TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Obradović, Dragan
AU  - Dedić, Aleksandar
AU  - Burić, Dragan
PY  - 2023
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1631
AB  - Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska peščara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). In settlements in Deliblatska peščara area, there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils
VL  - 73
IS  - 2
SP  - 155
EP  - 168
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI2302155M
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Obradović, Dragan and Dedić, Aleksandar and Burić, Dragan",
year = "2023",
abstract = "Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska peščara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). In settlements in Deliblatska peščara area, there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils",
volume = "73",
number = "2",
pages = "155-168",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI2302155M"
}

Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Obradović, D., Dedić, A.,& Burić, D.. (2023). Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 73(2), 155-168.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2302155M

Milenković M, Ducić V, Obradović D, Dedić A, Burić D. Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2023;73(2):155-168.
doi:10.2298/IJGI2302155M .

Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Obradović, Dragan, Dedić, Aleksandar, Burić, Dragan, "Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 73, no. 2 (2023):155-168,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2302155M . .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Malinović-Milićević, Slavica
AU  - Radovanović, Milan M.
AU  - Radenković, Sonja D.
AU  - Vyklyuk, Yaroslav
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
AU  - Milanović Pešić, Ana
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Popović, Vladimir
AU  - Petrović, Marko
AU  - Sydor, Petro
AU  - Gajić, Mirjana
PY  - 2023
UR  - https://dais.sanu.ac.rs/123456789/14049
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1720
AB  - This research is devoted to the determination of hidden dependencies between the flow of particles that come from the Sun and precipitation-induced floods in the United Kingdom (UK). The analysis covers 20 flood events during the period from October 2001 to December 2019. The parameters of solar activity were used as model input data, while precipitations data in the period 10 days before and during each flood event were used as model output. The time lag of 0–9 days was taken into account in the research. Correlation analysis was conducted to determine the degree of randomness for the time series of input and output parameters. For establishing a potential causative link, machine learning classification predictive modeling was applied. Two approaches, the decision tree, and the random forest were used. We analyzed the accuracy of classification models forecast from 0 to 9 days in advance. It was found that the most important factors for flood forecasting are proton density with a time lag of 9, differential proton flux in the range of 310–580 keV, and ion temperature. Research in this paper has shown that the decision tree model is more accurate and adequate in predicting the appearance of precipitation-induced floods up to 9 days ahead with an accuracy of 91%. The results of this study confirmed that by increasing technical capabilities, using improved machine learning techniques and large data sets, it is possible to improve the understanding of the physical link between the solar wind and tropospheric weather and help improve severe weather forecasting.
PB  - Basel : MDPI
T2  - Mathematics
T1  - Application of Solar Activity Time Series in Machine Learning Predictive Modeling of Precipitation-Induced Floods
VL  - 11
IS  - 4
SP  - 795
DO  - 10.3390/MATH11040795
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Malinović-Milićević, Slavica and Radovanović, Milan M. and Radenković, Sonja D. and Vyklyuk, Yaroslav and Milovanović, Boško and Milanović Pešić, Ana and Milenković, Milan and Popović, Vladimir and Petrović, Marko and Sydor, Petro and Gajić, Mirjana",
year = "2023",
abstract = "This research is devoted to the determination of hidden dependencies between the flow of particles that come from the Sun and precipitation-induced floods in the United Kingdom (UK). The analysis covers 20 flood events during the period from October 2001 to December 2019. The parameters of solar activity were used as model input data, while precipitations data in the period 10 days before and during each flood event were used as model output. The time lag of 0–9 days was taken into account in the research. Correlation analysis was conducted to determine the degree of randomness for the time series of input and output parameters. For establishing a potential causative link, machine learning classification predictive modeling was applied. Two approaches, the decision tree, and the random forest were used. We analyzed the accuracy of classification models forecast from 0 to 9 days in advance. It was found that the most important factors for flood forecasting are proton density with a time lag of 9, differential proton flux in the range of 310–580 keV, and ion temperature. Research in this paper has shown that the decision tree model is more accurate and adequate in predicting the appearance of precipitation-induced floods up to 9 days ahead with an accuracy of 91%. The results of this study confirmed that by increasing technical capabilities, using improved machine learning techniques and large data sets, it is possible to improve the understanding of the physical link between the solar wind and tropospheric weather and help improve severe weather forecasting.",
publisher = "Basel : MDPI",
journal = "Mathematics",
title = "Application of Solar Activity Time Series in Machine Learning Predictive Modeling of Precipitation-Induced Floods",
volume = "11",
number = "4",
pages = "795",
doi = "10.3390/MATH11040795"
}

Malinović-Milićević, S., Radovanović, M. M., Radenković, S. D., Vyklyuk, Y., Milovanović, B., Milanović Pešić, A., Milenković, M., Popović, V., Petrović, M., Sydor, P.,& Gajić, M.. (2023). Application of Solar Activity Time Series in Machine Learning Predictive Modeling of Precipitation-Induced Floods. in Mathematics
Basel : MDPI., 11(4), 795.
https://doi.org/10.3390/MATH11040795

Malinović-Milićević S, Radovanović MM, Radenković SD, Vyklyuk Y, Milovanović B, Milanović Pešić A, Milenković M, Popović V, Petrović M, Sydor P, Gajić M. Application of Solar Activity Time Series in Machine Learning Predictive Modeling of Precipitation-Induced Floods. in Mathematics. 2023;11(4):795.
doi:10.3390/MATH11040795 .

Malinović-Milićević, Slavica, Radovanović, Milan M., Radenković, Sonja D., Vyklyuk, Yaroslav, Milovanović, Boško, Milanović Pešić, Ana, Milenković, Milan, Popović, Vladimir, Petrović, Marko, Sydor, Petro, Gajić, Mirjana, "Application of Solar Activity Time Series in Machine Learning Predictive Modeling of Precipitation-Induced Floods" in Mathematics, 11, no. 4 (2023):795,
https://doi.org/10.3390/MATH11040795 . .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Anđelković, Goran
PY  - 2023
UR  - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1439
AB  - The aim of the study is to present some specific climatic conditions on the territory of the Republic of Serbia based on the analysis of four climate indices, which can help in understanding contemporary climate changes. Temperature and precipitation data from 31 meteorological stations for the period 1951–2010 were used. The relative homogeneity of the data series was done using the MASH v3.02 method. The indices used are: Johansson Continentality Index, Kerner Oceanity Index, De Martonne Aridity Index, and Pinna Combinative Index. Geospatial analysis of the distribution of the values of the four mentioned indices was done using the QGIS package 2.8.1. The results of the research show that the continentality effect is present in most of Serbia, while oceanity is observed locally, mainly in the western and southwestern parts of the country. The further analysis showed that there is no dry and semi–dry Mediterranean climate in Serbia. Considering that it is dry in the warmest part of the year (July–September), when the need for water is increased, which is clearly shown by the Walter climate diagram, as well as the fact that an increase in temperature and a decrease in precipitation during the vegetation period were observed in the second 30–year period (1981–2010), it can be concluded that in Serbia there is a tendency towards arid climate. The results presented in this paper can help decision makers to plan certain climate change adaptation measures.
PB  - Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service
T2  - Időjárás
T1  - Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices
VL  - 127
IS  - 3
SP  - 379
EP  - 399
DO  - 10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan and Anđelković, Goran",
year = "2023",
abstract = "The aim of the study is to present some specific climatic conditions on the territory of the Republic of Serbia based on the analysis of four climate indices, which can help in understanding contemporary climate changes. Temperature and precipitation data from 31 meteorological stations for the period 1951–2010 were used. The relative homogeneity of the data series was done using the MASH v3.02 method. The indices used are: Johansson Continentality Index, Kerner Oceanity Index, De Martonne Aridity Index, and Pinna Combinative Index. Geospatial analysis of the distribution of the values of the four mentioned indices was done using the QGIS package 2.8.1. The results of the research show that the continentality effect is present in most of Serbia, while oceanity is observed locally, mainly in the western and southwestern parts of the country. The further analysis showed that there is no dry and semi–dry Mediterranean climate in Serbia. Considering that it is dry in the warmest part of the year (July–September), when the need for water is increased, which is clearly shown by the Walter climate diagram, as well as the fact that an increase in temperature and a decrease in precipitation during the vegetation period were observed in the second 30–year period (1981–2010), it can be concluded that in Serbia there is a tendency towards arid climate. The results presented in this paper can help decision makers to plan certain climate change adaptation measures.",
publisher = "Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service",
journal = "Időjárás",
title = "Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices",
volume = "127",
number = "3",
pages = "379-399",
doi = "10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6"
}

Burić, D., Mihajlović, J., Ducić, V., Milenković, M.,& Anđelković, G.. (2023). Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices. in Időjárás
Budapest : Hungarian Meteorological Service., 127(3), 379-399.
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6

Burić D, Mihajlović J, Ducić V, Milenković M, Anđelković G. Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices. in Időjárás. 2023;127(3):379-399.
doi:10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6 .

Burić, Dragan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, Anđelković, Goran, "Contribution to the study of climate change in Serbia using continentality, oceanity, and aridity indices" in Időjárás, 127, no. 3 (2023):379-399,
https://doi.org/10.28974/idojaras.2023.3.6 . .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
PY  - 2021
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1089
AB  - Recently Montenegro has often been faced with extreme weather events. The aim of this paper is to provide a detailed synoptic analysis of a severe weather event, a waterspout, and to confirm an indication that in most cases such events could potentially be forecasted, which is of great practical significance, since human lives and property can be saved. The paper presents the research results of synoptic and mesoscale weather conditions which created a favourable meteorological environment for a waterspout development in Tivat (Montenegrin coast) on June 9, 2018, around 01 UTC (03 CET). Based on field survey analysis, the rating of tornado intensity by the Fujita scale (F-scale) has been done by assessing the damage. The synoptic type for this situation was CLOSED-SW and was determined by a detailed examination of atmospheric circulation. The results presented in the manuscript can help decision makers in Montenegro to take certain adaptation measures (above all, in tourism and construction) in order to mitigate the negative consequences of weather extremes.
PB  - Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw
T2  - Geographia Polonica
T1  - Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018
VL  - 94
IS  - 1
SP  - 69
EP  - 90
DO  - 10.7163/GPol.0194
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan",
year = "2021",
abstract = "Recently Montenegro has often been faced with extreme weather events. The aim of this paper is to provide a detailed synoptic analysis of a severe weather event, a waterspout, and to confirm an indication that in most cases such events could potentially be forecasted, which is of great practical significance, since human lives and property can be saved. The paper presents the research results of synoptic and mesoscale weather conditions which created a favourable meteorological environment for a waterspout development in Tivat (Montenegrin coast) on June 9, 2018, around 01 UTC (03 CET). Based on field survey analysis, the rating of tornado intensity by the Fujita scale (F-scale) has been done by assessing the damage. The synoptic type for this situation was CLOSED-SW and was determined by a detailed examination of atmospheric circulation. The results presented in the manuscript can help decision makers in Montenegro to take certain adaptation measures (above all, in tourism and construction) in order to mitigate the negative consequences of weather extremes.",
publisher = "Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw",
journal = "Geographia Polonica",
title = "Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018",
volume = "94",
number = "1",
pages = "69-90",
doi = "10.7163/GPol.0194",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089"
}

Mihajlović, J., Burić, D., Ducić, V.,& Milenković, M.. (2021). Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018. in Geographia Polonica
Polish Acad Sciences, Inst Geography & Spatial Organization, Warsaw., 94(1), 69-90.
https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.0194
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089

Mihajlović J, Burić D, Ducić V, Milenković M. Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018. in Geographia Polonica. 2021;94(1):69-90.
doi:10.7163/GPol.0194
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089 .

Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, "Synoptic characteristics of an extreme weather event: the tornadic waterspout in Tivat (Montenegro), on June 9, 2018" in Geographia Polonica, 94, no. 1 (2021):69-90,
https://doi.org/10.7163/GPol.0194 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1089 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Vyklyuk, Yaroslav
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Petrović, Marko D.
AU  - Ćurčić, Nina
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Malinović-Miličević, Slavica
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
AU  - Yamashkin, Anatoly A.
AU  - Milanović-Pešić, Ana
AU  - Lukić, Dobrila
AU  - Gajić, Mirjana
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1072
AB  - The impact of solar activity on environmental processes is difficult to understand and complex for empirical modeling. This study aimed to establish forecast models of the meteorological conditions in the forest fire areas based on the solar activity parameters applying the neural networks approach. During July and August 2018, severe forest fires simultaneously occurred in the State of California (USA), Portugal, and Greece. Air temperature and humidity data together with solar parameters (integral flux of solar protons, differential electron flux and proton flux, solar wind plasma parameters, and solar radio flux at 10.7 cm data) were used in long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network ensembles. It is found that solar activity mostly affects the humidity for two stations in California and Portugal (an increase in the integral flux of solar protons of > 30 MeV by 10% increases the humidity by 3.25%, 1.65%, and 1.57%, respectively). Furthermore, an increase in air temperature of 10% increases the humidity by 2.55%, 2.01%, and 0.26%, respectively. It is shown that temperature is less sensitive to changes in solar parameters but depends on previous conditions (previous increase of 10% increases the current temperature by 0.75%, 0.34%, and 0.33%, respectively). Humidity in Greece is mostly impacted by solar flux F10.7 cm and previous values of humidity. An increase in these factors by 10% will lead to a decrease in the humidity of 3.89% or an increase of 1.31%, while air temperature mostly depends on ion temperature. If this factor increases by 10%, it will lead to air temperature rising by 0.42%.
PB  - Basel : MDPI
T2  - Sustainability
T1  - Connection of Solar Activities and Forest Fires in 2018: Events in the USA (California), Portugal and Greece
VL  - 12
IS  - 24
DO  - 10.3390/su122410261
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1072
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Vyklyuk, Yaroslav and Radovanović, Milan and Stanojević, Gorica and Petrović, Marko D. and Ćurčić, Nina and Milenković, Milan and Malinović-Miličević, Slavica and Milovanović, Boško and Yamashkin, Anatoly A. and Milanović-Pešić, Ana and Lukić, Dobrila and Gajić, Mirjana",
year = "2020",
abstract = "The impact of solar activity on environmental processes is difficult to understand and complex for empirical modeling. This study aimed to establish forecast models of the meteorological conditions in the forest fire areas based on the solar activity parameters applying the neural networks approach. During July and August 2018, severe forest fires simultaneously occurred in the State of California (USA), Portugal, and Greece. Air temperature and humidity data together with solar parameters (integral flux of solar protons, differential electron flux and proton flux, solar wind plasma parameters, and solar radio flux at 10.7 cm data) were used in long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network ensembles. It is found that solar activity mostly affects the humidity for two stations in California and Portugal (an increase in the integral flux of solar protons of > 30 MeV by 10% increases the humidity by 3.25%, 1.65%, and 1.57%, respectively). Furthermore, an increase in air temperature of 10% increases the humidity by 2.55%, 2.01%, and 0.26%, respectively. It is shown that temperature is less sensitive to changes in solar parameters but depends on previous conditions (previous increase of 10% increases the current temperature by 0.75%, 0.34%, and 0.33%, respectively). Humidity in Greece is mostly impacted by solar flux F10.7 cm and previous values of humidity. An increase in these factors by 10% will lead to a decrease in the humidity of 3.89% or an increase of 1.31%, while air temperature mostly depends on ion temperature. If this factor increases by 10%, it will lead to air temperature rising by 0.42%.",
publisher = "Basel : MDPI",
journal = "Sustainability",
title = "Connection of Solar Activities and Forest Fires in 2018: Events in the USA (California), Portugal and Greece",
volume = "12",
number = "24",
doi = "10.3390/su122410261",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1072"
}

Vyklyuk, Y., Radovanović, M., Stanojević, G., Petrović, M. D., Ćurčić, N., Milenković, M., Malinović-Miličević, S., Milovanović, B., Yamashkin, A. A., Milanović-Pešić, A., Lukić, D.,& Gajić, M.. (2020). Connection of Solar Activities and Forest Fires in 2018: Events in the USA (California), Portugal and Greece. in Sustainability
Basel : MDPI., 12(24).
https://doi.org/10.3390/su122410261
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1072

Vyklyuk Y, Radovanović M, Stanojević G, Petrović MD, Ćurčić N, Milenković M, Malinović-Miličević S, Milovanović B, Yamashkin AA, Milanović-Pešić A, Lukić D, Gajić M. Connection of Solar Activities and Forest Fires in 2018: Events in the USA (California), Portugal and Greece. in Sustainability. 2020;12(24).
doi:10.3390/su122410261
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1072 .

Vyklyuk, Yaroslav, Radovanović, Milan, Stanojević, Gorica, Petrović, Marko D., Ćurčić, Nina, Milenković, Milan, Malinović-Miličević, Slavica, Milovanović, Boško, Yamashkin, Anatoly A., Milanović-Pešić, Ana, Lukić, Dobrila, Gajić, Mirjana, "Connection of Solar Activities and Forest Fires in 2018: Events in the USA (California), Portugal and Greece" in Sustainability, 12, no. 24 (2020),
https://doi.org/10.3390/su122410261 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1072 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Mihajlović, Jovan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/984
AB  - In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations
VL  - 69
IS  - 1
SP  - 75
EP  - 82
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1901075M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Mihajlović, Jovan and Burić, Dragan and Babić, Violeta",
year = "2019",
abstract = "In Finland, in the period 1996-2017, 28,434 forest fires were recorded (an average of 1,292.5 per year), and the total burned area was 11,922 ha (an average of 541.9 ha per year). In both cases, a statistically nonsignificant downward trend was recorded. Forest fires in Finland do not represent a particularly significant problem, primarily due to climatic characteristics, well-organized fire protection, and low density of population. The research of climate influence included the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The statistically significant values (p  lt = .05) of Pearson correlation coefficient were recorded for the August values of NAO and the surface area of burned forest (-0.44), the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.51) and the May AO values and the average surface area of forest burned per fire (-0.45). For the June values of NAO and the average surface area of forest burned per fire, the Lomb periodogram shows four significant peaks, and the match is at two, at 2.4 and 3.4 years, which supports the hypothesis of the connection between NAO and forest fires in Finland.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations",
volume = "69",
number = "1",
pages = "75-82",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1901075M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984"
}

Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Mihajlović, J., Burić, D.,& Babić, V.. (2019). Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 69(1), 75-82.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984

Milenković M, Ducić V, Mihajlović J, Burić D, Babić V. Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2019;69(1):75-82.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1901075M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984 .

Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Mihajlović, Jovan, Burić, Dragan, Babić, Violeta, "Forest fires in Finland - the influence of atmospheric oscillations" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 69, no. 1 (2019):75-82,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1901075M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_984 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
PY  - 2019
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/973
AB  - Danilovgrad and the Bjelopavlića Plain belong to the submediterranean zone of the Mediterranean climate region. The aim of this paper was to determine some specific characteristics of the Danilovgrad climate, such as the degree of continentality, aridity and bioclimatic characteristics. Data used in the research cover the period 1955-2011. The results of the study showed the dominance of the continental effect on temperature, while oceanicity was less pronounced. In hygric terms, during most of the year the climate of Danilovgrad is characterized as low humid to perhumid. Moreover, in the period October-March it is very humid, which points to the domination of oceanic influences. During the three summer months, it is dry to very dry. Based on the average monthly values of the equivalent temperature - an indicator of physiological (subjective) feeling of heat, the winter months in Danilovgrad are not assessed as very cold. It is cold in January, and in February and December it is cool. It is fresh in March and November, comfortable in April and October, and warm in May and September. In Danilovgrad, in summer it is overheated and a little muggy. All considered indicators point to quite pronounced oscillations during the year, especially in terms of humidity. Comparing the obtained results with Podgorica, it can be concluded that the climate of Danilovgrad is more continental, a bit colder and wetter.
AB  - Danilovgrad je centralno i najveće naselje na području Bjelopavlićke ravnice u Crnoj Gori. Sa klimatskog aspekta, područje Bjelopavlićke ravnice je pogodno za život i razvoj poljoprivrede. Međutim, u do sada poznatim klasifikacijama klime za Crnu Goru, dat je uopšteni opis pojedinih regija i mesta, uglavnom na osnovu analize srednjih mesečnih temperatura vazduha i količine padavina. Za Danilovgrad se može reći da ima blago modifikovnu mediteransku klimu, a to znači da su leta topla i prilično sušna, a zime blage i kišovite. Prema Kepenovoj klasifikaciji, klimatska formula Danilovgrada je Csa, prosečna godišnja temperatura je 14,60C, a godišnja suma padavina 2.216 mm. Cilj nam je bio da klimu ovog mesta što bolje i podrobnije opišemo, kroz analizu termičke kontinentalnosti, aridnosti i bioklimatske karakteristike. Analizom kombinovanih klimatskih elemenata, dat je kompleksniji prikaz i kvalitetnija karakterizacija klime Danilovgrada. Smatramo da će istraživanje imati značaja za lokalnu zajednicu u smislu boljeg razumevanja prirodnog okruženja i da se dobijeni rezultati mogu primeniti u poljoprivredi, vodoprivredi i energetici, turizmu i drugim delatnostima od važnosti za budući razvoj Danilovgrada i Crne Gore. Takođe, rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu biće korisni nauci, struci i opštem obrazovanju stanovništva, jer se radi o tematici koja sve više participira kod današnjeg čoveka. Za razmatranje specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada, korišćeni su podaci za instrumentalni period 1955-2011. Rezultati istraživanja su pokazali dominaciju kontinentalnog uticaja na temperaturu, dok je maritimnost slabije izražena. U higričkom smislu, tokom većeg dela godine klima Danilovgrada se karakteriše kao slabo humidna do perhumidna. Štaviše, u periodu oktobar - mart je veoma vlažno, što govori o dominaciji maritimnih upliva. Sušno do veoma sušno je tokom tri letnja meseca. Prema bioklimatskim pokazateljima, ni jedan mesec se ne karakteriše kao veoma hladan. Na osnovu srednjih mesečnih vrednosti ekvivalentne temperature, koja je korišćena kao pokazatelj fiziološkog (subjektivnog) osećaja toplote, tokom januara je hladno, a u februaru i decembru veoma prohladno. Sveže je u martu i novembru, ugodno u aprilu i oktobru, a toplo u maju i septembru. U Danilovgradu je leti pregrejano i malo zaparno. Svi razmatrani pokazatelji ukazuju na prilično izražene oscilacije tokom godine, naročito u pogledu vlažnosti. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da Danilovgrad ima slične termičke, higričke i bioklimatske karakteristike kao Podgorica (Burić et al., 2007), jer je rastojanje između ova dva grada oko 20 km. Ipak, Danilovgrad je više kontinentalniji, malo hladniji i vlažniji od Podgorice.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)
T1  - Specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada (Crna Gora)
VL  - 99
IS  - 1
SP  - 19
EP  - 28
DO  - 10.2298/GSGD1901019B
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan",
year = "2019",
abstract = "Danilovgrad and the Bjelopavlića Plain belong to the submediterranean zone of the Mediterranean climate region. The aim of this paper was to determine some specific characteristics of the Danilovgrad climate, such as the degree of continentality, aridity and bioclimatic characteristics. Data used in the research cover the period 1955-2011. The results of the study showed the dominance of the continental effect on temperature, while oceanicity was less pronounced. In hygric terms, during most of the year the climate of Danilovgrad is characterized as low humid to perhumid. Moreover, in the period October-March it is very humid, which points to the domination of oceanic influences. During the three summer months, it is dry to very dry. Based on the average monthly values of the equivalent temperature - an indicator of physiological (subjective) feeling of heat, the winter months in Danilovgrad are not assessed as very cold. It is cold in January, and in February and December it is cool. It is fresh in March and November, comfortable in April and October, and warm in May and September. In Danilovgrad, in summer it is overheated and a little muggy. All considered indicators point to quite pronounced oscillations during the year, especially in terms of humidity. Comparing the obtained results with Podgorica, it can be concluded that the climate of Danilovgrad is more continental, a bit colder and wetter., Danilovgrad je centralno i najveće naselje na području Bjelopavlićke ravnice u Crnoj Gori. Sa klimatskog aspekta, područje Bjelopavlićke ravnice je pogodno za život i razvoj poljoprivrede. Međutim, u do sada poznatim klasifikacijama klime za Crnu Goru, dat je uopšteni opis pojedinih regija i mesta, uglavnom na osnovu analize srednjih mesečnih temperatura vazduha i količine padavina. Za Danilovgrad se može reći da ima blago modifikovnu mediteransku klimu, a to znači da su leta topla i prilično sušna, a zime blage i kišovite. Prema Kepenovoj klasifikaciji, klimatska formula Danilovgrada je Csa, prosečna godišnja temperatura je 14,60C, a godišnja suma padavina 2.216 mm. Cilj nam je bio da klimu ovog mesta što bolje i podrobnije opišemo, kroz analizu termičke kontinentalnosti, aridnosti i bioklimatske karakteristike. Analizom kombinovanih klimatskih elemenata, dat je kompleksniji prikaz i kvalitetnija karakterizacija klime Danilovgrada. Smatramo da će istraživanje imati značaja za lokalnu zajednicu u smislu boljeg razumevanja prirodnog okruženja i da se dobijeni rezultati mogu primeniti u poljoprivredi, vodoprivredi i energetici, turizmu i drugim delatnostima od važnosti za budući razvoj Danilovgrada i Crne Gore. Takođe, rezultati dobijeni u ovom radu biće korisni nauci, struci i opštem obrazovanju stanovništva, jer se radi o tematici koja sve više participira kod današnjeg čoveka. Za razmatranje specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada, korišćeni su podaci za instrumentalni period 1955-2011. Rezultati istraživanja su pokazali dominaciju kontinentalnog uticaja na temperaturu, dok je maritimnost slabije izražena. U higričkom smislu, tokom većeg dela godine klima Danilovgrada se karakteriše kao slabo humidna do perhumidna. Štaviše, u periodu oktobar - mart je veoma vlažno, što govori o dominaciji maritimnih upliva. Sušno do veoma sušno je tokom tri letnja meseca. Prema bioklimatskim pokazateljima, ni jedan mesec se ne karakteriše kao veoma hladan. Na osnovu srednjih mesečnih vrednosti ekvivalentne temperature, koja je korišćena kao pokazatelj fiziološkog (subjektivnog) osećaja toplote, tokom januara je hladno, a u februaru i decembru veoma prohladno. Sveže je u martu i novembru, ugodno u aprilu i oktobru, a toplo u maju i septembru. U Danilovgradu je leti pregrejano i malo zaparno. Svi razmatrani pokazatelji ukazuju na prilično izražene oscilacije tokom godine, naročito u pogledu vlažnosti. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da Danilovgrad ima slične termičke, higričke i bioklimatske karakteristike kao Podgorica (Burić et al., 2007), jer je rastojanje između ova dva grada oko 20 km. Ipak, Danilovgrad je više kontinentalniji, malo hladniji i vlažniji od Podgorice.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro), Specifičnosti klime Danilovgrada (Crna Gora)",
volume = "99",
number = "1",
pages = "19-28",
doi = "10.2298/GSGD1901019B",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973"
}

Burić, D., Milenković, M.,& Ducić, V.. (2019). The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro). in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 99(1), 19-28.
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1901019B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973

Burić D, Milenković M, Ducić V. The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro). in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2019;99(1):19-28.
doi:10.2298/GSGD1901019B
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973 .

Burić, Dragan, Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, "The specificities of the climate of Danilovgrad (Montenegro)" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 99, no. 1 (2019):19-28,
https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD1901019B .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_973 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Yamashkin, Anatoly A.
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Babić, Violeta
AU  - Govedar, Zoran
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/864
AB  - The data on forest fires in Portugal in the period 1980-2015 were used in the research: the annual number of forest fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire. Increasing trend of the annual number of forest fires (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01), nonsignificant increasing trend of the annual burned area and decreasing trend of the average burned area per fire (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01) were recorded. Portugal is the most endangered country by forest fires in comparison with the other European countries. During the research period, fires in Portugal covered 23.6% of the total burned area in five the most affected European countries (Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece). In the research of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of the AMO index were used in calculations. All R values recorded for the annual number of fires were positive and statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01. The highest values were recorded for August (0.543) and for summer (0.525). With the annual burned area all R values were also positive and the highest one on the seasonal level was for summer (0.359). With the average burned area per fire all R values were negative (-0.428 was recorded for winter). The results of the research could be applied in the fire danger forecast for periods of several months. Other climate indices should also be considered in future research.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)
VL  - 67
IS  - 1
SP  - 27
EP  - 35
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1701027M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_864
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Yamashkin, Anatoly A. and Ducić, Vladan and Babić, Violeta and Govedar, Zoran",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The data on forest fires in Portugal in the period 1980-2015 were used in the research: the annual number of forest fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire. Increasing trend of the annual number of forest fires (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01), nonsignificant increasing trend of the annual burned area and decreasing trend of the average burned area per fire (statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01) were recorded. Portugal is the most endangered country by forest fires in comparison with the other European countries. During the research period, fires in Portugal covered 23.6% of the total burned area in five the most affected European countries (Portugal, Spain, France, Italy and Greece). In the research of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of the AMO index were used in calculations. All R values recorded for the annual number of fires were positive and statistically significant at p  lt = 0.01. The highest values were recorded for August (0.543) and for summer (0.525). With the annual burned area all R values were also positive and the highest one on the seasonal level was for summer (0.359). With the average burned area per fire all R values were negative (-0.428 was recorded for winter). The results of the research could be applied in the fire danger forecast for periods of several months. Other climate indices should also be considered in future research.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)",
volume = "67",
number = "1",
pages = "27-35",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1701027M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_864"
}

Milenković, M., Yamashkin, A. A., Ducić, V., Babić, V.,& Govedar, Z.. (2017). Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 67(1), 27-35.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1701027M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_864

Milenković M, Yamashkin AA, Ducić V, Babić V, Govedar Z. Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2017;67(1):27-35.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1701027M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_864 .

Milenković, Milan, Yamashkin, Anatoly A., Ducić, Vladan, Babić, Violeta, Govedar, Zoran, "Forest fires in Portugal - the connection with the atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO)" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 67, no. 1 (2017):27-35,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1701027M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_864 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Savić, Dragan
AU  - Walker, David
AU  - Dedić, Aleksandar
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
PY  - 2017
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/819
AB  - The data on the water temperature of the Sava in Serbia (hydrological stations Sabac and Belgrade, period 1961-2015) were used for the research, as well as the data on the surface air temperature. The temperature trends were determined and the significance (at p  lt = 0.05 and p  lt = 0.01) was established on the basis of the t-test. The Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used for the calculation of the correlation. Increasing trends of the water temperature of the Sava were recorded in all cases at both stations. However, in the case of the HS Sabac, the trends for 6 months (February-April and September-November) were not statistically significant. In the case of the HS Belgrade, all the calculations (except for April) showed statistically significant increasing trends, which can be explained by anthropogenic influence. High level of correlation between the surface air temperature and the water temperature was also determined. In this research, the lowest values of R were recorded for October (0.561 for Belgrade), and on the seasonal level, for autumn (0.625 for Sabac). The research on the correlation between the water temperature of the Sava River and the NAO index showed the highest values of R for January (0.512 for HS Sabac and 0.528 for HS Belgrade). On the seasonal level, the highest values were recorded for winter (0.422 for HS Sabac and 0.432 for HS Belgrade).
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia
VL  - 67
IS  - 2
SP  - 135
EP  - 144
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1702135M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_819
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Savić, Dragan and Walker, David and Dedić, Aleksandar and Ducić, Vladan",
year = "2017",
abstract = "The data on the water temperature of the Sava in Serbia (hydrological stations Sabac and Belgrade, period 1961-2015) were used for the research, as well as the data on the surface air temperature. The temperature trends were determined and the significance (at p  lt = 0.05 and p  lt = 0.01) was established on the basis of the t-test. The Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used for the calculation of the correlation. Increasing trends of the water temperature of the Sava were recorded in all cases at both stations. However, in the case of the HS Sabac, the trends for 6 months (February-April and September-November) were not statistically significant. In the case of the HS Belgrade, all the calculations (except for April) showed statistically significant increasing trends, which can be explained by anthropogenic influence. High level of correlation between the surface air temperature and the water temperature was also determined. In this research, the lowest values of R were recorded for October (0.561 for Belgrade), and on the seasonal level, for autumn (0.625 for Sabac). The research on the correlation between the water temperature of the Sava River and the NAO index showed the highest values of R for January (0.512 for HS Sabac and 0.528 for HS Belgrade). On the seasonal level, the highest values were recorded for winter (0.422 for HS Sabac and 0.432 for HS Belgrade).",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia",
volume = "67",
number = "2",
pages = "135-144",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1702135M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_819"
}

Milenković, M., Savić, D., Walker, D., Dedić, A.,& Ducić, V.. (2017). The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 67(2), 135-144.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702135M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_819

Milenković M, Savić D, Walker D, Dedić A, Ducić V. The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2017;67(2):135-144.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1702135M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_819 .

Milenković, Milan, Savić, Dragan, Walker, David, Dedić, Aleksandar, Ducić, Vladan, "The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) and the water temperature of the Sava river in Serbia" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 67, no. 2 (2017):135-144,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1702135M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_819 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Lazić, Bozidar
PY  - 2016
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/765
AB  - The study examines the connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires (the annual number of fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire) in France in the period 1980-2014. In order to determine the strength of the correlation connection Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of AMO were used in calculations, and one year phase shift was performed (the values for the previous year were used). In burned area the highest values of R on the monthly level were recorded for April (-0.474) and January (-0.470), and on the seasonal level for winter (-0.459) and spring (-0.447). These values are statistically significant at the level of p=0.01. By phase shifting the highest level of correlation was obtained for the autumn (-0.489). In the average burned area per fire on a monthly level the highest value of R was for January (-0.522), and on seasonal for winter (-0.506). By phase shifting the highest value of R was obtained for autumn (-0.522). In the number of fires the highest values were recorded by phase shifting for September (-0.382) and autumn (-0.337). All R values recorded during the study had a negative sign (the correlation is antiphase). In addition, downward trends were determined for all three examined indicators of forest fires in the researched period (1980-2014). Results of the research could be used as a basis for the long-term forecast of the risk of forest fires, and the approach used in the research could be applied for the other areas of the world. However, the more detailed research of the effects of other teleconnections are necessary.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014
VL  - 66
IS  - 1
SP  - 35
EP  - 44
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1601035M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan and Lazić, Bozidar",
year = "2016",
abstract = "The study examines the connection between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires (the annual number of fires, the annual burned area and the average burned area per fire) in France in the period 1980-2014. In order to determine the strength of the correlation connection Pearson correlation coefficient (R) was used. Monthly, seasonal and annual values of AMO were used in calculations, and one year phase shift was performed (the values for the previous year were used). In burned area the highest values of R on the monthly level were recorded for April (-0.474) and January (-0.470), and on the seasonal level for winter (-0.459) and spring (-0.447). These values are statistically significant at the level of p=0.01. By phase shifting the highest level of correlation was obtained for the autumn (-0.489). In the average burned area per fire on a monthly level the highest value of R was for January (-0.522), and on seasonal for winter (-0.506). By phase shifting the highest value of R was obtained for autumn (-0.522). In the number of fires the highest values were recorded by phase shifting for September (-0.382) and autumn (-0.337). All R values recorded during the study had a negative sign (the correlation is antiphase). In addition, downward trends were determined for all three examined indicators of forest fires in the researched period (1980-2014). Results of the research could be used as a basis for the long-term forecast of the risk of forest fires, and the approach used in the research could be applied for the other areas of the world. However, the more detailed research of the effects of other teleconnections are necessary.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014",
volume = "66",
number = "1",
pages = "35-44",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1601035M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765"
}

Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Burić, D.,& Lazić, B.. (2016). The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 66(1), 35-44.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601035M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765

Milenković M, Ducić V, Burić D, Lazić B. The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2016;66(1):35-44.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1601035M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765 .

Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, Lazić, Bozidar, "The atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) and the forest fires in France in the period 1980-2014" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 66, no. 1 (2016):35-44,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1601035M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_765 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Milijašević, Dragana
AU  - Vujačić, Duško M.
AU  - Bjeljac, Željko
AU  - Lović, Suzana L.
AU  - Gajić, Mirjana
AU  - Anđelković, Goran
AU  - Đorđević, Aleksandar
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/694
AB  - The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature (0.039 degrees C per year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February. A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years), and February (49 years). The highest correlations between water temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60), the AMO in autumn (0.52), and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water temperature of the Danube.
PB  - Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)
VL  - 19
SP  - S467
EP  - S476
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI150430133D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_694
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milenković, Milan and Milijašević, Dragana and Vujačić, Duško M. and Bjeljac, Željko and Lović, Suzana L. and Gajić, Mirjana and Anđelković, Goran and Đorđević, Aleksandar",
year = "2015",
abstract = "The research included trends in water temperature of the Danube River at Bogojevo gauge and surface air temperature at the nearby meteorological station Sombor, as well as an analysis of the results obtained in relation to the claims of the existence of the hiatus in global air temperature increase in the period 1998-2012. In the period 1961-2013, there was a statistically significant increase in the mean annual water temperature (0.039 degrees C per year), as well as all the average monthly values. However, with annual values for the period 1998-2013, there was a decrease. The longest periods of negative trend (27 years) were recorded for January and February. A high correlation was found between the surface air temperature and water temperature for all monthly and seasonal values. In the mean annual air temperature the presence of the hiatus is not observed, but a negative trend is recorded in March (32 years), December (43 years), and February (49 years). The highest correlations between water temperature and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) were obtained for the NAO in January (0.60), the AMO in autumn (0.52), and the NAO in winter (0.51). For surface air temperature, the highest correlations were registered for the AMO in summer (0.49) and the NAO in winter (0.42). The results indicate the dominant role of natural factors in the decrease of winter air temperature and water temperature of the Danube.",
publisher = "Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)",
volume = "19",
pages = "S467-S476",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI150430133D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_694"
}

Ducić, V., Milenković, M., Milijašević, D., Vujačić, D. M., Bjeljac, Ž., Lović, S. L., Gajić, M., Anđelković, G.,& Đorđević, A.. (2015). Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia). in Thermal Science
Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča., 19, S467-S476.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430133D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_694

Ducić V, Milenković M, Milijašević D, Vujačić DM, Bjeljac Ž, Lović SL, Gajić M, Anđelković G, Đorđević A. Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia). in Thermal Science. 2015;19:S467-S476.
doi:10.2298/TSCI150430133D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_694 .

Ducić, Vladan, Milenković, Milan, Milijašević, Dragana, Vujačić, Duško M., Bjeljac, Željko, Lović, Suzana L., Gajić, Mirjana, Anđelković, Goran, Đorđević, Aleksandar, "Hiatus in global warming - the example of water temperature of the Danube river at Bogojevo gauge (Serbia)" in Thermal Science, 19 (2015):S467-S476,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150430133D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_694 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ćurčić, Nina
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/677
AB  - There was a stagnation in temperature rise in the period 1998-2012, despite increase in greenhouse gases radiation forcing (hiatus period). According to Global Circulation Models simulations, expected response on the rise of greenhouse gases forcing is tropical temperature altitude amplification temperature increases faster in higher troposphere than in lower troposphere. In this paper, two satellite data sets University of Alabama in Huntsville, Microvawe Sounding Units (UAH MSU) and Remote Sensing Systems (RSS), were used to test altitude temperature amplification in tropics in the hiatus period. We compared satellite data sets both for the temperature of the lower troposphere and the temperature of the middle troposphere, in general and particularly for land and ocean (for UAHMSU). The results from both satellite measurements showed the presence of hiatus, i.e. slow-own of the temperature rise in the period 1998-2012 compared to period 1979-2012 (UAHMSU) and temperature fall for RSS. Smaller increase, i.e. temperature fall over ocean showed that hiatus is an ocean phenomenon above all. Data from UAH MSU showed that temperature altitude amplification in tropics was not present either for period 1979-2012, or 1998-2012. RSS data set also does not show temperature altitude amplification for these periods. RSS data for successive 15-year periods from 1979-1993 till 1998-2012 does not show tropical temperature altitude amplification and in one case negative trend is registered in lower troposphere and in two cases in middle troposphere. In general, our results do not show presence of temperature altitude amplification in tropics in the hiatus period.
PB  - Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012)
VL  - 19
SP  - S371
EP  - S379
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI150410103D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milovanović, Boško and Stanojević, Gorica and Milenković, Milan and Ćurčić, Nina",
year = "2015",
abstract = "There was a stagnation in temperature rise in the period 1998-2012, despite increase in greenhouse gases radiation forcing (hiatus period). According to Global Circulation Models simulations, expected response on the rise of greenhouse gases forcing is tropical temperature altitude amplification temperature increases faster in higher troposphere than in lower troposphere. In this paper, two satellite data sets University of Alabama in Huntsville, Microvawe Sounding Units (UAH MSU) and Remote Sensing Systems (RSS), were used to test altitude temperature amplification in tropics in the hiatus period. We compared satellite data sets both for the temperature of the lower troposphere and the temperature of the middle troposphere, in general and particularly for land and ocean (for UAHMSU). The results from both satellite measurements showed the presence of hiatus, i.e. slow-own of the temperature rise in the period 1998-2012 compared to period 1979-2012 (UAHMSU) and temperature fall for RSS. Smaller increase, i.e. temperature fall over ocean showed that hiatus is an ocean phenomenon above all. Data from UAH MSU showed that temperature altitude amplification in tropics was not present either for period 1979-2012, or 1998-2012. RSS data set also does not show temperature altitude amplification for these periods. RSS data for successive 15-year periods from 1979-1993 till 1998-2012 does not show tropical temperature altitude amplification and in one case negative trend is registered in lower troposphere and in two cases in middle troposphere. In general, our results do not show presence of temperature altitude amplification in tropics in the hiatus period.",
publisher = "Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012)",
volume = "19",
pages = "S371-S379",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI150410103D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677"
}

Ducić, V., Milovanović, B., Stanojević, G., Milenković, M.,& Ćurčić, N.. (2015). Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012). in Thermal Science
Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča., 19, S371-S379.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150410103D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677

Ducić V, Milovanović B, Stanojević G, Milenković M, Ćurčić N. Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012). in Thermal Science. 2015;19:S371-S379.
doi:10.2298/TSCI150410103D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677 .

Ducić, Vladan, Milovanović, Boško, Stanojević, Gorica, Milenković, Milan, Ćurčić, Nina, "Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012)" in Thermal Science, 19 (2015):S371-S379,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150410103D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milošević, Marko V.
PY  - 2013
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/538
AB  - Purpose - The aim of the paper was to investigate the major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara, as well as to analyze the efficiency of fire protection measures. Design / methodology / approach - The analysis included interviews with participants in extinguishing the major fires. The questions referred to the course of fires, as well as to the main fire protection disadvantages. The documentation of the 'Banat' Forest Management - Pančevo (Public Enterprise 'Vojvodinašume') was also used in the paper for the period 1948-2012. Findings - The major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara in the studied period were recorded in 1973, 1990, 1996 and 2007. Although they account for only about 1.5 % of the total number of fires, they collectively have invaded more than half of the total burnt area and more than two-thirds of the forest area. According to the surveys, the main characteristics of these fires were: frequent appearance of new fire hot spots, strong wind variable in direction which crucially affects the spread of fire and the impossibility of direct action on fire. The main disadvantages of fire protection were: inefficiency of fire breaks, blockage of forest roads for the passage of vehicles and the lack of the modern means of fire protection equipment. Research limitations / implications - Given the specificities of the studied area (the absence of surface water, sandy soils, microclimate conditions and vegetation composition), the research results cannot be fully generalized for Serbia. Practical implications - The research results indicate the need for making changes in the fire prevention system, as well as the possibility of fire danger forecast based on the heliocentric hypothesis. Originality / value - What has been the importance of the paper is that it provides the basis for a new approach to the planning of fire prevention measures.
PB  - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
T2  - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
T1  - Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia)
VL  - 63
IS  - 3
SP  - 269
EP  - 278
DO  - 10.2298/IJGI1303269M
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_538
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Milenković, Milan and Radovanović, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Milošević, Marko V.",
year = "2013",
abstract = "Purpose - The aim of the paper was to investigate the major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara, as well as to analyze the efficiency of fire protection measures. Design / methodology / approach - The analysis included interviews with participants in extinguishing the major fires. The questions referred to the course of fires, as well as to the main fire protection disadvantages. The documentation of the 'Banat' Forest Management - Pančevo (Public Enterprise 'Vojvodinašume') was also used in the paper for the period 1948-2012. Findings - The major forest fires in Deliblatska peščara in the studied period were recorded in 1973, 1990, 1996 and 2007. Although they account for only about 1.5 % of the total number of fires, they collectively have invaded more than half of the total burnt area and more than two-thirds of the forest area. According to the surveys, the main characteristics of these fires were: frequent appearance of new fire hot spots, strong wind variable in direction which crucially affects the spread of fire and the impossibility of direct action on fire. The main disadvantages of fire protection were: inefficiency of fire breaks, blockage of forest roads for the passage of vehicles and the lack of the modern means of fire protection equipment. Research limitations / implications - Given the specificities of the studied area (the absence of surface water, sandy soils, microclimate conditions and vegetation composition), the research results cannot be fully generalized for Serbia. Practical implications - The research results indicate the need for making changes in the fire prevention system, as well as the possibility of fire danger forecast based on the heliocentric hypothesis. Originality / value - What has been the importance of the paper is that it provides the basis for a new approach to the planning of fire prevention measures.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"",
journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU",
title = "Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia)",
volume = "63",
number = "3",
pages = "269-278",
doi = "10.2298/IJGI1303269M",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_538"
}

Milenković, M., Radovanović, M., Ducić, V.,& Milošević, M. V.. (2013). Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU
Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 63(3), 269-278.
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1303269M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_538

Milenković M, Radovanović M, Ducić V, Milošević MV. Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia). in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2013;63(3):269-278.
doi:10.2298/IJGI1303269M
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_538 .

Milenković, Milan, Radovanović, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Milošević, Marko V., "Fire protection problems with large forest fires in Deliblatska peščara (Serbia)" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 63, no. 3 (2013):269-278,
https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI1303269M .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_538 .