Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils
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Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska peščara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). In settlements in Deliblatska peščara area,... there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor.
Кључне речи:
forest fires / air temperature / Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation / population / Deliblatska peščaraИзвор:
Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 2023, 73, 2, 155-168Издавач:
- Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"
Колекције
Институција/група
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Milenković, Milan AU - Ducić, Vladan AU - Obradović, Dragan AU - Dedić, Aleksandar AU - Burić, Dragan PY - 2023 UR - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1631 AB - Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska peščara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). In settlements in Deliblatska peščara area, there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor. PB - Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić" T2 - Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU T1 - Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils VL - 73 IS - 2 SP - 155 EP - 168 DO - 10.2298/IJGI2302155M ER -
@article{ author = "Milenković, Milan and Ducić, Vladan and Obradović, Dragan and Dedić, Aleksandar and Burić, Dragan", year = "2023", abstract = "Forests on sandy soils are particularly vulnerable to fire. The study area in this research was Deliblatska peščara (the Deliblato Sands), one of the most endangered areas in Serbia. The linear trends, the polynomial trends and the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) were applied. Statistically significant decrease in the number of forest fires was found, while the increasing trends of the burned area and burned forest area were not significant. There was also an increase in the air temperature during the same period. In a study of the connection between forest fires and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), significant values of r were statistically observed only for the annual number of fires. The highest values were recorded for June (-0.373) and July (-0.375), and for summer r = -0.374 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). As for the AMO in the main fire season (February-August), r = -0.331 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). In settlements in Deliblatska peščara area, there were trends of the decreasing number of inhabitants, agricultural population, and agricultural households in the investigated period. These trends contribute to the reduction of fire risk. The r value between the dynamics of the number of fires and the population is .50 (statistically significant at p ≤ .01). The reduced agricultural activity contributes to the reduction of fire risk, while increased tourist presence is a risk factor.", publisher = "Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"", journal = "Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU", title = "Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils", volume = "73", number = "2", pages = "155-168", doi = "10.2298/IJGI2302155M" }
Milenković, M., Ducić, V., Obradović, D., Dedić, A.,& Burić, D.. (2023). Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU Beograd : Srpska akademija nauka i umetnosti SANU - Geografski institut "Jovan Cvijić"., 73(2), 155-168. https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2302155M
Milenković M, Ducić V, Obradović D, Dedić A, Burić D. Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils. in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU. 2023;73(2):155-168. doi:10.2298/IJGI2302155M .
Milenković, Milan, Ducić, Vladan, Obradović, Dragan, Dedić, Aleksandar, Burić, Dragan, "Climatic and anthropogenic impacts on forest fires in conditions of extreme fire danger on sandy soils" in Zbornik radova Geografskog instituta "Jovan Cvijić", SANU, 73, no. 2 (2023):155-168, https://doi.org/10.2298/IJGI2302155M . .