A Statistical Analysis of Temperature and Precipitation in Belgrade, Serbia (1961-2020)
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The most significant effects of climate change are related to temperature and precipitation. Changes in precipitation and temperature patterns affect water resource capacity, agricultural activities, global biodiversity and emergency management. In this study, using two statistical models (Mann-Kendall and Pettit’s test), climate data for the territory of Belgrade in the time interval 1961-2020 were processed. Trends were analyzed: average annual temperatures, average monthly temperatures, annual and monthly precipitation amounts. The aim of the research is to determine the statistical significance of the increasing/decreasing temperature and precipitation trends on a monthly and annual basis. Based on the obtained results, it was determined that the changing point of the annual temperature is in 1997, while a statistically significant increasing trend was observed in all months except November. The increasing trend recorded by the precipitation amount is 0.345 mm/year, but without sta...tistical significance. The most significant results corresponding to July and October.
Кључне речи:
Trend / Mann-Kendall test / Pettit's test / Precipitation / Air temperature / City of BelgradeИзвор:
Forum Geografic, 2023, 22, 1, 5-15Издавач:
- University of Craiova, Faculty of Social Sciences
Финансирање / пројекти:
- Министарство науке, технолошког развоја и иновација Републике Србије, институционално финансирање - 200091 (Универзитет у Београду, Географски факултет) (RS-MESTD-inst-2020-200091)
Колекције
Институција/група
Geografski fakultetTY - JOUR AU - Čegar, Nina AU - Durlević, Uroš AU - Dobrić, Milica AU - Vukašinović, Sandra PY - 2023 UR - http://gery.gef.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1442 AB - The most significant effects of climate change are related to temperature and precipitation. Changes in precipitation and temperature patterns affect water resource capacity, agricultural activities, global biodiversity and emergency management. In this study, using two statistical models (Mann-Kendall and Pettit’s test), climate data for the territory of Belgrade in the time interval 1961-2020 were processed. Trends were analyzed: average annual temperatures, average monthly temperatures, annual and monthly precipitation amounts. The aim of the research is to determine the statistical significance of the increasing/decreasing temperature and precipitation trends on a monthly and annual basis. Based on the obtained results, it was determined that the changing point of the annual temperature is in 1997, while a statistically significant increasing trend was observed in all months except November. The increasing trend recorded by the precipitation amount is 0.345 mm/year, but without statistical significance. The most significant results corresponding to July and October. PB - University of Craiova, Faculty of Social Sciences T2 - Forum Geografic T1 - A Statistical Analysis of Temperature and Precipitation in Belgrade, Serbia (1961-2020) VL - 22 IS - 1 SP - 5 EP - 15 DO - 10.5775/fg.2023.090.i ER -
@article{ author = "Čegar, Nina and Durlević, Uroš and Dobrić, Milica and Vukašinović, Sandra", year = "2023", abstract = "The most significant effects of climate change are related to temperature and precipitation. Changes in precipitation and temperature patterns affect water resource capacity, agricultural activities, global biodiversity and emergency management. In this study, using two statistical models (Mann-Kendall and Pettit’s test), climate data for the territory of Belgrade in the time interval 1961-2020 were processed. Trends were analyzed: average annual temperatures, average monthly temperatures, annual and monthly precipitation amounts. The aim of the research is to determine the statistical significance of the increasing/decreasing temperature and precipitation trends on a monthly and annual basis. Based on the obtained results, it was determined that the changing point of the annual temperature is in 1997, while a statistically significant increasing trend was observed in all months except November. The increasing trend recorded by the precipitation amount is 0.345 mm/year, but without statistical significance. The most significant results corresponding to July and October.", publisher = "University of Craiova, Faculty of Social Sciences", journal = "Forum Geografic", title = "A Statistical Analysis of Temperature and Precipitation in Belgrade, Serbia (1961-2020)", volume = "22", number = "1", pages = "5-15", doi = "10.5775/fg.2023.090.i" }
Čegar, N., Durlević, U., Dobrić, M.,& Vukašinović, S.. (2023). A Statistical Analysis of Temperature and Precipitation in Belgrade, Serbia (1961-2020). in Forum Geografic University of Craiova, Faculty of Social Sciences., 22(1), 5-15. https://doi.org/10.5775/fg.2023.090.i
Čegar N, Durlević U, Dobrić M, Vukašinović S. A Statistical Analysis of Temperature and Precipitation in Belgrade, Serbia (1961-2020). in Forum Geografic. 2023;22(1):5-15. doi:10.5775/fg.2023.090.i .
Čegar, Nina, Durlević, Uroš, Dobrić, Milica, Vukašinović, Sandra, "A Statistical Analysis of Temperature and Precipitation in Belgrade, Serbia (1961-2020)" in Forum Geografic, 22, no. 1 (2023):5-15, https://doi.org/10.5775/fg.2023.090.i . .