TY  - JOUR
AU  - Vyklyuk, Yaroslav
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Petrović, Marko D.
AU  - Ćurčić, Nina
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Malinović-Miličević, Slavica
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
AU  - Yamashkin, Anatoly A.
AU  - Milanović-Pešić, Ana
AU  - Lukić, Dobrila
AU  - Gajić, Mirjana
PY  - 2020
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1072
AB  - The impact of solar activity on environmental processes is difficult to understand and complex for empirical modeling. This study aimed to establish forecast models of the meteorological conditions in the forest fire areas based on the solar activity parameters applying the neural networks approach. During July and August 2018, severe forest fires simultaneously occurred in the State of California (USA), Portugal, and Greece. Air temperature and humidity data together with solar parameters (integral flux of solar protons, differential electron flux and proton flux, solar wind plasma parameters, and solar radio flux at 10.7 cm data) were used in long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network ensembles. It is found that solar activity mostly affects the humidity for two stations in California and Portugal (an increase in the integral flux of solar protons of > 30 MeV by 10% increases the humidity by 3.25%, 1.65%, and 1.57%, respectively). Furthermore, an increase in air temperature of 10% increases the humidity by 2.55%, 2.01%, and 0.26%, respectively. It is shown that temperature is less sensitive to changes in solar parameters but depends on previous conditions (previous increase of 10% increases the current temperature by 0.75%, 0.34%, and 0.33%, respectively). Humidity in Greece is mostly impacted by solar flux F10.7 cm and previous values of humidity. An increase in these factors by 10% will lead to a decrease in the humidity of 3.89% or an increase of 1.31%, while air temperature mostly depends on ion temperature. If this factor increases by 10%, it will lead to air temperature rising by 0.42%.
PB  - Basel : MDPI
T2  - Sustainability
T1  - Connection of Solar Activities and Forest Fires in 2018: Events in the USA (California), Portugal and Greece
VL  - 12
IS  - 24
DO  - 10.3390/su122410261
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1072
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Vyklyuk, Yaroslav and Radovanović, Milan and Stanojević, Gorica and Petrović, Marko D. and Ćurčić, Nina and Milenković, Milan and Malinović-Miličević, Slavica and Milovanović, Boško and Yamashkin, Anatoly A. and Milanović-Pešić, Ana and Lukić, Dobrila and Gajić, Mirjana",
year = "2020",
abstract = "The impact of solar activity on environmental processes is difficult to understand and complex for empirical modeling. This study aimed to establish forecast models of the meteorological conditions in the forest fire areas based on the solar activity parameters applying the neural networks approach. During July and August 2018, severe forest fires simultaneously occurred in the State of California (USA), Portugal, and Greece. Air temperature and humidity data together with solar parameters (integral flux of solar protons, differential electron flux and proton flux, solar wind plasma parameters, and solar radio flux at 10.7 cm data) were used in long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network ensembles. It is found that solar activity mostly affects the humidity for two stations in California and Portugal (an increase in the integral flux of solar protons of > 30 MeV by 10% increases the humidity by 3.25%, 1.65%, and 1.57%, respectively). Furthermore, an increase in air temperature of 10% increases the humidity by 2.55%, 2.01%, and 0.26%, respectively. It is shown that temperature is less sensitive to changes in solar parameters but depends on previous conditions (previous increase of 10% increases the current temperature by 0.75%, 0.34%, and 0.33%, respectively). Humidity in Greece is mostly impacted by solar flux F10.7 cm and previous values of humidity. An increase in these factors by 10% will lead to a decrease in the humidity of 3.89% or an increase of 1.31%, while air temperature mostly depends on ion temperature. If this factor increases by 10%, it will lead to air temperature rising by 0.42%.",
publisher = "Basel : MDPI",
journal = "Sustainability",
title = "Connection of Solar Activities and Forest Fires in 2018: Events in the USA (California), Portugal and Greece",
volume = "12",
number = "24",
doi = "10.3390/su122410261",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1072"
}

Vyklyuk, Y., Radovanović, M., Stanojević, G., Petrović, M. D., Ćurčić, N., Milenković, M., Malinović-Miličević, S., Milovanović, B., Yamashkin, A. A., Milanović-Pešić, A., Lukić, D.,& Gajić, M.. (2020). Connection of Solar Activities and Forest Fires in 2018: Events in the USA (California), Portugal and Greece. in Sustainability
Basel : MDPI., 12(24).
https://doi.org/10.3390/su122410261
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1072

Vyklyuk Y, Radovanović M, Stanojević G, Petrović MD, Ćurčić N, Milenković M, Malinović-Miličević S, Milovanović B, Yamashkin AA, Milanović-Pešić A, Lukić D, Gajić M. Connection of Solar Activities and Forest Fires in 2018: Events in the USA (California), Portugal and Greece. in Sustainability. 2020;12(24).
doi:10.3390/su122410261
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1072 .

Vyklyuk, Yaroslav, Radovanović, Milan, Stanojević, Gorica, Petrović, Marko D., Ćurčić, Nina, Milenković, Milan, Malinović-Miličević, Slavica, Milovanović, Boško, Yamashkin, Anatoly A., Milanović-Pešić, Ana, Lukić, Dobrila, Gajić, Mirjana, "Connection of Solar Activities and Forest Fires in 2018: Events in the USA (California), Portugal and Greece" in Sustainability, 12, no. 24 (2020),
https://doi.org/10.3390/su122410261 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_1072 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Milovanović, Boško
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Milenković, Milan
AU  - Ćurčić, Nina
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/677
AB  - There was a stagnation in temperature rise in the period 1998-2012, despite increase in greenhouse gases radiation forcing (hiatus period). According to Global Circulation Models simulations, expected response on the rise of greenhouse gases forcing is tropical temperature altitude amplification temperature increases faster in higher troposphere than in lower troposphere. In this paper, two satellite data sets University of Alabama in Huntsville, Microvawe Sounding Units (UAH MSU) and Remote Sensing Systems (RSS), were used to test altitude temperature amplification in tropics in the hiatus period. We compared satellite data sets both for the temperature of the lower troposphere and the temperature of the middle troposphere, in general and particularly for land and ocean (for UAHMSU). The results from both satellite measurements showed the presence of hiatus, i.e. slow-own of the temperature rise in the period 1998-2012 compared to period 1979-2012 (UAHMSU) and temperature fall for RSS. Smaller increase, i.e. temperature fall over ocean showed that hiatus is an ocean phenomenon above all. Data from UAH MSU showed that temperature altitude amplification in tropics was not present either for period 1979-2012, or 1998-2012. RSS data set also does not show temperature altitude amplification for these periods. RSS data for successive 15-year periods from 1979-1993 till 1998-2012 does not show tropical temperature altitude amplification and in one case negative trend is registered in lower troposphere and in two cases in middle troposphere. In general, our results do not show presence of temperature altitude amplification in tropics in the hiatus period.
PB  - Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012)
VL  - 19
SP  - S371
EP  - S379
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI150410103D
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Milovanović, Boško and Stanojević, Gorica and Milenković, Milan and Ćurčić, Nina",
year = "2015",
abstract = "There was a stagnation in temperature rise in the period 1998-2012, despite increase in greenhouse gases radiation forcing (hiatus period). According to Global Circulation Models simulations, expected response on the rise of greenhouse gases forcing is tropical temperature altitude amplification temperature increases faster in higher troposphere than in lower troposphere. In this paper, two satellite data sets University of Alabama in Huntsville, Microvawe Sounding Units (UAH MSU) and Remote Sensing Systems (RSS), were used to test altitude temperature amplification in tropics in the hiatus period. We compared satellite data sets both for the temperature of the lower troposphere and the temperature of the middle troposphere, in general and particularly for land and ocean (for UAHMSU). The results from both satellite measurements showed the presence of hiatus, i.e. slow-own of the temperature rise in the period 1998-2012 compared to period 1979-2012 (UAHMSU) and temperature fall for RSS. Smaller increase, i.e. temperature fall over ocean showed that hiatus is an ocean phenomenon above all. Data from UAH MSU showed that temperature altitude amplification in tropics was not present either for period 1979-2012, or 1998-2012. RSS data set also does not show temperature altitude amplification for these periods. RSS data for successive 15-year periods from 1979-1993 till 1998-2012 does not show tropical temperature altitude amplification and in one case negative trend is registered in lower troposphere and in two cases in middle troposphere. In general, our results do not show presence of temperature altitude amplification in tropics in the hiatus period.",
publisher = "Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012)",
volume = "19",
pages = "S371-S379",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI150410103D",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677"
}

Ducić, V., Milovanović, B., Stanojević, G., Milenković, M.,& Ćurčić, N.. (2015). Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012). in Thermal Science
Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča., 19, S371-S379.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150410103D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677

Ducić V, Milovanović B, Stanojević G, Milenković M, Ćurčić N. Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012). in Thermal Science. 2015;19:S371-S379.
doi:10.2298/TSCI150410103D
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677 .

Ducić, Vladan, Milovanović, Boško, Stanojević, Gorica, Milenković, Milan, Ćurčić, Nina, "Tropical temperature altitude amplification in the hiatus period (1998-2012)" in Thermal Science, 19 (2015):S371-S379,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150410103D .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_677 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Radovanović, Milan
AU  - Pavlović, Tomislav M.
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Milanović, Miško
AU  - Pavlović, Mila
AU  - Radivojević, Aleksandar
PY  - 2015
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/690
AB  - In mid-July 2012, hundreds of fires spread over forest stands in the south of Europe. Considering available satellite and meteorological data we have tried to determine a method using analogy, whether these fires were preceded by the intensified solar activity. The justification of this approach lies in the belief that it is impossible by direct or indirect activity of man to set fire at the same time to the sites that are geographically separated. In this paper we have tried to test the hypothesis claiming that charged particles coming to us from the Sun may be responsible for the number of forest fires. Unlike some other situations when the potential explanation could be a sudden influx of the protons of different energy ranges, in our study, there are electrons as carriers of the potential explanation. Many previous studies results have shown that there is statistically significant relationship between the processes on the Sun and certain movements of air masses in the atmosphere our planet. The presented results in this paper of the correlation relationships between the mean hourly flows of electrons and the mean hourly air temperatures in Belgrade and Rome and the analysis of the synoptic situation as a function of the suggested model so far, indicate that the number of fires that were occurring more than a week, from July 15, 2012, in the south of Europe, were caused by electrons coming from the Sun.
PB  - Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča
T2  - Thermal Science
T1  - The influence of solar activities on occurrence of the forest fires in south Europe
VL  - 19
IS  - 2
SP  - 435
EP  - 446
DO  - 10.2298/TSCI130930036R
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_690
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Radovanović, Milan and Pavlović, Tomislav M. and Stanojević, Gorica and Milanović, Miško and Pavlović, Mila and Radivojević, Aleksandar",
year = "2015",
abstract = "In mid-July 2012, hundreds of fires spread over forest stands in the south of Europe. Considering available satellite and meteorological data we have tried to determine a method using analogy, whether these fires were preceded by the intensified solar activity. The justification of this approach lies in the belief that it is impossible by direct or indirect activity of man to set fire at the same time to the sites that are geographically separated. In this paper we have tried to test the hypothesis claiming that charged particles coming to us from the Sun may be responsible for the number of forest fires. Unlike some other situations when the potential explanation could be a sudden influx of the protons of different energy ranges, in our study, there are electrons as carriers of the potential explanation. Many previous studies results have shown that there is statistically significant relationship between the processes on the Sun and certain movements of air masses in the atmosphere our planet. The presented results in this paper of the correlation relationships between the mean hourly flows of electrons and the mean hourly air temperatures in Belgrade and Rome and the analysis of the synoptic situation as a function of the suggested model so far, indicate that the number of fires that were occurring more than a week, from July 15, 2012, in the south of Europe, were caused by electrons coming from the Sun.",
publisher = "Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča",
journal = "Thermal Science",
title = "The influence of solar activities on occurrence of the forest fires in south Europe",
volume = "19",
number = "2",
pages = "435-446",
doi = "10.2298/TSCI130930036R",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_690"
}

Radovanović, M., Pavlović, T. M., Stanojević, G., Milanović, M., Pavlović, M.,& Radivojević, A.. (2015). The influence of solar activities on occurrence of the forest fires in south Europe. in Thermal Science
Beograd : Univerzitet u Beogradu - Institut za nuklearne nauke Vinča., 19(2), 435-446.
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI130930036R
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_690

Radovanović M, Pavlović TM, Stanojević G, Milanović M, Pavlović M, Radivojević A. The influence of solar activities on occurrence of the forest fires in south Europe. in Thermal Science. 2015;19(2):435-446.
doi:10.2298/TSCI130930036R
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_690 .

Radovanović, Milan, Pavlović, Tomislav M., Stanojević, Gorica, Milanović, Miško, Pavlović, Mila, Radivojević, Aleksandar, "The influence of solar activities on occurrence of the forest fires in south Europe" in Thermal Science, 19, no. 2 (2015):435-446,
https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI130930036R .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_690 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Mustafić, Sanja
PY  - 2012
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/502
AB  - The aim of this paper is to analyse indices of extreme precipitation in Krivosije, Montenegro, the wettest Mediterranean region, from the period 1951-2007 and their relationships with atmospheric circulation using 'SynopVis Grosswetterlagen' (SVG) series. Data from two stations were analysed, namely Crkvice (42A degrees 34 ' N and 18A degrees 39 ' E) and Herceg Novi (42A degrees 27 ' N and 18A degrees 31 ' E). Four indices of precipitation extremes (SDII, R75p, R95p, R95pTOT) were assessed including number of dry days. The results suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased. To analyse the relationship between extreme precipitation events and circulation types we have used an efficiency coefficient (E-c). Regarding relation to atmospheric circulation, westerly, southwesterly and northwesterly circulation types with anticyclonic features over Central Europe are more frequent for dry days (days with R  lt  1.0 mm) and northerly, easterly and southerly types for wet and very wet days (R75p and R95p indices). The types with cyclonic condition over Central Europe show a large proportion of wet and very wet days. Also, activity of Genoa cyclogenesis and orographic influence over a small area are the main reasons for the high precipitation amounts recorded in the Krivosije region (Crkvice).
PB  - Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen
T2  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
T1  - Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types
VL  - 12
IS  - 3
SP  - 687
EP  - 697
DO  - 10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Luković, Jelena and Burić, Dragan and Stanojević, Gorica and Mustafić, Sanja",
year = "2012",
abstract = "The aim of this paper is to analyse indices of extreme precipitation in Krivosije, Montenegro, the wettest Mediterranean region, from the period 1951-2007 and their relationships with atmospheric circulation using 'SynopVis Grosswetterlagen' (SVG) series. Data from two stations were analysed, namely Crkvice (42A degrees 34 ' N and 18A degrees 39 ' E) and Herceg Novi (42A degrees 27 ' N and 18A degrees 31 ' E). Four indices of precipitation extremes (SDII, R75p, R95p, R95pTOT) were assessed including number of dry days. The results suggest that the number of days with precipitation decreased. To analyse the relationship between extreme precipitation events and circulation types we have used an efficiency coefficient (E-c). Regarding relation to atmospheric circulation, westerly, southwesterly and northwesterly circulation types with anticyclonic features over Central Europe are more frequent for dry days (days with R  lt  1.0 mm) and northerly, easterly and southerly types for wet and very wet days (R75p and R95p indices). The types with cyclonic condition over Central Europe show a large proportion of wet and very wet days. Also, activity of Genoa cyclogenesis and orographic influence over a small area are the main reasons for the high precipitation amounts recorded in the Krivosije region (Crkvice).",
publisher = "Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen",
journal = "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences",
title = "Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types",
volume = "12",
number = "3",
pages = "687-697",
doi = "10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502"
}

Ducić, V., Luković, J., Burić, D., Stanojević, G.,& Mustafić, S.. (2012). Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types. in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh, Gottingen., 12(3), 687-697.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502

Ducić V, Luković J, Burić D, Stanojević G, Mustafić S. Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types. in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2012;12(3):687-697.
doi:10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502 .

Ducić, Vladan, Luković, Jelena, Burić, Dragan, Stanojević, Gorica, Mustafić, Sanja, "Precipitation extremes in the wettest Mediterranean region (Krivosije) and associated atmospheric circulation types" in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 12, no. 3 (2012):687-697,
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-687-2012 .,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_502 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Gavrilović, Ljiljana
AU  - Živković, Nenad
PY  - 2012
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/496
AB  - This paper analyzes climate change and its impact on river discharge. This issue is very well studied worldwide, but in Serbia so far has been poorly studied. The first part of the paper presents the views of two different opinions, those who favored anthropogenic impact on the increasing greenhouse effect, and those who say that this is due to natural factors. Most attention is paid to changes in temperature and precipitation patterns. Classification by the group of those who favor the promotion of natural phenomena is demonstrated through the analysis of river flow fluctuations in the hydrological gauge Beli brod located on Kolubara River.
AB  - U radu se analiziraju klimatske promene i njihov uticaj na vodnost reka. Ova problematika je veoma aktuelna u svetu, mada se u Srbiji njoj nije dovoljno poklanjala pažnja. U prvom delu rada se iznose stavovi dve nepomirljive pozicije, onih koji protežiraju stav o uticaju ljudi na pojačavanje efekta staklene bašte, i onih koji ističu da je to posledica prirodnih faktora. Najviše pažnje se poklanja promenama temperature i padavina. Svrstavanje autora u grupu onih koji su skloniji isticanju prirodnih fenomena je pokazano kroz analizu kolebanja proticaja reke Kolubare na hidrološkoj stanice Beli Brod.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge
T1  - Klimatske promene i vodnost reka - primer Kolubare, Beli brod
VL  - 92
IS  - 1
SP  - 123
EP  - 134
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Burić, Dragan and Stanojević, Gorica and Luković, Jelena and Gavrilović, Ljiljana and Živković, Nenad",
year = "2012",
abstract = "This paper analyzes climate change and its impact on river discharge. This issue is very well studied worldwide, but in Serbia so far has been poorly studied. The first part of the paper presents the views of two different opinions, those who favored anthropogenic impact on the increasing greenhouse effect, and those who say that this is due to natural factors. Most attention is paid to changes in temperature and precipitation patterns. Classification by the group of those who favor the promotion of natural phenomena is demonstrated through the analysis of river flow fluctuations in the hydrological gauge Beli brod located on Kolubara River., U radu se analiziraju klimatske promene i njihov uticaj na vodnost reka. Ova problematika je veoma aktuelna u svetu, mada se u Srbiji njoj nije dovoljno poklanjala pažnja. U prvom delu rada se iznose stavovi dve nepomirljive pozicije, onih koji protežiraju stav o uticaju ljudi na pojačavanje efekta staklene bašte, i onih koji ističu da je to posledica prirodnih faktora. Najviše pažnje se poklanja promenama temperature i padavina. Svrstavanje autora u grupu onih koji su skloniji isticanju prirodnih fenomena je pokazano kroz analizu kolebanja proticaja reke Kolubare na hidrološkoj stanice Beli Brod.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge, Klimatske promene i vodnost reka - primer Kolubare, Beli brod",
volume = "92",
number = "1",
pages = "123-134",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496"
}

Burić, D., Stanojević, G., Luković, J., Gavrilović, L.,& Živković, N.. (2012). Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 92(1), 123-134.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496

Burić D, Stanojević G, Luković J, Gavrilović L, Živković N. Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2012;92(1):123-134.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496 .

Burić, Dragan, Stanojević, Gorica, Luković, Jelena, Gavrilović, Ljiljana, Živković, Nenad, "Climate change and river discharge: Case study Kolubara River, Beli brod hydrological gauge" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 92, no. 1 (2012):123-134,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_496 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Burić, Dragan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
PY  - 2011
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/400
AB  - The global warming and climate change are the actual and challenging topics. Recently there is one question, frequently asked: whether today's climate is changing? The studies of this issues are mainly related to the two the most important climatic elements - air temperature and precipitation amounts. We have done research about temperature variability for Montenegro and the main aim of this paper is analysis precipitation changes for station Podgorica (Montenegro) in the period of systematic observation - are there changes, to what extent and whether they are significant. According to the results, accumulated precipitation do not show significant changes for annual and seasonal values in the period 1951-2010. The interannual variations of the precipitation (which are characteristic for this climate element) do not show increases in recent times. The component trend shows some changes, but statistically insignificant. The previous results for precipitation conditions in Podgorica are not in accordance with the concept of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which predicted a general decrease in precipitation and increase variability on this area.
AB  - Globalno otopljavanje i kolebanje klime je aktuelna i izazovna tema. Pitanje koje se u poslednje vreme najčešće postavlja je: da li se menja današnja klima? Istraživanja iz ove problematike su uglavnom vezana za dva najvažnija klimatska elementa - temperaturu vazduha i količinu padavina. Obzirom da smo neka istraživanja već radili, a bila su vezana za utvrđivanje promena temperature vazduha u Crnoj Gori, osnovni cilj ovog rada je bio da se utvrdi šta se dešava sa padavinskim prilikama u Podgorici u periodu sistematskih osmatranja - da li promene postoje, u kojem obimu i da li su one značajne. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da se sa akumuliranim padavinama u Podgorici, u periodu 1951-2010., ništa bitnije ne dešava, kako na sezonskom tako i na godišnjem nivou. Međugodišnje varijacije, koje inače karakterišu ovaj element, nisu povećane u poslednje vreme. Trend komponenta pokazuje izvesne promene, ali su one statistički nesignifikantne. Dosadašnji rezultati istraživanja padavinskih prilika na području Podgorice ne uklapaju se sasvim u koncept Međuvladinog panela za klimatske promene (IPCC), koji predviđa opšte smanjenje količine padavina u našim krajevima i povećanje varijabilnosti.
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - The changes of precipitation in Podgorica for period 1951-2010
T1  - Promene količine padavina u Podgorici u periodu 1951-2010
VL  - 91
IS  - 2
SP  - 51
EP  - 70
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_400
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Burić, Dragan and Luković, Jelena and Stanojević, Gorica",
year = "2011",
abstract = "The global warming and climate change are the actual and challenging topics. Recently there is one question, frequently asked: whether today's climate is changing? The studies of this issues are mainly related to the two the most important climatic elements - air temperature and precipitation amounts. We have done research about temperature variability for Montenegro and the main aim of this paper is analysis precipitation changes for station Podgorica (Montenegro) in the period of systematic observation - are there changes, to what extent and whether they are significant. According to the results, accumulated precipitation do not show significant changes for annual and seasonal values in the period 1951-2010. The interannual variations of the precipitation (which are characteristic for this climate element) do not show increases in recent times. The component trend shows some changes, but statistically insignificant. The previous results for precipitation conditions in Podgorica are not in accordance with the concept of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which predicted a general decrease in precipitation and increase variability on this area., Globalno otopljavanje i kolebanje klime je aktuelna i izazovna tema. Pitanje koje se u poslednje vreme najčešće postavlja je: da li se menja današnja klima? Istraživanja iz ove problematike su uglavnom vezana za dva najvažnija klimatska elementa - temperaturu vazduha i količinu padavina. Obzirom da smo neka istraživanja već radili, a bila su vezana za utvrđivanje promena temperature vazduha u Crnoj Gori, osnovni cilj ovog rada je bio da se utvrdi šta se dešava sa padavinskim prilikama u Podgorici u periodu sistematskih osmatranja - da li promene postoje, u kojem obimu i da li su one značajne. Dobijeni rezultati ukazuju da se sa akumuliranim padavinama u Podgorici, u periodu 1951-2010., ništa bitnije ne dešava, kako na sezonskom tako i na godišnjem nivou. Međugodišnje varijacije, koje inače karakterišu ovaj element, nisu povećane u poslednje vreme. Trend komponenta pokazuje izvesne promene, ali su one statistički nesignifikantne. Dosadašnji rezultati istraživanja padavinskih prilika na području Podgorice ne uklapaju se sasvim u koncept Međuvladinog panela za klimatske promene (IPCC), koji predviđa opšte smanjenje količine padavina u našim krajevima i povećanje varijabilnosti.",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "The changes of precipitation in Podgorica for period 1951-2010, Promene količine padavina u Podgorici u periodu 1951-2010",
volume = "91",
number = "2",
pages = "51-70",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_400"
}

Ducić, V., Burić, D., Luković, J.,& Stanojević, G.. (2011). The changes of precipitation in Podgorica for period 1951-2010. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 91(2), 51-70.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_400

Ducić V, Burić D, Luković J, Stanojević G. The changes of precipitation in Podgorica for period 1951-2010. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2011;91(2):51-70.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_400 .

Ducić, Vladan, Burić, Dragan, Luković, Jelena, Stanojević, Gorica, "The changes of precipitation in Podgorica for period 1951-2010" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 91, no. 2 (2011):51-70,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_400 .

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Ducić, Vladan
AU  - Luković, Jelena
AU  - Stanojević, Gorica
PY  - 2010
UR  - https://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/373
AB  - In this paper we have analyzed the correlation between the atmospheric circulation and annual precipitation in Serbia for period 1949-2004. The data for frequency Hess-Brezowsky circulation forms and types were used as indicators of atmospheric circulation. Statistically significant coefficient of a negative sign is obtained for zonal and half-meridional form and a positive sign for meridional form. The strength of correlation is not uniform in the space. According to the multiple linear regression the contribution of atmospheric circulation in the variability annual precipitation of Serbia is 69%. Also, we analyzed the connection between the atmospheric circulation and the mean annual cloudiness. Comparing the results for this two climate elements we have concluded that they show different time-space development for same macrosynoptic conditions. Also, we can speak about the regional aspects of these processes. .
AB  - U ovom radu analizirana je povezanost između cirkulacije atmosfere i godišnjih padavinskih suma u Srbiji za period 1949-2004. Kao pokazatelji cirkulacije atmosfere korišćeni su podaci za učestalost Hes-Brezovski cirkulacionih formi i tipova. Statistički značajna veza negativnog znaka dobija se za zonalnu i polumeridionalnu formu i pozitivnog znaka za meridionalnu formu. Pokazane su i neravnomernosti u prostornom rasporedu jačine veze. Zahvaćenost varijanse godišnjih suma padavina Srbije u celini cirkulacijom atmosfere je 69%. U radu je takođe analizirana veza između cirkulacije atmosfere i srednje godišnje oblačnosti u Srbiji. Poređenjem rezultata za ova dva klimatska elementa zaključuje se da oni pokazuju različit prostorno-vremenski razvoj pri istim makrosinoptičkim uslovima. Takođe, može se govoriti i o regionalnom aspektu navedenih procesa. .
PB  - Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo
T2  - Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
T1  - Atmospheric circulation and the precipitation variability in Serbia for period 1949-2004
T1  - Cirkulacija atmosfere i kolebanje padavina u Srbiji u periodu 1949-2004
VL  - 90
IS  - 2
SP  - 85
EP  - 107
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_373
ER  - 

@article{
author = "Ducić, Vladan and Luković, Jelena and Stanojević, Gorica",
year = "2010",
abstract = "In this paper we have analyzed the correlation between the atmospheric circulation and annual precipitation in Serbia for period 1949-2004. The data for frequency Hess-Brezowsky circulation forms and types were used as indicators of atmospheric circulation. Statistically significant coefficient of a negative sign is obtained for zonal and half-meridional form and a positive sign for meridional form. The strength of correlation is not uniform in the space. According to the multiple linear regression the contribution of atmospheric circulation in the variability annual precipitation of Serbia is 69%. Also, we analyzed the connection between the atmospheric circulation and the mean annual cloudiness. Comparing the results for this two climate elements we have concluded that they show different time-space development for same macrosynoptic conditions. Also, we can speak about the regional aspects of these processes. ., U ovom radu analizirana je povezanost između cirkulacije atmosfere i godišnjih padavinskih suma u Srbiji za period 1949-2004. Kao pokazatelji cirkulacije atmosfere korišćeni su podaci za učestalost Hes-Brezovski cirkulacionih formi i tipova. Statistički značajna veza negativnog znaka dobija se za zonalnu i polumeridionalnu formu i pozitivnog znaka za meridionalnu formu. Pokazane su i neravnomernosti u prostornom rasporedu jačine veze. Zahvaćenost varijanse godišnjih suma padavina Srbije u celini cirkulacijom atmosfere je 69%. U radu je takođe analizirana veza između cirkulacije atmosfere i srednje godišnje oblačnosti u Srbiji. Poređenjem rezultata za ova dva klimatska elementa zaključuje se da oni pokazuju različit prostorno-vremenski razvoj pri istim makrosinoptičkim uslovima. Takođe, može se govoriti i o regionalnom aspektu navedenih procesa. .",
publisher = "Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo",
journal = "Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva",
title = "Atmospheric circulation and the precipitation variability in Serbia for period 1949-2004, Cirkulacija atmosfere i kolebanje padavina u Srbiji u periodu 1949-2004",
volume = "90",
number = "2",
pages = "85-107",
url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_373"
}

Ducić, V., Luković, J.,& Stanojević, G.. (2010). Atmospheric circulation and the precipitation variability in Serbia for period 1949-2004. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva
Beograd : Srpsko geografsko društvo., 90(2), 85-107.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_373

Ducić V, Luković J, Stanojević G. Atmospheric circulation and the precipitation variability in Serbia for period 1949-2004. in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva. 2010;90(2):85-107.
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_373 .

Ducić, Vladan, Luković, Jelena, Stanojević, Gorica, "Atmospheric circulation and the precipitation variability in Serbia for period 1949-2004" in Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, 90, no. 2 (2010):85-107,
https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_gery_373 .