EP  - S476
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI150430133D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_694
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan and Milijašević, Dragana and Vujačić, Duško M. and Bjeljac, Željko and Lović, Suzana L. and Gajić, Mirjana and Anđelković, Goran and Đorđević, Aleksandar",
year = "2015",
abstract = "The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature (0.039 degrees C per year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February. A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years), and February (49 years). The highest correlations between water temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60), the AMO in autumn (0.52), and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water temperature of the Danube.",
publisher = "Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)",
volume = "19",
pages = "S467-S476",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI150430133D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_694"
}
Ducić, V., Milenković, M., Milijašević, D., Vujačić, D. M., Bjeljac, Ž., Lović, S. L., Gajić, M., Anđelković, G.,& Đorđević, A.. (2015). Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia). in Thermal Science
Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča., 19, S467-S476.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430133D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_694
Ducić V, Milenković M, Milijašević D, Vujačić DM, Bjeljac Ž, Lović SL, Gajić M, Anđelković G, Đorđević A. Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia). in Thermal Science. 2015;19:S467-S476.
doi:10.2298/TSCI150430133D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_694 .
Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, Milijašević, Dragana, Vujačić, Duško M., Bjeljac, Željko, Lović, Suzana L., Gajić, Mirjana, Anđelković, Goran, Đorđević, Aleksandar, "Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)" in Thermal Science, 19 (2015):S467-S476,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430133D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_694 .
5
4
4
4

Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)

Ducić, Vladan; Ivanović, Rade; Mihajlović, Jovan; Gnjato, Rajko; Trbić, Goran; Ćurčić, Nina

(Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo, i dr., 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Ivanović, Rade
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Gnjato, Rajko
AU  - Trbić, Goran
AU  - Ćurčić, Nina
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/724
AB  - The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using the dendrochronological method in drought prediction in eastern Bosnia. As an indicator of drought, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used. In the wider area of Rogatica (eastern Bosnia), 11 core samples from trees were taken. The best connection between the width of tree rings and drought was shown by the sample of a 67-year-old European silver fir (Abies alba) from the mountain Boksanica. Removal of the biological trend (standardization) was performed by the autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) method. Calculations showed that precipitation, i.e. drought in the summer months, is crucial for radial increment of the sample. The obtained results of our research have been confirmed in examples in the region and further.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo, i dr.
T2  - Archives of Biological Sciences
T1  - Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)
VL  - 67
IS  - 1
SP  - 201
EP  - 211
DO  - 10.2298/ABS141114025D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_724
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Ivanović, Rade and Mihajlović, Jovan and Gnjato, Rajko and Trbić, Goran and Ćurčić, Nina",
year = "2015",
abstract = "The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using the dendrochronological method in drought prediction in eastern Bosnia. As an indicator of drought, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used. In the wider area of Rogatica (eastern Bosnia), 11 core samples from trees were taken. The best connection between the width of tree rings and drought was shown by the sample of a 67-year-old European silver fir (Abies alba) from the mountain Boksanica. Removal of the biological trend (standardization) was performed by the autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) method. Calculations showed that precipitation, i.e. drought in the summer months, is crucial for radial increment of the sample. The obtained results of our research have been confirmed in examples in the region and further.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo, i dr.",
journal = "Archives of Biological Sciences",
title = "Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)",
volume = "67",
number = "1",
pages = "201-211",
doi = "10.2298/ABS141114025D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_724"
}
Ducić, V., Ivanović, R., Mihajlović, J., Gnjato, R., Trbić, G.,& Ćurčić, N.. (2015). Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia). in Archives of Biological Sciences
Beograd : Srpsko biološko društvo, i dr.., 67(1), 201-211.
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS141114025D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_724
Ducić V, Ivanović R, Mihajlović J, Gnjato R, Trbić G, Ćurčić N. Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia). in Archives of Biological Sciences. 2015;67(1):201-211.
doi:10.2298/ABS141114025D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_724 .
Ducić, Vladan, Ivanović, Rade, Mihajlović, Jovan, Gnjato, Rajko, Trbić, Goran, Ćurčić, Nina, "Dendroindication of drought in Rogatica region (eastern Bosnia)" in Archives of Biological Sciences, 67, no. 1 (2015):201-211,
https://doi.org/10.2298/ABS141114025D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_724 .
3
2
4

Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend

Mihajlović, Jovan; Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/686
AB  - Citing numerical simulations, climate alarmists believe that global warming will lead to more frequent and more intensive tornadoes. Considering temperature increase data in the contiguous USA, this study has investigated the trend of strong tornadoes in F3+ category in the 1954-2012 period. Statistically significant decrease of tornadoes per year at an average rate of 0.44 has been recorded, that is, 4.4 tornadoes per decade. Tornado increase has been recorded with F0 and F1 categories and the cause of this increase lies in meteorological and non-meteorological factors. By using upper and lower standard deviation values, the stages of tornado activity have been singled out. The 1957-1974 period may be considered as an active stage and the 1978-2009 period as an inactive stage. Upward trend of air temperature increase does not correspond with the downward trend of the number of F3+ tornado category, while the correlation coefficient between these two variables is R = -0.14. This fact does not correspond with the simulation results and output data of various numerical models anticipating an increase in the number and intensity of tornado events in the conditions of surface air temperature growth.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend
VL  - 65
IS  - 3
SP  - 269
EP  - 280
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1503269M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_686
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2015",
abstract = "Citing numerical simulations, climate alarmists believe that global warming will lead to more frequent and more intensive tornadoes. Considering temperature increase data in the contiguous USA, this study has investigated the trend of strong tornadoes in F3+ category in the 1954-2012 period. Statistically significant decrease of tornadoes per year at an average rate of 0.44 has been recorded, that is, 4.4 tornadoes per decade. Tornado increase has been recorded with F0 and F1 categories and the cause of this increase lies in meteorological and non-meteorological factors. By using upper and lower standard deviation values, the stages of tornado activity have been singled out. The 1957-1974 period may be considered as an active stage and the 1978-2009 period as an inactive stage. Upward trend of air temperature increase does not correspond with the downward trend of the number of F3+ tornado category, while the correlation coefficient between these two variables is R = -0.14. This fact does not correspond with the simulation results and output data of various numerical models anticipating an increase in the number and intensity of tornado events in the conditions of surface air temperature growth.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend",
volume = "65",
number = "3",
pages = "269-280",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1503269M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_686"
}
Mihajlović, J., Ducić, V.,& Burić, D.. (2015). Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 65(3), 269-280.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1503269M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_686
Mihajlović J, Ducić V, Burić D. Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2015;65(3):269-280.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1503269M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_686 .
Mihajlović, Jovan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, "Tornado frequency in the USA - meteorological and non-meteorological factors of a downward trend" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 65, no. 3 (2015):269-280,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1503269M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_686 .
1
1

Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia

Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Popović, Ljubomir

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Popović, Ljubomir
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/685
AB  - In the conditions of dominant influence of anthropogenic greenhouse effect and according to simulation models, a more intensive temperature increase in upper-air layers of troposphere than in lower-air layers should be expected. In order to check this, the difference between temperature trends in the middle and lower troposphere over the Australian continent has been analyzed. Satellite data UAHMSU for lower troposphere (TLT) and middle troposphere (TMT), for the 1979-2014 period have been used in the study. Estimates have been done on seasonal and annual value, and the results obtained indicate that there is a trend of temperature increase, but not altitude amplification over Australia. Reducing the time series for a year from the beginning (1980-2014, 1981-2014.), a comparative analysis between corresponding time series for each season, i.e., each year, showed that from 140 mutual comparisons, altitude amplification does not exist in 130, i.e., in 93% of cases. Moreover, in sub-periods of 1996 (1997-2014, 19982014.), we can not even talk about warming in most cases because the trend of temperature is negative.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia
VL  - 65
IS  - 3
SP  - 297
EP  - 307
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1503297B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_685
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Popović, Ljubomir",
year = "2015",
abstract = "In the conditions of dominant influence of anthropogenic greenhouse effect and according to simulation models, a more intensive temperature increase in upper-air layers of troposphere than in lower-air layers should be expected. In order to check this, the difference between temperature trends in the middle and lower troposphere over the Australian continent has been analyzed. Satellite data UAHMSU for lower troposphere (TLT) and middle troposphere (TMT), for the 1979-2014 period have been used in the study. Estimates have been done on seasonal and annual value, and the results obtained indicate that there is a trend of temperature increase, but not altitude amplification over Australia. Reducing the time series for a year from the beginning (1980-2014, 1981-2014.), a comparative analysis between corresponding time series for each season, i.e., each year, showed that from 140 mutual comparisons, altitude amplification does not exist in 130, i.e., in 93% of cases. Moreover, in sub-periods of 1996 (1997-2014, 19982014.), we can not even talk about warming in most cases because the trend of temperature is negative.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia",
volume = "65",
number = "3",
pages = "297-307",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1503297B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_685"
}
Burić, D., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J.,& Popović, L.. (2015). Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 65(3), 297-307.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1503297B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_685
Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Popović L. Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2015;65(3):297-307.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1503297B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_685 .
Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Popović, Ljubomir, "Temperature altitude amplification as a footprint of a possible anthropogenic impact on the climate of Australia" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 65, no. 3 (2015):297-307,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1503297B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_685 .

Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012)

Ducić, Vladan; Milovanović, Boško; Stanojević, Gorica; Milenković, Milan; Ćurčić, Nina

(Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, 2015)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ćurčić, Nina
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/677
AB  - There was a stagnation in temperature rise in the period 1998-2012, despite increase in greenhouse gases radiation forcing (hiatus period). According to Global Circulation Models simulations, expected response on the rise of greenhouse gases forcing is tropical temperature altitude amplification temperature increases faster in higher troposphere than in lower troposphere. In this paper, two satellite data sets University of Alabama in Huntsville, Microvawe Sounding Units (UAH MSU) and Remote Sensing Systems (RSS), were used to test altitude temperature amplification in tropics in the hiatus period. We compared satellite data sets both for the temperature of the lower troposphere and the temperature of the middle troposphere, in general and particularly for land and ocean (for UAHMSU). The results from both satellite measurements showed the presence of hiatus, i.e. slow-own of the temperature rise in the period 1998-2012 compared to period 1979-2012 (UAHMSU) and temperature fall for RSS. Smaller increase, i.e. temperature fall over ocean showed that hiatus is an ocean phenomenon above all. Data from UAH MSU showed that temperature altitude amplification in tropics was not present either for period 1979-2012, or 1998-2012. RSS data set also does not show temperature altitude amplification for these periods. RSS data for successive 15-year periods from 1979-1993 till 1998-2012 does not show tropical temperature altitude amplification and in one case negative trend is registered in lower troposphere and in two cases in middle troposphere. In general, our results do not show presence of temperature altitude amplification in tropics in the hiatus period.
PB  - Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012)
VL  - 19
SP  - S371
EP  - S379
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI150410103D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milovanović, Boško and Stanojević, Gorica and Milenković, Milan and Ćurčić, Nina",
year = "2015",
abstract = "There was a stagnation in temperature rise in the period 1998-2012, despite increase in greenhouse gases radiation forcing (hiatus period). According to Global Circulation Models simulations, expected response on the rise of greenhouse gases forcing is tropical temperature altitude amplification temperature increases faster in higher troposphere than in lower troposphere. In this paper, two satellite data sets University of Alabama in Huntsville, Microvawe Sounding Units (UAH MSU) and Remote Sensing Systems (RSS), were used to test altitude temperature amplification in tropics in the hiatus period. We compared satellite data sets both for the temperature of the lower troposphere and the temperature of the middle troposphere, in general and particularly for land and ocean (for UAHMSU). The results from both satellite measurements showed the presence of hiatus, i.e. slow-own of the temperature rise in the period 1998-2012 compared to period 1979-2012 (UAHMSU) and temperature fall for RSS. Smaller increase, i.e. temperature fall over ocean showed that hiatus is an ocean phenomenon above all. Data from UAH MSU showed that temperature altitude amplification in tropics was not present either for period 1979-2012, or 1998-2012. RSS data set also does not show temperature altitude amplification for these periods. RSS data for successive 15-year periods from 1979-1993 till 1998-2012 does not show tropical temperature altitude amplification and in one case negative trend is registered in lower troposphere and in two cases in middle troposphere. In general, our results do not show presence of temperature altitude amplification in tropics in the hiatus period.",
publisher = "Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012)",
volume = "19",
pages = "S371-S379",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI150410103D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677"
}
Ducić, V., Milovanović, B., Stanojević, G., Milenković, M.,& Ćurčić, N.. (2015). Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012). in Thermal Science
Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča., 19, S371-S379.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150410103D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677
Ducić V, Milovanović B, Stanojević G, Milenković M, Ćurčić N. Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012). in Thermal Science. 2015;19:S371-S379.
doi:10.2298/TSCI150410103D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677 .
Ducić, Vladan, Milovanović, Boško, Stanojević, Gorica, Milenković, Milan, Ćurčić, Nina, "Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012)" in Thermal Science, 19 (2015):S371-S379,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150410103D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677 .
5

Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation

Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan; Luković, Jelena; Dragojlović, Jovan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Dragojlović, Jovan
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/610
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation
VL  - 94
IS  - 4
SP  - 109
EP  - 120
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1404109B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Luković, Jelena and Dragojlović, Jovan",
year = "2014",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation",
volume = "94",
number = "4",
pages = "109-120",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1404109B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610"
}
Burić, D., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Luković, J.,& Dragojlović, J.. (2014). Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 94(4), 109-120.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1404109B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610
Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Luković J, Dragojlović J. Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2014;94(4):109-120.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1404109B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610 .
Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Luković, Jelena, Dragojlović, Jovan, "Relationship between the precipitation variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean oscillation" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 94, no. 4 (2014):109-120,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1404109B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_610 .
4

Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation

Mihajlović, Jovan; Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan

(Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić", 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/649
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation
VL  - 64
IS  - 3
SP  - 279
EP  - 292
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1403279M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_649
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2014",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation",
volume = "64",
number = "3",
pages = "279-292",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1403279M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_649"
}
Mihajlović, J., Ducić, V.,& Burić, D.. (2014). Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 64(3), 279-292.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1403279M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_649
Mihajlović J, Ducić V, Burić D. Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2014;64(3):279-292.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1403279M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_649 .
Mihajlović, Jovan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, "Tornado occurrence nearby Valjevo on 27 may 2014: Analysis of weather situation" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 64, no. 3 (2014):279-292,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1403279M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_649 .

Climate changes instead of global warming

Radovanović, Milan; Ducić, Vladan; Mukherjee, Saumitra

(Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mukherjee, Saumitra
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/640
AB  - Air temperature changes on Earth in recent years are the subject of numerous and increasingly interdisciplinary research. In contrast to, conditionally speaking, generally accepted views that these changes are conditioned primarily by anthropogenic activity, more results appear to suggest that it is dominant natural processes about. Whether because of the proven existence of areas in which downtrends are registered or the stagnation of air temperature, as opposed to areas where the increase is determined, in scientific papers, as well as the media, the increasingly present is the use of the term climate changes instead of the global warming. In this paper, we shall try to present arguments for the debate relating to the official view of the Intergovernmental panel on climate change, as well as research indicating the opposite view.
PB  - Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Climate changes instead of global warming
VL  - 18
IS  - 3
SP  - 1055
EP  - 1061
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI140610076R
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_640
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Radovanović, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Mukherjee, Saumitra",
year = "2014",
abstract = "Air temperature changes on Earth in recent years are the subject of numerous and increasingly interdisciplinary research. In contrast to, conditionally speaking, generally accepted views that these changes are conditioned primarily by anthropogenic activity, more results appear to suggest that it is dominant natural processes about. Whether because of the proven existence of areas in which downtrends are registered or the stagnation of air temperature, as opposed to areas where the increase is determined, in scientific papers, as well as the media, the increasingly present is the use of the term climate changes instead of the global warming. In this paper, we shall try to present arguments for the debate relating to the official view of the Intergovernmental panel on climate change, as well as research indicating the opposite view.",
publisher = "Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Climate changes instead of global warming",
volume = "18",
number = "3",
pages = "1055-1061",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI140610076R",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_640"
}
Radovanović, M., Ducić, V.,& Mukherjee, S.. (2014). Climate changes instead of global warming. in Thermal Science
Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča., 18(3), 1055-1061.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI140610076R
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_640
Radovanović M, Ducić V, Mukherjee S. Climate changes instead of global warming. in Thermal Science. 2014;18(3):1055-1061.
doi:10.2298/TSCI140610076R
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_640 .
Radovanović, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Mukherjee, Saumitra, "Climate changes instead of global warming" in Thermal Science, 18, no. 3 (2014):1055-1061,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI140610076R .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_640 .
2
4
4

The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two

Burić, Dragan; Ducić, Vladan; Mihajlović, Jovan

(Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/625
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two
VL  - 94
IS  - 1
SP  - 73
EP  - 90
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1401073B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_625
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan",
year = "2014",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two",
volume = "94",
number = "1",
pages = "73-90",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1401073B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_625"
}
Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Mihajlović, J.. (2014). The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 94(1), 73-90.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1401073B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_625
Burić D, Ducić V, Mihajlović J. The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2014;94(1):73-90.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1401073B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_625 .
Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, "The climate of Montenegro: Modificators and types - part two" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 94, no. 1 (2014):73-90,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1401073B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_625 .
38

Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI)

Ducić, Vladan; Burić, Dragan; Trbić, Goran; Cupać, Raduška

(Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske, 2014)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Trbić, Goran
AU  - Cupać, Raduška
PY  - 2014
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/612
AB  - Most frequent indicator of the meteorological draught is the standardized precipitation index (SPI). This paper analyses SPI at 8 weather stations in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The calculations were perfomred per a calendar year and weather seasons between 1961 and 2010. The results indicate a trend of annual SPI12 to be relevant for only one weather station, but it was still positive refering to increased humidity. During the observed period, there was an increase in number of stations indicating extremely humid and extremely dry years but the changes were statistically irrelevant. The SPI3 trend for February (winter) was statistically immaterial at all stations but most observed locations showed increased draught. Not even SPI3 spring trend was statistically important nor did it have specific geografical regularities showing tendencies. In summer, there was an increased draugth at most locations and the negative value of SPI3 trend for August (summer) was statistically relevant at two weather stations (Bihać and Bileća). Over the last decade (2001-2010), at most locations there was a largest number of both dry and humid summers, which certainly shows more frequent extreme summer priods with reference to precipitation. At 7 of 8 stations, autumn was getting more humid but it was only in Bijeljina that SPI3 trend for November (autumn) was statistically significant. Most dry years were within 1981-1990 decade as NAO and AO indexes were the highest. On the other hand, 2001-2010 decade had most humid years and NAO index reached lowest values. In addition, the interannual precipitation variations were also largely affected by changes in atmospheric circulation. At season level, the best corelation with NAO and AO circulation parameters was in winter.
AB  - Najčešće korišćen pokazatelj meteorološke suše je Standardizovani indeks padavina (SPI). U ovom radu analiziran je SPI za 8 meteoroloških stanica u Bosni i Hercegovini. Proračuni su urađeni za kalendarsku godinu i meteorološke sezone, za period 1961-2010. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da je trend godišnjeg SPI12 značajan samo na jednoj stanici, ali je pozitivnog znaka, što znači da je došlo do povećanja vlažnosti. U posmatranom periodu prisutna je stopa rasta broja stanica na kojima su zabeležene ekstremno vlažne i ekstremno sušne godine, ali su i te promene statistički beznačajne. Trend SPI3 za februar (zimu) na svim stanicama je statistički beznačajan, ali je u većini posmatranih mesta došlo do povećanja sušnosti. Ni trend SPI3 za proleće ne pokazuje statističku značajnost ni na jednoj stanici, a nema ni određene geografske pravilnosti u znaku tendencije. Leti je došlo do povećanja sušnosti u većini mesta, a pri tome je negativna vrednost trenda SPI3 za avgust (leto) statistički značajna na 2 stanice (Bihać i Bileća). U poslednjoj dekadi (2001-2010) u većini mesta registrovaâ je najveći broj i sušnih i vlažnih leta, što nesumnjivo pokazuje povećanje učestalosti ekstremnih leta u pogledu padavina. Na 7 od 8 stanica jesen je sve vlažnija, ali je samo u Bijeljini pozitivan trend SPI3 za novembar (jesen) statistički signifikantan. Najveći broj sušnih godina registrovan je u dekadi 1981-1990., kada su NAO i AO indeks imali najviše vrednosti. S druge strane, dekada 2001-2010. izdvaja se sa najvećim brojem vlažnih godina, a u tom periodu je NAO indeks dostigav najniže vrednosti. I međugodišnje varijacije padavina su u velikoj meri pod uticajem promene atmosferske cirkulacije. Na sezonskom nivou, najbolja korelacija sa parametrima cirkulacije NAO i AO dobijena je za zimu
PB  - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske
T2  - Glasnik - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske
T1  - Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI)
T1  - Analiza padavina i suša na teritoriji BiH na osnovu standardizovanog indeksa padavina (SPI)
IS  - 18
SP  - 53
EP  - 70
DO  - 10.7251/HER1814053D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_612
ER  - 
@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan and Trbić, Goran and Cupać, Raduška",
year = "2014",
abstract = "Most frequent indicator of the meteorological draught is the standardized precipitation index (SPI). This paper analyses SPI at 8 weather stations in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The calculations were perfomred per a calendar year and weather seasons between 1961 and 2010. The results indicate a trend of annual SPI12 to be relevant for only one weather station, but it was still positive refering to increased humidity. During the observed period, there was an increase in number of stations indicating extremely humid and extremely dry years but the changes were statistically irrelevant. The SPI3 trend for February (winter) was statistically immaterial at all stations but most observed locations showed increased draught. Not even SPI3 spring trend was statistically important nor did it have specific geografical regularities showing tendencies. In summer, there was an increased draugth at most locations and the negative value of SPI3 trend for August (summer) was statistically relevant at two weather stations (Bihać and Bileća). Over the last decade (2001-2010), at most locations there was a largest number of both dry and humid summers, which certainly shows more frequent extreme summer priods with reference to precipitation. At 7 of 8 stations, autumn was getting more humid but it was only in Bijeljina that SPI3 trend for November (autumn) was statistically significant. Most dry years were within 1981-1990 decade as NAO and AO indexes were the highest. On the other hand, 2001-2010 decade had most humid years and NAO index reached lowest values. In addition, the interannual precipitation variations were also largely affected by changes in atmospheric circulation. At season level, the best corelation with NAO and AO circulation parameters was in winter., Najčešće korišćen pokazatelj meteorološke suše je Standardizovani indeks padavina (SPI). U ovom radu analiziran je SPI za 8 meteoroloških stanica u Bosni i Hercegovini. Proračuni su urađeni za kalendarsku godinu i meteorološke sezone, za period 1961-2010. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da je trend godišnjeg SPI12 značajan samo na jednoj stanici, ali je pozitivnog znaka, što znači da je došlo do povećanja vlažnosti. U posmatranom periodu prisutna je stopa rasta broja stanica na kojima su zabeležene ekstremno vlažne i ekstremno sušne godine, ali su i te promene statistički beznačajne. Trend SPI3 za februar (zimu) na svim stanicama je statistički beznačajan, ali je u većini posmatranih mesta došlo do povećanja sušnosti. Ni trend SPI3 za proleće ne pokazuje statističku značajnost ni na jednoj stanici, a nema ni određene geografske pravilnosti u znaku tendencije. Leti je došlo do povećanja sušnosti u većini mesta, a pri tome je negativna vrednost trenda SPI3 za avgust (leto) statistički značajna na 2 stanice (Bihać i Bileća). U poslednjoj dekadi (2001-2010) u većini mesta registrovaâ je najveći broj i sušnih i vlažnih leta, što nesumnjivo pokazuje povećanje učestalosti ekstremnih leta u pogledu padavina. Na 7 od 8 stanica jesen je sve vlažnija, ali je samo u Bijeljini pozitivan trend SPI3 za novembar (jesen) statistički signifikantan. Najveći broj sušnih godina registrovan je u dekadi 1981-1990., kada su NAO i AO indeks imali najviše vrednosti. S druge strane, dekada 2001-2010. izdvaja se sa najvećim brojem vlažnih godina, a u tom periodu je NAO indeks dostigav najniže vrednosti. I međugodišnje varijacije padavina su u velikoj meri pod uticajem promene atmosferske cirkulacije. Na sezonskom nivou, najbolja korelacija sa parametrima cirkulacije NAO i AO dobijena je za zimu",
publisher = "Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske",
journal = "Glasnik - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske",
title = "Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI), Analiza padavina i suša na teritoriji BiH na osnovu standardizovanog indeksa padavina (SPI)",
number = "18",
pages = "53-70",
doi = "10.7251/HER1814053D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_612"
}
Ducić, V., Burić, D., Trbić, G.,& Cupać, R.. (2014). Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI). in Glasnik - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske
Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske.(18), 53-70.
https://doi.org/10.7251/HER1814053D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_612
Ducić V, Burić D, Trbić G, Cupać R. Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI). in Glasnik - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske. 2014;(18):53-70.
doi:10.7251/HER1814053D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_612 .
Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, Trbić, Goran, Cupać, Raduška, "Analysis of precipitation and draughts on bih territory based upon standardized precipitation index (SPI)" in Glasnik - Geografsko društvo Republike Srpske, no. 18 (2014):53-70,
https://doi.org/10.7251/HER1814053D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_612 .
1